FUTURE OF HOME A Lighthouse for future living, today Context + people and market insights + emerging innovations
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FOREWORD: CREATING THE FUTURE WE WANT
If we are to create a world in which 9 billion money, or would like to have more money to people live well within planetary boundaries, spend. That is the reality of the world today. “WBCSD is committed to creating a then we need to understand why we live People don’t tend to aspire to less. sustainable world – one where 9 billion the way we do today. We must understand people can live well, within planetary Nonetheless, we believe that we can work the world as it is, if we are to create a more boundaries. This won’t be achieved within this reality – that there are huge sustainable future. through technology alone – it is going opportunities available, for business all over The cliché is true: we live in a fast-changing the world and for sustainable development, to involve changing the way we live. And world. Globally, people are both choosing, and in designing solutions for the world as it is. that’s a good thing – human history is an having, to adapt their lifestyles accordingly. endless journey of change for the better. This “Future of” series from WBCSD aims to Forward-looking companies are exploring While no-one wants to live unsustainably, and provide a perspective that helps to uncover how we can make sustainable living many would like to live more sustainably, living these opportunities. We have done this by both possible and desirable, creating a sustainable lifestyle isn’t a priority for most looking at the way people need and want to solutions in line with people’s aspirations. people around the world. In reality, it isn’t even live around the world today, before imagining a possibility – neither the infrastructure nor the how business can help transform lifestyles for With these companies, we’re seeking to goods and services that a sustainable lifestyle the better. Finally, we asked if these “better” understand how we can leverage what requires are available or affordable. lifestyles can also be more sustainable? is already technologically possible to make human life better, rather than bigger. The normal way of approaching the Our aim is to provide companies with a more We believe that sketching out a vision sustainable lifestyles challenge is to think positive view of what lifestyles could be like in of a different future is the first step to about it in terms of reducing material the future, encouraging new ideas about how creating a different path for all to follow.” consumption. This isn’t attractive for business can offer people “better”, rather than Peter Bakker business. It’s not that interesting for policy- “more”. A surplus of good, actionable ideas President and CEO makers either, who rely on GDP growth and is essential to all progress – without them, WBCSD tax receipts, and it’s not even that great for we can expect nothing better than more of individuals, most of whom like to spend their the same. Home FUTURE OF HOME | 02
CONTENTS
03 How to read this document 14 Context and trends 57 Emerging innovations 04 Introduction 15 The rise and sprawl of the mega-city 58 Create homes that support well-being and health 05 The Sustainable Lifestyles challenge 22 Households, houses and homes are changing 65 Hello it’s me again, Technology 06 WBCSD Sustainable Lifestyles 29 Homes have an impact on our health 72 Leverage pockets of progress 07 Why this Lighthouse work is needed and our environment 08 A definition of a Lighthouse 80 Future aspirations: The Good Life 2.0 34 People and market insights 09 Our approach to the research 83 Lighthouse: The Future of HOME – 35 What it means to live a middle To what we might aspire 10 Our research & Lighthouse class lifestyle is changing creation process 85 What we want home to mean 41 Homes themselves are changing 11 Topics we explored to inform 86 What we want to feel 52 Technology is everywhere our Lighthouse 87 What we want to fix and changing everything. 12 A Lighthouse for the Future of HOME Including our homes 88 The Lighthouse 13 Decoding the Lighthouse 89 Summary
This Guide has been produced in collaboration with PwC USA. A LIGHTHOUSE For further information, please contact Julian Hill-Landolt FOR FUTURE LIVING, TODAY
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HOW TO READ THIS DOCUMENT
There is a daunting amount of material in this report and you may not have the time to read Here’s a quick guide: it all in detail! We’ve tried to make it easy for you to get the most of out of the document, 5 minutes: FUTURE OF HOME | 04 If you only have 5 minutes, then we recommend that you just read digging into it in different ways depending the introduction. It will give you an overview of the Sustainable INTRODUCTION FUTURE OF HOME | 12 on the amount of time you have available. Lifestyles challenge, why we think that this Lighthouse approach A LIGHTHOUSE FOR THE FUTURE OF HOME LIGHTHOUSE VISION AS The Meaning of a Home from which to Springboardtap into the promise of urban life (*URBAN) Home safe haven
offers a valuable opportunity to business, all the different areas INTRODUCTION What This Means, For a Person’s Life Essential background reading: WHAT THIS MEANS Protect against the urban Cultivate one’s self and one’s memories Care for body, mind, spirit Recharge* the urban ecosystem Understanding the power of this For a Person’s Life environment *give and take in balance with family & friends
Research and Lighthouse What This Means, Practically that we have looked into as part of our research, the overall vision Whether it’s a micro apartment in the urban core or a multi-generational family home just outside the city… WHAT THIS MEANS Home is a safe haven for healthy recovery and recharge; it is also place to nurture, grow, play, learn, love, celebrate and create lasting memories. Practically It is a transformableHome space, connectedPrev 24/7 to Nextthe endless possibilities of urban life. The home extends beyond a physical place of residence. It exists within the urban ecosystem in super-smart, connected networks of clean energy, waste repurposing, local food, sanitation and transport. Our homes allow us to live not just smarter, but wiser – in relationship with ourselves, others, our environments and our beloved communities.
