Mass Rapid Trans it Au thor ity o f Thail and March 2016

M.R.T. Project Development Department 1 Project Analysis Section Government Agency State Enterprise Office of Ministry of Transport Expressway Authority of Office of Transport and Policy Planning Mass Transit Authority Department of Highway Transport Co.,Ltd . Mass Authority of Thailand Department of Rural Highway State Railway of Thailand Depppartment of Land Transport Airport Rail Link Co., Ltd. Marine Department Port Authority of Thailand Department of Civil Aviation Thai-Amadeus Co.,Ltd. Thai Airways Int’l PCL Thai Smile Airways Airport of Thailand PCL Aeronautical Radio of Thailand Civil Aviation Training Center Hotel Co.,Ltd.

2 Mass Rapid Transit Authority of Thailand (MRTA) (State Enterprise under Supervision of MOT) Implement of the rail mass rapid transit in Bangkok Ministry of Transport : MOT and other provinces

State Railway of Thailand (SRT) (State Enterprise under Supervision of MOT) Implement of the rail (MRT & Commuter Train) along Office of Transport and Traffic Policy and the existing rail corridor throughout Thailand Planning (OTP) Airport Rail Link Co., Ltd. (ARL) (Governmental Agency) (State Enterprise under Supervision of MOT) Operate existing Suvarnabhumi Airport Rail Link

• Study and Plan for Transport System • Provide Mass Rapid Transit Master Plan Bangkok Metropolitan Administration : BMA (Local Governmental Agency) Impl ement of the rail mass rap id trans it in Bang ko k 3 Mission of MRTA 1. Operate Mass Transit System in Bangkok and vicinities including other provinces 2. Study, Analyze and Prepare Mass Transit Project including Research and Development 3. Carry on Business that benefit to passengers Bangkok Metropolitan Region (BMR) BMR TOTAL AREA 7,785 sq.km., Population 17.5 Millions, GDP 68% of National GDP BMR AREA

Pathum Thani Nakhon Pathom 85 km.

Bangkok

Samut Prakan Samut Sakhon

115 km.

5 Mass Rapid Transit Network

6 Primary Line

1. Dark (Thammasat - Mahachai)

Feeder Line 4. Dark (Lamlukka–Mochit–Bearing-Samut prakarn)

7. 9. (Bangyai - Ratburana) (Khaerai - Minburi)

2. Light Red Line 8. (Salaya - Huamark) (Talingchan - Minburi)

3. Airport Rail Link (Bangsue–Phayathai-Suvarnabhumi)

5. Light Green Line 10. (Yotse - Bangwa) (Ladphrao - Samrong) 6. (Bangsue–Hualamphong –Thaphra-Phutthamonthon 4)

7 North Green Line North Green Line (Mochit - SaphanMai - Kukot) (Kukhot - Lumlukka) North Purple Line (Bang Yai – Bang Sue) Pink Line (Khaerai – Minburi)

West Orange (Taling Chan-) East Orange Line West Blue Line (Thailand Cultural Centre - (Bang Sue - Thaphra) Minburi (Suwinthawong)) (Hua Lamphong - Bangkhae) (Bangkhae - Phutthamonthon Sai 4)

East Blue Line Yellow Line Chaloem (Ladprao - Samrong) Ratchamongkhon Line

South Purple Line South Green Line (Taopun - Ratburana) (Samut Prakan – Bangpu)

South Green Line (Bearing - Samut Prakan) 8 Distance Construction Start Operation Status Projects (km. ) (m-y) (m-y) Current path Chaloem Ratchamongkhon Line 20 1999 Jun – 04 Under Purple Line :Bang Yai – Bang Sue 23 Nov –09 Aug –16 Construction Blue Line : Hualamphong – Bangkae 14 Apr –11 May –20 (81 km.) Bang Sue – Thaphra 13 Apr – 11 May – 20 Green Line : Baering – Samutprakan 13 Mar –12 Aug –20 Mochit - Khukot 18 Jun –15 Aug –20 Start tendering on Orange Line :Thailand Cultural Centre – Minburi 21 Oct – 16 Jun – 22 2016 Pink Line : Khaerai – Minburi 35 Appr –17 Jul –20 (110 km.) Yellow Line : Ladprao – Samrong 30 Arp – 17 Jul – 20 Purple Line : Tao Pun – Rat Burana 24 Feb – 17 Oct – 22 Start tendering Orange Line :Talingchan –Thailand Cultural Centre 18 May – 17 Jan – 23 since 2017 Blue Line : Bangkae – Phuttamonthon Sai 4 8 Jun – 17 Jun – 21 (41 km.) Green Line : Samutprakan – Bang Pu 7 Dec – 17 Dec – 21 Khucot - Lamlukka 8 Dec –17 Dec –21 10 « Opened to ppyublic : on July 3rd,, 2004

