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Global for Global Priorities

James A. Paul & Katarina Wahlberg

Published by Global Policy Forum, the World Economy, Ecology and Development Association (WEED) and the Heinrich Böll Foundation

March 2002

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1. Introduction

Many crises threaten a globalizing world, ity or business “partnerships.” They must including international financial instability, develop independent revenue sources to growing worldwide poverty, global warm- fund public purposes at the global level. ing, and epidemic diseases that know no boundaries. Solutions require intense inter- Taxes amounting to just 1% of world GDP national cooperation and stronger global would raise over $400 billion per year. institutions. Progress will especially de- Such a sum would meet many urgent needs mand large new financial resources – tens of while placing a very modest burden on the billions of dollars to finance global public world’s richest consumers. health, take steps towards environmental sustainability, and build programs to insure Advocates have offered dozens of proposals education and livelihoods for all. for global taxes, but two have gained special attention: a on the carbon content of Unprecedented wealth and productive commercial fuels (often called a Carbon capacity are available today, more than ever Tax), as a means to stop global warming, before in human history. Since 1950, gross and a transaction tax (often re- world product has multiplied seven times ferred to as a ), to reduce specula- and product per capita nearly three times, tion and global economic instability. both in real terms. Yet the global economy organizes a vastly unequal division of the Some day, an international political author- world’s resources, promoting private con- ity will levy global taxes, but at present a sumption and accumulation over public robust authority of this kind, with sufficient well-being. Development aid funds have accountability and enforcement powers, declined, urgent global projects have stalled does not exist. So initially, national gov- for lack of money and worthy international ernments must levy such taxes as part of an organizations like the UN have fallen prey international tax agreement. Part of the to budget caps and assessment shortfalls. funds levied will go towards global pur- poses, while part will be kept in the national Bold and innovative steps are urgently treasury. Transition towards truly global needed to tap the world’s wealth. Global taxation will await strengthened and taxes offer the most promising approach. democratized global institutions, sometime International projects and organizations can- in the future, but today we must make a start not depend solely on contributions from along the road. nation states, much less rely on private char-

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2. Background

Global taxes are not a new idea. Legal In 1977 the Washington-based Brookings scholar James Lorimer referred to the idea in Institution convened a number of meetings his 1884 book Ultimate Problems of Inter- on the subject and that same year a UN con- national Jurisprudence. Many of the most ference referred to global taxes as a possible famous economists of the earlier twentieth source of revenues to combat desertifica- 4 century likewise considered it, including tion. Soon after, the Envi- Alfred Marshall, , and ronment Programme (UNEP) published two 5 James Meade.1 Around the time of the major reports on global taxation and in United Nations’ founding in 1945, econo- 1980 the Brandt Commission issued an im- mists and policy makers often spoke of the portant, widely-read report that reviewed a need for robust international economic pol- number of global tax proposals. The Com- icy to avoid the dangers of renewed depres- mission favored taxes on international , sion and war. To them, global economic and its report concluded that “a system of management and even global wealth redis- universal and automatic contributions would tribution seemed not only desirable but a help to establish the principle of global re- logical necessity.2 sponsibility, and would be a step toward co- 6 management of the world economy.” In the 1950s and 1960s, global taxes receded from view, a casualty of the Cold War and During the 1980s, nations actually estab- fervent opposition from the United States lished one global tax – a levy on deep sea- government and many large companies. But bed mining, incorporated in the UN Law of 7 in the 1970s the idea gained momentum the Sea Convention. Scholars and policy again, among academics, NGOs and a few advocates continued to discuss other forms progressive governments, along with envi- of global taxes in international conferences 8 ronmental concerns and the concept of a and other forums. In 1992, Ruben Mendez “global commons.” Some economists pro- of the United Nations Development Pro- posed that taxes or fees on use of these re- gramme (UNDP) published a pioneering sources could help manage and preserve the treatise on International Public Finance, world’s atmosphere, land and oceans. giving prominence to tax proposals. Subse- quently, a number of prestigious reform The year 1972 proved a watershed. The UN studies raised the issue as a step to Conference on the Human Environment strengthen global institutions. recommended that the international commu- nity consider global taxes. In the same year, in a well-known later paper [Tobin (1978)]. For the economist first proposed his Club of Rome report, see Meadows et al (1972). 4 global tax on currency transactions, while See Steinberg et al (1978) and United Nations Con- ference on Desertification (1978). the Club of Rome, in its famous Limits of 5 See United Nations Environment Programme Growth report, discussed global taxes to (1978) and (1980). fund international organizations.3 6 Independent Commission (1980). 7 The Convention was adopted in April 1982 and signed by 119 nations in December. 1 Frankman (1996). 8 Tobin’s ideas were picked up by other economists, 2 C. Wilfred Jenks, T.A. Sumberg, Jan Tinbergen, including Larry Summers, later US Treasury Secre- Gunnar Myrdal and many others shared these ideas. tary, who wrote an article in 1989 favoring a tax on 3 Tobin’s proposal was first made in his Eliot Jane- financial transactions. [Summers and Summers way Lectures at Princeton. He elaborated on the idea (1989)].

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The Commission on Global Governance Finance ministries in many rich countries (1995) proposed a tax on currency transac- continued to react negatively, however. tions, a tax on multinational corporations, Corporate executives also looked askance and “user fees” for the global commons, and conservatives in the United States Con- including taxes on international airline tick- gress, led by Senator Jesse Helms, strongly ets, ocean maritime transport and ocean, objected.17 Many in Congress claimed non-coastal fishing.9 The Dag Ham- global taxes threatened US sovereignty and marskjöld Foundation report on Renewing they accused tax advocates of favoring au- the United Nations System (1994),10 the thoritarian world government.18 In 1996 Independent Commission on Population and Congress considered a bill making payment Quality of Life (1995),11 the Global Com- of US dues to the United Nations condi- mission to Fund the United Nations (1995)12 tional upon the UN abandoning efforts that and the South Centre report on UN reform “develop, advocate, promote or publicize (1996)13 also offered proposals and analysis proposals” that impose taxes or fees on US on the subject. Even within the precincts of citizens.19 The bill eventually was signed the International Monetary Fund, a serious into law on November 26, 1997.20 working paper on currency transaction taxes emerged.14 In a period of financial crisis for the United Nations, this threat immediately stifled dis- Several governments, including Austria and cussion in UN forums. UNDP quietly ended the Netherlands, studied the issue and qui- its research into the issue. Secretary General etly supported it. Within the UN system, Boutros Boutros-Ghali lost his bid for a sec- UNEP organized a conference and UNDP ond term (December, 1996), in part for this set up a research project on global taxes, reason.21 The United States also blocked which soon resulted in an influential volume European proposals for environmental taxes on The Tobin Tax (1996).15 Secretary Gen- at the talks on global climate change. The eral Boutros Boutros-Ghali gave the subject US eventually imposed a weak alternative – a highly visible boost in a famous speech at an emissions trading system – in the path- Oxford University (1996) and the UN Eco- mark Kyoto Protocol, of December, 1997. nomic and Social Council held a full debate on the subject (1996).16

