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A Story About How a Strong Earthquake

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A Story About How a Strong Earthquake A story about how a strong A story about how a strong earthquake affects a family earthquake affects a family with “left-behind” children with “left-behind” children Version for the General Public HOMECOMING Version for the General Public HOME This hypothetical scenario will help you understand the specific consequences of a and Relief in China in the New Era New Concept for Disaster Prevention, Mitigation damaging earthquake and how TIPS FOR DISASTER New Concept for Disaster COMING to protect yourself. It is also RISK REDUCTION MAIN IMPLEMENTATION ORGANIZATIONS Prevention, Mitigation and intended to inspire you to act Relief in China in the New Era now to make yourself and your China Earthquake • Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration (CEA) family safer in any possible This project aligns with China’s knowledge A story about how a strong earthquake affects a family with “left-behind” children • China Earthquake Disaster Prevention Center (CEDPC) future earthquake. new approach to disasters, • The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, China which is to: United Kingdom and United States Response to • Overseas Development Institute (ODI), UK earthquakes Prioritize prevention; combine • Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, UK prevention with preparedness • Department of Architecture, University of Cambridge, UK and rescue; unify regular disaster • GeoHazards International (GHI), USA Search reduction and extraordinary FUNDERS disaster relief; shift focus from post-disaster relief to prevention • National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC), China beforehand, from coping with • Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), UK Rescue single disasters to comprehensive • Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC), UK • Newton Fund, UK disaster reduction, and from reducing losses to mitigating Disaster disaster risks; fully raise the preparedness comprehensive capability of the whole society to resist Earthquake disaster natural disasters. risk reduction tips and more … Public) General the for (Version This scenario describes how a repeat of Janise Rodgers, Guiwu Su, the historical 1568 Shaanxi Northeast Xi’an Timothy Sim, Philip England, earthquake could impact a family with John Young, Wenhua Qi “left-behind” children in a rural village in and others Weinan, if it occurred in the present day. HOME COMING A story about how a strong earthquake affects a family with “left-behind” children Version for the General Public Janise Rodgers, Guiwu Su, Timothy Sim, Philip England, John Young, Wenhua Qi and others A NOTE CAUTION FOR READERS EDITORIAL COMMITTEE Leading authors This hypothetical scenario is NOT a This document is intended for the prediction of a specific disaster. It does general public in Weinan, who already • Janise Rodgers GeoHazards International (GHI), USA NOT mean that an earthquake akin to know their community well. For • Guiwu Su Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration (CEA) the one described will happen in readers not local to the area, including • Timothy Sim The Hong Kong Polytechnic University (PolyU), China Weinan in the near future. No one international readers, this note provides • Philip England Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, UK knows when or where the next earth- basic background about Weinan. • John Young Overseas Development Institute (ODI), UK quake might occur, nor how large and • Wenhua Qi Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration (CEA) Weinan is located in Shaanxi Province, damaging it might be. to the east of Xi’an in the Wei River Authors The family’s hypothetical story, and the valley. Please see the map on page 10. Contributors from the same organization are listed in alphabetical order of their last names study upon which it is based, provide an The two municipal districts of the study example of what may happen if the 1568 area this story describes, Linwei and • Xiaoli Li Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration (CEA) earthquake were to strike in present day Huazhou, contain the main urban areas • Zhiqiang Li • Yaohui Liu Weinan. People can learn from it to plan of Weinan (a prefecture, which is a larger • Min Qi for safer outcomes before a real earth- administrative area with additional • Lei Sun quake occurs. districts), as well as large rural areas • Jie Gao China Earthquake Disaster Prevention Center located in the valley, the yellow-soil The scenario is intended only for use • Dongming Wang (loess) plateau, and the Qinling in planning, preparedness, and raising • Wei Shi mountain to the south. As of 2017, awareness of local earthquake risk. • Chunlan Guo The Hong Kong Polytechnic University (PolyU), China Linwei and Huazhou districts had a total Some actions taken by the children in • Junlei Yu population of over 1.3 million and a Gross the story’s village setting may not be • Xijie Feng Shaanxi Earthquake Agency, China Domestic Product of 46.6 billion RMB. advisable in other contexts. The • Ji Ma authors, funders, publisher and other Linwei District adjoins eastern Xi’an, • Kun Chen Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration (CEA) contributors to this report are not which is one of the most historically • Yue Cao Overseas Development Institute (ODI), UK responsible for any interpretation or and culturally important areas of the • Barry Parsons Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, UK use beyond the purposes stated. country with numerous heritage sites. • Emily So Department of Architecture, University of Cambridge, UK Weinan was devastated by the deadliest • Arrietta Chakos Urban Resilience Strategies, USA earthquake in recorded history, the 1556 • Craig Davis Los Angeles Department of Water and Power, USA (Retired) Huaxian earthquake (approximately • Alexander Densmore Department of Geography, Durham University, UK M8). Today Weinan remains at risk from • David Milledge School of Engineering, Newcastle University, UK numerous active earthquake faults in the Wei River valley. • Illustrator: Siu Kuen Lai Lotersy Arts and Printing Co., Hong Kong, China • Book Designer: Sandy Lui Lui & Co Design, Hong Kong, China HOMECOMING 2 3 BACKGROUND INFORMATION BRIEF INTRODUCTION OF THE CONTENTS This earthquake scenario narrative is a product The principal investigators (PIs) of the project are: The scenario is supported by a dozen technical The narrative presented here is for public use. of an international collaboration (PAGER-O: papers in academic journals that document It includes the following three aspects. China Pan-participatory Assessment and Governance the basis for the hypothetical but plausible First, a graphic novel describes a fictional local, of Earthquake Risks in the Ordos Area) funded • Guiwu Su from Institute of Geology, earthquake, on which the scenario is built, rural family with “left-behind” children, and by the National Natural Science Foundation of China Earthquake Administration (CEA) and which explain the basis for calculations their experiences in the scenario earthquake China (NSFC) and by the Natural Environment of vulnerabilities and risks to the city of United Kingdom and its aftermath. The storylines of this novel Research Council (NERC) and the Economic and Weinan and its surrounding areas, if such were carefully constructed to highlight the key Social Research Council (ESRC) of the UK. This • John Young from Overseas an earthquake were to occur. This technical Development Institute earthquake risk problems that Weinan faces. programme aimed to combine the strengths analysis is accompanied by two audience- • Philip England from Department of Earth of physical and social sciences to increase specific narratives of what the impacts might Second, key results of the scenario are Sciences, University of Oxford resilience and reduce risks from multi-hazards be on the Weinan area in the event of such, presented succinctly; detailed scientific in earthquake-prone regions in China. PI Guiwu Su provided overall project leadership aiming to facilitate bridging the gap between information can be found in the technical and guidance, as did PIs John Young and Philip sciences and policies to reduce earthquake risk. papers mentioned above. The PAGER-O project focused on the Ordos area England. The scenario’s narrative story was The first audience is government staff, while The third aspect is the provision of basic with the specific goal of bridging the gaps between written by Janise Rodgers with assistance from the second is the general public. The aim of the knowledge on earthquake disasters, basic science and policy and between top-down and numerous team members including Guiwu two different narratives is to facilitate bridging information on earthquake safety for the bottom-up approaches to disaster risk reduction Su, Timothy Sim, Wenhua Qi, Chunlan Guo, the top-down and the bottom-up approaches general public, and tips on family earthquake (DRR) to improve resilience to earthquakes. The Junlei Yu, Arrietta Chakos and Philip England, to improving earthquake safety, preparedness, disaster preparedness. project used a highly collaborative, participatory translated into Chinese by Guiwu Su and the and resilience. approach to develop an earthquake scenario for CEA team, and illustrated by Siu Kuen Lai. It The last two aspects were woven around the Weinan City, which brought together a trans- is based on active fault investigations by Xijie storylines to help the local public to easily disciplinary team of international and Chinese Feng and Ji Ma; ground shaking estimates
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