Regional Overview Wellington

Regional overview Wellington

Purchasing intentions - additional income-related rent subsidy (IRRS) places

Number of bedrooms

Area 1 2 3 4+ TOTAL

Wellington (Wgtn City, Upper and Lower Hutt, Porirua City) 315 55 60 5 435

Kapiti Coast District 10 5 5 0 20

Masterton District 0 0 0 0 0

Carterton district 0 0 0 0 0

South Wairarapa District 0 0 0 0 0

Wellington total 325 60 65 5 455 7 8 9 10 11 Purchasing intentions - change within the base of existing IRRS places

IRRS places Change within the base, by number of bedrooms Area as at 30 Sept 2016 1 2 3 4+

Wellington (Wgtn City, Upper and Lower Hutt, Porirua City) 7,546 Increase Increase Maintain Maintain

Kapiti Coast District 203 Increase Increase Increase Decrease

Masterton District - Maintain Maintain Maintain Maintain

Carterton district Maintain Maintain Maintain Maintain

South Wairarapa District - Maintain Maintain Maintain Maintain

Wellington total 7,749 2 3 4 5 Social housing register - trend over the last two years by TLA

300 Dec-2014 259 Mar-2015 250 Jun-2015 199 Sep-2015 200 Dec-2015 154 Mar-2016 150 Jun-2016 100 Sep-2016

39 50 30 0 0 0

Porirua City Porirua

Wellington City Wellington

Upper Hutt City Hutt Upper

Lower Hutt City Hutt Lower

Carterton district Carterton

Masterton District Masterton

Kapiti Coast District Coast Kapiti South Wairarapa District Wairarapa South

* The number shown is the number on the register as at 30 September 2016. * Where there are 5 people or fewer on the register in a TLA, this will be appear as zero in the graph. * Source: Ministry of Social Development. (2016). Social housing register. Retrieved from: http://housing.msd.govt.nz/information-for-housing- providers/register/index.html Demand in Wellington

800 Social housing register 681 Priority suppressed 700 Priority B by priority level - trend 600 527 for the region 445 500 410 383 376 398 * Source: Ministry of Social 400 349 343 347 Development. (2016). Social housing 300 register. Retrieved from: http://housing.msd.govt.nz/informati 200 on-for-housing- providers/register/index.html 100

Number of people on the register the on people of Number

Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16

Mar-16 Mar-15

Dec-15 Dec-14

Sep-15 Sep-14 Sep-16 Social housing register as at end of month

Percentage change on 100% total number of people on the register in 50% 29% previous quarter - trend 18% 15% 12% for the region 7% 1% 0% -2% * Source: Ministry of Social -8% -7% Development. (2016). Social housing register. Retrieved from: -50%

http://housing.msd.govt.nz/informati previous quarter previous on-for-housing-

providers/register/index.html -100%

of people on the register on the the on register the on people of

Percentage change of total number number total of change Percentage

Jun-15 Jun-16

Mar-15 Mar-16

Dec-15 Dec-14

Sep-14 Sep-15 Sep-16 Social housing register as at end of month

Types of houses 350 Dec-14 Mar-15 required by people on 293 300 Jun-15 the register - trend for Sep-15 Dec-15 234 the region 250 Mar-16 * Where there are 5 people or fewer Jun-16 Sep-16 on the register in a TLA, this will be 200 appear as zero in the graph. * Source: Ministry of Social 150 Development. (2016). Social housing 105 register. Retrieved from: 100 http://housing.msd.govt.nz/informati on-for-housing- providers/register/index.html 50

Number of people on the register the on people of Number 11 6 0 1 2 3 4 5+ Number of bedrooms required 100% 2018 Population projections - 80% 2023 percentage increase on 60% 2028 2033 40%

2013 base, by TLA 2038

20% 2043 * Projected percentage increase 0% in total population on 2013 base -20% (medium projection), for TLAs in projection) -40% the region. * Source: Statistics New

