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Placing 400 Million New Shares at HKD 25.25, Underlying Profit
Company Report: CR Land (01109 HK) Van Liu 刘斐凡 公司报告:华润置地 (01109 HK) +86 755 23976672 [email protected] 国泰君安研究 25 May 2015 Placing 400 million New Shares at HKD 25.25, Underlying Profit Revised up, Maintain fiBuyfl Research GTJA 以25.25港元配售4亿股,调高核心净利,维持“买入” Rating: Buy Maintained z CR Land (fithe Companyfl) plans to raise approximately HK$ 10.1 billion 评级: 买入 维持 by placing 400 million new shares at a price of HK$ 25.25 per placing ( ) share. The management intends to use the raised capital for further land acquisition, development costs and general working capital purposes. 6-18m TP 目标价: HK$29.40 Revised from 原目标价: HK$28.70 z Limited diluted effects with stronger balance sheet. As per our estimates, after the share placing completion, the underlying EPS will increase 0.3% due Share price 股价: HK$25.300 to the underlying profit being revised up and net gearing ratio will decrease 13.0 ppts in 2015E. Stock performance z Raised capital from share placing will help the Company’s land 股价表现 replenishment and new house set up plan acceleration, which is able to translate into earnings growth under the rebounding sales environment. 100.0 % of return z Maintain ‘Buy’. Raised capital from share pricing will help sales increase. 80.0 Expectations of loosening policies and southbound capital inflow with housing 60.0 sales rebound in April 2015 are likely to drive property companies’ valuation upside potential. We revise up the target price to HK$29.40, which represents 40.0 an 15% discount to revised 2015E NAV per share, 12.3x 2015 underlying 20.0 PER and 1.6x 2015 PBR. -
STOXX Hong Kong All Shares 180 Last Updated: 01.05.2015
STOXX Hong Kong All Shares 180 Last Updated: 01.05.2015 Rank Rank (PREVIOUS ISIN Sedol RIC Int.Key Company Name Country Currency Component FF Mcap (BEUR) (FINAL) ) KYG875721634 BMMV2K8 0700.HK B01CT3 Tencent Holdings Ltd. CN HKD Y 97.0 1 1 HK0000069689 B4TX8S1 1299.HK HK1013 AIA GROUP HK HKD Y 71.8 2 2 CNE1000002H1 B0LMTQ3 0939.HK CN0010 CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORP H CN HKD Y 69.5 3 4 HK0941009539 6073556 0941.HK 607355 China Mobile Ltd. CN HKD Y 67.4 4 3 CNE1000003G1 B1G1QD8 1398.HK CN0021 ICBC H CN HKD Y 59.3 5 5 CNE1000001Z5 B154564 3988.HK CN0032 BANK OF CHINA 'H' CN HKD Y 46.7 6 6 HK0388045442 6267359 0388.HK 626735 Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing HK HKD Y 37.7 7 10 CNE1000002L3 6718976 2628.HK CN0043 China Life Insurance Co 'H' CN HKD Y 32.3 8 7 CNE1000003X6 B01FLR7 2318.HK CN0076 PING AN INSUR GP CO. OF CN 'H' CN HKD Y 28.9 9 9 HK0013000119 6448068 0013.HK 644806 Hutchison Whampoa Ltd. HK HKD Y 26.7 10 8 KYG217651051 BW9P816 0001.HK 619027 CK HUTCHISON HOLDINGS HK HKD Y 25.5 11 11 CNE1000003W8 6226576 0857.HK CN0065 PetroChina Co Ltd 'H' CN HKD Y 24.2 12 12 HK0883013259 B00G0S5 0883.HK 617994 CNOOC Ltd. CN HKD Y 24.0 13 13 HK0016000132 6859927 0016.HK 685992 Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd. HK HKD Y 21.6 14 14 CNE1000002Q2 6291819 0386.HK CN0098 China Petroleum & Chemical 'H' CN HKD Y 21.3 15 16 CNE100000205 B0B8Z29 3328.HK CN0054 Bank of Communications Co 'H' CN HKD Y 20.2 16 17 HK0004000045 6435576 0004.HK 643557 Wharf (Holdings) Ltd. -
Istoxx® Developed and Emerging Markets Ex Usa Pk Vn Real Estate
ISTOXX® DEVELOPED AND EMERGING MARKETS EX USA PK VN REAL ESTATE Components1 Company Supersector Country Weight (%) Vonovia SE Real Estate Germany 3.58 Goodman Group Real Estate Australia 2.31 Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd. Real Estate Japan 2.14 Mitsui Fudosan Co. Ltd. Real Estate Japan 2.06 Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd. Real Estate Hong Kong 2.00 Link Real Estate Investment Tr Real Estate Hong Kong 1.79 DEUTSCHE WOHNEN Real Estate Germany 1.71 Sumitomo Realty & Development Real Estate Japan 1.50 SEGRO Real Estate Great Britain 1.44 CK Asset Holdings Ltd Real Estate Hong Kong 1.33 China Resources Land Ltd. Real Estate China 1.14 SM Prime Holdings Inc Real Estate Philippines 1.11 LEG IMMOBILIEN Real Estate Germany 1.06 SCENTRE GROUP Real Estate Australia 1.04 UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD Real Estate France 1.04 AROUNDTOWN (FRA) Real Estate Germany 0.85 China Overseas Land & Investme Real Estate China 0.84 WHARF REIC Real Estate Hong Kong 0.78 Mirvac Group Real Estate Australia 0.78 DEXUS Real Estate Australia 0.77 Nippon Building Fund Inc. Real Estate Japan 0.77 Stockland Real Estate Australia 0.75 Japan Real Estate Investment C Real Estate Japan 0.73 SWISS PRIME SITE Real Estate Switzerland 0.73 CAPTIALAND INT COMM TRUST Real Estate Singapore 0.71 GECINA Real Estate France 0.70 Ayala Land Inc Real Estate Philippines 0.69 Ascendas Real Estate Investmen Real Estate Singapore 0.68 New World Development Co. Ltd. Real Estate Hong Kong 0.66 CANADIAN APARTMENT PROP REIT Real Estate Canada 0.66 NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT Real Estate Japan 0.63 NOMURA REIT.MASTER FUND Real Estate Japan 0.62 CapitaLand Ltd. -
STOXX Hong Kong All Shares 180 Last Updated: 01.04.2015
STOXX Hong Kong All Shares 180 Last Updated: 01.04.2015 Rank Rank (PREVIOUS ISIN Sedol RIC Int.Key Company Name Country Currency Component FF Mcap (BEUR) (FINAL) ) KYG875721634 BMMV2K8 0700.HK B01CT3 Tencent Holdings Ltd. CN HKD Y 92.5 1 1 HK0000069689 B4TX8S1 1299.HK HK1013 AIA GROUP HK HKD Y 70.6 2 3 HK0941009539 6073556 0941.HK 607355 China Mobile Ltd. CN HKD Y 64.3 3 2 CNE1000002H1 B0LMTQ3 0939.HK CN0010 CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORP H CN HKD Y 61.8 4 4 CNE1000003G1 B1G1QD8 1398.HK CN0021 ICBC H CN HKD Y 52.5 5 5 CNE1000001Z5 B154564 3988.HK CN0032 BANK OF CHINA 'H' CN HKD Y 40.9 6 6 CNE1000002L3 6718976 2628.HK CN0043 China Life Insurance Co 'H' CN HKD Y 30.3 7 7 HK0013000119 6448068 0013.HK 644806 Hutchison Whampoa Ltd. HK HKD Y 26.2 8 8 CNE1000003X6 B01FLR7 2318.HK CN0076 PING AN INSUR GP CO. OF CN 'H' CN HKD Y 25.3 9 16 HK0388045442 6267359 0388.HK 626735 Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing HK HKD Y 25.2 10 10 KYG217651051 BW9P816 0001.HK 619027 CK HUTCHISON HOLDINGS HK HKD Y 25.0 11 9 CNE1000003W8 6226576 0857.HK CN0065 PetroChina Co Ltd 'H' CN HKD Y 21.7 12 11 HK0883013259 B00G0S5 0883.HK 617994 CNOOC Ltd. CN HKD Y 20.9 13 12 HK0016000132 6859927 0016.HK 685992 Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd. HK HKD Y 20.9 14 13 HK0004000045 6435576 0004.HK 643557 Wharf (Holdings) Ltd. HK HKD Y 19.7 15 14 CNE1000002Q2 6291819 0386.HK CN0098 China Petroleum & Chemical 'H' CN HKD Y 18.9 16 15 CNE100000205 B0B8Z29 3328.HK CN0054 Bank of Communications Co 'H' CN HKD Y 17.6 17 17 HK0003000038 6436557 0003.HK 643655 Hong Kong & China Gas Co. -
Shenzhen Investment (604
Equities Hong Kong/China Initial Coverage Company Report Shenzhen Investment (604 HK) 3 August 2016 HK & China / Property Uprising with Shenzhen Headquartered in Shenzhen and having listed on HKEx for over 19 BUY years, SZI is the largest property developer operated under the Share Target administration of Shenzhen SASAC. Owning 12 projects in Upside Shenzhen and 17 in other cities covering industrial, commercial Price Price and residential estates, SZI’s business is mainly divided into three HK$3.21 HK$5.05 57.32% components: property development, property leasing and operating, property management. (as of 1 August 2016) Unparalleled advantage in land acquisition. Benefiting from being the largest exchange-listed real estate developer under August Zhan Shenzhen SASAC, SZI has been enjoying the surging Shenzhen (852) 2106 8172 market ever since the corporate shifted its prime focus back to [email protected] Shenzhen in 2012. In FY15, SZI recorded 7.02 million sq m net sales area in Shenzhen, contributing for 57% of its total FY15 52 Range (HK$) 2.4-3.72 contracted sales, and the ASP for Shenzhen area was Rmb52,598/sq m compared with nationwide Rmb16,857/sq m. In DVD yield % 5.03 FY15, the gross profit margin for Shenzhen projects stood at 49.6% compared with 39.8% for other tier-1 cities and 10.5% for Latest Key Data tier-2 cities and under. FF no of shares (m) -H share 2,898 Solid yet ambitious financial position. With SZI’s further FF (%) -H share 39.24 issuance of domestic corporate bonds (approved quota of FF market cap (HK$ m) 9,302 Rmb20bn, around 45% was issued by the end of FY15) and new 12M daily turnover (HK$ m) 43.20 capital shares, we expect its cost of borrowing to further decline to 12M volatility (%) 47.92 below 4.5% in FY16E and 4.2% in FY18E. -