Underground heavy rail system ¬ with the 20 km length and 18 stations « Investment scheme : PPP Net Cost Concessionaire : BMCL (( 25 yearsears)) Total project cost is 106,,311106 311 M. Baht

Averaggpe ridership : 250,, 000 trips/day ¬

11 Purple Line North Section Green Line North Section

Blue Line Extension

Green Line South Section

12 13 Bangyai – Bangsue Project Details Elevated MRT (Heavy Rail) with 23 km length and 16 Stations (1 depot 4 Park & Ride Bldg.) Cost 63,333.42 Million Baht Construction November 2009 Star t Opera tion AtAugust 2016

Status (January 2016) Contract 1-3,6 Construction 100% completed Contract 4 M&E works (89.97% Completed) Contract 5 The cabinet assigned PPP Policy Committee negotiate with BEM.

14 15 Hualamphong-Bangkae and Bangsue-Thaphra Project Details Hualamphong-Bangkae Section - Underground MRT with 5 km length and 4 stations - Elevated MRT with 9 km length and 7 stations Bangsue-Thaphra Section - Elevated MRT with 13 km length and 10 stations Cost 82,369.17 Million Baht Construction April 2011 Start Operation May 2020 Status (January 2016) Contract 1-5 Under construction (72.06% completed) Contract 6 PPP Policy Committee adjourn PPP fast track plan, the PPP report will be presented on April 2016

16 17 Bearing – Samutprakarn Project Details Elevated MRT with 13 km length and 9 stations CtCost 27,819.08 MBM.Baht Construction March 2012 Start Operation August 2020 Status (January 2016) Contract 1-2 under construction (77.25% completed)

18 19 Mochit – Saphanmai – Khukot Project Details Elevated MRT with 18.2 km length and 16 stations Cost 58,384.45 M.Baht Construction June 2015 Start Operation August 2020 Status (January 2016) Civil works under construction (3.20% completed)

20 Pink Line

Orange Line East Section

Purple Line South Section Yellow LIne

21 22 Thailand Cultural Centre – Minburi Project Details Underground structure for 12.2 km and 10 Stations Elevated structure for 9 km and 7 Stations Cost 110,116.86 Million Baht Construction October 2016 Start Operation June 2022

Status (January 2016) Cabinet on 8 Dec. 15 approved in principle of Project Implementation and approved Land Acquisition Budget. It is expected the Cabinet will approve Civil Works at the beginning of March 16.

23 24 Khaerai – Minburi Project Details Straddle system with 34.5 km length and 30 stations Cost 56,691.00 Million Baht Construction April 2017 Start Operation July 2020 Status (January 2016) Waiting for PPP Policy Committee and Cabinet approval of Project investment scheme in accordance with PPP Act B.E. 2556

25 26 Ladprao – Samrong Project Details Straddle monorail system with 30.4 km length and 23 stations Cost 54,644.00 Million Baht Construction April 2017 Start Operation July 2020 Status (January 2016) Waiting for PPP Policy Committee and Cabinet approval of Project investment scheme in accordance with PPP Act B. E. 2556

27 28 Tao Pun – Ratburana PjtProject DDtiletails Und erground struct ure for 12126.6 km an d 10 SttiStations Elevated structure for 11 km and 7 Stations Cost 131,004.00 Million Baht Construction February 2017 Start Operation October 2022 Status (January 2016) Waiting for Cabinet approval of Civil Works

29 Green Line North Extension to Lamlukka

Orange Line West Section

Blue Line Extension to Budhamonthon Sai 4

Green Line South Extension to Bangpu

30 31 Talingchan -Thailand Cultural centre Project Details Underground structure for 18.2 km. with 12 stations Cost 85,288.54 Million Baht Construction May 2017 Start Operation January 2023 Status (January 2016) During feasibility study, EIA report and tender document preparation

32 Bangkae - Phutthamonthon Sai 4 Project Details Elevated MRT with 8 km length and 4 stations Cost 21,223 Million Baht Construction June 2017 Start Operation June 2021 Status (January 2016) During feasibility study, EIA report and tender document preparation

33 Sawangkhanivat Samut Prakan (Bang Ping) – Bang Pu Muaeng Boran Project Details Elevated MRT with 7 km length and 4 stations Cost 13,701.21 Million Baht Sichanpradit Construction December 2017 Bangpu Start Operation December 2021 Tamru Status ((yJanuary 2016) - EIA Approved - during feasibility study review and tender document preparation