9 Commission on Global Governance (1995), 217-21. 10 Childers with Urquhart (1994), 154-156. 17 Even in nations where parliaments and some mem- 11 D’Orville and Najman (1995). The report’s pref- bers of government are favorable, Finance Ministries ace states unequivocally “global problems demand have been cool. Canada is a well-known case, but global solutions and global resources.” Chancellor the same is true of and France. Helmut Kohl of Germany, among many others, en- 18 Conservative think tanks like the Heritage Founda- dorsed the study. tion were particularly vocal on the matter. 12 Harlan Cleveland et al (1995). The report was first 19 See US Senate Bill 1519, 104th Congress, 2nd Ses- published in the journal Futures in March, 1995. sion, 22 January, 1996. The item banning UN advo- 13 South Centre (1996), 88-92. cacy for global taxes was added just days after the 14 Spahn (1995). Secretary General’s Oxford speech. 15 et al (1996). The book emerged 20 The Foreign Operations, Financing, and from a conference held on October 10, 1995 by the Related Programs Appropriations Act of 1998, Public UNDP Office for Development Studies. ODS head Law No. 105-118. Inge Kaul was a leader in this field. The UNEP con- 21 There are many theories about why the US so ac- ference was held in Nairobi in February 1995. tively opposed Boutros-Ghali, but the furor in Con- 16 Speech delivered January 15, 1996. The ECOSOC gress in early 1996 over his Oxford speech on global debate took place on 11 July 1996. taxes was certainly a significant factor.

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But Washington, like the mythical King While recognizing the strong opposition to Canute, could not hold back the tide. Inter- this idea, the panel stated bluntly that the est in the subject continued to grow in every alternative, short-sighted option, leads the country, including the United States itself, world towards a far more dangerous and due to emerging awareness of AIDS, global unhappy future. The report goes on to con- warming, and other impacts of globalization sider two proposals. It views a tax on inter- on people’s lives. Citizens increasingly national currency transactions as interesting understood that the agreements signed at the but possibly flawed. It recommends instead UN global conferences of the 1990s would a tax on carbon emissions, which it says remain meaningless without the large sums would be based on the “sound and fair prin- 22 27 needed for implementation. ciple of ‘make polluters pay.’” Taking into account the cautious language of all such Well-known NGOs, like Friends of the reports, one could say that the Zedillo Panel Earth and War on Want, took up the cause. gave a solid endorsement to the idea of Grassroots movements sprang up and soon global taxes. found broad public support.23 Trade unions developed a growing interest, including the A Technical Note published about the same worldwide Public Services International.24 time by the UN Secretariat reviewed three of Scholars discussed it. Conferences prolifer- the most promising tax proposals.28 Various ated. Parliamentarians held hearings. Even side events and government reports have the influential U.S. journal Foreign Affairs considered global taxes too, including an 25 gave it space. Increasingly, parliaments excellent report on “global public goods” by and political leaders endorsed the idea.26 the Swedish Ministry of Foreign Affairs.29

In the run-up to the UN Financing for De- The time for concerted action has come. velopment (FfD) world conference, the Ze- The international community cannot allow dillo Panel Report of 2001 gave global taxes the United States government to hold the unexpected attention. Commissioned by the world hostage and block vitally-important UN Secretary General and written by an progress. Like-minded governments and international group of eminent persons, the citizen groups must advance together to- Report concluded that “there is a genuine wards the goal of global taxes. The UN has need to establish, by international consen- the authority and capacity to address this sus, stable and contractual new sources of agenda, and so to pave the way for a just and multilateral finance” – that is, global taxes. sustainable global future.

22 A recent UN report estimates that the extra cost of meeting global development targets agreed by all governments would be at least $50 billion per year. See Zedillo (2001). Environment, health and security . goals would push the figure considerably higher. 23 See below for a discussion of the -based AT- TAC movement and other grassroots initiatives. 27 Zedillo (2001), 26-27. 24 Public Services International, the international 28 United Nations, General Assembly (2001). The secretariat of workers in the public sector, was one of three proposals reviewed were: currency transaction the first high-profile unions to support the idea, giv- tax, , and aviation . ing it backing as early as the mid-1990s. 29 Sagasti and Bezanson (2001), see esp. 42-45. 25 Cooper (1998). Among the side-events, Global Policy Forum, WEED 26 See below esp. in the section on carbon taxes for and the Heinrich Böll Foundation organized an Inter- more details. national Roundtable in New York on May 5, 2001.

