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Forecasting Tourists Arrivals at Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Park in Zimbabwe Using SARIMA Model
International Tourism and Hospitality Journal 1(2): 1-10 (2018) Print ISSN: 2616-518X Online ISSN: 2616-4701 RPA ITHJ Journals International Tourism and Hospitality Journal Journal Homepage: https://rpajournals.com/ithj Forecasting Tourists Arrivals at Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Park in Zimbabwe Using SARIMA Model Tendai Makoni*1, Delson Chikobvu2 Bongani Maphosa3 Great Zimbabwe University, Zimbabwe1,3 University of the Free State, South Africa2 Abstract Forecasting tourist arrivals and volatility for Chinhoyi Caves Recreational Parks using SARIMA-GARCH models are vital for decision and planning purposes. The monthly data from the Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority (ZIMPARKS) for the period January 2010 to December 2016 was used. The time series plot indicated mixed fluctuations in tourist arrivals and exhibited seasonality. The series became stationary after a logarithmic transformation and a seasonal difference. The Akaike Information Criteria (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion was used in selecting the best model and a SARIMA(1,0,1)(1,1,0)12 model fitted well to the data. The residuals of the model confirmed to all tests. Accuracy measures like the mean absolute error (MAE) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) supported the model and an out of sample for the next 24 months (2017 to 2018) were done. From the forecasts, an increase in tourist arrivals was noted. The results imply the need for enough accommodation facilities in and around the recreational centre. Keywords: Tourist arrivals, ARIMA models, SARIMA models, time series plot 1 *Corresponding author: Tendai Makoni ; Email: [email protected] Submission Date: 9 June 2018 Acceptance Date: 17 June 2018 Introduction Forecasting is a key tool for planning and decision-making in modern business organisations, according to Thoplan (2014). -
(Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) Order, 2020
Statutory Instrument 55 ofS.I. 2020. 55 of 2020 Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) [CAP. 23:02 Order, 2020 (No. 20) Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) “THIRTEENTH SCHEDULE Order, 2020 (No. 20) CUSTOMS DRY PORTS IT is hereby notifi ed that the Minister of Finance and Economic (a) Masvingo; Development has, in terms of sections 14 and 236 of the Customs (b) Bulawayo; and Excise Act [Chapter 23:02], made the following notice:— (c) Makuti; and 1. This notice may be cited as the Customs and Excise (Ports (d) Mutare. of Entry and Routes) (Amendment) Order, 2020 (No. 20). 2. Part I (Ports of Entry) of the Customs and Excise (Ports of Entry and Routes) Order, 2002, published in Statutory Instrument 14 of 2002, hereinafter called the Order, is amended as follows— (a) by the insertion of a new section 9A after section 9 to read as follows: “Customs dry ports 9A. (1) Customs dry ports are appointed at the places indicated in the Thirteenth Schedule for the collection of revenue, the report and clearance of goods imported or exported and matters incidental thereto and the general administration of the provisions of the Act. (2) The customs dry ports set up in terms of subsection (1) are also appointed as places where the Commissioner may establish bonded warehouses for the housing of uncleared goods. The bonded warehouses may be operated by persons authorised by the Commissioner in terms of the Act, and may store and also sell the bonded goods to the general public subject to the purchasers of the said goods paying the duty due and payable on the goods. -
Zimbabwe Rapid Response Drought 2015
