Russian Military Almanac by Tamar A
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Factors Influencing Russian Force Modernization Dr
Changing Character of War Centre Pembroke College, University of Oxford With Axel and Margaret Ax:son Johnson Foundation Factors Influencing Russian Force Modernization Dr. Lester Grau and Charles K. Bartles1 September 2018 A wide-spread Russian perception is that Russia is back as a significant Eurasian power whose opinions and desires need to be understood and accommodated. Russia has regained its national pride, confidence and sense of destiny. Russia still feels threatened from the south and the west and is taking political and military steps to deal with that unease. Historically, Russia feels most secure when it has a strong leader and a strong military. Russians are willing to forego much in order to ensure their security. There are perceived internal and external threats to the Russian state and Russia is addressing these through military reform, military restructuring, force modernization, equipment modernization as well as domestic security restructuring and modernization. Understanding those factors that drive these actions facilitates and potential forms of future war may assist understanding Russian official statements and actions. External Factors The Character of Future War Russia and the Soviet Union have always been primarily a ground power, with the Navy and Air Force functioning as supporting services. After the Second World War, the Soviets believed that future modem warfare would closely resemble the battles they had fought in the last years of the war, albeit with nuclear weapons.2 The military that the Russian Federation inherited in the 1990s had a bloated command structure designed for the command and control of literally thousands of divisions, regiments, and battalions, with the vast majority of these units being ‘skeleton units’ manned by small cadres that would help flesh out the unit with conscripts and reservists in the event of a mass mobilization. -
Kazakhstan Missile Chronology
Kazakhstan Missile Chronology Last update: May 2010 As of May 2010, this chronology is no longer being updated. For current developments, please see the Kazakhstan Missile Overview. This annotated chronology is based on the data sources that follow each entry. Public sources often provide conflicting information on classified military programs. In some cases we are unable to resolve these discrepancies, in others we have deliberately refrained from doing so to highlight the potential influence of false or misleading information as it appeared over time. In many cases, we are unable to independently verify claims. Hence in reviewing this chronology, readers should take into account the credibility of the sources employed here. Inclusion in this chronology does not necessarily indicate that a particular development is of direct or indirect proliferation significance. Some entries provide international or domestic context for technological development and national policymaking. Moreover, some entries may refer to developments with positive consequences for nonproliferation. 2009-1947 March 2009 On 4 March 2009, Kazakhstan signed a contract to purchase S-300 air defense missile systems from Russia. According to Ministry of Defense officials, Kazakhstan plans to purchase 10 batteries of S-300PS by 2011. Kazakhstan's Air Defense Commander Aleksandr Sorokin mentioned, however, that the 10 batteries would still not be enough to shield all the most vital" facilities designated earlier by a presidential decree. The export version of S- 300PS (NATO designation SA-10C Grumble) has a maximum range of 75 km and can hit targets moving at up to 1200 m/s at a minimum altitude of 25 meters. -
Twentieth Air Force - from B-29S to Icbms a Proud Past…A Bright Future
Twentieth Air Force - From B-29s To ICBMs A Proud Past…A Bright Future by Major General Tom Neary Commander, Twentieth Air Force THE TWENTIETH AIR FORCE LEGACY As I come to work each day, I pass a picture gallery of the former Commanders of Twentieth Air Force. From it, the faces of great leaders like Hap Arnold, Curtis LeMay, and Nathan Twining remind me of the rich heritage of this numbered air force. The great warfighting organization these magnificent Air Force pioneers organized and led during World War II lives on today as "America’s ICBM Team"--modern day professionals carrying on the legacy of air power excellence born in the South Pacific in 1944. We remain linked to the original Twentieth Air Force in many ways. Pictured are Lieutenant Fiske Hanley, WW II veteran, and Captain Keith McCartney, 341st Space Wing, Malmstrom AFB MT. They are past and present representatives of the thousands of courageous airmen who founded, formed and now carry on our superb legacy. Although separated by five decades of history, Hanley and McCartney understand full well how crucial their missions were, and now are to the security of America. They also share another important linkage in history. While Fiske Hanley’s Twentieth Air Force of 1945 employed nuclear weapons to stop a horrible world war, Captain Keith McCartney stands alert in today’s Capt Keith McCartney in command Twentieth Air Force committed to preventing war at a Minuteman III launch control through nuclear deterrence and professional stewardship console of America’s nuclear arsenal. With our legacy as a preface, I invite you to join me on a journey through Twentieth Air Force--from the South Pacific in 1944, to the ICBM fields of rural America today, and on to our bright future as a relevant and important part of America’s national security team. -