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3. Major Proposals

Global taxes can have three parallel pur- three years to a total 19% below the trend, poses: (1) policy steering, (2) revenue rais- before climbing again as oil prices fell.30 As ing, and (3) income re-distribution. Tax increasing carbon tax rates would push final proponents ordinarily give priority to one of prices ever higher, demand would fall, these purposes over the other two. But we though we don’t know how far and how fast will consider the triad, because public sup- this would change.31 port hinges on all three. Other proposals do not have this Pigovian We will consider in detail the two major steering function. They tax activities that proposals – a carbon tax and a currency are considered positive, such as email traffic transaction tax – looking at the policy steer- and world trade. Unlike the Pigovian pro- ing aspects, revenue raising potential, and posals, whose advocates hope the taxes will redistribution impact of each, as well as their have a direct policy impact such as reduced problems, prospects and progress. global warming, these proposals typically seek to raise revenue and may aim at policy Some of the most important tax proposals goals on the spending side – for example, hope to create a disincentive – that is, to they may seek funds for development, envi- discourage harmful activities – as taxes on ronmental protection, poverty eradication, or cigarettes and alcohol do. Taxes on carbon other programs of the United Nations. emissions and currency are both of this type. Specialists refer to a “Pigovian” tax, after the economist A.C. Pigou who first CarbCarbon Tax theorized about it, pointing out that market prices do not reflect the true costs to society and the environment of these activities. Policy Goal: Combating Global Warming

Such a tax has special features. If it succeeds Global warming, caused by human activity, very well in discouraging the unwanted ac- brings potentially far-reaching climatic and tivity, it will lose its effectiveness as a ecological disruption. If not halted, these source of revenue. Further, it may produce changes will result in rising sea levels, de- its highest potential revenue at a relatively sertification and increases in the frequency low percentage rate, creating a tradeoff be- and severity of storms, floods and drought. tween revenue and disincentive. As the rate Such new climate conditions will lead to the rises, revenue is likely to fall because use of the taxed item will decline. The interaction 30 Emissions fell from 5.329 billion tons in 1979 to between the and tax revenues will 4.933 in 1983. Trend would have produced a rise to depend on what economists call demand 6.087 billion. For the data series see Dunn (2001), 53. Most of this decline appears to have resulted elasticity: how quickly demand will decline from reduced oil use, since coal use increased. See as prices rise. UN Energy Statistics Yearbooks, various years. 31 European governments in particular have devel- Demand for fuels like oil responds relatively oped considerable experience with petroleum taxes quickly to price changes – when oil prices that have been set at rates with a major price impact. High taxes on gasoline are believed to have contrib- spiked in 1979-80, use declined significantly uted to higher European efficiency in energy use by and world carbon emissions declined for comparison with the United States. For a discussion of demand elasticities see OECD (2001).

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spread of disease, human displacement and gas would be taxed the least.37 Since fuel even the disappearance of heavily-populated use is sensitive to price, especially over areas that will submerge below the rising time, higher prices would have considerable oceans.32 impact on consumption. The tax would be based on the “polluter pays” principle. The authoritative Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) believes that Depending on the tax rate, a carbon tax average temperatures across the world will could substantially reduce the use of com- climb by several degrees over the century. mercial carbon fuels and create price- The Panel notes that already icecaps and incentives for transition to sustainable en- glaciers are melting, sea levels are rising, ergy sources, such as wind, solar and geo- and extreme weather events are occurring thermic power.38 If phased in over twenty more frequently. The IPCC concludes that years or more and coordinated with other most recent warming is “attributable to hu- public policy measures, the tax could pro- man activities.” It warns of “irreversible mote a steady transition to sustainable en- damage” and “rising socio-economic ergy alternatives. costs.”33 UNEP estimates that negative ef- fects of global warming could soar to a cost Global energy use has shifted in recent dec- of $300 billion per year.34 Carbon dioxide, ades towards more efficient, lower-carbon released from burning of hydrocarbon fuels fuels. But from 1950 to 1999, world GNP like oil, coal and natural gas, is by far the increased so dramatically that carbon release 39 most important “greenhouse gas” driving grew from 1.6 to 6.3 billion tons per year. this process.35 Scientists expect further emission increases in the decades ahead, unless nations adopt A tax on carbon content of these commercial strong policies. An IPCC study projects 12 fuels could combat global warming by re- billion tons in 2020, doubling the present ducing carbon dioxide emissions.36 Authori- rate, in the absence of substantial new meas- ties would levy such a tax in proportion to a ures.40 fuel’s carbon content. Companies extracting the fuels would pay the tax, passing it along Since carbon dioxide accumulates in the to consumers as a price increase. The tax atmosphere, and it has already reached a would fall most heavily on coal, the fuel dangerous level, carbon release should be with the most carbon content, while natural reduced dramatically, as quickly as possible. Slowing or ending the growth of emissions is not enough. A high carbon tax could take

32 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 37 Cooper (1998). Coal has a carbon content of .30 (2001a). tons per million BTU of energy output, oil .24 tons 33 Ibid. and natural gas .16 tons. 34 United Nations Environment Programme (2001) 38 See Wim C. Turkenburg, “Renewable Energy 35 Other greenhouse gasses include methane, nitrous Technologies,” in United Nations Development Pro- oxide and chlorofluorocarbons, the latter having been gramme (2000), 220-272. For hydrogen-powered reduced substantially by the Montreal Protocol of fuel cells, a possible transitional technology, see 1987 to protect the Ozone Layer. www.fuelcells,org. 36 The tax applies only to “commercial” fuels, be- 39 Dunn (2001), 52-53. Carbon emissions have de- cause fuels people collect and burn themselves, clined very slightly in the past three years, but the mainly wood, cannot be taxed. The tax would exempt IPCC projects further growth unless reduction meas- non-fuel uses, such as petroleum used to produce ures are in place. pharmaceuticals and plastics. 40 As cited in Cooper (2002), 2.

