Soviet Strategic Rocket Forces
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Factors Influencing Russian Force Modernization Dr
Changing Character of War Centre Pembroke College, University of Oxford With Axel and Margaret Ax:son Johnson Foundation Factors Influencing Russian Force Modernization Dr. Lester Grau and Charles K. Bartles1 September 2018 A wide-spread Russian perception is that Russia is back as a significant Eurasian power whose opinions and desires need to be understood and accommodated. Russia has regained its national pride, confidence and sense of destiny. Russia still feels threatened from the south and the west and is taking political and military steps to deal with that unease. Historically, Russia feels most secure when it has a strong leader and a strong military. Russians are willing to forego much in order to ensure their security. There are perceived internal and external threats to the Russian state and Russia is addressing these through military reform, military restructuring, force modernization, equipment modernization as well as domestic security restructuring and modernization. Understanding those factors that drive these actions facilitates and potential forms of future war may assist understanding Russian official statements and actions. External Factors The Character of Future War Russia and the Soviet Union have always been primarily a ground power, with the Navy and Air Force functioning as supporting services. After the Second World War, the Soviets believed that future modem warfare would closely resemble the battles they had fought in the last years of the war, albeit with nuclear weapons.2 The military that the Russian Federation inherited in the 1990s had a bloated command structure designed for the command and control of literally thousands of divisions, regiments, and battalions, with the vast majority of these units being ‘skeleton units’ manned by small cadres that would help flesh out the unit with conscripts and reservists in the event of a mass mobilization. -
Kazakhstan Missile Chronology
Kazakhstan Missile Chronology Last update: May 2010 As of May 2010, this chronology is no longer being updated. For current developments, please see the Kazakhstan Missile Overview. This annotated chronology is based on the data sources that follow each entry. Public sources often provide conflicting information on classified military programs. In some cases we are unable to resolve these discrepancies, in others we have deliberately refrained from doing so to highlight the potential influence of false or misleading information as it appeared over time. In many cases, we are unable to independently verify claims. Hence in reviewing this chronology, readers should take into account the credibility of the sources employed here. Inclusion in this chronology does not necessarily indicate that a particular development is of direct or indirect proliferation significance. Some entries provide international or domestic context for technological development and national policymaking. Moreover, some entries may refer to developments with positive consequences for nonproliferation. 2009-1947 March 2009 On 4 March 2009, Kazakhstan signed a contract to purchase S-300 air defense missile systems from Russia. According to Ministry of Defense officials, Kazakhstan plans to purchase 10 batteries of S-300PS by 2011. Kazakhstan's Air Defense Commander Aleksandr Sorokin mentioned, however, that the 10 batteries would still not be enough to shield all the most vital" facilities designated earlier by a presidential decree. The export version of S- 300PS (NATO designation SA-10C Grumble) has a maximum range of 75 km and can hit targets moving at up to 1200 m/s at a minimum altitude of 25 meters. -
Twentieth Air Force - from B-29S to Icbms a Proud Past…A Bright Future
Twentieth Air Force - From B-29s To ICBMs A Proud Past…A Bright Future by Major General Tom Neary Commander, Twentieth Air Force THE TWENTIETH AIR FORCE LEGACY As I come to work each day, I pass a picture gallery of the former Commanders of Twentieth Air Force. From it, the faces of great leaders like Hap Arnold, Curtis LeMay, and Nathan Twining remind me of the rich heritage of this numbered air force. The great warfighting organization these magnificent Air Force pioneers organized and led during World War II lives on today as "America’s ICBM Team"--modern day professionals carrying on the legacy of air power excellence born in the South Pacific in 1944. We remain linked to the original Twentieth Air Force in many ways. Pictured are Lieutenant Fiske Hanley, WW II veteran, and Captain Keith McCartney, 341st Space Wing, Malmstrom AFB MT. They are past and present representatives of the thousands of courageous airmen who founded, formed and now carry on our superb legacy. Although separated by five decades of history, Hanley and McCartney understand full well how crucial their missions were, and now are to the security of America. They also share another important linkage in history. While Fiske Hanley’s Twentieth Air Force of 1945 employed nuclear weapons to stop a horrible world war, Captain Keith McCartney stands alert in today’s Capt Keith McCartney in command Twentieth Air Force committed to preventing war at a Minuteman III launch control through nuclear deterrence and professional stewardship console of America’s nuclear arsenal. With our legacy as a preface, I invite you to join me on a journey through Twentieth Air Force--from the South Pacific in 1944, to the ICBM fields of rural America today, and on to our bright future as a relevant and important part of America’s national security team. -
