Coalitions and Political Order in Northern Côte D'ivoire

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Coalitions and Political Order in Northern Côte D'ivoire View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Concordia University Research Repository ‘Big-Men’ Coalitions and Political Order in Northern Côte d’Ivoire (2002-2013) Jeremy S. Speight A Thesis in The Department of Political Science Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements For the Degree of: Doctor of Philosophy (Political Science) at Concordia University Montréal. Quebec, Canada August 2015 © Jeremy Speight, 2015 CONCORDIA UNIVERSITY School of Graduate Studies This is to certify that the thesis prepared By: Jeremy S. Speight Entitled: ‘Big-Men’ Coalitions and Political Order in Northern Côte d’Ivoire (2002- 2013) and submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of: Doctor of Philosophy (Political Science) complies with the regulations of the University and meets the accepted standards with respect to originality and quality. Signed by the final Examining Committee: _________________________________Chair Dr. Effrosyni Diamantoudi _________________________________Examiner Dr. Leander Schneider _________________________________Examiner Dr. Michael Lipson _________________________________External to Program Dr. Kregg Hetherington _________________________________External Examiner Dr. Pierre Englebert _________________________________Supervisor Dr. Amy Poteete Approved by: ________________________________________ Chair of Department or Graduate Program Director _____________2015 __________________________________ Dean of Faculty ABSTRACT ‘Big-Men’ Coalitions and Political Order in Northern Côte d’Ivoire (2002-2013) Jeremy Speight, Ph.D Concordia University 2015 Civil war creates significant opportunities for the contestation of political authority. In Sub- Saharan Africa, rebels commonly use organized violence to challenge the authority of pre- conflict elites. Nonetheless, armed movements also ally with pre-conflict elite actors as a strategy for mobilizing popular support and maintaining political order. Contestation and cooperation between rebels and pre-conflict elites is possible because local communities are often comprised of multiple elite groups. What explains coalitional choices? Why do local leaders of armed movements ally with certain actors and not others? These questions are puzzling because local- level rebel leaders sometimes make counterintuitive coalitional choices that restrict their ability to establish and maintain social control. To explore the relationship between coalition-building and control, this study focuses on the political crisis and war-to-peace transition in Côte d’Ivoire (2002-2013). It compares three towns – Bouna, Korhogo and Ouangolodougou – that fell under the military control of the principal armed movement involved in the conflict, the Forces Nouvelles (FN). Despite being under the control of the same group, each of these cases demonstrated marked variation in the ability of the FN to politically control local populations. My argument is advanced in two steps. First, what explains patterns of coalition-building in rebel-held zones? I argue that coalition-building is shaped by pre-conflict brokerage relations. Brokers are those political actors that link local communities to the state. I argue that if elites function as brokers between local communities and the central state in the pre-conflict period, this limits their availability as potential allies for leaders of armed movements. Pre-conflict brokerage relations constrain the choice of potential local partners. Second and relatedly, this study explains levels of control established by armed movements that result from coalition- building. The wartime authority of armed movements can, in some cases, be met with stiff resistance from local actors. In others, the wartime political order imposed by armed movements is underwritten by broad support within local communities. I explain these differences by focusing on what I call ‘hierarchical configurations’. Hierarchical configurations describe the relative levels of social hierarchy of competing elite groups. I argue that the level of wartime control established by armed movements is a function of variation in hierarchical configurations because these differences influence the political clout of rebel allies relative to their broker counterparts (or those elites aligned with the state). In summary, pre-conflict brokerage relations influence the coalition-building strategies of armed groups. These coalition-building strategies shape levels of contestation and rebel control as a result of variation in local-level hierarchical configurations. iii Acknowledgements Writing and finishing a dissertation is a stark reminder that life’s accomplishments are