Reagan and the Soviet Union: Competing Military Strategies, 1980-1988
4 Reagan and the Soviet Union: Competing Military Strategies, 1980-1988 David M. Glantz This essay evaluates the policies and military strategy introduced by U.S. Pres- ident Ronald Reagan vis-à-vis the Soviet Union, within the context of over forty years of intense strategic competition called the Cold War. The Cold War remained “cold” because the two competing countries emerged from the World War as victorious superpower with unchallenged military capabilities and un- precedented territories either under their control or within their spheres of in- fluence. Despite sharply differing ideologies and political systems, the United States and Soviet Union understood the risks and potential costs of war, espe- cially after both became atomic powers by the late 1940s. Both recognized that deliberately unleashing a world war was no longer a rational act. Given this unique constraint, the ensuing completion became a prolonged game of strategic “cat and mouse,” as the two counties jockeyed with each other for a more advantageous position militarily, politically, and economically. The instruments of this game were specific military strategies governing the nature of the competition and setting limits on the countries’ military actions, all of which acknowledged that the nuclear balance was quite literally a mutually-rec- ognized balance of terror. David M. Glantz, “Reagan and the Soviet Union: Competing Military Strategies, 1980-1988,” Essay, Enduring Legacy Project, John A. Adams ’71 Center for Military History & Strategic Analysis, Virginia Military Institute, 2014. 2 Conventional wisdom concerning the Cold War maintains that this “cat and mouse” game played out successfully, that is, relatively peacefully, because neither side was willing to violate the constraints imposed by this balance of ter- ror. -
Critical Factors for the New Start Extension1
CRITICAL FACTORS FOR THE NEW START EXTENSION1 Victor Esin2 In the current circumstances, the preservation of the New START treaty, signed by Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and US President Barack Obama in Prague on April 8, 2010, is probably the only realistic chance to ensure an acceptable level of strategic stability in US-Russian relations in the immediate term. The stabilizing influence of this Treaty is obvious because the ceilings on strategic offensive weapons and the transparency measures agreed under New START limit Russian-US rivalry in the area of strategic nuclear arms, when tensions between Moscow and Washington are running high.3 Cooperation in the framework of the New START verification mechanisms, including on-site inspections, has become even more important because following the collapse of the INF Treaty on August 2, 2019, mutual trust is severely undermined. Without an extension, New START is currently due to expire on February 5, 2021. Under the terms of Article XIV of the Treaty, should the parties agree to an extension, such an extension cannot be longer than 5 years. Do the two parties to the Treaty have any motivation to preserve it by means of extension? I believe the answer is yes, for both Russia and the United States. Russia seeks to limit Washington’s freedom to ramp up the US strategic nuclear arsenal so as not to be dragged into another unrestrained nuclear arms race. If the United States were no longer bound by the terms of New START, it would be able rapidly to increase the number of its nuclear warheads installed on deployed ICBMs from the current 400 to 800 thanks to its existing upload potential. -
Soviet Wartime Management: the Role of Civil Defense in Leadership Continuity
,...- "'<;.' Ull C.:~Ul" U I .: ..2l. '\:: Central S GkJ ~ Intelligence ~~ Soviet Wartime Management: The Role of Civil Defense in Leadership Continuity Interagency Intelligence Memorandum Volume II-Analysis CIA HISTORiCAL REViEW PROGRAM RELEASE AS SANITIZED Tett Seeret Nll!M 8J-10005JX TCS J6tJI~J December 1983 rn"'' ~,... .._ Top Seuei Nl liM 83-10005JX SOVIET WARTIME MANAGEMENT: THE ROLE OF CIVIL DEF~NSE IN LEADERSHIP CONTINUITY VOLUME II-ANALYSIS Information available as of 25 October 1983 was used in the preparation of this Memorandum. TG& &GQl 8& TeF3 6cu et Tep Sec•o4 CONTENTS Page PURPOSE AND SCOPE....................................................................................... ix KEY JUDGMENTS ............................................................................................... 1 CHAPTER I. SOVIET STRATEGY FOR WARTIME MANAGEMENT...... I-1 A. Soviet Perceptions of Nuclear War ........................................................ I-1 B. Organizational Concepts.......................................................................... I-I CHAPTER II. WARTIME MANAGEMENT STRUCTURE........................... Il-l A. Influence of World War II ............................... :...................................... Il-l B. Peacetime Organizations and F~nctions ................................................ Il-l C. Organizations for the Transition to Wartime........................................ II-7 USSR Defense Council ........................................................................ II-7 Second Departments -
