December 2020 West Coast Wildfires Worse Due to Population Growth President’S Note
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Volume 52, Issue 4 December 2020 WEST COAST WILDFIRES WORSE DUE TO POPULATION GROWTH President’s Note y iPhone died on Election Day. It was disorienting. Of course, the events of the day matter greatly. And this elec- I’d grown accustomed—even addicted—to endless tion in particular was critical. But we must keep thinking about micro doses of what passes for reality in these the next generation, the next century, even the next millennium, Mhyperkinetic times. Instead, as final figures trickled in, I followed which is no easy task in this instantaneous era. developments on a device descended from Philo Farnsworth’s image dissector (my television). By meeting the population challenge, we can set the table for a much brighter future. Over the past 50 years, we’ve gone from If there is one thing all Americans can agree on about this elec- about four nations at or below replacement rate in terms of tion, it’s that the outcome wasn’t entirely what anyone hoped family size to nearly 100 nations in that category. That’s still for. The dismal Trump era will thankfully end. Yet congressional fewer than half the nations on earth, but it provides a roadmap results were mixed. for a better future if we’re willing to persevere. We were extremely heartened by the election of Joe Biden and One of the best ways to achieve a better, safer, less-crowded Kamala Harris. They are committed to taking decisive action future is by ensuring today’s young people understand the to repeal the Global Gag Rule and to reinvigorate an array of challenges posed by rapid population growth. We’re the only vital programs. There is no time to lose when we’re literally see- nationwide provider of K-12 Population Education. If we don’t ing the world set aflame due to our heedless ways. We were, do it, no one will. We adapted rapidly to training thousands however, dismayed to see the defeat of several stalwart House of educators remotely under the current COVID regime, since supporters of programs that help achieve population stabiliza- there is no time to lose. tion. While some great Senate candidates fell short of victory on Election Day, control of that body is still up for grabs. Recently, I’ve been scheduling conversations with quite a few of our longest-serving members. They’re deeply concerned about As I ineffectually poked at my phone, it almost seemed to be the need for a lasting legacy, as they understand the importance sending me a message of sorts. Maybe the lesson is that, even in of population stabilization. We’re grateful that they see the need fraught moments when we’re grasping for good news, we need for sustained action to curb overpopulation. to keep our eyes on the far horizon. We need to be less obsessed with the latest tweet or breaking news. Since the era of rapid If you’d like to have one of those “old fashioned” conversations population growth began around 1800, it’s taken more than two with me, just send me an email. I’m glad to report I’m now the full centuries for us to reach current overpopulation levels. Like proud owner of a fully-functioning refurbished iPhone. it or not, it’s going to take time and much sustained effort to restore balance. John Seager [email protected] Volume 52, Issue 4 December 2020 Features Board Chair Estelle Raboni, MPH, MCHES 14 Book Review: One Billion Americans Board of Directors By Marian Starkey Aaron S. Allen, PhD Rodrigo Barillas, MD, MBA 16 Climate Grief Is Burning Across the American West Andreea Creanga, MD, PhD Amy Dickson By Matt Simon Katie Ferman, MNA 22 California's Catastrophic Wildfires in Three Charts Bryce Hach, MS (Secretary) Mark Hathaway, MD, MPH By Isabella Isaacs-Thomas Padgett Kelly, PhD Bob Pettapiece, EdD (Treasurer) Dara Purvis, JD (Vice Chair) Mary Beth Weinberger Kevin Whaley, PhD Departments President and CEO John Seager [email protected] 2 Editor’s Note Editor 3 Letters to the Editor Marian Starkey, MSc [email protected] 4 Pop Facts Population Connection (ISSN 2331-0529) 6 In the News Population Connection is the national grassroots 8 The ZPG Society population organization that educates young people and advocates progressive action to 12 Membership Relations Cover Image: The Bobcat Fire burns stabilize world population at a level that can be through Angeles National Forest on sustained by Earth’s resources. 