rarely ever the result of the work of any one individual. In completing this dissertation, I have indebted myself to a great number of people. First, I would like to thank the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council (SSHRC) for funding received in 2010-2011. Without SSHRC’s support, fieldwork for this research project would not have been possible. At Concordia, I developed many debts that I hope one day will be repaid. My supervisor, Amy Poteete, has generously supported me throughout my doctoral studies. I will be forever grateful for her time, effort and commitment to this project. Her willingness to read and comment on a now unknowable number of draft chapters greatly contributed to the overall quality of the dissertation. She represents the kind of professional scholar worthy of emulation by any grad student. Leander Schneider has been invested in this project from its early days as well. He has been a constant source of encouragement during my time at Concordia. Michael Lipson became of committee member later on, but provided invaluable support and constructive criticism during the later stages of the writing the process. In a variety of different ways – from providing commentary on papers to casual chats in the hallways – many others at Concordia contributed to the completion of this project. I received constant support from Elizabeth Bloodgood, Graham Dodds, Peter Stoett, Daniel Douek, Tina Hilgers, Axel Huelsemeyer, Ara Karaboghossian, Jean- Francois Mayer, Norrin Ripson, Francesca Scala, Kimberly Manning, Marlene Sokolon, Peter Stoett and Arjun Trembley. Wednesday morning hockey with Patrik Marier was the ‘necessary distraction’ required for the completion of any dissertation project. The shared stresses of graduate school forged close friendships with other students, at Concordia and elsewhere. At Concordia, I could not have gotten through the program without the friendship of Renee St. Amant, Phillip Villard, Nika Deslauriers, Marek Brzezinski, Kerry Tannahill, Ali Halawi, Chris Bourne, Cherry Marshall, Hannah Ivanoff, Osman Shah, Kenneth Martin, Josh Libben, Jocelyn McGrandle, Dennis Molina, Matthew Flanagan, Alan Wong, Laura Khattab and Munir Katul. While at Concordia, Julie Blumer and Kathryn Rawlings kept my head on straight. Throughout my time at Concordia, I was privileged to be able to work closely with a number of graduate students at other universities, including Matthew I. Mitchell, Kathrin Heitz, Katrin Wittig and Maja Bovcon. David Hornsby remains one of my closest friends and cherished colleagues. He has been a constant source of support. During the last year of writing the dissertation, I was fortunate to be part of the Department of Political Science at Memorial University of Newfoundland. This last year was difficult both professionally and personally. I could not have gotten through the year without the many lunches, beers, squash games and support from Amanda Bittner, Russell Williams, Scott Matthews, Dimitri Panagos, Lucian Ashworth, Karlo Basta, Matthew LeRiche and Osvaldo Croci. I am indebted to a number of people in and outside of Côte d’Ivoire who made fieldwork possible. Lori-Anne Théroux-Bénoni spoke to me on several occasions, in Montréal and Côte d’Ivoire. She helped me with the details of the trip and for this I am grateful. Mohamed, Sekou, iv Ibrahima and Des assisted me in a countless number of ways during my stay in Côte d’Ivoire. I could not managed those seven months in Côte d’Ivoire without their help. So many other Ivoirians took time out of their schedules to meet and talk with me. This dissertation could not have been written without their willingness to share their stories and experiences with me. Melanie Ferrara, my talented sister-in-law, assisted me with the creation of the maps used in the dissertation. Finally, this project would not have been completed without the loving support of my dear wife Stephanie Ferrara. Writing and finishing this dissertation (even the acknowledgements!) has been much more emotional than I ever thought it would be, largely because this project was always part of the background to all the other things we have gone through over the last year. I hope its completion is part of the beginning of many happy years ahead. Thanks so much for your constant encouragement and willingness to put up with the absent-mindedness that comes from writing a dissertation. I always wanted to dedicate this dissertation to you, but I am sure you won’t mind if I dedicate it to our sweet daughter Ellie, who left us far too soon. v For Ellie vi Table of Contents PART I ............................................................................................................................................. 1 Chapter 1. Coalitions and Control: Political Authority in Violent Conflict ........................