Resident / Humanitarian Coordinator Report on the use of CERF funds RESIDENT / HUMANITARIAN COORDINATOR REPORT ON THE USE OF CERF FUNDS ZIMBABWE RAPID RESPONSE DROUGHT 2015 RESIDENT/HUMANITARIAN COORDINATOR Bishow Parajuli REPORTING PROCESS AND CONSULTATION SUMMARY a. Please indicate when the After Action Review (AAR) was conducted and who participated. The CERF After Action Review took place on 25 May 2016. The review brought together focal points from the following key sectors and agencies: Health and Nutrition: UNICEF and WHO, Agriculture: FAO, Food Security: WFP and WASH: UNICEF. Considering the importance of the lessons learnt element, some sectors which did not benefit from the funding did nevertheless participate in order to gain a better understanding of CERF priorities, requirements and implementation strategies. b. Please confirm that the Resident Coordinator and/or Humanitarian Coordinator (RC/HC) Report was discussed in the Humanitarian and/or UN Country Team and by cluster/sector coordinators as outlined in the guidelines. YES X NO Sector focal points were part of the CERF consultation from inception through to final reporting. In addition, a CERF update was a standing agenda item discussed during the monthly Humanitarian Country Team meetings. c. Was the final version of the RC/HC Report shared for review with in-country stakeholders as recommended in the guidelines (i.e. the CERF recipient agencies and their implementing partners, cluster/sector coordinators and members and relevant government counterparts)? YES X NO All -
Zimbabwean Government Gazette
A I SET ZIMBABWEAN GOVERNMENT GAZETTE Published by Authority Vol. LXXI, No. 44 2nd JULY. 1993 Price $2,50 i General Notice 384 of 1993. Zimbabwe United Passenger Company. ^^0/226/93. Permit: 15723. Motor-omnibus. Passenger-capacity: ROAD MOTOR TRANSPORTATION ACT [CHAPTER 262] Route 1: As d^ned in the agreonent between the holder and Applications in Connexion with Road Service Permits the Harare Municipality, approved by the Minister in terms of section 18 of the Road Motor Transportation Act [Chapter 262]. IN terms of subsection (4) of section 7 of the Road Motor Transportation Act [Chapter 262], notice is hereby given that Route 2:' Throu^out Zimbabwe. the applications detailed in the Sdiedule, for ue issue or Route 3: Harare - Darwendale - Banket - Chinhoyi - Aladta amendment of road service permits, have been received for the Compoimd - Sheckleton Mine - lions Den. consideration of the Controller of Road Motor Transportation. Condition: Any person wishing to object to any such application must Route 2: lodge with the Controller of Road Motor Transportation, (a) For private hire and for advertised or organized P.O. Box 8332, Causeway— tours, provided no stage carriage service is operated (a) a notice, in writing, of his intention to object, so as along any route. to reach the Controller’s ofiSce not later than the 23rd (b) No private Hire or any advertised or organized tour July, 1993; shall be operated under authority of this permit, (b) his objection and the grounds therefor, on form RAl.T. during ^e times for which a scheduled stage carriage 24, together with two copies tiiereof, so as to tetaxHa. -
Faculty of Arts Department of History And
FACULTY OF ARTS DEPARTMENT OF HISTORY AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES RESOURCE NATIONALISM AND LOCAL EMPOWERMENT, THE CASE OF ZVISHAVANE COMMUNITY SHARE OWNERSIP TRUST, 2012 TO 2017. By FAITH MAFUNGA R147013M SUPERVISOR: DR T. MASHINGAIDZE A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED TO THE HISTORY DEPARTMENT OF THE MIDLANDS STATE UNIVERSITY IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE BACHELOR OF ARTS IN HISTORY AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES HONOURS DEGREE. ZVISHAVANE, ZIMBABWE JUNE 2018 Declaration I, Faith Mafunga declare that this dissertation hereby submitted for the Bachelor of Arts Honors Degree in History and International Studies at Midlands State University is my own effort. Information from published and unpublished work from other authors have been acknowledged. …………………………. ……………………………… Student Date i Approval form The undersigned certify that they have supervised and recommended to Midlands State University the student FAITH MAFUNGA dissertation entitled RESOURCE NATIONALISM AND LOCAL EMPOWERMENT, THE CASEOF ZVISHAVANE COMMUNITY SHARE OWNERSIP TRUST, 2012 TO 2017. The dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the History and International Studies Department. …………………………. ……………………………… Supervisor