26 Washington View September 11, 2020, north of Monrovia, Annual membership ($25) includes a one-year California. California wildfires have 28 Field & Outreach subscription to Population Connection magazine, already incinerated a record 2.3 million 30 PopEd published quarterly. Population Connection acres this year and are expected to is a 501(c)3 non-profit organization. As such, continue until December. The Bobcat 32 Cartoon contributions, bequests, and gifts are fully tax- Fire has grown to more than 26,000 acres. deductible in accordance with current laws. (Photo by David McNew/Getty Images) 33 Editorial Excerpts Population Connection 2120 L Street, NW, Suite 500 Washington, DC 20037 (202) 332-2200 • (800) 767-1956 [email protected] populationconnection.org populationeducation.org popconnect.org/magazine-archives popconnect.org December 2020 — Population Connection 1 Editor’s Note ever have I been gladder to see a year end—2020 has development into areas that should never have been inhabited by been a doozy, to put it mildly. A global pandemic, people. Our buildings create kindling for wildfires, making even racial unrest more heightened than we’ve seen in those that start through no fault of our own—each year, tens Ndecades, and a West Coast set ablaze, in part, by pyrotechnics at of thousands of fires are started by lightening strikes—worse. a gender reveal celebration. This year has been tragic, infuriating, And once people live in WUI regions, forest management and and embarrassing. wildfire containment become much more difficult, leading to burns that rage out of control for months, displacing and killing I’d love to be able to say, “Despite all that, we survived,” but, people, pets, livestock, and wildlife. sadly, many of us did not. The hostility toward science that the outgoing presidential administration has proudly displayed State-level population growth happens through births, internal/ has played a part in prematurely ending the lives of more than domestic migration, and immigration. Some people think we 230,000 Americans, many of whom—with better leadership— should increase all three, environmental consequences be wouldn’t have been exposed to COVID-19 in the first place. damned. Matthew Yglesias, author of One Billion Americans, is one such person. He believes that we need more population Starting fresh in January with a president who is committed growth in order to remain the world’s number one superpower. to ending the Global Gag Rule, rejoining the Paris Climate Fearing that China is going to overtake us because its popula- Accord, and tackling the coronavirus pandemic gives me hope tion of 1.4 billion is more than four times the size of ours, he that we can get our country and its priorities back on track wants the U.S. to aim for a billion people living in skyscrapers before too many more lives are lost. across the Rust Belt. I reviewed his very silly book on page 14. This issue of our magazine looks at the devastating wildfires that As this dreadful year winds down, I’d like to propose a toast to have ripped across the American West since late July. We can’t better times ahead. To a return to respect for science, established directly blame Donald Trump and his political goons for the facts, and expert opinions. To an end to harmful policies like the devastation wrought by the wildfires in California, Colorado, Global and Domestic Gag Rules that contribute to unintended Oregon, and Washington these past four months, but this pregnancy and the population growth and poor health out- administration has undercut progress at every turn. It’s going to comes that result. To a commitment to reducing our greenhouse take considerable political will to reduce our emissions and slow gas emissions in order to keep the planet’s rising average tem- climate change, to prevent development in dangerous wildland– perature below the level that scientists say is the threshold for urban interface (WUI) regions, and to slow our population permanent devastation. And to a sense of care and concern for growth so that such development isn’t even a consideration. our fellow humans and the other species that share this planet. Cheers to a new year and a new America. As you’ll read in the two feature articles in this issue, popu- Marian Starkey lation growth in fire-prone states is responsible for sprawling [email protected] 2 Population Connection — December 2020 Send correspondence to Letters to the Editor [email protected]. Attn: Marian Starkey Letters are also accepted via Population Connection postal mail. Letters may be 2120 L St NW, Suite 500 edited for clarity and length. Washington, DC 20037 Last year, I traveled with a group of fellow physicians to the reproductive agency that has to be declined because of local Philippines to perform anesthesia for a marathon of surgeries politics. Population Connection seems to be the best domestic in a region just north of Manila. On numerous occasions while organization doing the brave and necessary work of turning the I was preparing to induce anesthesia, our patient would stop tide on these problems. But if we are to prioritize real results, we me, pull me close to her face, and quietly ask if I could have the must be thoughtful with our strategy, heedful of ways in which surgeon tie her tubes during whatever unrelated operation was we may unintentionally spawn opposition, and humble in our about to be performed.