Zealand. medium population, (total

Percentage change on 2013 base 2013on change Percentage

Porirua City Porirua

Wellington City Wellington

Upper Hutt City Hutt Upper

Lower City HuttLower

Carterton district

Masterton District Masterton Kapiti Coast Coast District Kapiti

TLA South Wairarapa District Wairarapa South Private market supply in Wellington

$600 Weekly rental - trend of Lower quartile Geometric mean absolute values $500 Upper quartile

* Weekly rent, based on new bonds $400 lodged each month. * Data relates to all rentals, not just social housing. $300 * Source: Ministry of Business,

Innovation and Employment. (2016). rent Weekly $200 Rental bond data. Retrieved from: http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info- $100 services/housing-property/sector- information-and-statistics/rental- $0

bond-data

Jul-15 Jul-16

Jan-15 Jan-16

Oct-14 Oct-15 Oct-16

Jun-15 Jun-16

Apr-16 Apr-15

Feb-15 Feb-16

Mar-15 Mar-16

Dec-15 Dec-14

Sep-15 Sep-16

Aug-16 Aug-15

Nov-14 Nov-15

May-15 May-16 Month

9% Weekly rental - Lower quartile percentage change on 8% Geometric mean Upper quartile same month in previous 7% year 6% 5% * Graph shows percentage change on 4% same month in previous year. * Weekly rent, based on new bonds 3% lodged each month. 2% * Data relates to all rentals, not just social housing. year previous in 1% * Source: Ministry of Business, 0% Innovation and Employment. (2016). Rental bond data. Retrieved from:

http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info- month same on change Percentage

Jul-2015 Jul-2016

Jan-2015 Jan-2016

Oct-2014 Oct-2015 Oct-2016

Jun-2015 Jun-2016

Apr-2015 Apr-2016

Feb-2015 Feb-2016

Mar-2015 Mar-2016

Dec-2014 Dec-2015

Sep-2015 Sep-2016

Aug-2015 Aug-2016 Nov-2015

services/housing-property/sector- Nov-2014

May-2016 May-2015 information-and-statistics/rental- Month bond-data

Bonds lodged in 70% previous 12 months as 65% percentage of active

bonds 60%

* Data relates to all rentals, not just 55% social housing. * Source: Ministry of Business, bonds 50% Innovation and Employment. (2016). Rental bond data. Retrieved from: 45% http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info- services/housing-property/sector-

information-and-statistics/rental- 12 inprevious lodged Bonds 40% months as percentage of active active of percentage as months

bond-data

Jul-2014 Jul-2016 Jul-2015

Jan-2014 Jan-2016 Jan-2015

Oct-2013 Oct-2014 Oct-2015 Oct-2016

Jun-2014 Jun-2015 Jun-2016

Apr-2014 Apr-2015 Apr-2016

Feb-2014 Feb-2015 Feb-2016

Mar-2014 Mar-2015 Mar-2016

Dec-2013 Dec-2014 Dec-2015

Sep-2014 Sep-2015 Sep-2016

Aug-2014 Aug-2015 Aug-2016

Nov-2013 Nov-2014 Nov-2015

May-2014 May-2015 May-2016 Month

2,500 Sep-2014 QV Quarterly House Dec-2014 Price Index for TLAs in 2,000 Mar-2015 Jun-2015 this region 1,500 Sep-2015 Dec-2015 Mar-2016 1,000 * Data relates to all dwellings Jun-2016 (houses, flats, apartments etc). * Data for Auckland is reported by 500 QV for the TLA, and then broken down under the former council 0 structure. * Source: Quotable Value. (2016). Residential House Price Index.

Retrieved from: Porirua City Porirua https://www.qv.co.nz/resources/re District

sidential-house-price-index City Wellington

Upper Hutt City Hutt Upper

Lower Hutt City Hutt Lower

South Wairarapa South

Carterton district Carterton

Masterton District Masterton Kapiti Coast District Coast Kapiti Social market supply in Wellington

3,500 Current IRRS places by 3,114 TLA 3,000 2,500 2,342 * Data covers IRRS places provided by CHPs and HNZ, as at 30 2,000 1,719 September 2016. 1,500 * Data provided by MSD.