Date …………………………… …………………………………. Chairperson Date …………………………. ……………………………………… External Examiner Date ii Dedication This piece of work is dedicated to my late father Mr. E.C Mafunga, my mother Mrs. E Mauto, my siblings Yvonne, Tanaka and Tafadzwa Mafunga. Thank you all for your constant love and support. God Bless you. iii Acknowledgements Utmost gratitude goes to God Almighty for he has been an unwavering source of strength throughout my academic years. I must pay tribute to my academic supervisor Doctor Mashingaidze who has given me supervision and motivation throughout this research. My exceptional gratefulness also goes to Mr. N.T Jinga the C.E.O of ZCSOT and the entire organization for helping me in crafting this dissertation. -
Process Monitoring and Evaluation II of Zimbabwe's Results
LEARNING FROM IMPLEMENTATION Process Monitoring and Evaluation II of Zimbabwe’s Results-Based Financing Project : The Case of M u t o k o , C h i r e d z i , N k a y i a n d Kariba Districts Research Team Irene Moyo (Qualitative Research Consultant) and Crecentia Gandidzanwa (Qualitative Research Consultant) World Bank Harare – Zimbabwe; Tafadzwa Tsikira (MPH Graduate Intern) and Thubelihle Mabhena (MPH Graduate Intern) College of Health Sciences – University of Zimbabwe Dr. Marjolein Dieleman (Mixed Methods Research Senior Technical Advisor) and Dr. Sumit Kane (Health Systems Research Technical Advisor) KIT – The Netherlands; Technical Guidance Dr. Patron Mafaune (Provincial Medical Director and MOHCC Designated Technical Advisor to PME II) World Bank Task Team Ronald Mutasa (Senior Health Specialist/Task Team Leader) Chenjerai Sisimayi (Health Specialist/Field Study Coordinator) Jed Friedman (Senior Economist) Ashis Das (Health Specialist) Leah Jones (Knowledge Management Specialist/Consultant) Ha Thi Nguyen (Senior Health Economist) CONTENTS 1. Introduction and Background .............................................................................. 1 1.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Background to Process Evaluation in RBF .............................................................. 1 1.2.1 PME Objectives ................................................................................................ 2 2. Methodology/Technical Approaches -
For Human Dignity
ZIMBABWE HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION For Human Dignity REPORT ON: APRIL 2020 i DISTRIBUTED BY VERITAS e-mail: [email protected]; website: www.veritaszim.net Veritas makes every effort to ensure the provision of reliable information, but cannot take legal responsibility for information supplied. NATIONAL INQUIRY REPORT NATIONAL INQUIRY REPORT ZIMBABWE HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION ZIMBABWE HUMAN RIGHTS COMMISSION For Human Dignity For Human Dignity TABLE OF CONTENTS FOREWORD .................................................................................................................................................. vii ACRONYMS.................................................................................................................................................... ix GLOSSARY OF TERMS .................................................................................................................................. xi PART A: INTRODUCTION TO THE NATIONAL INQUIRY PROCESS ................................................................ 1 CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Establishment of the National Inquiry and its Terms of Reference ....................................................... 2 1.2 Methodology ..................................................................................................................................... 3 CHAPTER 2: THE NATIONAL INQUIRY PROCESS ......................................................................................... -
High Frequency Monitoring Report Bulletin #21 | February 2019