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the emissions rate back down, especially if Taking a $200 tax, and then assuming a hy- combined with eliminating subsidies for pothetical world-wide 50% decrease of car- carbon fuels.41 High taxes will be required bon emissions from present levels, we could to reach deep emissions cuts and to promote project revenue of $630 billion per year after a rapid shift to sustainable energy, even as a 15 year phase-in period.44 This sum paral- worldwide energy demand and use in- lels a model by the Organisation for Eco- creases. nomic Cooperation and Development (OECD) projecting carbon of Revenue Potential $750 billion by 2020, or about 1.3 percent of gross world product in that year. Taxes A global carbon tax, levied at a rate that raised in the US would represent about 20% would substantially discourage carbon emis- of the world total.45 sions, would produce very large revenue. There are many assumptions that enter reve- Nations have separately levied carbon-type nue projections, notably the demand elastic- taxes for many years, especially taxes on ities of carbon fuels and the time-lag that gasoline. According to an OECD study, would allow alternative energy systems to petroleum tax revenues in Germany in 1998 come into widespread use. totaled about $38 billion, while in Britain in 1995, similar levies on transportation fuel A UN paper estimates that a tax amounting came to $14 billion.46 This demonstrates the to $21 per ton of carbon (the equivalent of large revenue that a carbon tax can mobilize. 4.8 cents per gallon of gasoline) would yield And it shows that nations can move ahead $125 billion annually.42 This tax rate would with high-revenue joint carbon taxes without not be high enough to stop worldwide a universal global agreement. growth of carbon fuel, but it might be the beginning of a phased-in tax that would rise A phased-in global carbon tax would proba- steadily over a period of years. bly produce its highest revenue in a stage when carbon fuel use remained high. Later, According to the IPCC, taxes of $100 per tax rates would rise and revenue eventually ton of carbon could reduce emissions up to 5 decline. Assuming a long phase-in time and billion tons by 2020. Taking into account continued residual use of carbon fuels, the projected increases in use, however, that tax would produce hundreds of billions of reduction would still leave the world with dollars in annual revenue over a period of slightly more emissions than at present!43 A several decades. higher tax rate, perhaps $200 per ton or more, is required to produce real reductions.

41 Reduction or elimination of subsidies must accom- pany the tax, since subsidies amount to an estimated $150 billion per year, not including the transportation 44 The tax of $200 per ton of carbon would then fall sector. [United Nations Development Programme on 3 billion tons of carbon fuel content. (2000), 425]. The UK and Germany have reduced 45 Cooper (1998). coal subsidies and seen their carbon emissions drop 46 OECD (2001). According to the OECD, the reve- in the 1990s as a result [Dunn and Flavin (2002), 35]. nue from environmentally-related taxes as a share of 42 United Nations, General Assembly (2001), 3. GDP varied from about 1% in the United States, to Cooper (2002) estimates that $23 is the cost of the 2% in France, Canada and Germany, 3% in the UK, first-round of Kyoto standards. 3.5% in Norway and the Netherlands, and as high as 43 Cooper (2002), 2 5% in Denmark in 1994-98 [page 50].

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Re-distribution hind, so that a tax of this kind would impose heavier transition costs on the economies All taxes change the distribution of income least able to adapt. According to one set of and well-being. In a world of great poverty projections from the mid-1990s, China by and huge income disparities, global taxes 2015 would be emitting as much greenhouse should aim to redistribute. Yet global tax gases as the United States, and India would advocates have not given enough attention be emitting more than Japan.49 to distributional issues, which include the initial levy, its policy steering aspect, and its China has confounded standard assump- spending results.47 tions, though, by rapidly decreasing its car- bon emissions after 1996, including a major The levy outcome of a carbon tax can be shift away from coal, even while achieving mildly regressive by raising the costs of rapid economic growth.50 This shows that cooking fuel, heating fuel, and transporta- poor countries can make major changes at tion fuel for poor people. Higher fuel costs an early stage of their industrial develop- for equipment (such as irrigation ment and need not follow the European/US pumps and small tractors) can also put pres- path of energy use.51 sure on marginal farmers. Distributional effects in the global economy There have been many distribution studies in are far more complex than distribution rich countries. These suggest that distribu- within a single country. Cold-weather re- tion effects of carbon/energy taxes have gions are more likely to be negatively af- ranged from mildly regressive to mildly fected than warm-weather ones, thinly- progressive, depending on local patterns of populated than thickly-populated, and so on. energy use. Countries that have adopted The world’s poorest two billion people these taxes, such as Denmark, the Nether- scarcely use commercial fuels at all52 and lands and Germany, have typically included most poor countries import all or most of exemptions or re-distributional subsidies their commercial fuel. So carbon fuel use that lessen the impact on the poorest fami- and income from fuel-extraction vary lies and make the overall burden of the taxes greatly from one country to another. A mildly progressive48 Saudi prince, a US coal miner, and an inves- tor in Toyota would probably lose income Some critics also argue that poor countries from falling demand for carbon fuels. Gas depend more on inefficient energy systems producers would benefit in the short run at which rich countries have already left be- the expense of oil producers and especially coal producers. 47 Far-sighted advocates urge us to pay more attention to this question and warn that public attitudes to- To insure a more progressive levy outcome, wards existing (national) taxes of this kind show a carbon tax could be raised on a multi-tier potential pitfalls. Anderson (2002) raises this concern and demonstrates that in the case of Denmark the basis, with higher rates for rich countries impact of the taxes has been mildly regressive. 48 OECD (2001), 82. Studies suggest that weather 49 Cooper (2002), 3. may be a major factor. Warm-climate countries show 50 China closed an estimated 50,000 coal mines from more progressivity, while cold-climate countries 1997 to early 2000 [United Nations Development show more regressivity. The poor must heat their Programme (2000), 425]. homes, but they don’t use air conditioners. See also 51 Dunn and Flavin (2002), 35. Anderson (2002) for the distributional effects in 52 United Nations Development Programme (2000), Denmark. 419.