Recommended publications
  • NEWS OTP Activities
    OTP Briefing Issue #144 1-15 July 2013 NEWS Pre-Trial Chamber II requests Nigeria to arrest Omar Al Bashir 15 July - Pre-Trial Chamber II requested the Federal Republic of Nigeria to immediately arrest Sudanese President Omar Al Bashir, on visit to Abuja (Nigeria) for an African Union summit on HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, and to surrender him to the ICC. The Sudanese President’s visit to Nigeria has raised a lot of criticism among rights groups. Human Rights Watch (HRW) called for Nigeria to prevent Bashir to attend the Abuja summit or to stop it if it went there, while the president of the Nigeria Coalition on the International Criminal Court, Chino Obiagwu, said that the Nigerian government “has violated its obligations under international law”. The Chamber recalled that, as signatories to the ICC, Nigeria and several other African countries are expected, under their treaty obligations, to actually arrest the Sudanese President if he sets foot on their soil. The Nigeria presidential spokesman Reuben Abati said "The Sudanese president came for an AU event and the AU has taken a position on the ICC arrest order, so Nigeria has not taken action different from the AU stand". Nevertheless, Nigeria’s Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, Prof. Viola Onwuliri, had briefed the Nigerian press that over 30 African Heads of State would be participating at the conference, stating that she was not reported to have specifically listed the names of the heads of state and presidents expected at the meeting, nor was she reported to have specifically mentioned the name of the controversial Sudanese president.
    [Show full text]
  • No. ICC-02/11-01/11-180-Red
    ICC-02/11-01/11-180-Red 16-07-2012 1/26 FB PT Cour Pénale // ^.^\ Internationale m) International ^%^s:^ Criminal Court Original: English No.: ICC-02/11-01/11 Date: 13 July 2012 PRE-TRIAL CHAMBER I Before: Judge Silvia Fernandez de Gurmendi, Single Judge SITUATION IN THE REPUBLIC OF COTE D'IVOIRE IN THE CASE OF THE PROSECUTOR V. LAURENT GBAGBO Public redacted version Decision on the "Requête de la Défense demandant la mise en liberté provisoire du président Gbagbo" No. ICC-02/11-01/11 1/26 13 July 2012 ICC-02/11-01/11-180-Red 16-07-2012 2/26 FB PT Decision to be notified, in accordance with regulation 31 of the Regulations of the Court, to: The Office of the Prosecutor Counsel for the Defence Fatou Bensouda, Prosecutor Emmanuel Altit Agathe Bahi Baroan Legal Representatives of the Victims Legal Representatives of the Applicants Unrepresented Victims Unrepresented Applicants for Participation/Reparation The Office of Public Counsel for The Office of Public Counsel for the Victims Defence Paolina Massidda States Representatives Amicus Curiae REGISTRY Registrar & Deputy Registrar Defence Support Section Silvana Arbia, Registrar Didier Preira, Deputy Registrar Victims and Witnesses Unit Detention Section Victims Participation and Reparations Other Section No. ICC-02/11.01/11 2/26 13 July 2012 ICC-02/11-01/11-180-Red 16-07-2012 3/26 FB PT Judge Silvia Fernandez de Gurmendi, Single Judge for Pre-Trial Chamber I ("Chamber"') of the International Criminal Court ("Court''), responsible for carrying out the functions of the Chamber in relation to the situation in the Republic of Côte d'Ivoire and the cases emanating therefrom,^ hereby renders the decision on the ''Requête de la Défense demandant la mise en liberté provisoire du Président Gbagbo'' ("Request for Interim Release").