Reagan and the Soviet Union: Competing Military Strategies, 1980-1988
4 Reagan and the Soviet Union: Competing Military Strategies, 1980-1988 David M. Glantz This essay evaluates the policies and military strategy introduced by U.S. Pres- ident Ronald Reagan vis-à-vis the Soviet Union, within the context of over forty years of intense strategic competition called the Cold War. The Cold War remained “cold” because the two competing countries emerged from the World War as victorious superpower with unchallenged military capabilities and un- precedented territories either under their control or within their spheres of in- fluence. Despite sharply differing ideologies and political systems, the United States and Soviet Union understood the risks and potential costs of war, espe- cially after both became atomic powers by the late 1940s. Both recognized that deliberately unleashing a world war was no longer a rational act. Given this unique constraint, the ensuing completion became a prolonged game of strategic “cat and mouse,” as the two counties jockeyed with each other for a more advantageous position militarily, politically, and economically. The instruments of this game were specific military strategies governing the nature of the competition and setting limits on the countries’ military actions, all of which acknowledged that the nuclear balance was quite literally a mutually-rec- ognized balance of terror. David M. Glantz, “Reagan and the Soviet Union: Competing Military Strategies, 1980-1988,” Essay, Enduring Legacy Project, John A. Adams ’71 Center for Military History & Strategic Analysis, Virginia Military Institute, 2014. 2 Conventional wisdom concerning the Cold War maintains that this “cat and mouse” game played out successfully, that is, relatively peacefully, because neither side was willing to violate the constraints imposed by this balance of ter- ror. -
Critical Factors for the New Start Extension1
CRITICAL FACTORS FOR THE NEW START EXTENSION1 Victor Esin2 In the current circumstances, the preservation of the New START treaty, signed by Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and US President Barack Obama in Prague on April 8, 2010, is probably the only realistic chance to ensure an acceptable level of strategic stability in US-Russian relations in the immediate term. The stabilizing influence of this Treaty is obvious because the ceilings on strategic offensive weapons and the transparency measures agreed under New START limit Russian-US rivalry in the area of strategic nuclear arms, when tensions between Moscow and Washington are running high.3 Cooperation in the framework of the New START verification mechanisms, including on-site inspections, has become even more important because following the collapse of the INF Treaty on August 2, 2019, mutual trust is severely undermined. Without an extension, New START is currently due to expire on February 5, 2021. Under the terms of Article XIV of the Treaty, should the parties agree to an extension, such an extension cannot be longer than 5 years. Do the two parties to the Treaty have any motivation to preserve it by means of extension? I believe the answer is yes, for both Russia and the United States. Russia seeks to limit Washington’s freedom to ramp up the US strategic nuclear arsenal so as not to be dragged into another unrestrained nuclear arms race. If the United States were no longer bound by the terms of New START, it would be able rapidly to increase the number of its nuclear warheads installed on deployed ICBMs from the current 400 to 800 thanks to its existing upload potential. -
Russian Military Strategy: Core Tenets and Operational Concepts
August 2021 Russian Military Strategy: Core Tenets and Operational Concepts Michael Kofman, Anya Fink, Dmitry Gorenburg, Mary Chesnut, Jeffrey Edmonds, and Julian Waller With contributions by Kasey Stricklin and Samuel Bendett DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. DRM-2021-U-029755-Final Abstract This paper explores the core tenets of Russian military strategy and associated operational concepts, situating its role within the Russian system of knowledge on military security. Russian military leaders describe the prevailing strategy as ‘active defense,’ a strategic concept integrating preemptive measures to anticipate and prevent conflict, wartime concepts of operations that seek to deny an opponent decisive victory in the initial period of war, degrading and disorganizing their effort, while setting the conditions to attain war termination on acceptable terms. The strategy emphasizes integration of defensive and