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and lower rates for poor countries. Studies that the nations collecting the tax would are needed to insure both effectiveness and agree to forward a substantial portion like fairness of the tax and to win the greatest 50% to a global fund, strongly redistributive public support for the tax plan. effects could result. Such a fund could target support for low-income households. The The policy outcomes suggest a more strong- fund could also help to better distribute ly progressive effect of the tax, especially in world energy resources by helping poor the long term. By mitigating global warm- communities obtain low cost solar panels ing, the tax would protect the poor who are and wind generators. especially exposed to negative effects such as disease, drought, storms, and flooding. Considering all three aspects of the tax Peasants living in flood-prone Bangladesh (levy, policy, spending), on a global basis, would certainly be great beneficiaries. Citi- the tax promises to be progressive in its zens of small island nations, threatened by overall effect. Advocates must devote more the rise of sea levels, would benefit immeas- attention and study to the distributional is- urably. The IPCC has concluded unequivo- sue, however, to insure that progressive ef- cally that “The impacts of climate change fects will be maximized and harmful regres- will fall disproportionately upon developing sive effects in local cases reliably overcome. countries and poor persons within countries and thereby exacerbate inequities in health Problems and Likely Opposition status and access to adequate food, clean water and other resources.” 53 Some opponents argue that the Kyoto re- gime of emissions trading takes care of car- Other policy dimensions of distribution bon emissions, making the idea of a carbon arise. As a carbon tax is imposed, prices of tax obsolete. This is not true. Emissions solar and wind generators of electricity trading is a seriously flawed concept, that would likely decline due to intensified re- gives advantages to the biggest polluter search and longer production runs. This countries and the big energy companies.55 could bring help bring affordable energy to At best it will have only a limited capacity poor people in remote villages and raise to reduce worldwide greenhouse gas emis- their standards of living. Carbon taxes sions. A carbon tax is a fairer, more effi- would lessen urban sprawl and so reduce cient policy tool that would speed progress pressure on the land of poor farmers. Car- towards Kyoto and Rio goals. bon taxes could also lower health costs, by reducing, among other things, particulate By raising prices of commercial hydrocar- pollution (the OECD report, in discussing bon fuels, the carbon tax theoretically might distributional effects, notes that poor people boost use of wood as an energy source, are nearly always more exposed to the bad along with increases in demand for nuclear effects of emissions).54 and hydroelectric energy, as substitutes for taxed fuels. Though wood is a carbon fuel, The spending outcomes promise important authorities cannot tax most of its use, be- re-distributional effects as well. Assuming

55 Emissions trading favors the status quo by giving 53 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change out trading permits based on current emissions levels. (2001b), 88. The issue of distribution is raised in ch. An initial issuing price of the permits is the only 5, 87-90. occasion when public revenues can be raised. See 54 Ibid. Baumert (1998a), Cooper (1996), Cooper (2002).

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cause consumers tend to harvest and use it cost of well under 1%57 and a UN paper directly for their own needs. Nuclear power affirms that in most cases “administrative and hydro-electricity are not carbon emis- and compliance costs of the extra taxation sion sources at all. A shift towards these would be negligible.”58 three energy forms would put pressure on forests, raise the danger of radioactivity and The carbon tax’s main problem is not tech- dam more of the world’s wild rivers. But nical but political – the staunch opposition other offsetting factors would likely enter of a number of enormously powerful global the equation. industries, notably transportation equipment manufacturers like General Motors and Carbon taxes would promote development Ford, petroleum producers like ExxonMobil of cheaper sustainable energy sources. Elec- and Royal Dutch Shell, and energy produc- tricity prices from wind mills and solar ers like Enron and Dynergy, all closely tied thermal generators are now beginning to be to the carbon-energy system. Among the competitive with carbon-fuel generated largest companies in the world, they have power. They may already be cheaper than great political influence, particularly over some nuclear generated energy prices and two key players: the United States and Brit- may eventually be cheaper than hydroelec- ain.59 tric.56 Probably, then, falling prices for sus- tainable energy will undercut substitution These companies sell mass-consumption effects from these unsustainable energy products, however, so they are vulnerable to sources and steadily lower their use. consumer attitudes and pressures. BP’s ad- vertising campaign, which insists that the Some critics argue that carbon taxes would company is looking ”Beyond Petroleum,” be difficult to collect, but few tax experts reflects corporate awareness of this looming take this argument seriously. Tax authori- challenge and offers hope that mass cam- ties would levy carbon taxes directly on the paigns and consumer pressure can blunt sale of carbon fuels, thus collection of car- corporate opposition. A Greenpeace cam- bon taxes would be as easy as value-added paign against Shell in Europe provides a taxes or sales taxes. Because VAT taxes are glimpse of this strategy, which may have already in widespread use, and because sell- caused Shell and some other companies to ers almost everywhere use computerized soften (though not abandon) their opposition systems, adding this collection item would to environmental policies. not impose much difficulty or extra cost. European experience suggests a collection Oil and gas producing nations also oppose this tax, which they see as a threat to their production revenues. Russia, Britain, Nor- way, Mexico, Nigeria, Indonesia, Iran and 56 Flavin (2000), 56. Flavin cites estimates from the the United States are all producers with a big US Department of Energy that wind power now costs 4-6 cents per kilowatt hour, about the same as new gas- and coal-fired plants. In Flavin (2001a) the 57 See OECD (2001) for a discussion of tax admini- author claims that some wind power electricity was stration issues and costs. produced in 2000 in the western United States at half 58 United Nations, General Assembly (2001) 3-4, the price of electrical power from ordinary fuels. quote: 4. Photovoltaic power is more expensive than wind, but 59 Enron is no longer a force, after its collapse in late falling in price, while solar thermal electricity is now 2001, but public inquiries have shown how intensely close to market prices. For broad cost comparisons, it lobbied for a carbon-friendly energy policy and see United Nations Development Programme (2000). against global agreements like Kyoto.

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stake in the carbon energy system. But rents, emerged.61 The OECD, UNEP, UNDP, and taxes and other revenues from fuel extrac- the Commission on Sustainable Develop- tion do not always better the lives of ordi- ment have all made or commissioned stud- nary citizens. Further, most of the world’s ies.62 Many scholars and environmental nations lack domestic coal, oil and gas. scientists have supported the idea, one of the They have plenty of sun and wind, though, most prominent being Richard Cooper, Boas for sustainable power generation. They Professor of International Economics at would clearly benefit from a shift in the Harvard University, whose essay advocating global energy system and they might even- a carbon tax appeared during 1998 in For- tually prove to be strong supporters of a eign Affairs, an influential US foreign policy carbon tax proposal. journal.63