Backstage Frontstage
Urban planning Connection Building Protection Design of Space-defying Body/ Frictionless that solves from noise , to social of future homes (the Lighthouse) that we have developed, and how INNOVATION for density materials Cooling resource positive multifunctional Health mind/spirit replenishment that add to overload, versatile design monitoring Immersion ecosystem & offers the and heating home and SPACES the working systems for indoor air that adapts as and self-care relaxation, in for sharing space and infrastructure rest, refresh nature shopping of the urban home & water (energy, water, you grow and at home experience and creating services environment pollution waste) evolve and recharge that people urban life need
Within planetary Inclusive & WHAT MUST Zero waste Regenerative Resilient Safe & secure Shared Fair labor to interpret that vision. BE TRUE boundaries equitable
ENABLERS Policies & incentives (financial & non-financial) Promoting new aspirational behaviors See pages: 4-13 Home Prev Next
CONTEXT AND TRENDS FUTURE OF HOME | 15 15 minutes: THE RISE AND SPRAWL OF THE MEGA-CITY The world’s population continues to grow, in size and wealth, and urbanize. By some calculations, over 50% of people are already living on middle class incomes. By 2030, 70% of us will have flocked toward cities.
As a result, cities themselves are growing. Not just in size, but in power. Delhi has a population over four times that of Denmark and certain mega regions have economies that are nearly as big as their national GDPs – for instance, If you have a bit more time, then we recommend that you read CONTEXT AND TRENDS FUTURE OF HOME | 18 the Kanto and Kinki regional prefectural economic blocks (which contain Tokyo and Osaka megaregions) account for over 50% of Japan’s GDP, and are nearly bigger than the GDP of Germany. CITIES ARE NOW WHERE MOST PEOPLE LIVE Cities everywhere are sprawling as people are drawn into their orbit. Unable to afford housing within urban cores, suburban areas are growing globally, with average urban footprints (the physical size of the the introduction (as described above) and then go on to read the city) expanding significantly faster than populations. Cities and regions will need to work together to 2010 coordinate and cooperate across jurisdictional Russian Federation borders on challenges such as housing and mobility, United States Germany Pakistan 105m 255m 61m 62m and making these conurbations habital, healthy China FUTURE OF HOME | 34 and human. CONTEXT AND TRENDS 630m 78% urban 47% urban 70%of people will live in cities by 2030 – and these cities will play an increasingly important role in the world – equal at least to the countries that Mexico they’re in. Home Prev Next 88m section introductions, the titles on each page (which form a coherent TAKEAWAYS Japan 85m
87% urban 30% urban Challenges Nigeria India Opportunities to consider 79m Brazil 368m Every new home demands a huge amount of resources and will go on When169m we think of homes, a lot of us think of houses. But for most people in theIndo nesia to consume considerable water and energy while creating waste for world, a home is an apartment. Population growth, demographic change, rural10 6m to urban migration and shifting preferences and incomes in the middle class are decades to come. Cities are bursting at the seams, sprawling out and narrative on their own), the key takeaways at the end of each all reshaping how we live. demanding yet further investment in infrastructure. One of the most concerning environmental (and social trends) is therefore a move to Urban Population By 2030, 70% of the world’s population will live in cities. They won't look like single person households. However, there are signs that people are Greater than 75% cities50-75% do today – 25%-50%they will be enormous,Less than 25%sprawling often multi-city conurbations. increasingly open to different living arrangements, including smaller FUTURE OF HOME | 84 * Connectography: "Mapping the Future of Global Civilization", Parag There could be as many as 40 "mega-cities" by 2050, and the average land Khanna, 2016 Source: unicef, An Urban World housing and communal living. Developing desirable ways for more footprint of cities will have expanded by nearly 500% compared to 1990. people to live together would be far less resource intensive and Construction is struggling to keep up, and homes are increasingly unaffordable, would counter social challenges, such as isolationism.