    [Show full text]
  • Côte D'ivoire
    CÔTE D’IVOIRE COI Compilation August 2017 United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees Regional Representation for West Africa - RSD Unit UNHCR Côte d’Ivoire UNHCR Regional Representation for West Africa - RSD Unit UNHCR Côte d’Ivoire Côte d’Ivoire COI Compilation August 2017 This report collates country of origin information (COI) on Côte d’Ivoire up to 15 August 2017 on issues of relevance in refugee status determination for Ivorian nationals. The report is based on publicly available information, studies and commentaries. It is illustrative, but is neither exhaustive of information available in the public domain nor intended to be a general report on human-rights conditions. The report is not conclusive as to the merits of any individual refugee claim. All sources are cited and fully referenced. Users should refer to the full text of documents cited and assess the credibility, relevance and timeliness of source material with reference to the specific research concerns arising from individual applications. UNHCR Regional Representation for West Africa Immeuble FAALO Almadies, Route du King Fahd Palace Dakar, Senegal - BP 3125 Phone: +221 33 867 62 07 Kora.unhcr.org - www.unhcr.org Table of Contents List of Abbreviations .............................................................................................................. 4 1 General Information ....................................................................................................... 5 1.1 Historical background ............................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Country Risk Overview
    Côte d’IvoIre Country Risk Overview Côte d’Ivoire’s President Alassane Ouattara is expected to remain in power until 2020 when his two term limit expires. This provides a solid foundation for current investment prospects, which is particularly impressive against the backdrop of the 2010 political unrest. However, various factors developing in the run-up to the next elections have the potential to impact investment in the country. When Ouattara was inaugurated in 2011, his immediate mandate was to bring stability and a safer security environment following the electoral crisis resulting from the 2010 election. A close second was economic reform. Ouattara led major investments in infrastructure, education, health, transportation as well as Côte d’Ivoire’s restoration as the world’s leading producer of cocoa and cashew nuts. In October 2016, a new constitution was approved following a referendum which allowed the consolidation of executive power. A legislative election was held in December that year which saw the RDR-led ruling coalition retain power by securing 167 of the 255 seats. Ouattara used the successful election to reduce Côte d’Ivoire has the cabinet and appoint longstanding allies into key positions, as permitted by maintained steady the new constitution. Notably, Ouattara placed Daniel Kablan Duncan in the economic growth over newly formed Vice President role and Amadou Gon Coulibaly as Prime Minister. These appointees reinforce Ouattara’s strong control over the country, and the last 5 years and support his continued hold on power until the next election in three years. boasts strong agriculture, mining, oil and gas and Opportunities Côte d’Ivoire is an economic and transportation hub for French-speaking West infrastructure sectors.
    [Show full text]
  • RESOUND a Quarterly of the Archives of Traditional Music
    RESOUND A Quarterly of the Archives of Traditional Music Volume 25, Number 3/4 October/December 2006 Senufo Balafon Music by HugoZemp Part two~ continued from Resound VtJl 25~ No 1/2 same time [film 2]. We find here a simultaneity of different words analogous to the one between the Repertoires: Themes connected to circumstances solo balafonist and a singer during funerals and Other sets of circumstances during which collective labor. different types of ensembles of balafons perform As for the dance-music of the IJ 9 ~ r ~ have more specific repertoires. Of the 60 texts celebrating the end of the cycle of initiation into the translated in Marianne Lemaire's article, all without poro, the baba ('father' in Jula) , leader in Nganaoni, exception had to do with work and competition. maintained that the young .female dancers knew The author correctly saw that contrary to the songs only dance steps, but not the words of the balafons, made to accompany tamping down the earthen understood only by initiates [film 2]. Forster floors of houses, there was not "the same profound' (1984:32) published translations for three balafon interweaving of the music and the gestures of tunes (or flute tunes ?) from the IJ 9 ~ r ~, but he is working, nor the same inclination in the music an initiate. At any rate there are other words played to imitate the movements made while working" on musical instruments and linked to the poro (1999:56). In effect, each worker wields his hoe at rites that are secret: those beaten on the big drums his own rhythm, independently of the rhythm and at funerals, whose meaning is only known to the the tempo of the music, in contrast to what is found drummers, who receive special training regarding it in many other forms of collective work in Africa, in (Forster 1997:316, 361, 396).