Operational-Strategic Commands
Yeltsin's Latest Military Reform Initiative: OperationalOperational---StrategicStrategic Commands Eva Busza November 1998 PONARS Policy Memo 44 College of William and Mary This fall the Yeltsin administration announced a new military reform initiative: the transformation of existing military districts into operational strategic commands. While the proposed system has been adopted in order to strengthen the ability of the armed forces to maintain order on the territory and the borders of the Russian federation, the new system is likely to hinder state consolidation and undermine democratic governance. Background Russia inherited a system of military-administrative units from the Soviet Union. Until recently the country was divided into eight military districts and one special region. Each district was made up of units of the ground troops, special troops, district rear services, military educational institutions and local military command and control bodies. Air Force and Air Defense Troops units deployed in the region were often also subordinated to the district administration. The district administration was charged with carrying out operational, military-administrative, and mobilizational tasks. It was to supply logistics support to the units on its territory and to provide territorial defense. In the last five years the number of separately functioning military structures has proliferated more than 30 state military organizations are believed to exist). Some have created their own separate district organizational structure. For example, today there are seven districts of the Internal Troops of the Ministry of Interior, nine Federal Border Service districts, and nine regional centers of the Russian Ministry for Civil Defense, Emergencies and the Elimination of the Effects of Natural Disasters. -
Russian Military Strategy: Core Tenets and Operational Concepts
August 2021 Russian Military Strategy: Core Tenets and Operational Concepts Michael Kofman, Anya Fink, Dmitry Gorenburg, Mary Chesnut, Jeffrey Edmonds, and Julian Waller With contributions by Kasey Stricklin and Samuel Bendett DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. DRM-2021-U-029755-Final Abstract This paper explores the core tenets of Russian military strategy and associated operational concepts, situating its role within the Russian system of knowledge on military security. Russian military leaders describe the prevailing strategy as ‘active defense,’ a strategic concept integrating preemptive measures to anticipate and prevent conflict, wartime concepts of operations that seek to deny an opponent decisive victory in the initial period of war, degrading and disorganizing their effort, while setting the conditions to attain war termination on acceptable terms. The strategy emphasizes integration of defensive and offensive operations, maneuver defense, sustained counterattack, disorganization of an opponent’s command and control, engagement of their forces throughout the theater of military action, including infrastructure in their homeland. Its theory of victory is premised on degrading the military-economic potential of opponents, focusing on critically important objects, to affect the ability and will of an adversary to sustain a fight, as opposed to ground offensives to seize territory or key terrain. The study also explores the content of Russian strategic operations, associated missions and tasks, the echelonment of Russian military concepts, together with Russian outlooks on the theory and practice of modern warfare. This document contains the best opinion of CNA at the time of issue. It does not necessarily represent the opinion of the sponsor Distribution DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. -
High Treason: Essays on the History of the Red Army 1918-1938, Volume II
FINAL REPORT T O NATIONAL COUNCIL FOR SOVIET AND EAST EUROPEAN RESEARCH TITLE : HIG H TREASON: ESSAYS ON THE HISTORY OF TH E RED ARMY 1918-193 8 VOLUME I I AUTHOR . VITALY RAPOPOR T YURI ALEXEE V CONTRACTOR : CENTER FOR PLANNING AND RESEARCH, .INC . R . K . LAURINO, PROJECT DIRECTO R PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR : VLADIMIR TREML, CHIEF EDITO R BRUCE ADAMS, TRANSLATOR - EDITO R COUNCIL CONTRACT NUMBER : 626- 3 The work leading to this report was supported in whole or i n part from funds provided by the National Council for Sovie t and East European Research . HIGH TREASO N Essays in the History of the Red Army 1918-1938 Volume I I Authors : Vitaly N . Rapopor t an d Yuri Alexeev (pseudonym ) Chief Editor : Vladimir Trem l Translator and Co-Editor : Bruce Adam s June 11, 198 4 Integrative Analysis Project o f The Center for Planning and Research, Inc . Work on this Project supported by : Tte Defense Intelligence Agency (Contract DNA001-80-C-0333 ) an d The National Council for Soviet and East European Studies (Contract 626-3) PART FOU R CONSPIRACY AGAINST THE RKK A Up to now we have spoken of Caligula as a princeps . It remains to discuss him as a monster . Suetoniu s There is a commandment to forgive our enemies , but there is no commandment to forgive our friends . L . Medic i Some comrades think that repression is the main thing in th e advance of socialism, and if repression does not Increase , there is no advance . Is that so? Of course it is not so . -
