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Forecasting Tourists Arrivals at Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Park in Zimbabwe Using SARIMA Model
International Tourism and Hospitality Journal 1(2): 1-10 (2018) Print ISSN: 2616-518X Online ISSN: 2616-4701 RPA ITHJ Journals International Tourism and Hospitality Journal Journal Homepage: https://rpajournals.com/ithj Forecasting Tourists Arrivals at Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Park in Zimbabwe Using SARIMA Model Tendai Makoni*1, Delson Chikobvu2 Bongani Maphosa3 Great Zimbabwe University, Zimbabwe1,3 University of the Free State, South Africa2 Abstract Forecasting tourist arrivals and volatility for Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Parks using SARIMA-GARCH models are vital for decision and planning purposes. The monthly data from the Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority (ZIMPARKS) for the period January 2010 to December 2016 was used. The time series plot indicated mixed fluctuations in tourist arrivals and exhibited seasonality. The series became stationary after a logarithmic transformation and a seasonal difference. The Akaike Information Criteria (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion was used in selecting the best model and a SARIMA(1,0,1)(1,1,0)12 model fitted well to the data. The residuals of the model confirmed to all tests. Accuracy measures like the mean absolute error (MAE) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) supported the model and an out of sample for the next 24 months (2017 to 2018) were done. From the forecasts, an increase in tourist arrivals was noted. The results imply the need for enough accommodation facilities in and around the recreational centre. Keywords: Tourist arrivals, ARIMA models, SARIMA models, time series plot 1 *Corresponding author: Tendai Makoni ; Email: [email protected] Submission Date: 9 June 2018 Acceptance Date: 17 June 2018 Introduction Forecasting is a key tool for planning and decision-making in modern business organisations, according to Thoplan (2014). -
A Gendered Socio-Economic History of Malawian Women's
“We faced Mabvuto”: A Gendered Socio-economic History of Malawian Women’s Migration and Survival in Harare, 1940 to 1980. A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED TO THE FACULTY OF THE GRADUATE SCHOOL OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA BY IREEN MUDEKA IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Name of Adviser: Allen F. Isaacman, Name of Co-adviser: Helena Pohlandt McCormick October 2011 © IREEN MUDEKA Acknowledgements I owe a great debt of gratitude to many friends, colleagues and everyone who provided moral and intellectual support from the period when I started research on this dissertation until its completion. I am very thankful to all Malawian women and men in Rugare, Mufakose, Highfield and Mbare townships of Harare, Zimbabwe and to those in Mpondabwino and Mbayani townships of Zomba and Blantyre who took the time to talk to me about their personal lives. Because of their generosity, they became not just informants but my teachers, mothers, sisters and friends. In Harare, I especially want to thank Mrs. Tavhina Masongera of Rugare for going beyond sharing her life experiences with me to take me under her wing and provide a bridge between me and other women in the townships of Harare as well as of Malawi. Mrs. Masongera took the time to travel with me all the way to Malawi where she introduced me to many women who had lived in Harare during the colonial period. Without her, I would not have known where to begin as a migrant in a country that I was visiting for the very first time. -
(Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) Order, 2020