    [Show full text]
  • Timeline 2011
    Timeline 2011 Date Title Summary European External 01 January Action Service The EEAS becomes operational with the transfer of 2011 enters into staff from the Commission and the Council. operation Following the self-immolation of a Tunisian street 04 January ‘Arab Spring’ vendor in December, protests in the 2011 begins country erupt, signalling the beginning of the ‘Arab Spring’. As a result of the 2005 Naivasha Agreement, a 09-15 South Sudan referendum on independence from Sudan is held in January 2011 referendum South Sudan. The referendum passes with 99 per cent of the voters in favour. Due to widespread violent protests, the Tunisian 14 January Tunisian regime government dissolves and President Zine El Abidine 2011 ousted Ben Ali is forced to leave the country, putting an end to his 23 years of authoritarian rule. 25 January Following the civil unrest in Tunisia, protests break Egypt protests 2011 out in Egypt. The Treaty on Measures for the Further Reduction 05 February New START enters and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms (New 2011 into force START) between Russia and the United States enters into force. Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak resigns as a 11 February Egypt power result of widespread protests, transferring power to 2011 transfer to military the military. 16 February Protests erupt in Libya and are violently suppressed Libya protests begin 2011 by the Gaddafi regime. The UN Security Council issues Resolution 1970, UN Security 26 February demanding an end to the violence in Libya and im- Council reacts to 2011 plementing travel bans, asset freezes and an arms Libya crisis embargo.
    [Show full text]
  • Report Name: Cotton and Products Annual
    Required Report: Required - Public Distribution Date: April 14,2020 Report Number: IV2020-0001 Report Name: Cotton and Products Annual Country: Cote d'Ivoire Post: Accra Report Category: Cotton and Products Prepared By: Daniel Archibald Approved By: Charles Rush Report Highlights: Post forecasts market year (MY) 2020/21 cotton fiber production at a record for a third consecutive year, at 1.0 million bales (480 lb.). The MY 2019/20 production estimate is lowered to 990,000 bales, albeit still a record, as current deliveries of seed cotton to ginning facilities come in just below early projections. Post’s MY 2020/21 export projection is just under 1.1 million bales, in anticipation of delays and spillover of MY 2019/20 exports due to COVID19-related challenges faced by downstream customers. Annual consumption remains low at 30,000 bales. THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT POLICY Production: Post projects MY 2020/21 cotton fiber production at a record 1.0 million bales (480 lb.), assuming normal conditions and based on continued national support for the sector’s growth. Despite the expectation of a temporary decline in global demand due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Government of Côte d’Ivoire’s (GOCI) continuation of support-pricing and an overall push towards greater agricultural productivity creates expectations for maintaining if not building upon recent productivity growth in the sector. For MY 2019/20, Post estimates cotton fiber production at 990,000 bales. Based on official seed cotton production and fiber yield statistics to date, this national fiber production estimate would also surpass the current record for production set just one year ago, and would place Côte d’Ivoire as the third-largest producer in Sub-Saharan Africa.
    [Show full text]
  • The Crisis in Côte D'ivoire Justin Vaïsse, the Brookings Institution
    THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION 1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20036-2188 Tel: 202-797-6000 Fax: 202-797-6004 Divi www.brookings.edu U.S.-FRANCE ANALYSIS SERIES March 2003 The Crisis in Côte d'Ivoire Justin Vaïsse, The Brookings Institution For nearly thirty years after its independence from France in 1960, Côte d'Ivoire presented a rare example of growth and stability in the often-troubled region of West Africa. Now, after fifteen years of economic downturn and three years of political turmoil, Côte d'Ivoire is in the midst of a full-fledged crisis. A new phase of the crisis began in September 2002 when a mutiny erupted in the administrative capital of Abidjan, while rebels in the north seized the cities of Bouaké and Korhogo. They eventually took control of the entire northern part of the country and have the potential, if unsatisfied by political progress, to someday march on Abidjan. (See map). France, the former colonial power, sent reinforcements for the 600 French troops already present in the country under a permanent defense agreement to help protect western African populations and to monitor a cease-fire between the rebels and the government. Center on the United For more briefs in the U.S.-France Analysis Series, see States and France http://www.brookings.edu/usfrance/analysis/index.htm In January 2003, the French government organized peace talks between the Ivorian government, the rebel groups and all political parties, resulting in the Marcoussis Agreements.1 These agreements call for a “reconciliation government” that would include rebels under the leadership of a new prime minister and for the settlement of long-standing issues including access to Ivorian nationality, rules of eligibility and land ownership.