Bulletin #21 • February 2019 • www.zrbf.co.zw The purpose of the ZRBF High Frequency Monitoring Bulletin is to avail real IN THIS REPORT time data and information on identified and agreed trigger indicators for Overall Results and Implications 2 the activation of the crisis modifier, performance monitoring, programming Implications and Actions related to Resilience and other decisions for the overall ZRBF adaptive programme management. Programming 4 Information presented in this bulletin is readily available in the HFM Online Status Update on Macro-Trigger Indicators 5 Database, accessible using this url Vegetation Condition Index 5 https://197.155.231.242/undp/ZRBF/HFMS/index.php Real-time water levels in major rivers 5 The bulletin contains official information for the month of January 2019 collected Summary of Broad Classification: Micro Trigger from various sources by ZRBF partners and analysed by ZRBF PMU. The High Indicators 5 Frequency Monitoring Bulletin is a product of collaboration between the ZRBF Detailed Micro Trigger Indicators Update 6 Partners and other government agencies. For questions and comments regarding National Media Monitoring for Early-Warning this bulletin, kindly get in touch withVhusomuzi Sithole (vhusomuzi.sithole@ Signals 10 undp.org), Alfios Mayoyo ([email protected]) or Rufael Fassil (rufael. Annex 1: Flood monitoring thresholds for water [email protected]). level in selected rivers 11 UNDP Zimbabwe, ZRBF Programme Management Unit Arundel Office Park, Block 9, Norfolk Rd, Mt. Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe, Phone: +263 4 338836-44 Page 2 | High Frequency Monitoring Report Bulletin #21 | February 2019 Overall Results and Implications Summary Classification Key Highlights According to the High Frequency Monitoring (HFM) classification, 15 districts were rated “Alert” and the remaining three did not report. -
Climate-Smart Agriculture Manual for Zimbabwe, Climate Technology Centre and Network, Denmark, 2017
Climate-Smart Agriculture supporting low carbon and climate resilient development Climat e-Smart A griculture Manual f or A griculture Educ The Climate Technology Centre and Network (CTCN) fosters technology transfer and deployment at the request of developing countries through three core services: technical assistance, capacity building and scaling up international collaboration. The Centre is the operational arm of the UNFCCC Technology Mechanism, it is hosted and managed by Email: [email protected] the United Nations Environment and the United Nations Industrial Development Organisation Web: www.ctc-n.org (UNIDO), and supported by more than 300 network partners around the world. ation in Zimbab CTCN Supported by: w e United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Climate-Smart Ministry of Agriculture, Mechanisation and Irrigation Development Department of Agriculture Education and Farmer Training Agriculture Manual Ngungunyana Building No. 1 Borrowdale Road for Agriculture Education in Zimbabwe Harare, Zimbabwe Tel: +263 (0) 4 797390 Email: [email protected] www.moa.gov.zw Ministry of Environment, Water and Climate 11th Floor, Kaguvi Building, Cnr S. V. Muzenda Street and Central Avenue, Harare, Zimbabwe Tel: +263-4-701681/3 e-mail: [email protected] website: www.climatechange.org.zw Climate-SmartClimate-SmartClimate-SmartClimate-Smart AAAgricultureAgriculturegriculturegriculture Manual ManualManual Manual for ffAororgriculturefor AA griculturegricultureAgriculture Educ EducEduc Educationationationation in Zimbab inin -
Rural District Planning in Zimbabwe: a Case Study
INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR ENVIRONMENT AND DEVELOPMENT Environmental Planning Issues No.23, December 2000 Local Strategic Planning and Sustainable Rural Livelihoods Rural District Planning in Zimbabwe: A Case Study By PlanAfric Bulawayo, Zimbabwe A Report to the UK Department for International Development (Research contract: R72510) PlanAfric Suite 416, 4th Floor, Treger House, 113 Jason Moyo Street PO Box FM 524, Famona, Bulawayo, Zimbabwe Tel/Fax: +263-9-66142; Email: [email protected] IIED 3 Endsleigh Street, London WC1H ODD Tel: +44-171-388-2117; Fax: +44-171-388-2826 Email: [email protected] Website: http://www.iied.org ISBN: 1 899825 76 2 NOTE This manuscript was completed in November 1999. It has not been possible to include any updates to the text to reflect any changes