Progress The UN Zedillo Panel, whose members from a range of countries included Robert The European Union has been interested in Rubin, former US Secretary of the Treasury, coordinated energy policies, including taxes endorsed the carbon tax, saying that it had on petroleum and even carbon taxes. For ”promise” and that governments should give this reason, EU negotiators favored a tax- it serious consideration. based regime at Kyoto, rather than the emis- sions-trading system that ultimately Public awareness of global warming is emerged. Because the EU is already rela- growing steadily. Political leaders are mov- tively energy efficient, globally-agreed car- ing towards serious action. Pressure in favor bon taxes would be less of a burden than in of the carbon tax will continue to mount. 60 the US. In fact six European states, five of Governments should see the World Summit them EU members – Denmark, Finland, for Sustainable Development in Johannes- Germany, the Netherlands, Norway and burg (August-September 2002) as an impor- Sweden, – have already levied en- tant opportunity for action. A political bloc ergy/carbon taxes at the national level. The is forming that will steadily overcome oppo- EU is some distance from implementing its nents and implement the tax. own carbon tax, but its members, including even Britain, favor energy taxes as a path towards energy efficiency and environ- CurrencyCurrency TransactionTransaction TaxTax mental stewardship. Policy Goal: Reducing Currency Specula- No mass campaign has emerged to promote tion and Financial Instability a carbon tax, but the broad-based environ- ment movement has shown considerable Every business day, traders at banks around interest in this idea, lobbied for it and pro- the world exchange more than $1 trillion in duced policy papers and proposals. Friends . Less than 20% of these transac- of the Earth, War on Want, and the Wupper- tal Institute, among others, have actively 61 The Annual Global Conference on Environmental promoted it. Networks of environmental Taxation which brings scholars together from many groups have pressed for it at global confer- countries. First held in Cleveland (USA) in 2000, it ences. A regular series of Global Confer- was held in Vancouver (Canada) in 2001 and will be ences on Environmental Taxation have em- held in Woodstock, Vermont (USA) in 2002. 62 See, for example, OECD (1997) and OECD (2001). 60 Baumert (1998a). 63 Cooper (1998).

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tions are necessary to cover international barely prevented a serious international fi- trade and travel, long-term investment and nancial crisis.67 financial liquidity. The remainder covers various kinds of speculation on currency Nearly two decades earlier, in 1972, Profes- price changes. This speculation often results sor James Tobin of Yale, later a Nobel lau- in currency runs, financial crises, collapse of reate, first anticipated the dangers of open economies and hardship to millions of peo- currency markets and proposed a small tax ple, as well as dangerous instability in the on currency in order, as he said, to whole world financial system. 64 “throw sand in the wheels” of the markets, Currency speculation often drives down the slow down speculation, promote long-term price of local currencies, precipitating finan- investing, and give governments more cial crises such as those in Mexico (1994), autonomy in their monetary policy.68 After East Asia (1997-98), Russia (1998), Brazil the demise of the Bretton Woods currency- (1999), Turkey (2000) and system in the early 1970s, new market con- (2001). This has caused broad instability in ditions69 and very high profits from currency the global economy and harmed millions of trading pushed volumes steadily upwards – people, where local economies suffered deep from a turnover of $16 trillion per year in declines.65 Central Banks could not defend 1970 to nearly $30 trillion in 1983. their own currencies during these specula- tive attacks, because speculators could mo- As financial companies adopted computer- bilize enormous loans for short-term, high- driven trading systems in the 1990s, the pace profit moves in the markets. of trading grew still faster, because complex programs required huge trading volume to Even the speculators could lose in this high- realize profits on small-margin trades. By stakes gambling game, however. Baring 1992, annual trading had grown to $148 Brothers, one of the most venerable London trillion. In that year, speculation by George firms, collapsed in February 1995 after a Soros’ Quantum Fund forced the devalua- single trader in its Singapore office took tion of the British pound, while making a risky positions that ran up $1 billion in profit of more than $5 billion in just a few losses.66 The USA-based Long Term Capi- tal Management hedge fund lost on an even larger scale in computer-driven currency 67 Dunbar (2000). LTCM’s positions were leveraged trading schemes, and the whole firm sud- at 25-times the firm’s capitalization. When the firm denly collapsed with tens of billions in paper collapsed, its exposure in the markets was about $1 trillion, of which $750 billion in interest rate swaps. losses in October 1998. Last-minute inter- [Tsatsaronis (2000), 67]. More recently, in February vention by the US Federal Reserve Bank, 2002, a trader at a Baltimore (US) affiliate of the which organized a bailout by creditors, Allied Irish Banks ran up $750 million in currency trading losses before being discovered. 68 Tobin (1974). The idea had its origin Keynes’ 64 Only 2% of the volume covers the needs of trade. General Theory (1936), which discussed slowing Most transactions are unnecessary and damaging, in down domestic markets through a transaction tax to the view of Tobin and many other experts. Wahl and encourage long-term investment values. See 1964 Waldow (2001), 5, estimate that 80% of the trading edition, 159-60. volume is accounted for by arbitrage and speculation. 69 69 Governments deregulated their financial sector, Annualized daily volume was over $1.5 trillion in lifted exchange controls and allowed currencies to 1998 and in 2001 about $1.3 trillion. “float.” International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan 65 See Hayward (1999). conditions imposed reforms of this type on many 66 A Daiwa Bank branch in New York suffered $1.1 poor countries, with weak and undeveloped financial billion in trading losses, also revealed in 1995. systems and shaky currencies.

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days.70 By 1998, feverish speculation by stop trading when sudden large price move- computer-driven investors had pushed the ments occur. This tier would discourage level of transactions to $373 trillion.71 speculative currency runs, for which a low rate would not be sufficient disincentive. Since then, trading has fallen to about $322 trillion by 2001, due to the introduction of The two-tier tax would favor long-term in- the Euro, banking concentration and other vestments and loans, discouraging short- factors.72 Growth will probably resume, term activity and sudden, destabilizing price though. Even if future growth slows, overall changes. Rapid, irrational “herd behavior” volume will remain dangerously high and by speculators could no longer do serious prone to speculative runs and damaging damage. The tax would provide stability to volatility. the global financial system and promote conditions more favorable for development. A (CTT or “Tobin Tax” as it is often called) could Revenue Potential lower trading volume, speculation and vola- tility by imposing a small tax of less than Taxes on currency transactions could raise 1% on each trade.73 Such a tax would not large revenue, even if they lowered transac- slow world trade in goods and services or tions by 50% or more. Researchers have long-term investments, but it would reduce estimated revenue based on various assump- much of the arbitrage trading that seeks tions such as different tax rates and different profits from very small differences in cur- impacts on trading levels. Estimates also rency prices. Some think that a tax as low make different assumptions about how many as 0.1% could substantially reduce arbitrage transactions would escape taxation (through activity. use of new financial instruments, tax havens, etc.). A tax of 0.2%, with a hypothetical Paul-Bernd Spahn74 contributed an impor- 50% reduction in transactions from the cur- tant new element to the proposal in 1996 by rent level of about $300 trillion would result suggesting that the tax should include a sec- in annual revenue of about $300 billion. A ond, much-higher rate that would come into tax of just 0.05% with a 50% tax-induced force whenever signs of major speculation reduction of transactions and non- arise – when price movement exceeds a pre- participation by the U.S. and the U.K. (fur- established limit. This second-tier tax would ther 50% reduction) would still produce a 75 act like stock market “circuit-breakers” that hefty $38 billion.