    [Show full text]
  • Crystal Reports
    ELECTION DES DEPUTES A L'ASSEMBLEE NATIONALE SCRUTIN DU 06 MARS 2021 LISTE DEFINITIVE DES CANDIDATS PAR CIRCONSCRIPTION ELECTORALE Region : PORO Nombre de Sièges 163 - BORON, DIKODOUGOU ET GUIEMBE, COMMUNES ET SOUS-PREFECTURES 1 Dossier N° Date de dépôt COULEURS U-00665 21/01/2021 RASSEMBLEMENT DES HOUPHOUETISTES POUR LA DEMOCRATIE ET LA PAIX VERT ORANGE CONTROLEUR COMMISSAIRE DE T COULIBALY ISSA M GENERAL DES S SOULAMANE SAMAGASSI M POLICE RETRAITE DOUANES 163 - BORON, DIKODOUGOU ET GUIEMBE, COMMUNES ET SOUS-PREFECTURES Nombre de Sièges 164 - BOUGOU, KATOGO ET M'BENGUE, COMMUNES ET SOUS-PREFECTURES 1 Dossier N° Date de dépôt COULEURS U-00666 21/01/2021 RASSEMBLEMENT DES HOUPHOUETISTES POUR LA DEMOCRATIE ET LA PAIX VERT ORANGE ADMINISTRATEUR T COULIBALY ALI KADER M S SILUE N'GOLO M AGRICULTEUR SCES FINANCIERS 164 - BOUGOU, KATOGO ET M'BENGUE, COMMUNES ET SOUS-PREFECTURES Page 1 sur 9 T : TITULAIRE S : SUPPLEANT Nombre de Sièges 165 - KATIALI ET NIOFOIN, COMMUNES ET SOUS-PREFECTURES, N'GANON SOUS-PREFECTURE 1 Dossier N° Date de dépôt COULEURS U-00655 16/01/2021 INDEPENDANT BLANC BLEUE T SORO ZIE SAMUEL M ETUDIANT S MASSAFONHOUA SEKONGO M INSTITUTEUR Dossier N° Date de dépôt COULEURS U-00663 20/01/2021 INDEPENDANT VERT BLANC T SORO WANIGNON M INGENIEUR S SEKONGO ZANGA M AGENT DE POLICE Dossier N° Date de dépôt COULEURS U-00667 21/01/2021 RASSEMBLEMENT DES HOUPHOUETISTES POUR LA DEMOCRATIE ET LA PAIX VERT ORANGE INGENIEUR DES T SORO FOBEH M S KANA YEO M COMMERCANT TRANSPORTS 165 - KATIALI ET NIOFOIN, COMMUNES ET SOUS-PREFECTURES, N'GANON
    [Show full text]
  • The Family Economy and Agricultural Innovation in West Africa: Towards New Partnerships
    THE FAMILY ECONOMY AND AGRICULTURAL INNOVATION IN WEST AFRICA: TOWARDS NEW PARTNERSHIPS Overview An Initiative of the Sahel and West Africa Club (SWAC) Secretariat SAH/D(2005)550 March 2005 Le Seine Saint-Germain 4, Boulevard des Iles 92130 ISSY-LES-MOULINEAUX Tel. : +33 (0) 1 45 24 89 87 Fax : +33 (0) 1 45 24 90 31 http://www.oecd.org/sah Adresse postale : 2 rue André-Pascal 75775 Paris Cedex 16 Transformations de l’agriculture ouest-africaine Transformation of West African Agriculture 0 2 THE FAMILY ECONOMY AND AGRICULTURAL INNOVATION IN WEST AFRICA: TOWARDS NEW PARTNERSHIPS Overview SAH/D(2005)550 March, 2005 The principal authors of this report are: Dr. Jean Sibiri Zoundi, Regional Coordinator of the SWAC Secretariat Initiative on access to agricultural innovation, INERA Burkina Faso ([email protected]). Mr. Léonidas Hitimana, Agricultural Economist, Agricultural Transformation and Sustainable Development Unit, SWAC Secretariat ([email protected]) Mr. Karim Hussein, Head of the Agricultural Transformation and Sustainable Development Unit, SWAC Secretariat, and overall Coordinator of the Initiative ([email protected]) 3 ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS Headquarters AAGDS Accelerated Agricultural Growth Development Strategy Ghana ADB African Development Bank Tunisia ADF African Development Fund Tunisia ADOP Appui direct aux opérateurs privés (Direct Support for Private Sector Burkina Faso Operators) ADRK Association pour le développement de la région de Kaya (Association for the Burkina Faso (ADKR) Development of the
    [Show full text]
  • Côte D'ivoire Prime Minister's Passing Shakes up Electoral Outlook
