Central African Republic, Israel/Palestine, Macedonia, Republic of Congo, South China Sea, Turkey
No. 147 1 November 2015 October 2015 – Trends Deteriorated situations Central African Republic, Israel/Palestine, Macedonia, Republic of Congo, South China Sea, Turkey Improved situations Iran November 2015 – Watchlist Conflict risk alerts Turkey d Conflict resolution opportunities CrisisWatch summarises developments during the previous month in some 70 situations of current or potential conflict, listed alphabetically by region, providing references and links to more detailed sources. It assesses whether the overall situation in each case has, during the previous month, significantly deteriorated, significantly improved, or on balance re- mained more or less unchanged. It identifies situations where, in the coming month, there is a risk of new or significantly escalated conflict, or a conflict resolution opportunity (noting that in some instances there may be both). It also summarises Crisis Group’s reports and briefing papers published the previous month. Arrows and alerts: Up, down and side arrows signify, respectively, improved, deteriorated or unchanged situations. Con- flict Risk Alerts (identified with bombs) or Conflict Resolution Opportunities (with doves) are used in addition to arrows: a bomb signifies a risk of escalated violence; a dove an opportunity to advance peace. Both bombs and doves tend to be used where events are moving fast. Global Trends and Opportunities – October 2015 As armed conflicts in Afghanistan, Iraq, Nigeria, South Sudan, Syria, Yemen, and elsewhere continued to inflict much suffering and instability around the world, the heads of the UN and International Committee of the Red Cross issued an unprece- dented joint warning about the impact of today’s conflicts on civilians and called on states to redouble their efforts to find sustainable solutions to conflicts.
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