34 Khukot – Lamlukka Project Details Elevated MRT with 8 km length and 4 stations Cost 11,989.33 Million Baht Construction December 2017 Start Operation December 2021 Status (January 2016) -EIA Approved -During feasibility study review and tender document preparation

35 Investment

36 Investment Scheme

ƒ Public Private Partnership (PPP) : government & private sector share investment in each part ƒ Public Sector Comparator (PSC) : government invest 100% and may engage private sector to operate and maintain system

Public Private Public

Project Project Level of PPP Investment Ratio Investment Ratio High Low 1 2 3 PPP PPP PPP

Project Project Project

Government Private sector Government Private sector Government Private sector

Land Rolling Land Rolling Land Rolling Civil Work M&E Civil Work M&E Civil Work M&E Acquisition Stock Acquisition Stock Acquisition Stock

ƒ Land Acquisition ƒ Land Acquisition ent ƒ Land Acquisition ƒ Civil Work ƒ Civil Work

Governm ƒ M&E

ƒ Civil Work ƒ M&E ƒ Rolling Stock ƒ M&E ƒ Rolling Stock ivate sector rr

P ƒ Rolling Stock PPP Scheme ƒ NtNet CtCost Concess ion ƒ Gross Cost Concession ƒ Modified Gross Cost Concession

remuneration Revenue remuneration + Bonus Share Private Public Private Public Private Public

Invest + Invest + Invest + Operation Fare & Non Fare Operation Operation Revenue Fare & Non Fare Fare & Non Fare Cost Cost Revenue Cost Revenue Project Project Project Investment Scheme of Existing MRT Projects

PPP SCHEME DESIGN BUILD FINANCE Operation (O) REVENUE NOTE & Maintenance (M) COLLECTion MO Public PSC Public PublicExisting Public Blue Line Public Public PublicBTS Airport •CIVIL WORKS GOVERNMENT PRIVATE SECTORRail Link Public (CW) Public (CW) Public (CW) Purple Line PPP1 Public Public Public •M&E PrivateWORKS (M&E) PrivatePRIVATE Private SECTOR PRIVATE SECTOR(BEM) (M&E) (M&E) Public (CW) Public (CW) Public (CW) PPP•OPERATION2 PRIVATE SECTORPrivate PrivatePRIVATE Private SECTORBlue Line Private (M&E) Private Private (BEM) (M&E) (M&E)

PPP3 Private Private Private Private Private Private BTS Private

CW = Civil Works, “M&E” includes Rolling Stock Chaloem Ratchamongkhon Line PPP Net Cost (25 YEAR : 2004 - 2029)

Project

Government Private sector Purple Line North Section Land Rolling Civil Work E&M Acquisition Stock

PPP Gross Cost (30 YEAR : 2013 - 2043) Investment Project

Government Private Sector

Operation Civil Work Trackwork Rolling Stock E&M O&M PPP Net Cost PPP Gross Cost

Project Project Fare & Commerc ilial Expenses Revenue Expenses Fare & Commercial Revenue

Government Private Sector Government Private Sector Share Revenue/ Remuneration profit

42 ƒ The Act on Private Participation in State Undertakings Act B.E. 2535 (1992) (has been repealed) ƒ Private Investments in State Undertakings Act B.E 2556 (2013) MRT Assessment Standardization (by ADB) Estimation of Value for Money, VFM VFM analysis : to determine investment option when account is taken of all risks and uncertainty, result in the Lowest Cost to government whereas Private Sector gets appropriate return over the concession period 1 Best estimate VFM Investment risk (M&E) 2 Optimism bias O&M risk

Revenue risk Senario

1 Best estimate Best estimate of project cost and passenger demand as estimated in current study

2 Optimism bias Potential for project cost to be higher and passenger demand to be lower than the Best estimate Allowances for Optimism Bias (% difference from the Best Estimate)

ƒ AtiAssumtion : ROE for Pri vat e 12.5% (Gross Ct)Cost) 13.5% (Net Cost) 12.75% (f(Modified Gross Cost ) Government Procurement Concessionaire Procurement NtNet CtCost Gross CtCost MdifidModified NtNet CtCost Gross CtCost MdifidModified concession concession Gross Cost concession concession Gross Cost concession concession Cost Capital Cost - M&E 45% 45% 45% 15% 15% 15% O&M Cost 20% 10% 10% 20% 10% 10% Passenger Operating Y1 -50% -55% -50% -50% -55% -50% Operating Y3 & after -30% -33% -30% -30% -33% -30%

46 Thank you 29 Feb 16

12 months