    ASG Analysis: Côte d’Ivoire Prime Minister’s Passing Shakes Up Electoral Outlook July 10, 2020 Key Takeaways • Already expected to be contentious, Côte d’Ivoire’s October 2020 presidential elections became more uncertain following Wednesday’s unexpected death of Prime Minister Amadou Gon Coulibaly. • Ahead of the polls, analysts are concerned that an increasingly fragmented political field could lead to electoral violence reminiscent of Côte d’Ivoire’s previous unstable electoral periods and hamper economic recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. • Political jockeying has begun within the ruling party to replace Gon Coulibaly as the standard bearer and face off against likely opposition front runner Henri Konan Bédié. Ruling party stalwarts are calling on President Ouattara to run for a third term, and Minister of Defense Hamed Bakayoko as well as Vice President Daniel Kablan Duncan are also considered strong contenders for the candidacy. Prime Minister Amadou Gon Coulibaly’s sudden death upends Ivorian election Despite Covid-19, Cote d’Ivoire has remained steadfast in moving forward with plans to hold presidential elections in October 2020. Early in the electoral process, speculation over whether President Alassane Ouattara would attempt to stand for an unconstitutional third term was rampant. Last December, Ouattara declared his intention to participate in the elections should former Ivorian presidents and opposition members Laurent Gbagbo and Henri Bédié opt to run. International and local political pundits let out a collective sigh in relief this March when Ouattara announced that he would not seek reelection, helping to avoid a major constitutional crisis. But the sudden death of Prime Minister Amadou Gon Coulibaly on July 8 has reignited uncertainty over Ouattara’s candidacy and the election in general.
    [Show full text]
  • Côte D'ivoire Country Focus
    European Asylum Support Office Côte d’Ivoire Country Focus Country of Origin Information Report June 2019 SUPPORT IS OUR MISSION European Asylum Support Office Côte d’Ivoire Country Focus Country of Origin Information Report June 2019 More information on the European Union is available on the Internet (http://europa.eu). ISBN: 978-92-9476-993-0 doi: 10.2847/055205 © European Asylum Support Office (EASO) 2019 Reproduction is authorised, provided the source is acknowledged, unless otherwise stated. For third-party materials reproduced in this publication, reference is made to the copyrights statements of the respective third parties. Cover photo: © Mariam Dembélé, Abidjan (December 2016) CÔTE D’IVOIRE: COUNTRY FOCUS - EASO COUNTRY OF ORIGIN INFORMATION REPORT — 3 Acknowledgements EASO acknowledges as the co-drafters of this report: Italy, Ministry of the Interior, National Commission for the Right of Asylum, International and EU Affairs, COI unit Switzerland, State Secretariat for Migration (SEM), Division Analysis The following departments reviewed this report, together with EASO: France, Office Français de Protection des Réfugiés et Apatrides (OFPRA), Division de l'Information, de la Documentation et des Recherches (DIDR) Norway, Landinfo The Netherlands, Immigration and Naturalisation Service, Office for Country of Origin Information and Language Analysis (OCILA) Dr Marie Miran-Guyon, Lecturer at the École des Hautes Études en Sciences Sociales (EHESS), researcher, and author of numerous publications on the country reviewed this report. It must be noted that the review carried out by the mentioned departments, experts or organisations contributes to the overall quality of the report, but does not necessarily imply their formal endorsement of the final report, which is the full responsibility of EASO.
    [Show full text]