to buy and to rent. We are also putting pressure on the environment,Home and it Prev Next on us. We must build more homes and yet housing is a major contributor to Desirable homes no longer just means the buildings that people resource use and GHG emissions. By 2025 two thirds of all people on earth may live in. ‘New urbanism’ and increased interest in the quality of be living in water-stressed areas. And it’s not just too little water that we need to neighbourhoods offers us the opportunity to rethink how our cities plan for: 100 million people live within 1 metre above sea level, waste continues should work for the people that live in them, becoming an extension of section, and the Lighthouse section at the end of the document. to build up to unimaginable levels and air quality is worsening in most of the their homes, and helping them to live happily and healthily within them. biggest cities worldwide.
Our health has always been a priority, but we are now learning far more about how where we live affects our well-being. Many of the health impacts of housing can be alleviated with the right design or simple technologies.
See section pages: 15 / 23 / 30 / 36 / 42 / 53 /59 / 66 /73 Home Prev Next See takeaway pages: 34 / 57 / 80 L GHTHOUSE The Future of Home – To what we might aspire
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1 hour: You really can read this document from cover to cover in 1 hour! Enjoy! See pages: 1- 92 FUTURE OF HOME A LIGHTHOUSE FOR FUTURE LIVING, TODAY Context + people and market insights + emerging innovations
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INTRODUCTION Essential background reading: Understanding the power of this research and Lighthouse
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THE SUSTAINABLE LIFESTYLES CHALLENGE
Living well (beyond our means) we know that it is not sustainable, on its own. Systemic solutions are As a global population, we place environmentally or socially. required; ones that extend up and greater demands on the earth’s People have a right to aspire to a down value chains and that apply systems than it can supply, straining higher quality of life. The question across our lifestyles. both the environment and our is therefore how we can offer But the other reason is that social structures. We’re living well, this quality of life to people but we have tended to forget that IMAGE TO BE REPLACED but well beyond our means. with a fraction of the impacts, people actually have to live Much of this demand is driven in an aspirational way. How do with the solutions we propose. by the lifestyles, activities and we make Sustainable Lifestyles Traditional solution design involves consumption of the global middle both possible, and desirable? identifying the impacts and class. As incomes rise, so do suggesting a fix to reduce them: The problem with live in a smaller home; don’t drive; impacts because income provides “Sustainable Lifestyles” access to similar things – a bigger stop eating meat. It is very hard We haven’t done a very good home, a richer diet, personal to persuade someone that they job of offering people appealing transport and more disposable should aspire to less – that they sustainable lifestyles to date. income. These also happen to be shouldn’t want “the Good Life”. One reason is that sustainable the things that people, all around lifestyles are complicated. What if we instead think about how the world, aspire to. Consumption impacts don’t occur we can offer lifestyles that people Currently, some 140 million people in isolation. They occur as people need and desire, and then work are entering the middle class each live their lives: eating a meal, visiting out how to make them better (and year. They are all aspiring to, and relatives, doing the shopping, sustainable)? Wouldn’t that make expect, the lifestyles that the middle taking a shower, reading a book. it easier to encourage change, class currently enjoys. This is great As a result, no single company with our customers and within for business in the short term, but can create a sustainable lifestyle our companies?