70 Tsatsaronis (2001), 66. Eventually currency transactions may dimin- 71 Wahl and Waldow (2001), 5, citing the 1998 An- ish as the dollar and the euro gain wider use nual Report of the Bank for International settlements. and national currencies decline. In the mean- 72 Galati (2001). One factor, the pullback of hedge time, the CTT will prove a very large source funds after the meltdown of Long Term Capital Man- agement, resulted from huge losses in Russia for Quantum, Tiger and others. For hedge funds see 75 A number of different revenue figures have been Tsatsaronis (2001). projected, based on different assumptions. Spahn 73 Tobin initially proposed 0.5% but some advocates (2002) estimates a tax levied throughout the EU and now favor rates as low as 0.1% [the rate would be Switzerland (including the UK), at the rate of 0.1%, doubled by a “round-trip” speculative transaction]. to yield 17-20 billion euros or about $16 billion, 74 Spahn is a professor of economics at while the UN study [United Nations, General As- University and an IMF consultant. See Spahn (1995) sembly (2001)] estimates a universal tax at the 0.1% as well as his later papers Spahn (1996) and (2002). rate yielding $132 billion.

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of revenue, yielding tens of billions annually the other financial center countries in favor for global public purposes. of projects in low-income nations. If 25- 50% of the revenue would benefit citizens of Re-distribution poor nations, the result would be strongly progressive on a global basis. The levy outcome of a currency transaction tax would yield far more progressive results Overall, then, this tax promises progressive than the carbon tax, because the CTT di- re-distributional effects in all three of its rectly affects mostly financial companies. outcomes. Travelers and workers sending remittances would pay an extremely small sum towards Problems and Opposition the tax, a sum that would be more than off- set by falling currency exchange transaction Critics sometimes insist that tax authorities costs as banks wire themselves together would find it difficult to collect a CTT, es- across the globe. While non-financial firms pecially because traders would invent means can be expected to pass along some of the to avoid it through (1) creation of non- tax’s effect in the form of higher prices, it taxable instruments, such as special deriva- appears that only very slight additional costs tives, and (2) use of tax-free havens such as would be borne by poor persons. offshore centers to shelter their trades. Rodney Schmidt and other proponents of the The policy outcome of the CTT would be tax have made convincing proposals that strongly redistributive, since the tax would would block these and other avoidance dampen speculation and avoid financial and schemes, by, among other things, (1) taxing economic instability that impose such a inter-bank or ”wholesale” transactions in the heavy cost on ordinary people in affected major vehicle currencies at the point of set- countries. tlement and (2) imposing a penalty tax on transactions with jurisdictions not imposing The spending outcome has a problematic the tax. The literature on this subject is very aspect anticipated by Tobin, since currency substantial.76 exchange transactions are concentrated in just a few countries. Britain accounts for Because the tax could be levied by making 32% of all global currency trades, the United small changes in computer program at a few States ranks second at 18%, Japan third at major financial institutions, the cost of set- 8% and Singapore fourth at 7%. The US, ting up and administering the tax would be Japan and the European Union together ac- small and compliance easy to monitor.77 A count for about 75% of global trades, with UN paper concludes that this tax would be Switzerland, Hong Kong and Singapore “administratively inexpensive” and that its accounting for another 15%. “compliance costs would be low.”78

A tax entirely kept by these governments would not promote global re-distribution, 76 See Mahbub ul Haq et al (1996), 109-158 and though it would promote re-distribution particularly Schmidt (1999). within their borders. An effective plan for a 77 Wahl and Waldow (2001), 9-10, discusses feasibil- global CTT should incorporate national con- ity, calling attention to the increasingly centralized interbank payments system, using such vehicles as tributions to a global fund that would redis- Target (Germany), Fedwire (US) and CHAPS (UK) tribute tax revenue away from Britain and as well as the international SWIFT system. 78 United Nations, General Assembly (2001), 5.

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Could the tax be levied in the absence of the NGO movement has propelled the proposal United States and the UK, where opposition forward, eliciting increasing support from seems most intractable? Some believe that political leaders, parliamentarians, trade only a universal tax would be possible, but unionists, journalists and intellectuals. many advocates think that a group of coun- tries could introduce the tax, just as stock NGO initiatives sprang up almost simulta- transfer taxes were unilaterally introduced neously within a short period.81 ATTAC, a some years ago. Because the European Un- mass membership campaign, has now grown ion and Japan-Singapore-Hong Kong to- faster than even optimistic advocates ex- gether represent about 75% of global trans- pected. Affiliates have sprung up in 26 actions, advocates hope that this zone could countries and ATTAC now boasts thousands begin with a joint tax, which many other of members and it wields noticeable political countries would join. More modestly, the influence. Other organizations with strong German Development Ministry has pub- programs and leadership roles on CTTs in- lished a report proposing a currency tax clude the Halifax Initiative (Canada), the within the EU and Switzerland. 79 Tobin Tax Initiative (US), War on Want (UK), International Cooperation for Devel- The tax faces strong opposition from finan- opment and Solidarity (Europe), 11.11.11 cial institutions, especially those most ac- (), WEED (Germany), AFRODAD tively engaged in currency trading. These (Africa) and Focus on the Global South institutions make very large profits each (Thailand).82 year through their currency desk operations – perhaps as much as $150 billion according The NGO alliance includes a large presence to Wahl and Waldow80 – including both the of trade unions and church groups. The lower-margin arbitrage profits and the World Council of Churches endorsed the higher-margin profits from speculative currency transaction tax at its world assem- transactions. The bankers fear much of bly in 1998. The German and US trade these profits would disappear under such a union confederations and the International tax, if it were to be universal. Since these Confederation of Unions now financial institutions are among the world’s support the tax, as do Public Services Inter- most powerful companies, they can mobilize national and the International Metalworkers’ great political resources in opposition. Confederation. Many of these companies depend on mass consumer markets, though, so pressure from As the movement has picked up steam and consumer campaigns might lessen their op- gained mass backing, politicians and public position, tilting the balance towards tax pro- figures have expressed growing interest. ponents Jacques Delors, former President of the European Commission has commented fa- Progress vorably, as has Gareth Evans, former For-

