May 2018 Forecast.Indd
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May 2018 Monthly Forecast 1 Overview Overview 1 In Hindsight: The Security Council’s Interaction with the Poland will hold the presidency of the Council force of the Group of Five for the Sahel. High Commissioner for in May. An open debate on the Council’s role The annual briefing by force commanders Human Rights in upholding international law is planned, to be will be by the commanders of three peacekeep- 2 Status Update since our chaired by the country’s President Andrzej Duda, ing operations in Africa: MINUSMA, UNAMID April Forecast with Secretary-General António Guterres expect- and UNMISS. 4 Syria ed to brief. A ministerial-level open debate on the The Council will continue to follow closely the 6 Bosnia and protection of civilians in armed conflict is also events in Syria and will receive the three monthly Herzegovina expected, with Polish Minister for Foreign Affairs briefings on political and humanitarian devel- 8 South Sudan Jacek Czaputowicz presiding and briefers includ- opments and the use of chemical weapons. Also ing Guterres and Director-General of the ICRC with regards to the Middle East, in addition to the 9 Sudan/South Sudan Yves Daccord. monthly briefing and consultations on Israel/Pal- 10 Libya The Council is due to renew the mandate of estine, the Council will hear briefings on Lebanon 11 Peacekeeping UNISFA in Abyei and AMISOM in Somalia, as and on the work of UNAMI in Iraq. 12 Sudan (Darfur) well as renew the 2206 South Sudan sanctions Two European issues will be considered in regime and the mandate of the 2206 South Sudan May: Kosovo, through the quarterly briefing, and 13 Kosovo Sanctions Committee’s Panel of Experts. Bosnia and Herzegovina, through the biannual 15 Lebanon Other African issues that will be considered debate. 16 Somalia include: Also in May, the Council will hold an infor- 17 Counter-Terrorism • Burundi, with a focus on the political situation; mal meeting with the EU Political and Security 18 Guinea-Bissau • Guinea-Bissau, an update on the work of Committee. UNIOGBIS; On Asia, the Council will receive a briefing on 20 Rule of Law • Libya, briefings by ICC Prosecutor, by the its visiting mission to Bangladesh and Myanmar 21 Protection of Civilians chair of the 1970 Libya Sanctions Commit- and will be briefed in consultations on the work of 22 G5 Sahel Joint Force tee, and on UNSMIL by its head; the 1718 DPRK Sanctions Committee. 24 Burundi • Somalia, a briefing on UNSOM; The annual briefing by the chairs of the 25 Iraq • South Sudan, with a briefing on UNMISS and three counter-terrorism subsidiary bodies is also on the work of the 2206 South Sudan Sanc- expected. 27 DPRK (North Korea) tions Committee; There will also likely be two Arria-formula • Sudan, a briefing on UNAMID; and meetings: on children and armed conflict and on • Sahel, a briefing on the activities of the joint the 2000 Arusha Accord on Burundi. In Hindsight: The Security Council’s Interaction with the High Commissioner for Human Rights In March, an event took place that has raised a March 2011. Members gathered in the chamber 27 April 2018 number of questions about the relationship of the on the afternoon of 19 March to receive the brief- This report is available online at securitycouncilreport.org. Security Council with the High Commissioner for ing, but Russia objected to holding the meeting Human Rights. Seven Security Council members and asked for a procedural vote on the adoption For daily insights by SCR on evolving Security Council actions please requested a briefing by the High Commissioner on of the agenda (each formal Council meeting starts subscribe to our “What’s In Blue” the human rights situation in Syria in what would with the adoption of its agenda, but this is done by series at whatsinblue.org or follow @SCRtweets on Twitter. have been only the second public briefing focused acclamation and unanticipated calls for a vote are specifically on the human rights situation in Syria extremely rare). The agenda failed to receive the since the beginning of the country’s civil war in nine positive votes needed for a procedural decision Security Council Report Monthly Forecast May 2018 securitycouncilreport.org 1 In Hindsight: The Security Council’s Interaction with the High Commissioner for Human Rights to be adopted (Bolivia, China, Kazakhstan and the usefulness of receiving information and members’ reluctance to involve the High Russia voted against and Côte d’Ivoire, Equa- analysis from the High Commissioner, and Commissioner in Council discussions at the torial Guinea and Ethiopia abstained). As a had come to accept that an understanding end of the previous decade. Austria was to result, the formal meeting was called off and of the human rights situation was relevant hold the presidency of the Council in Novem- High Commissioner Zeid bin Ra’ad al-Husse- to