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MakingWBCSD sustainable SUSTAINABLE lifestyles possible, LIFESTYLES and desirable
WBCSD has a long track record The importance of aspirations WBCSD explored the emergence of working with companies to We have known for a long time that of The Good Life 2.0, publishing help them address sustainability “more” doesn’t lead to happiness. the findings in its Good Life 2.0 challenges in ways that make In fact, there are significant financial Playbook. It presents the aspirations sense for business. When it and social costs to the lifestyles appearing in society that celebrate comes to sustainable lifestyles, that we have been trying to lead. a world in which people aspire to business focus cannot be on Around the world, we see people lifestyles that are better rather people not spending their money. beginning to question these costs than bigger, but without trade-offs Business must focus on how to – wanting to know more about or settling for less. maintain a healthy economy and where their food comes from, The Playbook inspires companies help people spend their money questioning the health implications to explore how they can make the in the best way. Business must of their diet, downsizing rather than Good Life 2.0 desirable, but they therefore ask how it can make upsizing their homes, choosing not also want guidance on how to make sustainable lifestyles both to use their cars. They are redefining The Good Life 2.0 possible. At the possible (innovation) and what it means to live well – away moment, companies aren’t clear desirable (marketing). from Good Life 1.0 notions of on what the Good Life 2.0 should bigger, faster, more, and towards look like in practice – so how can a new Good Life 2.0, which is we expect them to create it? smarter, cleaner, healthier.
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WHY THIS LIGHTHOUSE WORK IS NEEDED
We believe that we need a This “Future of Home” research shared vision of what it means provides companies with a to live well – a more positive snapshot of how their customers view of what lifestyles could are living today in order to create be like in the future. That’s why a shared vision of how people we have created this human- would like to live well in the future. centric lighthouse, a simple, By understanding the world as shared, high-level vision that it is today, we can explore what inspires and guides us to people need and expect, and uncover new opportunities offer guidance to companies on in pursuit of aspirational how to provide this to them in a (sustainable) lifestyles. sustainable way. We hope that the research, together with the Lighthouse, will help to reveal the infrastructure, products, services and business models that need to be made available and accessible if companies are going to shape and create this new Good Life 2.0.
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A LIGHTHOUSE
The best imaginable future of home Use this research and Future of Home Lighthouse that leads to a happier, healthier as a foundation for conversations with colleagues in R&D, Innovation, Insights, Marketing, Brand Strategy, (& more sustainable) lifestyle. and explore: • a shared (customer-centric) positive vision of the future that your company can play a role in creating An inspiring people-centric vision of a (sustainable) lifestyle that: • the areas where your company can begin adding value towards this vision today 1. highlights people’s needs and wants from their lifestyles (today, tomorrow, in 5 years, • future potential innovation opportunity areas in support of this vision in 15 years), and • evidence of where your company will require support 2. identifies spaces in which innovation needs for its innovations to scale and where you must to occur to be able to deliver this vision. therefore collaborate • how you can demonstrate to all of your colleagues how your company can meaningfully and profitably support pathways towards the Good Life 2.0.
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HowOUR we APPROACHuncovered our vision, TO and THE where RESEARCH it applies
We need to present an updated with the largest growing middle The research provides a snapshot aspirational global lifestyle. class* and on track to be most of how the middle class are living To get to a shared vision of populous by 2050. Our research today, all around the world, and sustainable lifestyles, we knew we includes, but is not limited to a shared vision of the types of needed a shared understanding India, China, U.S., Indonesia, inspirational (and sustainable) of today’s realities and trends; Brazil and Mexico – and, as is lifestyles that they are aspiring to. a shared sense of what people unavoidable today, much of the increasingly want and how those focus is on millennials, given their This insight has been used to desires are showing up in the cultural influence and runway for create the “Future of Home” behavior change. Lighthouse – a vision of the role marketplace; and a preview of the of our homes within lifestyles innovations that are emerging in Two realities skewed our research that are aspirational, order to further shape and deliver towards a U.S. perspective: inspirational and just so happen on them. From there, we can First, we recognize that Western to be more sustainable. It is explore how to offer people what aspirations and practices, which supposed to be timely and yet timeless, rather than revelatory they need, want and expect, but the U.S. projects further than any or exhaustive. It’s there to help in a more sustainable way. other place, tend to be adopted you reach your own “a-ha” The research is intended to elsewhere. Second, reliable public moments as you explore the research. be global, with a focus on the data, on trends related to food, home and mobility, is not widely emerging (urban) middle class – after all, it is these higher income available, but there is a good lifestyles that drive aspirations selection of quantitative research globally. Where possible, we focused on the U.S. sought out data for countries
* measures of what constitutes middle class vary significantly by country
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OUR RESEARCH & LIGHTHOUSE CREATION PROCESS
Understanding Uncovering Identifying Exploring Revealing the context for the future people and market insights emerging innovations elements of the Good Life the home lighthouse
What are the macro trends, How are people’s preferences What are the emerging What do people need their What is the best imaginable realities & shifts that serve changing, and how are these innovations that have the home to do or be in order future of home that leads to as the backdrop for the future changes showing up in potential to change how to live well? What do people a happier, healthier (& more of our homes? the marketplace? we live, for the better? want to feel? sustainable) lifestyle?
