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COVID-19) on Civil Aviation: Economic Impact Analysis
Effects of Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) on Civil Aviation: Economic Impact Analysis Montréal, Canada 11 March 2020 Contents • Introduction and Background • Scenario Analysis: Mainland China • Scenario Analysis: Hong Kong SAR of China and Macao SAR of China • Summary of Scenario Analysis and Additional Estimates: China • Scenario Analysis: Republic of Korea • Scenario Analysis: Italy • Scenario Analysis: Iran (Islamic Republic of) • Preliminary Analysis: Japan and Singapore 2 Estimated impact on 4 States with the highest number of confirmed cases* Estimated impact of COVID-19 outbreak on scheduled international passenger traffic during 1Q 2020 compared to originally-planned: • China (including Hong Kong/Macao SARs): 42 to 43% seat capacity reduction, 24.8 to 28.1 million passenger reduction, USD 6.0 to 6.9 billion loss of gross operating revenues of airlines • Republic of Korea: 27% seat capacity reduction, 6.1 to 6.6 million passenger reduction, USD 1.3 to 1.4 billion loss of gross operating revenues of airlines • Italy: 19% seat capacity reduction, 4.8 to 5.4 million passenger reduction, USD 0.6 to 0.7 billion loss of gross operating revenues of airlines • Iran (Islamic Republic of): 25% seat capacity reduction, 580,000 to 630,000 passenger reduction, USD 92 to 100 million loss of gross operating revenues of airlines * Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Situation Report by WHO 3 Global capacity share of 4 States dropped from 23% in January to 9% in March 2020 • Number of seats offer by airlines for scheduled international passenger traffic; -
Development of Civil Aviation in the Republic of Korea
Development of Civil Aviation in the Republic of Korea 14 July 2009 Development of Korea’s Civil Aviation Contents I Growth of civil aviation in Korea II Global Status of Korea’s civil aviation III International cooperation in aviation IV Airports of Korea V Boosting int’l cooperation & readying for future 1/21 Development of Korea’s Civil Aviation I. Growth of Civil Aviation in Korea 1. Commencement of Air Services in Korea Sept. 1913: First airplane flown in Korea’s airspace Mar. 1916: Airfield construction in Seoul at Yeoeuido Additional airfields built at Pyeongyang, Shineuiju, Ulsan, Hamheung, and Cheongjin in 1929 Dec. 1922: Changnam Ahn becomes the first Korean pilot to fly an aircraft in Korean airspace 1939: Gimpo Airport opens after completion of a runway 1945: US airlines Northwest Orient launches services between Seoul and Tokyo 1946: Northwest Orient launches domestic operations on 4 routes including between Seoul and Busan 2/21 Development of Korea’s Civil Aviation I. Growth of Civil Aviation in Korea 2. Birth of Commercial Airlines 1946: Korean National Air (KNA) established with 100% private capital Oct. 1948: Seoul-Busan operations launched Sept. 1948: Northwest Orient begins services on Seattle-Tokyo-Seoul route flying 2 times a week Sept. 1950: Services launched on Busan/Jeju and Busan/Daegu routes Dec. 1953 - Jan. 1954: Test flights begun between Seoul and Hong Kong (72 person capacity DC-4) Dissolved in 1962 due to deficits 3/21 Development of Korea’s Civil Aviation I. Growth of Civil Aviation in Korea 3. Birth of Korean Air 1962: Korea Airline Corporation founded as a government-owned public corporation 1968: Hanjin takes over Korean Airline 1971: Changed name to Korean Air 2006: Ranked 16th in int’l passenger transports and 1st in cargo transports World’s top international air cargo carrier from 2004 to 2008 June 2009: Operating to 101 cities/39 countries on 135 routes (124 aircraft) 4. -
Attachment F – Participants in the Agreement
