Fire Mountains of the Islands A History of Volcanic Eruptions and Disaster Management in Papua and the Solomon Islands R. Wally Johnson

Australian National University E PRESS Contents

Tables ix

Illustrations xi Foreword xvii

Acknowledgements and Sources xxi

Volcano Names and Totals xxiii

1. Burning Islands and Dampier's Voyage: 1700 1

Track of the Roebuck 1

Near Oceania, Melanesia and Melanesians 9

Early Ideas about Volcanic Activity 14

Preview 17

2. Volcano Sightings by European Navigators: 1528-1870 21

Saavedra, Retes and Mendana 21

Schouten, Le Maire and Tasman 24

Carteret, Hunter, D'Entrecasteaux and Parker Wilson 26

European and Melanesian Viewpoints 33

3. European Intruders and the 1878 Eruption: 1870-1883 39

Blanche Bay and the Tolai 39

Miklouho-Maclay 43

Traders, Missionaries and a Gentleman Explorer 46

1878 Eruption at Rabaul 50

Powell's Voyage and a Possible Eruption 'Pulse' 54

Volcanological Events Elsewhere 59

4. Volcanic Events of the German Era: 1884-1914 63

Colonial Partitioning 63

Ritter Island Disaster 65

Hahl and Sapper 71

Time Cluster of Eruptions 77 5. Australian Colonists and the Volcanoes of Mainland New Guinea: 1849-1938 85

First Impressions 85

British New Guinea and Victory Volcano 87

Evan R. Stanley in Papua 90

Australians in the Territory of New Guinea after 1920 93

Australians in the before 1938 97

6. Calderas, Ignimbrites and the 1937 Eruption at Rabaul: i 1914-1940 103

Garrison Life and Volcanoes 103

Australian Expedition along the Bismarck Volcanic Arc 106

Calderas and Ignimbrites 109

Eruption at Rabaul in 1 937 112

Subsequent Investigations at Rabaul 119

7. Eruptions during the Pacific War and Postwar Recovery: 1941-1950 129

Fisher and Renewed Activity from Tavurvur 129

Kizawa and the Sulphur Creek Observatory 131

Eruptions at Goropu Volcano, Papua 136

Hiroshima, Surges and Postwar Recovery 140

Changing the Volcanological Leadership 143

8. Disaster at Lamington: 1951-1952 149

Higaturu and the Orokaiva 149

Build-up to Catastrophe 151

Relief and Recovery 156

Seeking Explanation and Meaning 167

Aftermath 171

9. Tony Taylor and an Eruption Time Cluster: 1951-1966 179

Eruptions of 1951-1957 179

Experiments in Prediction 182

Long Island Evacuation of 1953-1954 183 vi Bam Tragedy of 1 954-1 955 187

Evacuation of Manam and the 1956-1966 Eruptions 193

Tuluman 1953-1957 and the Obsidian Miners of Lou 199

10. Plate Tectonics and False Alarms: 1960-1972 207

Advances in Science and Technology 207

Gas Emissions from Two Highlands Volcanoes 212

Volcanic-Disaster Preparations at Wau Township in 1967 214

Evacuation from Dawson Strait in 1969 217

Origin of the Dawson Strait Earthquakes and a Note on Volcanic False Alarms 221

Tectonic Earthquakes and the End of the Taylor Era 224

11. Cooke-Ravian and a Volcanic Resurgence: 1971-1979 231

New Eruption Time Cluster 231

Ulawun and the Threat of Cone Collapse 235

Long Island Disaster and Tibito Tephra 239

Yomba and Cook: Two 'Mystery' Volcanoes 245

Fatal Eruption on Karkar in 1979 246

12. Eruption Alert at Rabaul Caldera: 1971-1994 255

Crisis Build-up and Stage-2 Alert 255

Scientific Responses to the Caldera Unrest 263

Worldwide Volcanic Crises and Developments in Risk Awareness .... 267

Costs, Benefits and Crisis Decline: 1985-1994 273

Volcanic Alert on Simbo Island 277

13. Eruptions at Rabaul: 1994-1999 283

First Three Weeks 283

Physical Damage 289

Post Mortem and New Directions for RVO 293

Ongoing Eruptions and New Insights 298

Restoring the North-eastern Gazelle Peninsula 303 14. Eruptions of the Early Twenty-first Century: 1998-2008 311

International Developments and Modern Near Oceania 311

Ulawun: A Decade Volcano 313

Ulawun 2000: A Short-lived, Powerful Eruption 316

Pago 2002-2003: An Unexpected Eruption 319

Threat of a Caldera-Forming Eruption at Pago-Witori 322

Manam 2004-2005: Abandoning a Volcanic Island? 326

Rabaul 2006 and other Volcanic Crises in 1999-2007 330

15. Reassessing Volcanic Risk in the North-eastern Gazelle Peninsula: 2000-2012 341

Restructuring a Society 341

Volcanic Hazards 344

Early Warnings and a New Model for Rabaul Volcano 348

Determining Risk Today 351-

16. Historical Analysis and Volcanic Disaster-Risk Reduction 359

Patterns in the Historical Record 359

Evacuations, Early Warnings and False Alarms 363

Artefacts and Oral Traditions 367

International Disaster-Risk Reduction 372

Observatories and Volcanic Disaster-Risk Reduction 373

Strengthening At-Risk Communities in Near Oceania 376

An Epilogue 381

Appendix: Acronyms and Glossaries 383

Index 387