Class of 2015 Student Profiles
Johns Hopkins Carey Business School Johns Hopkins Carey Business School Edward St. John Real Estate Program Edward St. John Real Estate Program FT-MSREI Class of 2015 Student Profiles Class of 2015 FT-MSREI • Two-time NAIOP Capital Challenge Winner Full-time Master of Science • Full-time (FT) and Part-time (PT) Programs in Real Estate and Infrastructure • MS and MBA Degrees in Real Estate and Infrastructure • Locations in Baltimore, MD and Washington, D.C. • 24+ Year Old Program Since 1991 • 1,000+ MS Real Estate Alumni • 125+ Current MS Students • CCIM Accreditation in Commercial Investments • Appraisal Insitute Accreditation for MAI Credits • RICS Partnership and University Accreditation Full-time Master of Science in Real Estate and Infrastructure Class of 2015 • 12-Month Intensive Program • 33 Full-time MSREI Candidates • 36-credit Program MAR 2015 Class of 2015 Student Profiles Edition • 18 Courses • 30+ Skill-based Workshops • 20+ Guest Speakers • 5+ Field Trips and Site Visits • 2 International Real Estate Competitions March 2015 Edition March 2015 • 1 Full-time Internship • 1 Regional Real Estate Competition • LEED GA Accreditation • LEED AP Accreditation • ARGUS Certification FULL-TIME MASTER OF SCIENCE IN REAL ESTATE AND INFRASTRUCTURE CLASS OF 2015 STUDENT PROFILES MARCH 2015 EDITION The latest PDF version can be found at: www.dankohlhepp.com Available under the Education section 1625 Massachusetts Avenue NW, Suite 100 Washington, DC 20036 http://carey.jhu.edu/realestate CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................ 1 II. STUDENT PROFILES ........................................................................ 3 III. FULL-TIME MSREI ......................................................................... 37 III-1. The FT MSREI Academic Program ............................ 38 III-2. Workshops ......................................................................... 40 III-3. Guest Speakers & Presentations ............................... -
Speed Shifting to a Lower Gear but Quality Is Improving, Maintain
股 票 研 [Table_Title] Van Liu 刘斐凡 Company Report: Country Garden (02007 HK) 究 (86755) 2397 6672 Equity Research 公司报告: 碧桂园 (02007 HK) [email protected] 27 March 2019 Speed[Table_Summary Shifting] to a Lower Gear but Quality is Improving, Maintain "Accumulate" 速度换低档速但质量提升,维持“收集” 公 司 2018 underlying net profit was in line with our expectation. Top line Rating:[Table_Rank] Accumulate increased by 67.1% YoY to RMB379,079 mn in 2018. Underlying net profit Maintained 报 elevated 31.4% YoY to RMB33,864 mn. 告 评级: 收集 (维持) Contracted sales will sustainably grow but at a slower rate. We estimate Company Report that saleable resources in 2019 may reach over RMB780.2 bn. We estimate sale-through rate to decrease to below 70.0% in 2019 to factor in declining 6[Table_Price]-18m TP 目标价 : HK$13.61 demand in lower-tier cities. Revised from 原目标价: HK$12.28 We expect stable gross margins and healthy net gearing ratio. We Share price 股价: HK$11.960 estimate that the Company’s unit land cost was less than RMB2,742 per 告 sq.m., 32.6% of ASP during Jan.-Feb. 2019. We expect net gearing ratio to 证 报 be no higher than 56.4% during the same period. Stock performance 券 股价表现 究 With slower contracted sales growth, we think the Company should justify a 研 higher NAV discount than our previous expectations. Nevertheless, as we [Table_QuotePic] 研 究 revise up the underlying net profit, we revise up the Company’s target price 券 from HK$12.28 to HK$13.61, which represents a 40% discount to the 报 Company’s 2019E NAV of HK$22.68 per share, 6.1x underlying 2019 PER 告 证 and 1.5x 2019 PBR. -
China Vanke Bloomberg: 2202 HK Equity | 000002 CH Equity | Reuters: 2202.HK | 000002.SZ Refer to Important Disclosures at the End of This Report