that might have occurred in terms of legislation, institutional arrangements and key issues. RURAL PLANNING REPORTS This report is one of a suite of four prepared for a study of rural planning experience globally, and published by IIED in its Environmental Planning Issues series: Botchie G. (2000) Rural District Planning in Ghana: A Case Study. Environmental Planning Issues No. 21, Internationa l Institute for Environment and Development, London Dalal-Clayton, D.B., Dent D.L. and Dubois O. (1999): Rural Planning in the Developing World with a Special Focus on Natural Resources: Lessons Learned and Potential Contributions to Sustainable Livelihoods: An Overview. Report to UK Department for International Development. Environmental Planning Issues No.20, IIED, London Khanya-mrc (2000) Rural planning in South Africa: A case study. A report prepared by Khanya – managing rural change, Bloemfontein. -
Zimbabwe National Dialogue Report on Findings
Leave No One Behind: Zimbabwe National Dialogue Report on Findings Please include the following: survey results, data charts, input from each of the marginalized groups, overall analysis, geographic analysis, and key policy asks or suggestions for decision makers as well as for other stakeholders to implement. Guiding questions: 1) Who are the groups and communities in your country that are being left behind? Zimbabwe has gone through economic, social and governance turbulences for a prolonged period of time during the era of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) 2000 to 2015. During this period the welfare of disenfranchised groups such as children, person with disabilities, the elderly, persons living with HIV and AIDS, women, youth and the rural community were deprived of the social services support, leading to further marginalizing. The poor performance of the economy saw the human development index worsen as the issues of health, education and life expectancy continued to deteriorate. Zimbabwe has remained in the low human development category, reaching its lowest in the recession period, 2000 to 2008, before marginally increasing under the recovery phase, 2009 to 2014. During this time, children drooped out of school and problem was worse for the girl child. Figure 1: Marginalized groups in Zimbabwe Source: NANGO survey 2016 for the Leave No One behind According to the survey, as shown in figure 1: Children were found to be the most vulnerable groups in the society, followed by persons with disabilities. These are the groups, which are left out the most in democratic processes. In addition, people with communicable diseases and women are also highly marginalized according to the survey results as shown. -
Jul 2 3 2019
Form 3-200-20 OMS Control No. 1018~93 Ellplra& 08131/2020 JUL 2 3 2019 Department of Interior U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Federal Fish and Wildlife Permit Application Form Type cl AciMly U.S. Fish aod Wildlle Service Division of Managemert Aulhority IMPORT OF SPORT-HUNTED TROPHIES under Appendix I of Branch of Permits, MS. IA 5276 Leesburg Pike the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Faus Church, VA 22041-3803 Species (CITES) and/or U.S. Endangered Species Act (ESA) 1-800-358-2104 or 703-358-2104 Complete Sections A or B, end C, D, end E of this eppllcetlon. U.S. edclross mey be required in Sedlon C, ,ee lnstructlon:s for details. lnttn.u::tlons on haw to make your appllc:atlon complete und help ■ voidunntteessary delaY9 .ire attached. Section A: Com in as an Individual t.l>.Fnl- 1.d.Sulb no. 3. .... P,,ndpol I. Pttmay C0'1lact n.,. c.a...-1a....- 7.L&-.-- SecUon C: AH a 1.a. CounrylP,ow,ce 11. Elkhart USA 2 c. Slate Z.d lip CDdell'ollll C:X:e 7.e. Caunfyfl',,,.,;,,... 21.Counlry Section D: All a llcants MUST com lete 1. Allach lhe nonrelundabl• appllc.illon proc"slng fH .r, \he lonn 0f • c:hec:I< or mDl'OY order payeble lo the U.S. FISH ANO WILDLIFE SERVICE In Ille amount of S100. Federal, Tri~ Slate, and local goverm,o<ll agendas, :ind lh0$0 acting on behd of auch aoe,,des. are exempl rrom the processing fee abch documenlalfcn of fH eXflr.1)1 !ilal11s 11S oull:ned In lnsll\ldlans 150 CFR 13 11(d)I 2.