IRRS places IRRS 1,000 371 500 203 0 0 0

Porirua City Porirua

Wellington Wellington City

Upper Hutt City Hutt Upper

Lower Hutt City Hutt Lower

Carterton district Carterton

Masterton District Masterton

Kapiti Coast District Coast Kapiti South Wairarapa DistrictSouthWairarapa TLA

3,500 Current IRRS places in 3,162 3,171 Wellington - by number 3,000 of bedrooms 2,500

* Data covers IRRS places provided 2,000 by CHPs and HNZ, as at 30 September 2016. 1,500 * Where there are 5 or fewer tenancies, this will appear as 0 in the 1,000 794 graph. 501 * Data provided by MSD. 500 97 0 1 2 3 4 5+ Number of bedrooms Current IRRS places by TLA and number of Number of bedrooms bedrooms 1 2 3 4 5+ * Data covers IRRS places provided Wellington City 300 859 500 51 9 by CHPs and HNZ, as at 30 Lower Hutt City September 2016. 384 1,593 962 143 32 * Where there are 5 or fewer Upper Hutt City - 113 205 35 - tenancies, this will appear as an Porirua City 98 487 1,429 272 56 empty cell in the table. Kapiti Coast District * Data provided by MSD. 12 110 75 - - Masterton District - - - - - Carterton district South Wairarapa District - - - - - 0 0

Overview of base, pipeline, and purchasing intentions for IRRS places for Wellington

* Base - refers to current number of Wellington 7,749 0 455 IRRS places as at 30 Sept 2016. * CHP pipeline - refers to places that are either contracted or that MSD Housing Contracts team believes has a high certainty of eventuating. * Purchasing intentions - refers to the total number of additional IRRS places signalled in the 2016 update to the Purchasing Strategy for IRRS - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 places. Base Pipeline Purchasing intentions Weekly rent in Wellington

Social housing (IRRS places)

Average total rent by $800 1 bedroom TLA and number of 2 bedroom bedrooms $700 3 bedroom 4 bedroom * Data refers to the total rent - this is $600 5+ bedroom the sum of: - the income-related rent (IRR) $500 paid by the tenant; and - the income-related rent subsidy (IRRS) paid by MSD. $400 * Data covers IRRS places provided by CHPs and HNZ, as at 30 $300 September 2016. * Where there is no data for a $200

specific TLA or number of bedrooms,

this means that:

$100

- - -

------

- either: there are no IRRS -

$ $ $

$690 $690 $394 $494 $494 $468 $450

$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

$278 $278 $355 $409 $473 $193 $284 $334 $395 $169 $245 $345 $437 $199 $277 $306 $350 $200 $270 $296 $337 $223 $265 $285

tenancies; - or: there fewer than 5 $- tenancies.

* Data provided by MSD.

Porirua City Porirua

Wellington City Wellington

Upper Hutt City Hutt Upper

Lower Hutt City Hutt Lower

Carterton district Carterton

Masterton District Masterton

Kapiti Coast District Coast Kapiti South Wairarapa District Wairarapa South

TLAs 1 2 3 4 5 MSD weekly maximum market rents for TLAs Wellington City $350 $450 $550 $650 $750 in this region Lower Hutt City $275 $350 $425 $500 $575

* Source: Ministry of Social Development. (2016) Purchasing Upper Hutt City $275 $350 $425 $500 $575 Strategy for IRRS Places. Porirua City $275 $350 $425 $500 $575

Kapiti Coast District $275 $350 $425 $500 $575

Masterton District $250 $300 $350 $400 $450

Carterton district $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 South Wairarapa $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 District 0

All rentals

TLAs Lower quartile Geometric mean Upper quartile Weekly rental for TLAs in this region, as at Oct Wellington City $293 $397 $538 2016 Lower Hutt City $266 $343 $443

* Source: Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment. (2016). Upper Hutt City $244 $305 $382 Rental bond data. Retrieved from: http://www.mbie.govt.nz/info- Porirua City $342 $403 $474 services/housing-property/sector- information-and-statistics/rental- Kapiti Coast District $320 $376 $441 bond-data Masterton District $223 $261 $304

Carterton district $230 $270 $318 South Wairarapa $259 $288 $319 District 0