China / Hong Kong Company Focus China Vanke Bloomberg: 2202 HK Equity | 000002 CH Equity | Reuters: 2202.HK | 000002.SZ Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report DBS Group Research . Equity 6 January 2016 H: HOLD (Downgrade from BUY) Shareholding uncertainty overshadows Last Traded Price (H): HK$20.80 (CSI300 Index : 3,540) strong fundamentals Price Target (H): HK$19.60 (6% downside) (Prev HK$23.41) Better-than-expected sales/acquisitions in Dec 2015 will likely lead to decent sales growth in 2016 A: BUY (Under review) Yet, shareholding structure is unlikely to improve in the near Last Traded Price (A): RMB24.43 (HSI : 20,981) term and potential asset restructuring is uncertain Price Target (A): RMB19.31 (21% downside) Shareholding competition will likely distract management Potential Catalyst: Better-than-expected shareholding structure efforts and affect Vanke’s long-term strategy Where we differ: Our FY15-17F EPS are below consensus Share price is under pressure after trading resumption; Analyst Downgrade Vanke-H from BUY to HOLD Ken HE CFA, +86 21 6888 3375 Uncertainty in potential asset restructuring (Details on page 3). The [email protected] difficulties are in: (i) identifying potential acquisition targets to fall in Carol WU +852 2863 8841 the definition of “material asset restructuring”, and to improve [email protected] shareholding structure (or mitigate Baoneng’s influence in Vanke’s Danielle WANG CFA, +852 2820 4915 board/strategy), as well as to strengthen Vanke’s traditional [email protected] residential and new business lines; and (ii) obtaining shareholders’ Andy YEE CFA, +852 2971 1773 approval given current shareholding structure and rich valuation. -
Sustainable Quality Growth Prospect, Maintain “Buy”
股 票 研 [Table_Title] Van Liu 刘斐凡 Company Report: China Aoyuan (03883 HK) 究 (86755) 2397 6672 Equity Research 公司报告: 中国奥园 (03883 HK) [email protected] 25 January 2018 Sustainable[Table_Summary] Quality Growth Prospect, Maintain “Buy” 持续且有质量的增长预期,维持“买入” China Aoyuan (“the Company”) announced a positive profit alert. The Rating:[Table_Rank ] Buy Company’s net profit in 2017 is expected to record a significant increase of at Maintained 公 least 75% YoY. 评级: 买入 (维持) 司 Strategic layout in the Big Bay Area with proper unit land cost hints at 报 sustainable quality growth prospect. 76.1% of the Company's land bank was in tier-1/ tier-2/ international cities, and its unit land cost amounted to 6[Table_Price-18m TP 目标价] : HK$8.87 告 RMB1,897 per sq.m., representing 18.9% of ASP in 2017. Revised from 原目标价: HK$5.45 Company Report Contracted sales are likely to maintain fast growth momentum. During Share price 股价: HK$6.890 2017, the Company achieved RMB45.59 bn in contracted sales, up 78% YoY. With quality land bank exposure and a healthy financial position, sufficient saleable resources will be launched in 2018 and 2019. Stock performance 股价表现 The Company should justify a lower NAV discount. As we have revised up [Table_QuotePic] underlying net profit, we also revise up the target price from HK$5.45 to HK$8.87, representing a 37% discount to 2018E NAV of HK$14.08 per share, 9.1x 2018 underlying PER and 1.7x 2018 PBR. Therefore, we maintain "Buy". Risk factors include lower-than-expected contracted sales and possible failure in operational activities of overseas projects and 证 redevelopment projects. -
China Property Sector
China / Hong Kong Industry Focus China Property Sector Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report DBS Group Research . Equity 14 Nov 2017 Whose sales growth can outperform in 2018? HSI: 29,152 · Increasingly high share price sensitivity to presales ANALYST growth compared with previous three years and this Danielle WANG CFA, +852 2820 4915 is likely to continue [email protected] Carol WU +852 2863 8841 · 2016 land acquisition a leading indicator for 2017 [email protected] sales growth Ken HE CFA, +86 21 6888 3375 [email protected] · Consolidation in the land market YTD likely to Trista QIN +852 2863 8820 support developers’ market share gain in 2018 [email protected] · Sunac (1918 HK), KWG (1813 HK), CIFI (884 HK) and Country Garden (2007 HK)’s land acquisition pace topped other developers we track Share price performance this year has been highly sensitive to Recommendation & valuation contracted sale growth. We explored various factors’ relationships with the share price performance YTD. We found that the FY18F correlation between developers’ presales growth and share price Target Mkt Company Price Price Rec Cap PE performance has recovered to a high level comparable with 2013 HK$ HK$ US$bn x after hitting the lowest level in 2014. We believe this is due to a CIFI Holdings 4.05 n.a. NR 3.9 5.3 change in the profile of investors that resulted in southbound (884 HK) money being more active in the market. We see this continuing in KWG Property 7.95 n.a. NR 3.2 4.8 2018. -