offensive operations, maneuver defense, sustained counterattack, disorganization of an opponent’s command and control, engagement of their forces throughout the theater of military action, including infrastructure in their homeland. Its theory of victory is premised on degrading the military-economic potential of opponents, focusing on critically important objects, to affect the ability and will of an adversary to sustain a fight, as opposed to ground offensives to seize territory or key terrain. The study also explores the content of Russian strategic operations, associated missions and tasks, the echelonment of Russian military concepts, together with Russian outlooks on the theory and practice of modern warfare. This document contains the best opinion of CNA at the time of issue. It does not necessarily represent the opinion of the sponsor Distribution DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. -
The Threat Environment Demands Nuclear Weapons Modernization Dr
The Threat Environment Demands Nuclear Weapons Modernization Dr. Adam Lowther Michaela Dodge Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed or implied in the Journal are those of the authors and should not be construed as carrying the official sanction of the Department of Defense, Air Force, Air Education and Training Command, Air University, or other agencies or departments of the US government. This article may be reproduced in whole or in part without permission. If it is reproduced, the Air and Space Power Journal requests a courtesy line. n 27 January 2017, President Donald J. Trump signed a national security presidential memorandum which said, “The Secretary shall initiate a new Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) to ensure that the United States nuclear de- Oterrent is modern, robust, flexible, resilient, ready, and appropriately tailored to deter 21st century threats and reassure our allies.”1 President Trump’s timing could not be more prescient for such a review. In the almost eight years since the last NPR, the threats facing the United States have changed for the worse, with the US’s nuclear-armed competitors (Russia, China, and North Korea) aggressively pursuing 4 | Air & Space Power Journal The Threat Environment Demands Nuclear Weapons Modernization developments in their weapons programs that adversely affect the credibility of American deterrence. As the Trump administration develops the next NPR during the second half of 2017, it will be important for its authors to have a firm grasp of the technological developments of the US’s nuclear competitors. Not only are they well ahead of the United States in their own modernization programs, but should Congress waiver in its commitment to replacing aging weapons systems, the United States could see itself fall behind a peer competitor like Russia. -
The Russian Nuclear Arsenal
ISN ETH Zurich INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND SECURITY NETWORK THE RUSSIAN NUCLEAR ArSENAL Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND SECURITY NETWORK THE RUSSIAN NUCLEAR ARSENAL Pavel Podvig Center for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford University TABLE OF CONTENTS Arms Control Process ........................................................................................................................ 6 Structure of the Russian Nuclear Forces .................................................................................. 9 The Strategic Rocket Forces ...................................................................................................... 9 Strategic fleet .................................................................................................................................11 Strategic aviation ......................................................................................................................... 12 Early warning and missile defense ....................................................................................... 13 Tactical nuclear weapons ......................................................................................................... 15 Literature ..............................................................................................................................................16 About the Autor ................................................................................................................................ -
Strategic Missile Defense: Russian and U.S. Policies and Their Effects on Future Weapons Proliferation" (2015)
