Dentons 50 2020 Outlook an Excerpt from Dentons' US Policy Scan
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Dentons 50 2020 Outlook An excerpt from Dentons’ US Policy Scan Dentons 50 2020 Outlook • 1 ALABAMA Permanent Fund Dividend: The Governor ARKANSAS wants to restore the dividend that all Alaskans Republicans enjoy impressive supermajorities The General Assembly meets for its receive from oil and gas revenues to $3000. in both chambers of the Alabama Legislature abbreviated fiscal session in April 2020. The republican House and Senate forced the as well as control of the governorship. Governor to accept a $1600 payout as they Strains between Tea Partiers and Chamber Key issues in 2020 grappled with continued budget shortfalls. of Commerce Republicans occasionally Medicaid: It appears the work requirement complicate the policy-making process, but tied to the state’s Medicaid expansion Spending: After vetoing the legislature’s initial the divide was bridged last year when both program, Arkansas Works, will be struck budget, the Governor accepted restored chambers passed an increase in the gas tax down in federal court, which could prompt funding in several areas including childhood to invest in road and bridge infrastructure the conservative Arkansas General Assembly, learning, legal service and senior citizen improvements. the state legislature, to consider withdrawing programs. He also moderated on cuts to the funding from the program altogether. Key issues in 2020 University of Alaska system. Look for all of these programs to be subject to cuts again Prison and criminal justice reform: Possible special session: Republican in 2020. Leadership is expected to prioritize prison Governor Asa Hutchinson may call a special and criminal justice reform to reduce cost session of the legislature to address vaping ARIZONA and address federal lawsuits against the state and hate crimes, but only if he has the votes alleging overcrowded conditions and subpar The 2020 legislative session will likely be to pass the bills. social services in state prison facilities. highly contentious because for the first time in decades Republicans are seriously Highway funding: A highway funding ballot Small cell vs. 5G: Legislators may preempt concerned about losing their majority. initiative has the support of the Governor, local government regulation of small the state Chamber of Commerce and several cell infrastructure in favor of a statewide Key issues in 2020 trade organizations. The initiative would make permanent a half-cent sales tax for highways, framework for 5G systems, setting up a Education funding: Republican lawmakers confrontation with cities and counties as well are discussing bills to increase K-12 funding which is projected to raise $205 million per as the cable industry. in order to fend off a possible initiative year for highways and $43 million per year for campaign that would take the issue away cities and counties. Medical cannabis: The Alabama Medical from the Legislature. Marijuana Study Commission will soon CALIFORNIA decide whether to send recommended Criminal justice reform: A bipartisan study California expects a busy legislative year legislation to the Legislature in 2020. A committee led by Republican Representative in 2020. The state’s economy continues draft bill circulated in November contained Walt Blackman last year released a consensus to perform above the national average stipulations for licensing dispensaries, set of policy suggestions for reforming and Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom advertisement of the drug, a statewide the criminal justice system. Republican projects a $7 billion surplus in the next seed-to-sale tracking system, and other Governor Doug Ducey is also a fan. A good budget year. regulatory measures. combination for action in 2020. Key issues in 2020 Gaming: Efforts to create a state lottery Tax reform and cuts: Tax reform and tax cuts Housing: Look for legislation limiting local bogged down after lawmakers disagreed on are perennial favorites of GOP lawmakers, but government’s zoning authority and requiring where the revenue would go, but it is likely they may get added interest if it appears that more multifamily housing to be built near that lottery legislation will re-emerge in 2020, Republicans could lose the majority in either transportation hubs. along with proposals from the Poarch Band the state Senate or House of Representatives. of Creek Indians to expand from electronic Disaster preparedness: Wildfires have School safety: School safety is expected to bingo into broader table games. caused significant loss of life and property remain a priority for Governor Ducey, who in California over the past couple years ALASKA has been unsuccessful in passing major prompting the state to continue to invest legislation to this point. The legislative session opens January 14 in forest management practices while also after a contentious budget year which saw looking for electricity providers to modernize Legalizing cannabis for adult use: major cuts to higher education and reduced Legalizing recreational cannabis will likely transmission systems. Insurance companies spending in nearly all major programs. be back on the ballot in 2020 after a 2016 may also receive attention due to the high number of home and business owners who Key issues in 2020 initiative to legalize adult use failed with 48.7 percent of the vote. can no longer obtain property insurance. Taxation: Bills proposing significant tax increases on the oil and gas industry persist as lower than expected oil prices reduce tax revenues from this dominant industry. 2 • Dentons 50 2020 Outlook Homelessness: The state has provided more would require employers and employees to K-12 education funding: Last year the than $500 million to local governments in pay into a state fund to support 12 weeks of legislature passed the Governor’s request an effort to address homelessness and is paid family leave for pregnancies, infant or to establish free full-day kindergarten. Now expected to focus next on mental health in sick relative care, or recovery from illness. they have to pay for it while also addressing an effort to ease the crisis. Disagreements include the definition of the Governor’s new proposal to provide “familial relationship,” set length of paid leave, free preschool. Climate change: California and the Trump and payment responsibilities. The actuarial administration are locked in a number of cost is estimated to be between $1 billion CONNECTICUT legal and policy battles relating to climate and $2.2 billion. The 2020 legislative session will be a “short change. The State Legislature will continue session,” beginning in February and wrapping its efforts toward a zero-emission economy, Public health insurance option: In an up in May. including the likely passage of the most attempt to bring down health insurance comprehensive legislation in the country prices, the legislature plans to introduce a Key issues in 2020 regulating single-use packaging. public insurance option. The option would Transportation infrastructure: Democratic only apply to the individual market for health Governor Ned Lamont’s top priority is to Water needs: Water quality and quantity coverage and would set caps on how much shore up revenue to make investments in the issues will remain a top regulatory priority. hospitals can charge for treating people, state’s aging highways and bridges. Tolling The state has committed to negotiating require hospitals to participate, and require trucks and leveraging low-interest federal voluntary agreements with water users insurance companies of certain size to offer loans are considered two crucial elements and environmental interests to balance the state-option plans. needs of nature with those of agriculture, of the plan. business and communities. Additionally, Transportation funding: Look for several STATE HOUSE ELECTIONS Vaccines: The battle over state-mandated the implementation of the Sustainable ballot initiatives to try and address funding vaccination requirements for children is Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) will for transportation and infrastructure expected to come to a head this session, start impacting communities and business maintenance and improvements across the as Democratic leaders push for stricter interests throughout the state. state. The Tax Payers Bill of Rights (TABOR) vaccination requirements. prohibits the legislature from raising a COLORADO tax without a popular vote approving the Gaming: Stakeholders on all sides are The Colorado General Assembly will be in increase. It is likely that a new, indexed fee expected to mount another push to expand session from January through May. on gasoline and a streamlined process gaming in the state. Proposals are likely for approving a Regional Transportation to include legalized sports betting, online Key issues in 2020 Authority (RTA) to allow local communities gaming, and a new casino in Bridgeport. Family Medical Leave Insurance (FAMLI) to fund their own infrastructure projects program: This will be the sixth attempt by will be proposed. Cannabis: Advocates for legalization and the legislature to pass the FAMLI bill, which taxation of recreational cannabis plan to mount an aggressive lobbying effort to pass STATE HOUSESTATE HOUSE ELECTIONS ELECTIONS Democratic trifecta Republican trifecta Divided government O icially non-partisan legislature Democratic trifecta Republican trifecta Dentons 50 2020 Outlook • 3 Divided government O icially non-partisan legislature enabling legislation this session. Legislative Elections: The Governor recommends $6.6 the group,