Statutory Instrument 55 ofS.I. 2020. 55 of 2020 Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) [CAP. 23:02 Order, 2020 (No. 20) Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) “THIRTEENTH SCHEDULE Order, 2020 (No. 20) CUSTOMS DRY PORTS IT is hereby notifi ed that the Minister of Finance and Economic (a) Masvingo; Development has, in terms of sections 14 and 236 of the Customs (b) Bulawayo; and Excise Act [Chapter 23:02], made the following notice:— (c) Makuti; and 1. This notice may be cited as the Customs and Excise (Ports (d) Mutare. of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) Order, 2020 (No. 20). 2. Part I (Ports of Entry) of the Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) Order, 2002, published in Statutory Instrument 14 of 2002, hereinafter called the Order, is amended as follows— (a) by the insertion of a new section 9A after section 9 to read as follows: “Customs dry ports 9A. (1) Customs dry ports are appointed at the places indicated in the Thirteenth Schedule for the collection of revenue, the report and clearance of goods imported or exported and matters incidental thereto and the general administration of the provisions of the Act. (2) The customs dry ports set up in terms of subsection (1) are also appointed as places where the Commissioner may establish bonded warehouses for the housing of uncleared goods. The bonded warehouses may be operated by persons authorised by the Commissioner in terms of the Act, and may store and also sell the bonded goods to the general public subject to the purchasers of the said goods paying the duty due and payable on the goods. -
Harare Voluntary Local Review of Sustainable Development Goals (Sdgs) Report, June 2020
Harare Voluntary Local Review of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Report, June 2020 1 List of Acronyms AIDS Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome CABS Central Africa Building Society COVID-19 Coronavirus disease CMR Child Mortality Rate DM Diabetes Mellitus DPA Distributed Power Africa ECD Early Child Development ECDI Early Child Development Index FBC First Banking Corporation GFF Global Financing Facility HIV Human Immunodeficiency Virus HPV Human Papilloma Virus ICDS Inter-Censal Demographic Survey ILO International Labour Organisation IMR Infant Mortality Rate IPRSP Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper IUD Intra-Uterine Devices LFCLS Labour Force and Child Labour Survey OCV Oral Cholera Vaccine M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MICS Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey NEET Not in Employment, Education or Training PGER Primary School Gross Enrolment Ratio. PICES Poverty, Income, Consumption and Expenditure Survey PNER Primary School Net Enrolment Ratio POPs Progestigen Only Pills SDGs Sustainable Development Goals SGER Secondary School Gross Enrolment Ratio. SNER Secondary School Net Enrolment Ratio TB Tuberculosis UNFPA United Nations Population Fund UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund US$ United States Dollar VIAC Visual Inspection with Acetic acid and Cervicography VLR Voluntary Local Review ZIMSTAT Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency ZWL$ Zimbabwe Dollar 2 Profile of Harare Introduction The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) / 2030 Agenda are a universal call for the adoption of measures to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure that all people enjoy peace and prosperity. National governments alone cannot achieve the ambitious goals of the 2030 Agenda – but cities and regions can contribute to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The City of Harare attaches great importance to implementing the SDGs. -
Zimbabwean Government Gazette
A I SET ZIMBABWEAN GOVERNMENT GAZETTE Published by Authority Vol. LXXI, No. 44 2nd JULY. 1993 Price $2,50 i General Notice 384 of 1993. Zimbabwe United Passenger Company. ^^0/226/93. Permit: 15723. Motor-omnibus. Passenger-capacity: ROAD MOTOR TRANSPORTATION ACT [CHAPTER 262] Route 1: As d^ned in the agreonent between the holder and Applications in Connexion with Road Service Permits the Harare Municipality, approved by the Minister in terms of section 18 of the Road Motor Transportation Act [Chapter 262]. IN terms of subsection (4) of section 7 of the Road Motor Transportation Act [Chapter 262], notice is hereby given that Route 2:' Throu^out Zimbabwe. the applications detailed in the Sdiedule, for ue issue or Route 3: Harare - Darwendale - Banket - Chinhoyi - Aladta amendment of road service permits, have been received for the Compoimd - Sheckleton Mine - lions Den. consideration of the Controller of Road Motor Transportation. Condition: Any person wishing to object to any such application must Route 2: lodge with the Controller of Road Motor Transportation, (a) For private hire and for advertised or organized P.O. Box 8332, Causeway— tours, provided no stage carriage service is operated (a) a notice, in writing, of his intention to object, so as along any route. to reach the Controller’s ofiSce not later than the 23rd (b) No private Hire or any advertised or organized tour July, 1993; shall be operated under authority of this permit, (b) his objection and the grounds therefor, on form RAl.T. during ^e times for which a scheduled stage carriage 24, together with two copies tiiereof, so as to tetaxHa. -