Revenue Accounting Manual B16 ATTACHMENT F – PARTICIPANTS IN THE AGREEMENT 1. TABULATION OF PARTICIPANTS 0B 475 BLUE AIR AIRLINE MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS S.R.L. 1A A79 AMADEUS IT GROUP SA 1B A76 SABRE ASIA PACIFIC PTE. LTD. 1G A73 Travelport International Operations Limited 1S A01 SABRE INC. 2D 54 EASTERN AIRLINES, LLC 2I 156 STAR UP S.A. 2I 681 21 AIR LLC 2J 226 AIR BURKINA 2K 547 AEROLINEAS GALAPAGOS S.A. AEROGAL 2T 212 TIMBIS AIR SERVICES 2V 554 AMTRAK 3B 383 Transportes Interilhas de Cabo Verde, Sociedade Unipessoal, SA 3E 122 MULTI-AERO, INC. DBA AIR CHOICE ONE 3J 535 Jubba Airways Limited 3K 375 JETSTAR ASIA AIRWAYS PTE LTD 3L 049 AIR ARABIA ABDU DHABI 3M 449 SILVER AIRWAYS CORP. 3S 875 CAIRE DBA AIR ANTILLES EXPRESS 3U 876 SICHUAN AIRLINES CO. LTD. 3V 756 TNT AIRWAYS S.A. 3X 435 PREMIER TRANS AIRE INC. 4B 184 BOUTIQUE AIR, INC. 4C 035 AEROVIAS DE INTEGRACION REGIONAL 4L 174 LINEAS AEREAS SURAMERICANAS S.A. 4M 469 LAN ARGENTINA S.A. 4N 287 AIR NORTH CHARTER AND TRAINING LTD. 4O 837 ABC AEROLINEAS S.A. DE C.V. 4S 644 SOLAR CARGO, C.A. 4U 051 GERMANWINGS GMBH 4X 805 MERCURY AIR CARGO, INC. 4Z 749 SA AIRLINK 5C 700 C.A.L. CARGO AIRLINES LTD. 5J 203 CEBU PACIFIC AIR 5N 316 JOINT-STOCK COMPANY NORDAVIA - REGIONAL AIRLINES 5O 558 ASL AIRLINES FRANCE 5T 518 CANADIAN NORTH INC. 5U 911 TRANSPORTES AEREOS GUATEMALTECOS S.A. 5X 406 UPS 5Y 369 ATLAS AIR, INC. 50 Standard Agreement For SIS Participation – B16 5Z 225 CEMAIR (PTY) LTD. -
IATA Comments on Draft Bill 19331 on Aircraft History Management
IATA Comments on Draft Bill 19331 on Aircraft History Management The International Air Transport Association (IATA) is a global trade association for airlines representing some 290 airline members and accounting for 82% of total global air traffic. Our members include Asiana Airlines, Eastar Jet, Jeju Air, Jin Air, Korean Air, T’way Air and major foreign airlines that operate services to/from the Republic of Korea. IATA understands that the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea is currently seeking public opinion on a draft bill on the management of aircraft history by airlines. Due to the time constraint, IATA was unable to consult our member airlines extensively on the proposed bill. However, IATA would like to submit the below comments to the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea for your kind consideration. Ensuring that air travel remains a safe, secure and efficient mode of transport is a common objective for governments, aircraft operators and passengers. In this regard, IATA recognizes the importance of aviation safety and it is a top priority for both IATA and our member airlines. However, IATA is of the opinion that the requirement for airlines to publish aircraft history is unlikely to contribute positively to the enhancement of aviation safety. Given the likely limited benefits of these requirements, the compliance burden on airlines would increase disproportionately, particularly as requirements such as the provision of aircraft history for pre-owned aircraft would be difficult to comply with. More importantly, the requirements could bring about unintended consequences, by giving an impression that there is a direct correlation between the age of an aircraft and safety, which is incorrect and unjustified. -
INDUSTRY RECOVERY Reportv OCTOBER 30, 2020 Tropical Storm Watch in Effect; Tropical Depression Atsani to Pass South-Southwest of Guam Late Tonight and Early Saturday
INDUSTRY RECOVERY REPORTv OCTOBER 30, 2020 Tropical Storm Watch in Effect; Tropical Depression Atsani to Pass South-Southwest of Guam Late Tonight and Early Saturday The National Weather Service (NWS) continue to monitor what is now Tropical Depression Atsani (23W). At 8 a.m., NWS issued a tropical storm watch for Guam, meaning tropical storm conditions, including destructive winds of 39 mph or more, are possible this evening. As of 7 a.m., tropical depression Atsani was located 9.8 degrees north latitude and 146.8 degrees east longitude, about 375 miles south of Saipan and 290 miles south southeast of Guam. The system is moving north northwest at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds of 30 mph. Atsani is forecast to intensify steadily the next couple of days, becoming a tropical storm later today and a typhoon on Sunday. NWS advised, on its current track, the system is expected to pass about 140 miles southwest of Guam late this evening. Showers and thunderstorms are expected across the Marianas this morning with heavy showers and winds gusting up to 40 mph. Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible tonight and Saturday. A small craft advisory is in effect until 6 p.m. Saturday for the coastal waters of Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan. Southeast winds of 15 to 25 kt with gusts of 30 to 35 kt and seas of 7 to 9 feet are expected. Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions. The community is reminded that any northward deviation from the current forecast track, or faster intensification, could bring stronger winds to Guam and the southern coastal waters. -
Rivalry Between Low Cost Carriers and Major Carriers: the Case in Korean Aviation Industry*
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL LOGISTICS AND TRADE 99 Volume 7, Number 2, December 2009, pp. 99~128 Rivalry between low cost carriers and major carriers: the case in Korean aviation industry* Jin-Kook Lee**and Tae Seung Kim*** Abstract As the wave of liberalization and deregulation have accelerated to relieve rigid controls over airline routes, capacity, and fare setting regimes, Low Cost Carriers (LCCs) have emerged especially in local aviation markets since the 1970s. This paper has studied the effects of LCC's entry into the domestic aviation market which was pre-occupied by two major carriers, Korean Air (KAL) and Asiana Airlines. Through a simple model describing two situations, prior and post to LCC's entry, we analyzed changes and trends of each airline's output and profit based on the Cournot and two-stage Stackelberg game equilibrium. In summary, our conclusion consists of five points: (1) Even though JIN Air's entry reduced KAL's respective output and profit, the more JIN Air produces, the higher the joint-profit of KAL and JIN Air is, (2) From the joint-profit aspect, increasing KAL's output to a level than JIN Air's is more profitable on the Gimpo-Jeju route, on the other hand, increasing JIN Air's output higher than KAL's is more profitable on the Jeju-Busan route, (3) Even though JIN Air's entry increase Asiana Airline's output, the more JIN Air produces, the less Asiana Airlines's profit is, (4) Total output in markets as well as total profits of firms will increase under certain conditions, (5) KAL and JIN Air tend to get caught in an unresolved conflict on level of LCC cost. -
Hyun Soo Co-Founder Allstay South Korea
Insights into South Korea ------------------------------------------ Hyun Soo Co-founder Allstay South Korea #WIT2016 #reimagine @webintravel 2016 Korean Online Travel Industry Report Hyunsoo Cho, Allstay co-founder About allstay u Accommodation meta-search service in Korea u Mobile & private accommodations u Funded by Venture Republic(Japan), Tidesquare(Korea) u Launched on Oct 2015 u 350,000 downloads (Aug 2016) u 240,000 MAU (Aug 2016) u Reached BEP since June Allstay in WIT u Startup battle in WIT Tokyo(2015) u Bootcamp panel in WIT Seoul(2016) u Bootcamp panel in WIT Tokyo(2016) u Bootcamp session in WIT Singapore(2016) • Gold sponsor in WIT Seoul?(20xx) Contents u Market insights u Flight u Accommodation u Tour & Activity u Wrap-up Market insights #Growth #Mobile #Local Market insights u Growth of outbound travelers Unit : 10,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 Outbound 1,374 1,485 1,608 1,931 Growth(%) 8% 8% 8% 20% u Growth updates u Increased 17% (y to y, Aug 2016) u Keep breaking record both in outbound and inbound Market insights u Mobile shopping behavior u 76% of customers use multi device u 51% of customers search mobile before purchase u 38% of revenue is coming from mobile(travel) Only Mostly Mobile = Mostly Only mobile mobile PC PC PC (Source : Nasmedia, 2016) Market insights u Local Kings Local OTA Search & Messenger E- Commerce Flights #OTA #LCC #META Flights u TOP10 Airline BSP ranking (Aug 2016) Unit : Rank Name of Travel agency 2016.08 2015.08 Growth(%) 1 Hana tour 2 Interpark 3 Modoo tour 4 Yellow balloon 5 Sejoong 6 Online tour -
2020 Datalex Big Book of Airline Data Page 0