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OurWHAT discovery DID process WE yieldedEXPLORE insights on TO the INFORM following trends OUR and topics: HOME LIGHTHOUSE?
CONTEXT AND TRENDS PEOPLE AND MARKET INSIGHTS EMERGING INNOVATIONS Summary of macro trends, shifts and Data-backed insights about people’s The technologies, business models and other realities that will impact the future of home changing preferences, and how they’re disruptors that have the potential to change showing up in the marketplace how we live, for the better, and opportunities for businesses to act on them today
• Population growth and the rise of the • Decluttering and minimalism • Nature in the home for air quality and middle class • Balance, “Hygge” and “Lagom” well-being • Urbanization • Health & well-being at home • Technology solutions for air quality • The rise of megacity-regions and their • The need for peace & quiet • Technology solutions for health monitoring immense economic power • Sleep as a status symbol • Light, noise and scent solutions for • Urban sprawl & multi-city clusters • Tiny houses, micro & nano apartments stress management • New urbanism • Multifunctional furniture • Building well-being into buildings • Family structures • Versatile spaces • Designing well-being into communities • Single person and multi-generational homes • Co-living • Connected homes • Changing housing stock • Asset-sharing • Robotic furniture • Size of homes • Public spaces and quality of life • Robotic home help • Deferred home ownership • The city as a living room • Micro-grids, community energy, and blockchain • Affordability of accommodation • Green homes and building practices • 3D printing of homes • Impact of homes on our health • Energy efficient devices • Green building solutions • Geographical environmental risks • Smart and voice-activated devices • Grey water technologies • Impact of our homes on the environment • EVs, EV charging, and energy management • Home agriculture • Home composting • Policy levers and incentives
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A LIGHTHOUSE FOR THE FUTURE OF HOME
LIGHTHOUSE VISION AS The Meaning of a Home from which to Springboardtap into the promise of urban life (URBAN) Home safe haven
What This Means, For a Person’s Life
WHAT THIS MEANS Protect against the urban Cultivate one’s self and one’s memories Care for body, mind, spirit Recharge* the urban ecosystem For a Person’s Life environment *give and take in balance with family & friends
What This Means, Practically
Whether it’s a micro apartment in the urban core or a multi-generational family home just outside the city… WHAT THIS MEANS Home is a safe haven for healthy recovery and recharge; it is also place to nurture, grow, play, learn, love, celebrate and create lasting memories. Practically It is a transformable space, connected 24/7 to the endless possibilities of urban life. The home extends beyond a physical place of residence. It exists within the urban ecosystem in super-smart, connected networks of clean energy, waste repurposing, local food, sanitation and transport. Our homes allow us to live not just smarter, but wiser – in relationship with ourselves, others, our environments and our beloved communities.