Bulawayo City Mpilo Central Hospital
Province District Name of Site Bulawayo Bulawayo City E. F. Watson Clinic Bulawayo Bulawayo City Mpilo Central Hospital Bulawayo Bulawayo City Nkulumane Clinic Bulawayo Bulawayo City United Bulawayo Hospital Manicaland Buhera Birchenough Bridge Hospital Manicaland Buhera Murambinda Mission Hospital Manicaland Chipinge Chipinge District Hospital Manicaland Makoni Rusape District Hospital Manicaland Mutare Mutare Provincial Hospital Manicaland Mutasa Bonda Mission Hospital Manicaland Mutasa Hauna District Hospital Harare Chitungwiza Chitungwiza Central Hospital Harare Chitungwiza CITIMED Clinic Masvingo Chiredzi Chikombedzi Mission Hospital Masvingo Chiredzi Chiredzi District Hospital Masvingo Chivi Chivi District Hospital Masvingo Gutu Chimombe Rural Hospital Masvingo Gutu Chinyika Rural Hospital Masvingo Gutu Chitando Rural Health Centre Masvingo Gutu Gutu Mission Hospital Masvingo Gutu Gutu Rural Hospital Masvingo Gutu Mukaro Mission Hospital Masvingo Masvingo Masvingo Provincial Hospital Masvingo Masvingo Morgenster Mission Hospital Masvingo Mwenezi Matibi Mission Hospital Masvingo Mwenezi Neshuro District Hospital Masvingo Zaka Musiso Mission Hospital Masvingo Zaka Ndanga District Hospital Matabeleland South Beitbridge Beitbridge District Hospital Matabeleland South Gwanda Gwanda Provincial Hospital Matabeleland South Insiza Filabusi District Hospital Matabeleland South Mangwe Plumtree District Hospital Matabeleland South Mangwe St Annes Mission Hospital (Brunapeg) Matabeleland South Matobo Maphisa District Hospital Matabeleland South Umzingwane Esigodini District Hospital Midlands Gokwe South Gokwe South District Hospital Midlands Gweru Gweru Provincial Hospital Midlands Kwekwe Kwekwe General Hospital Midlands Kwekwe Silobela District Hospital Midlands Mberengwa Mberengwa District Hospital . -
CHAPTER 10: Restructuring and Recovery in Railway Services
CHAPTER 10: Restructuring and Recovery in Railway Services 10.1 OVERVIEW OF Republic of Congo (DRC) (See Map 10.1). THE SECTOR As a result, the national railway of Zimbabwe has been critical to the growth of the country’s domestic, regional, and international trade as 10.1.1 The Setting it connects all major economic centers and Although continental rail master plans have provides transport for bulk raw materials, existed for more than a century, most of the fi nished goods, and passengers. As in most African railway network remains disconnected, other African countries, the Zimbabwean operating within a single country, or linking railway system served as a primary conduit a port and its immediate regional hinterland. for agricultural and other natural resources The only signifi cant international network is and this largely accounts for the standards and centered in South Africa and stretches north routing that were adopted. to Zimbabwe, Zambia, and the Democratic Map 10.1: Railway Network for the Southern Africa Region Within Zimbabwe, the railway network and its ports of Durban, Richards Bay, and Port connects all major mines and heavy industrial Elizabeth. It is also at the centre of shorter and plants, as well as major collection points for cost-effective railroad links between Malawi farms. The system has three well connected and South Africa through Bulawayo, the port hubs, Bulawayo, Gweru, and Harare (See of Beira through Harare, and Lusaka and the Map 10.2). The railway is at the centre of the port of Durban through Bulawayo. The -
"Our Hands Are Tied" Erosion of the Rule of Law in Zimbabwe – Nov