Glossary of Soviet Military and Related Abbreviations
DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY TECHNICAL MANUAL GLOSSARY OF SOVIET MILITARY AND RELATED ABBREVIATIONS DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY FFEBRUARY 1957 TM 30-546 TECHNICAL MANUAL DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY No. 30-546 WASHINGTON 25, D. C., 31 December 1956 GLOSSARY OF SOVIET MILITARY AND RELATED ABBREVIATIONS Page Transliteration table for the Russian language ......................-.. ii Abbreviations for use with this manual .......-.........................- ...... iii Grammatical abbreviations ...----------------------.....- ---- iv Foreword --------------------- -- ------------------------------------------------------- 1 Glossary of Soviet military and related abbreviations-.................-......... 3 TRANSLITERATION TABLE FOR THE RUSSIAN LANGUAGE The Russian alphabet has 33 letters, which are here listed together w [th their transliteration as adopted by the Board on Geographic Names. A a AG a P pd C °c C B B 3 e T T cAl/ r rJCT y A D d B cSe ye,et X xZ "s ts ch )K3J G "0 sh 314 C ' shch b b hi bi 'b *i, H H KG 10 10j Oo (90 51 31 1L / p ye initially, after vowel. andl after 'b, b; e e1~ewhere. When written as a in Rusoian, transliterate a5~ yii or e. Use of diacritical marks is. preferred, but such marks may be omitted when expediency (apostrophe), palatalize. a preceding consonant, giving a sound resembling the consonant plus y!, somewhat as in English meet you, did you. 3The symbol " (double apostrophel, not a repetition of the line above. No sound; used only after certain prefixe.- before the vowvel letter: c. e. 91. 10. ii ABBREVIATIONS USED IN THIS -
The Threat Environment Demands Nuclear Weapons Modernization Dr
The Threat Environment Demands Nuclear Weapons Modernization Dr. Adam Lowther Michaela Dodge Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed or implied in the Journal are those of the authors and should not be construed as carrying the official sanction of the Department of Defense, Air Force, Air Education and Training Command, Air University, or other agencies or departments of the US government. This article may be reproduced in whole or in part without permission. If it is reproduced, the Air and Space Power Journal requests a courtesy line. n 27 January 2017, President Donald J. Trump signed a national security presidential memorandum which said, “The Secretary shall initiate a new Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) to ensure that the United States nuclear de- Oterrent is modern, robust, flexible, resilient, ready, and appropriately tailored to deter 21st century threats and reassure our allies.”1 President Trump’s timing could not be more prescient for such a review. In the almost eight years since the last NPR, the threats facing the United States have changed for the worse, with the US’s nuclear-armed competitors (Russia, China, and North Korea) aggressively pursuing 4 | Air & Space Power Journal The Threat Environment Demands Nuclear Weapons Modernization developments in their weapons programs that adversely affect the credibility of American deterrence. As the Trump administration develops the next NPR during the second half of 2017, it will be important for its authors to have a firm grasp of the technological developments of the US’s nuclear competitors. Not only are they well ahead of the United States in their own modernization programs, but should Congress waiver in its commitment to replacing aging weapons systems, the United States could see itself fall behind a peer competitor like Russia. -
Soviet Strategic Rocket Forces
C011~7599 TOP SECRET Withheld under statutory authority of the Central Intelligence Agency Act of 1949 (5 TOP S~ERET U.S.C section 403 WARNING NOTIQ-INUWC•t-.;l.C ICES OR METHODS INVOLVED NOT RfUASABlf TO fORfiGH NATIONAlS) I \ THIS DOCUMENT MAY NOT -BE REPRODUCED .»·- N0•.1..7 -;:.,7-t"' DlA ~u::.1i~ - -rsr. v DECLASSIFIED UNDER AUTHORITY OF THE 24 INTERAGENCY SECURITY CLASSIFICATION APPEALS PANEL, E.O. 13526, SECTION 5.3(b)(3) ISCAP APPEAL NO. 2012-026, document no. 2 DECLASSIFICATION DATE: May 14,2015 MEMORANDUM FOR: The Director of Central Intelligence SUBJECT USSR GENERAL STAFF ACADEMY LESSON: Soviet Strategic Rocket Forces 1. The enclosed Intelligence Information Special· Report is now in preparation, classified TOP SSCHET, prepared in 1985 for Voroshilov General Staff Academy. ~------------~ 25Xl, E.0.13526 this document should be handled on a str ct need-to-know basis w thin recip ent agencies. e for Operations TS 187~ Copy I ALL PORTIONS CARRY CLASSIFICATION AND CONTROLS OF OVERALL DOCUMENT Page 1 of 13 Pages Withheld under statutory authority of the Central Intelligence Agency Act of 1949 (50 U.S.C., section 403g) TOP SECRET S:011'97599 TOP SECRET Tefl SEERET , WARNING NOTICE-INTEWGkE slutaS OR ~TttOOS INVOLVED NOT REI.USABLE TO I'OR£1GN NATION.U.SJ \ I Withheld under statutory authority of the Central Intelligence Agency Act of 1949 (50 U.S.C., section 403g) Di.stribution: The Director of Central Intelligence The Director of Intelligence and Reseanm-· Department of State The Joint Chiefs of Staff The Director, Defense Intelligence Agency The Assistant to the Chief of Staff for Intelligence Department of the Army Director of Naval Intelligence Department of the Navy The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence U.