Backstage Frontstage
Urban planning that solves Building Protection Design of Space-defying Body/ Frictionless Connection INNOVATION for density materials Cooling from noise resource positive multifunctional, Health mind/spirit replenishment to social & offers the that add to and heating overload, home versatile design monitoring Immersion and ecosystem SPACES the working systems for indoor air infrastructure that adapts as and self-care relaxation, in nature for sharing space and of the urban home & water (energy, water, you grow and at home rest, refresh shopping services and recharge experience and creating that people environment pollution waste) evolve urban life need
Within planetary Inclusive WHAT MUST Zero waste Regenerative Resilient Safe & secure Shared Fair labor BE TRUE boundaries & equitable
ENABLERS Policies & incentives (financial & non-financial) Promoting new aspirational behaviors
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DECODING THE LIGHTHOUSE
LIGHTHOUSE VISION ThisAS is the ultimate vision of what our homes represents for us in The Good Life 2.0. The Meaning of a Home from whichIt is the to big Springboardtap (re)frame. into the promise of urban life (URBAN) Home safe haven
What This Means, For a Person’s Life
These are the key components that make up the Lighthouse Vision – the highest WHAT THIS MEANS Protect against the urban aspirations for what we want our homes to be and doCultivate for us. They one’s are self drawnand one’s from memories an Care for body, mind, spirit Recharge* the urban ecosystem For a Person’s Life environment understanding of how*give people and take ultimately in balance want to feel as well aswith from family an &investigation friends into evolving aspirations.
What This Means, Practically
Whether it’s a micro apartment in the urban core or a multi-generational family home just outside the city… WHAT THIS MEANS Home is a safe haven for healthy recovery and recharge; itThis is also is place the next to nurture, level grow, of depth play, learn, behind love, those celebrate human and createaspirations lasting memories. – what it would take Practically It is a transformable space, connected 24/7 to the endlessto deliver possibilities the of above urban life. components The home extends successfully beyond a physicalin a sustainable place of residence. way. It’s an attempt It exists within the urban ecosystem in super-smart, connectedto translate networks howof clean they energy, would waste play repurposing, out in an interconnected local food, sanitation world. and transport. Our homes allow us to live not just smarter, but wiser – in relationship with ourselves, others, our environments and our beloved communities.
Backstage Frontstage
Urban planning These are the spaces in which innovation needs to occur to be able to deliver on the that solves Building Protection Design of Space-defying Body/ Frictionless Connection INNOVATION for density materials Cooling from noise resource positivevision,multifunctional inspired, by an Healthunderstandingmind/spirit of real pain points in peoples’replenishment lives. They areto social & offers the that add to and heating overload, home versatile design monitoring Immersion and ecosystem SPACES the working systems for indoor air infrastructure intentionallythat adapts asbroad,and but self-care reveal whererelaxation, companies canin nature already generate value today,for sharing space and of the urban home & water (energy, water, you grow and at home rest, refresh shopping services as well as the areas where they willand need recharge partners to develop integratedexperience solutions.and creating that people environment pollution waste) evolve urban life need
Within planetary Inclusive & WHAT MUST Zero waste Regenerative Resilient Safe & secure Shared Fair labor BE TRUE This covers whatboundaries absolutely must beequitable true, i.e. what needs to be solved in the innovations and embedded in the design of new infrastructure, products, services and value chains (e.g. operate within Planetary Boundaries), and it highlights the enablers that are so critical to scale. ENABLERS Policies & incentives (financial & non-financial) Promoting new aspirational behaviors
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CONTEXT AND TRENDS Summary of macro trends, shifts and realities that will impact the future of home
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THE RISE AND SPRAWL OF THE MEGA-CITY
The world’s population continues to grow, in size and wealth, and to urbanize. By some calculations, over 50% of people are already living on middle class incomes. By 2030, 70% of us will have flocked to cities.
As a result, cities themselves are growing. Not just in size, but in power. Delhi has a population over four times that of Denmark and certain mega regions have economies that are nearly as big as their national GDPs – for instance, the Kanto and Kinki regional prefectural economic blocks (which contain Tokyo and Osaka megaregions) account for over 50% of Japan’s GDP, and are nearly bigger than the GDP of Germany.
Cities everywhere are sprawling as people are drawn into their orbit. A lack of affordable housing within urban cores means suburban areas are growing globally, with average urban footprints (the physical size of the city) expanding significantly faster than populations. Cities and regions will need to work together to coordinate and cooperate across jurisdictional borders on challenges such as housing and mobility, and making these conurbations healthy and human.
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The World’s Population THE WORLD’S POPULATION & Regional % change, 2015-50 forecast
MIDDLE CLASS IS GROWING e