“Our Hands Are Tied” Erosion of the Rule of Law in Zimbabwe Copyright © 2008 Human Rights Watch All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America ISBN: 1-56432-404-4 Cover design by Rafael Jimenez Human Rights Watch 350 Fifth Avenue, 34th floor New York, NY 10118-3299 USA Tel: +1 212 290 4700, Fax: +1 212 736 1300 [email protected] Poststraße 4-5 10178 Berlin, Germany Tel: +49 30 2593 06-10, Fax: +49 30 2593 0629 [email protected] Avenue des Gaulois, 7 1040 Brussels, Belgium Tel: + 32 (2) 732 2009, Fax: + 32 (2) 732 0471 [email protected] 64-66 Rue de Lausanne 1202 Geneva, Switzerland Tel: +41 22 738 0481, Fax: +41 22 738 1791 [email protected] 2-12 Pentonville Road, 2nd Floor London N1 9HF, UK Tel: +44 20 7713 1995, Fax: +44 20 7713 1800 [email protected] 27 Rue de Lisbonne 75008 Paris, France Tel: +33 (1)43 59 55 35, Fax: +33 (1) 43 59 55 22 [email protected] 1630 Connecticut Avenue, N.W., Suite 500 Washington, DC 20009 USA Tel: +1 202 612 4321, Fax: +1 202 612 4333 [email protected] Web Site Address: http://www.hrw.org November 2008 1-56432-404-4 “Our Hands Are Tied” Erosion of the Rule of Law in Zimbabwe I. Summary ............................................................................................................... 1 II. Recommendations ............................................................................................... 5 To the Future Government of Zimbabwe .............................................................. 5 To the Chief Justice ............................................................................................ 6 To the Office of the Attorney General .................................................................. 6 To the Commissioner General of the Zimbabwe Republic Police .......................... 6 To the Southern African Development Community and the African Union ........... -
Midlands Province
School Province District School Name School Address Level Primary Midlands Chirumanzu BARU KUSHINGA PRIMARY BARU KUSHINGA VILLAGE 48 CENTAL ESTATES Primary Midlands Chirumanzu BUSH PARK MUSENA RESETTLEMENT AREA VILLAGE 1 MUSENA Primary Midlands Chirumanzu BUSH PARK 2 VILLAGE 5 WARD 19 CHIRUMANZU Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CAMBRAI ST MATHIAS LALAPANZI TOWNSHIP CHIRUMANZU Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHAKA NDARUZA VILLAGE HEAD CHAKA Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHAKASTEAD FENALI VILLAGE NYOMBI SIDING Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHAMAKANDA TAKAWIRA RESETTLEMENT SCHEME MVUMA Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHAPWANYA HWATA-HOLYCROSS ROAD RUDUMA VILLAGE Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHIHOSHO MATARITANO VILLAGE HEADMAN DEBWE Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHILIMANZI NYONGA VILLAGE CHIEF CHIRUMANZU Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHIMBINDI CHIMBINDI VILLAGE WARD 5 CHIRUMANZU Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHINGEGOMO WARD 18 TOKWE 4 VILLAGE 16 CHIRUMANZU Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHINYUNI CHINYUNI WARD 7 CHUKUCHA VILLAGE Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHIRAYA (WYLDERGROOVE) MVUMA HARARE ROAD WASR 20 VILLAGE 1 Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHISHUKU CHISHUKU VILAGE 3 CHIEF CHIRUMANZU Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHITENDERANO TAKAWIRA RESETTLEMENT AREA WARD 11 Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHIWESHE PONDIWA VILLAGE MAPIRAVANA Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHIWODZA CHIWODZA RESETTLEMENT AREA Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHIWODZA NO 2 VILLAGE 66 CHIWODZA CENTRAL ESTATES Primary Midlands Chirumanzu CHIZVINIRE CHIZVINIRE PRIMARY SCHOOL RAMBANAPASI VILLAGE WARD 4 Primary Midlands -
Strategic Church Planting in the Central Zimbabwe Conference: Towards a Paradigm Shift in Church Growth
Andrews University Digital Commons @ Andrews University Professional Dissertations DMin Graduate Research 1998 Strategic Church Planting in the Central Zimbabwe Conference: Towards a Paradigm Shift in Church Growth Nkosiyabo Zvandasara Andrews University Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.andrews.edu/dmin Part of the Practical Theology Commons Recommended Citation Zvandasara, Nkosiyabo, "Strategic Church Planting in the Central Zimbabwe Conference: Towards a Paradigm Shift in Church Growth" (1998). Professional Dissertations DMin. 697. https://digitalcommons.andrews.edu/dmin/697 This Project Report is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate Research at Digital Commons @ Andrews