University of South Florida Scholar Commons Graduate Theses and Dissertations Graduate School 11-6-2015 Strategic Missile Defense: Russian and U.S. Policies and Their ffecE ts on Future Weapons Proliferation Diana Marie Nesbitt University of South Florida, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/etd Part of the International Relations Commons Scholar Commons Citation Nesbitt, Diana Marie, "Strategic Missile Defense: Russian and U.S. Policies and Their Effects on Future Weapons Proliferation" (2015). Graduate Theses and Dissertations. http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/etd/6002 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate School at Scholar Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Graduate Theses and Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Scholar Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Strategic Missile Defense: Russian and U.S. Policies and Their Effects on Future Weapons Proliferation by Diana M. Nesbitt A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts Department of Government and International Affairs College of Arts and Sciences University of South Florida Major Professor: Darrell Slider, Ph.D. Steven Roach, Ph.D. Earl Conteh-Morgan, Ph.D. Date of Approval: November 5, 2015 Keywords: deterrence, Phased Adaptive Approach, Foreign Policy Concept, Military Doctrine Copyright © 2015, Diana M. Nesbitt DEDICATION I would like to dedicate this thesis to all of my family and friends who have helped and supported me in my academic career. Without the tireless backing of especially my mother, father, and brothers, this journey would not have been possible. -
SIPRI Yearbook 2021, Chapter 10, World Nuclear Forces
SUBJECT TO FINAL FORMATTING. 10. World nuclear forces Overview At the start of 2021, nine states—the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, Israel and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK, or North Korea)—possessed approximately 13 080 nuclear weapons, of which 3825 were deployed with operational forces (see table 10.1). Approximately 2000 of these are kept in a state of high operational alert. Overall, the number of nuclear warheads in the world continues to decline. However, this is primarily due to the USA and Russia dismantling retired war heads. Global reductions of operational warheads appear to have stalled, and their numbers may be rising again. At the same time, both the USA and Russia have extensive and expensive programmes under way to replace and modern ize their nuclear warheads, missile and aircraft delivery systems, and nuclear weapon production facilities (see sections I and II). The nuclear arsenals of the other nucleararmed states are considerably smaller (see sections III–IX), but all are either developing or deploying new weapon systems or have announced their intention to do so. China is in the middle of a significant modernization and expansion of its nuclear arsenal, and India and Pakistan also appear to be increasing the size of their nuclear weapon inven tories. North Korea’s military nuclear programme remains central to its national security strategy, although in 2020 it did not conduct any tests of nuclear weapons or longrange ballistic missile delivery systems. The availability of reliable information on the status of the nuclear arsenals and capabilities of the nucleararmed states varies considerably. -
Trends in Russia's Armed Forces: an Overview of Budgets and Capabilities
C O R P O R A T I O N Trends in Russia’s Armed Forces An Overview of Budgets and Capabilities Keith Crane, Olga Oliker, Brian Nichiporuk For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/RR2573 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available for this publication. ISBN: 978-1-9774-0195-3 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. © Copyright 2019 RAND Corporation R® is a registered trademark. Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute www.rand.org Preface This report documents research and analysis conducted as part of a project entitled Security in Europe in the Wake of the Ukraine Crisis: Implications for the U.S. -
Russia's New Nuclear Weapon Delivery Systems
NOVEMBER 2019 RUSSIA’S NEW NUCLEAR WEAPON DELIVERY SYSTEMS An Open-Source Technical Review Jill Hruby Sam Nunn Distinguished Fellow About the Nuclear Threat Initiative The Nuclear Threat Initiative works to protect our lives, environment, and quality of life now and for future generations. We work to prevent catastrophic attacks with weapons of mass destruction and disruption (WMDD)—nuclear, biological, radiological, chemical, and cyber. RUSSIA’S NEW NUCLEAR WEAPON DELIVERY SYSTEMS An Open-Source Technical Review Jill Hruby Sam Nunn Distinguished Fellow Copyright © 2019 Nuclear Threat Initiative This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. The views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect those of the NTI Board of Directors or the institutions with which they are associated. CONTENTS FOREWORD ................................................................... 5 NOTE FROM THE AUTHOR ........................................................ 7 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .......................................................... 8 ICBM: Sarmat . 9 Hypersonic Delivery Systems: Kinzhal, Avangard, and Tsirkon . 9 New Advanced Strategic Weapon Delivery Capabilities: Poseidon and Burevestnik . 10 INTRODUCTION ............................................................... 12 INTERCONTINENTAL BALLISTIC MISSILE ............................................ 14 Sarmat Multiple-Warhead Heavy ICBM . 14 HYPERSONIC DELIVERY SYSTEMS ................................................