reaching political settlements of the vari- ber 2009 when a regular debate on the protec- in briefed later that afternoon under the infor- ous conflicts on the Council’s agenda. Each tion of civilians in armed conflict was sched- mal Arria format. of the permanent members sought a High uled. Although at that point, the practice of This was a surprising outcome because ever Commissioner’s briefing at some point dur- inviting the High Commissioner as one of the since the then-High Commissioner for Human ing this period. briefers in these debates had been dropped, Rights Mary Robinson addressed the Security In addition to the practice of regularly inter- the Austrian Permanent Representative Council on 16 September 1999, the Council acting with the High Commissioner and his decided to extend an invitation to then-High has sought the High Commissioner’s advice or her top advisors that has been established Commissioner Navi Pillay to brief. Through on multiple occasions. Robinson spoke during for nearly 20 years, the Security Council high- extensive prior consultations with other mem- an open debate on the protection of civilians lighted the value of such briefings in the unani- bers of the Council, he secured their consent. in armed conflict and covered human rights mously adopted resolution 2171 of 21 August When the next regular debate on the protec- violations related to several situations on the 2014. In an operative paragraph, the resolution tion of civilians was to be held in July 2010, Council’s agenda at the time, including Angola, states that the Council “[r]ecognizes the impor- Austria conducted informal consultations East Timor and Sierra Leone. tant role the Office of the United Nations High with other members of the Council and again That first meeting would not have hap- Commissioner for Human Rights…can play in obtained their agreement. Agreeing to invite pened without the advocacy of various actors, conflict prevention”, adding that briefings on the High Commissioner to the November including several members of the Council, human rights violations play a role in contrib- 2010 debate proved much easier, with Austria human rights organisations, and, most of all, uting to early awareness of potential conflict. again acting as the lead advocate and securing Secretary-General Kofi Annan. Over the next Although the Council has formally recog- consent. From that point on, inviting the High several years, the High Commissioner (or the nised the usefulness of having input from and Commissioner became a regular practice, and Deputy or Acting High Commissioner) was dialogue with the High Commissioner for for the next several years, the High Commis- invited to meet with the Council either in a Human Rights, accepting the value of human sioner was always among the briefers during formal meeting or in consultations on several rights input and of interaction with the top UN these debates. The open debate on the pro- occasions. In 2001, the UK organised an out- human rights officials has not always been uni- tection of civilians became a platform for the of-town retreat focused on the Security Coun- versal and occasionally needed some concerted High Commissioner to brief on a number of cil and human rights with the participation of diplomatic work. As the Council found earlier issues considered by his or her office as most the High Commissioner. this year, the willingness to hear out this actor urgent in the context of international peace While a regular feature since 1999, the is not something that can be taken for granted. and security. More recently, however, the practice of interacting with the top human The history of this relationship perhaps offers different presidencies holding this thematic rights official has experienced ups and downs some lessons learnt. open debate have chosen to focus the debates in terms of frequency and the ease with which The Council as a whole took more than on aspects of protection other than human different meetings have been arranged. From five years to accept the usefulness of hearing a rights, and the High Commissioner has not 2006 through 2008, there was only one meet- briefing from the High Commissioner in one been among the invited briefers. ing. During that period, different Council of its open debates. From April 1994 when Whether as part of an open debate or as a members suggested hearing from the High the first High Commissioner, José Ayala Lasso, briefing on a single topic, there are likely to be Commissioner on various occasions, but took office until the first briefing in September some members of the Council who will con- they encountered considerable resistance 1999, several Council members as well as UN tinue to see the usefulness in receiving human from their counterparts and did not push the Secretariat officials and NGOs worked to con- rights information and engaging in a human matter further.