University. It has been accepted for inclusion in Professional Dissertations DMin by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons @ Andrews University. For more information, please contact [email protected]. ABSTRACT STRATEGIC CHURCH PLANTING IN THE CENTRAL ZIMBABWE CONFERENCE: TOWARDS A PARADIGM SHIFT IN CHURCH GROWTH by Nkosiyabo Zvandasara Adviser: Douglas Kilcher ABSTRACT OF GRADUATE STUDENT RESEARCH Dissertation Andrews University Seventh-day Adventist Theological Seminary Title: STRATEGIC CHURCH PLANTING IN THE CENTRAL ZIMBABWE CONFERENCE: TOWARDS A PARADIGM SHIFT IN CHURCH GROWTH Name of researcher: Nkosiyabo Zvandasara Name and degree of faculty adviser: Douglas Kilcher, D .Min. Date completed: July 1998 Problem This dissertation focuses on church planting in the Central Zimbabwe Conference. While impressive results have been achieved in evangelizing the lower classes of the society, there has been meager success in reaching the upper classes of the Black community as well as the White, the Indian, and the Colored minorities. A strategic church-planting approach to church growth hopes to not only target the least promising population segments served by the Central Zimbabwe Conference, but also to increase the effectiveness of the other church methods currently being employed to reach the more responsive classes in that conference. -
Jul 2 3 2019
Form 3-200-20 OMS Control No. 1018~93 Ellplra& 08131/2020 JUL 2 3 2019 Department of Interior U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Federal Fish and Wildlife Permit Application Form Type cl AciMly U.S. Fish aod Wildlle Service Division of Managemert Aulhority IMPORT OF SPORT-HUNTED TROPHIES under Appendix I of Branch of Permits, MS. IA 5276 Leesburg Pike the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Faus Church, VA 22041-3803 Species (CITES) and/or U.S. Endangered Species Act (ESA) 1-800-358-2104 or 703-358-2104 Complete Sections A or B, end C, D, end E of this eppllcetlon. U.S. edclross mey be required in Sedlon C, ,ee lnstructlon:s for details. lnttn.u::tlons on haw to make your appllc:atlon complete und help ■ voidunntteessary delaY9 .ire attached. Section A: Com in as an Individual t.l>.Fnl- 1.d.Sulb no. 3. .... P,,ndpol I. Pttmay C0'1lact n.,. c.a...-1a....- 7.L&-.-- SecUon C: AH a 1.a. CounrylP,ow,ce 11. Elkhart USA 2 c. Slate Z.d lip CDdell'ollll C:X:e 7.e. Caunfyfl',,,.,;,,... 21.Counlry Section D: All a llcants MUST com lete 1. Allach lhe nonrelundabl• appllc.illon proc"slng fH .r, \he lonn 0f • c:hec:I< or mDl'OY order payeble lo the U.S. FISH ANO WILDLIFE SERVICE In Ille amount of S100. Federal, Tri~ Slate, and local goverm,o<ll agendas, :ind lh0$0 acting on behd of auch aoe,,des. are exempl rrom the processing fee abch documenlalfcn of fH eXflr.1)1 !ilal11s 11S oull:ned In lnsll\ldlans 150 CFR 13 11(d)I 2. -
Justice and the Urban Poor in Harare, Zimbabwe
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Unisa Institutional Repository JUSTICE AND THE URBAN POOR IN HARARE, ZIMBABWE: AN ETHICAL PERSPECTIVE by RUDOLPH NYAMUDO Submitted in fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF ARTS in the subject PHILOSOPHY at the UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH AFRICA SUPERVISOR: PROF. P. MUNGWINI 2020 Contents Acknowledgements .......................................................................................................................... iii Abstract ........................................................................................................................................... iv Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... v Research problem ............................................................................................................................ vi Philosophical paradigm adopted ..................................................................................................... vii Chapter One: Poverty: A Creature of Politics and a Question of Justice. ................................................................1 Chapter Two: Urban Poverty in Harare ................................................................................................................ 18 Chapter Three: Human Dignity and Poverty ..........................................................................................................