Share and Connected Transactions
THIS CIRCULAR IS IMPORTANT AND REQUIRES YOUR IMMEDIATE ATTENTION If you are in any doubt as to any aspect of this circular or as to the action to be taken, you should consult your licensed securities dealer, bank manager, solicitor, professional accountant or other professional adviser. If you have sold or transferred all your shares in Greentown China Holdings Limited, you should at once hand this circular to the purchaser or transferee or to the bank, licensed securities dealer or other agent through whom the sale or transfer was effected for onward transmission to the purchaser or the transferee. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited and The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited take no responsibility for the contents of this circular, make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and expressly disclaim any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from or in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this circular. GREENTOWN CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED * (Incorporated in the Cayman Islands with limited liability) (Stock Code: 3900) SHARE AND CONNECTED TRANSACTIONS The Independent Financial Adviser to the Independent Board Committee and the Shareholders A letter from the Board is set out on pages 6 to 16 of this circular and a letter from the Independent Board Committee is set out on pages 17 to 18 of this circular. A letter from Hercules Capital, the Independent Financial Adviser to the Independent Board Committee and the Shareholders, containing its advice to the Independent Board Committee and the Shareholders in relation to the Acquisition is set out on pages 19 to 36 of this circular. -
FIXED INCOME WEEKLY China Property Bonds: Who Are the Higher Quality Issuers?
iFAST Research Team iFAST Research Team iFAST Research Team iFAST Research Team iFAST Research Team FIXED INCOME WEEKLY China Property Bonds: Who are the Higher Quality Issuers? Differentiate Between Strong and Weak Developers The spike in yields across Chinese property developers is currently presenting attractive investment opportunities. To help investors differentiate between the stronger and weaker property developers, we highlight some of their financial ratios, giving us a gauge of who faces lower risks of default. High Liquidity The cash ratio measures the amount of cash or cash equivalents held by the company over its short- term liabilities. The higher the amount of liquid assets it holds, the greater the ability for the company to meet bond payments on time and avoid defaults. Healthy Liquidity The CFO-to-Debt ratio is a measure of how the liabilities are covered by the cash flow generated from a company’s operation. The higher the amount of operating cash flow generated from its core businesses, the lesser the reliance on the borrowing, and the greater the financial flexibility for the company to meet bond payments. Low Leverage With lower levels of net debt-to-equity ratio, tightened liquidity or access to credit should be less of a concern to these companies. Strong Solvency Interest coverage ratio is measured by operating income (or earnings before interest and tax) over interest expense. A stronger level of solvency means firms have greater ability to avoid bankruptcy and repay their debt obligations. Who are the Strong Property Developers? We calculate a composite score by combining the aforementioned ratios via a standardisation method to provide a quick measure of the developer’s overall credit quality relative to its peers.