2020 Datalex Big Book of Airline Data Page 0 2020 Datalex Big Book of Airline Data by IdeaWorksCompany Table of Contents Updates to the 2020 Datalex Big Book of Airline Data ................................................................... 3 A. Welcome Message from Datalex ................................................................................................... 5 B. Introduction to the Data ................................................................................................................. 6 C. Airline Traffic for the 2019 Period ................................................................................................ 9 Primary Airlines in Alphabetical Order ............................................................................................ 9 Subsidiary Airlines in Alphabetical Order ...................................................................................... 16 Primary Airlines by Traffic ................................................................................................................. 19 Primary Airlines Traffic by World Region ..................................................................................... 26 Traffic Generated by Global Alliances ............................................................................................ 35 Traffic by Airline Category ................................................................................................................ 37 D. Airline Revenue for the 2019 Period ......................................................................................... -
Republic-Of-Korea.Pdf
APEC Project: TWG 01 2014A Produced by International Air Transport Association Head Office Canada: 800 Place Victoria, PO Box 113 Montreal H4Z 1M1, Quebec, Canada www.iata.org/consulting For Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Secretariat 35 Heng Mui Keng Terrace Singapore 119616 Tel: (65) 68919 600 Fax: (65) 68919 690 Email: [email protected] Website: www.apec.org © 2016 APEC Secretariat APEC#216-TO-01.18 Table of Contents Glossary ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..5 List of Abbreviations ..................................................................................................................................... 5 1. Introduction to the project ......................................................................................................... 11 2 Approach followed and data used .............................................................................................. 12 2.1 Data fueling the model ............................................................................................................... 12 2.2 Gap analysis ................................................................................................................................ 13 2.3 Induction ..................................................................................................................................... 14 2.4 Connecting potential .................................................................................................................. 15 2.5 Demand growth ......................................................................................................................... -
Big Data Analysis for Air Connectivity and Competition
Big Data Analysis for Air Connectivity and Competition Toru Hasegawa Deputy Director, Economic Development, ICAO 5 December 2017 1 Definition of air connectivity Movement of passengers, mail and cargo involving the minimum of transit points • which makes trip as short as possible • with optimal user satisfaction • at the minimum price possible 2 Improved connectivity leads to economic growth Connectivity directly impacts UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Passenger: Cargo-Freight: 54% of 35% of the international value of world tourists trade shipped arrive by air by air 3 Anecdotal example 1 Network dynamics: BOAC and Pan Am transatlantic system 1946-47 Mid-1950s 4 Anecdotal example 2 Network dynamics: Northwest-Delta transpacific system 2016: Delta Air Lines 2000: Northwest Airline 2009: Northwest Airline (pre liberalization) (after liberalization) via Tokyo-Narita via Japan except Tokyo- Narita overfly (by passing Japan) 5 Centre of gravity The centre of gravity has been steadily moving from the middle of North Atlantic to the middle of the Mediterranean sea in the last four decades. It is expected to move further east by 2040. Geographical centre of gravity of departing/arriving passengers Source: ICAO 6 Air route network 2015 Source: ICAO 7 Web of bilateral air services agreements 2014 data Source: ICAO WASA Map Tool 8 Bilateral open skies States which signed open skies agreements with both the US and third countries States which signed open skies agreements with the US only States which signed open skies agreements with the -
Xiamen Airlines Adds 2 New Routes from Cebu
ISSUE NO.26 APRIL 2017 Xiamen Airlines adds 2 new routes from Cebu Fuzhou -Cebu Jinjiang -Cebu A year after it launched direct flights from Cebu to Xiamen, Chinese carrier Xiamen Airlines launched its 2x weekly service to Jinjiang (JJN) last April 10. It launched its 2x weekly Fuzhou (FOC) service one week later on April 18. Both inaugural events were graced by Mr. Lin Hua Gun, Xiamen Airlines Philippines General Manager, as well as VIPs from Xiamen Air Travel, GMCAC, MCIAA and Department of Tourism Region 7. Both arriving flights were welcomed with a ceremonial water cannon salute. Xiamen Airlines is now flying 6x weekly from Cebu to Fujian province in China, including 2x weekly flights to Xiamen (XMN). PAA launches 3 new domestic routes Philippines AirAsia (PAA) launched its new flights from Cebu to Davao (DVO), Caticlan-Boracay (MPH) and Puerto Princesa, Palawan (PPS) with a media event last April 22. Flight Z2522 from Davao, piloted by PAA Director for Flight Operations Capt. Gomer Monreal, was welcomed with a water cannon salute. The ceremonial cake cutting and ribbon cutting were done and questions from the media were entertained by Capt. Gomer and GMCAC Chief Commercial Advisor Ravi Saravu. PAA now has 4 domestic and 4 international destinations from Cebu. Travel+Leisure magazine in its annual survey named Cebu as the 2nd friendliest island in the world, stating that ‘the helpful locals are one of the island’s greatest qualities’. The top 4 destinations in the list are all in the Philippines: Palawan, Cebu, Luzon and Boracay. T+L notes that “While the politics of the nation have grown ever-more volatile, the people of the islands remain friendly to visitors exploring their scenic home. -
Jeju Air (089590 KS) Ready for Takeoff
Jeju Air (089590 KS) Ready for takeoff Initiate coverage with Buy and target price of W45,000 Airlines We initiate our coverage on Jeju Air with a Buy rating and a target price of W45,000. Our investment recommendation is premised on the following points: 1) In our view, Jeju Air is best positioned to benefit from the fast-growing low-cost carrier (LCC) Initiation Report market. 2) The carrier is expanding its market position on the back of lower pricing. 3) It November 5, 2015 is also less vulnerable to external headwinds thanks to its solid balance sheet. Our target price of W45,000 was derived by using a residual income model (COE of 8.2%) and is equivalent to a 2016F P/E of 18.8x and a 2016F P/B of 3.1x. We believe our (Initiate) Buy target valuation is highly achievable, given the stock’s high ROE (2015F-17F average of 22.3%) and EPS growth (3-year CAGR of 28.2%). Target Price (12M, W) 45,000 Key risks are 1) stiffer competition and 2) unfavorable moveme nts in oil prices and F/X. In developed markets, the entry of competitors (such as “ultra” LCCs in the US) has Share Price (11/04/15, W) - increased the size of the market, leading to stronger earnings for most carriers. Meanwhile, Jeju Air has very little foreign currency-denominate d debt and is therefore Expected Return - less vulnerable to F/X-translation losses. As for oil, we expect prices to remain stable. A perfect mix of top-line growth and cost savings OP (15F, Wbn) 58 1) Strong market growth and market share gains: We see plenty of room for growth in Consensus OP (15F, Wbn) 68 the LCC market.