Though Tobin first proposed the idea thirty 81 Global Policy Forum’s web information program years ago, it has only recently gained on the Tobin Tax in the spring of 1998 coincided worldwide attention. A large and growing with the foundation of the Tobin Tax Initiative (US) and ATTAC (France). 82 Hundreds of NGOs have endorsed the CTT, 79 Spahn (2002). including Mani Tese, Third World Network, Oxfam 80Wahl and Waldow (2001), 13, assume an average Great Britain, Earth Action, Christian Aid, EURO- profit of 0.005% on turnover of $300 trillion DAD, WILPF, and the World Federalists.

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eign Minister of Australia; and Barber adopting the tax in principal.90 In a number Conable, former President of the World of other European countries, parliamentary Bank.83 President François Mitterrand of questions and draft bills call for the tax or France promoted it at the World Summit for for a study of its feasibility. The UK House Social Development in 1995. of Commons has held several debates on the matter and a six-party coalition of back- More recently, the Finnish and Belgian gov- benchers pressed the government for ac- ernments have backed it. The President of tion.91 In the European Parliament, a draft Brazil and the Prime Minister of India have resolution favoring a CTT missed a majority given it their blessing.84 The German gov- by only six votes in early 2000.92 Even ernment has shown an interest and the members of the US congress have intro- Swedish has said it may be duced a supportive bill.93 necessary.85 Even the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer has said his government has an Governments are clearly getting serious “open mind” on the matter.86 And George about the possibility of this tax. It has Soros, the man who made billions by specu- moved into the realm of expert ministry lating against currencies, has now come out studies and preparatory investigations. The in favor.87 Finance Ministries of France and Finland published studies in 2000 and the UK French Prime Minister Lionel Jospin an- Treasury is doing its own investigation nounced in a television speech on August (2001-02). In early 2002, the German De- 2001 that his government supports the CTT. velopment Ministry published an important A cartoon in a Paris satirical weekly showed report by Paul-Bernd Spahn on the CTT and Jospin’s rival, the French president, saying the European Commission issued a major contentedly “Chirac rhymes with AT- study on globalization that referred at length TAC!”88 to the potential of a currency tax.94

More than 800 parliamentarians from five Though many powerful forces still stand continents have signed an international ap- opposed to taxing currency transactions, the peal favoring the tax. In March, 1999, the movement is gaining ground. Those that Canadian parliament voted overwhelmingly formerly opposed it unconditionally, like the for a CTT motion.89 In November 2001, the IMF and the Bank for International Settle- French National Assembly passed a law ments, now grudgingly admit that it may have merits. A softening position by the UK Treasury shows how far we have come. 83 Ul Haq, et al, p. i. Each new adds momentum 84 ATTAC (2001). and a sense of urgency. Soon, perhaps, a 85 For the Swedish Central Bank statement see serious move towards adoption may get un- Reuters (2002). der way. 86 Brown (2001). The UK government remains offi- cially opposed to a CTT, but Development Secretary Clare Short favors the idea and Chancellor of the 90 Galut (2001). Exchequer Gordon Brown appears to be cautiously 91 Barnes (2002). considering it. See Financial Times (2001) and 92 The vote took place on January 20. Barnes (2002). 93 Rep. Peter DeFazio and Sen. Paul Wellstone intro- 87 Islam (2001). duced on April 11, 2000 their “Concurrent Resolu- 88 Le Canard Enchainé, November 7, 2001. tion on Taxing Cross-Border Currency Transactions 89 The vote was 164-83. Finance Minister Paul Mar- to Deter Excessive Speculation” (H. Con. Res. 301). tin voted in favor. 94 Spahn (2002) and European Commission (2002).

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4. Other Proposals

Aviation Fuel Taxes The EU has actively discussed an aviation

Although airplane travel currently accounts fuel tax, beginning with the Dutch Presi- for only about 3% of global carbon emis- dency of 1997. Dutch transport minister sions, it is the fastest growing source of Annemarie Jorritsma suggested that the emissions. The Intergovernmental Panel on European Union introduce an aviation fuel Climate Change (IPCC) expects airplane tax unilaterally. In December 2000, the travel to account for 15% of all carbon emis- European Parliament’s Economic and sions in 2050.95 Currently, aviation fuel Monetary Affairs Committee confirmed its used in international flights is exempted support for a recommendation to allow the from fuel taxes under an international con- Member States to impose a tax on domestic vention, putting other less polluting forms of and intra EU flights. The Committee also transportation like sea and rail at a disadvan- urged the Commission to pursue negotia- tage.96 tions through the International Civil Avia- tion Organization with a view to amending the 1944 Chicago Convention, which allows A number of studies by the Organization for 98 Economic Cooperation and Development an exemption from taxes on air fuel. Aus- (OECD), the International Civil Aviation tralia and the US oppose a worldwide levy Organization (ICAO) and the IPCC have on aviation fuel, but many other countries examined taxes on aviation fuel as a means have expressed interest. to mitigate global warming and other nega- tive effects on the atmosphere including the ICAO data shows fuel costs to be somewhat ozone layer. They have concluded that a tax less than 20% of total airline turnover, on aviation fuel would make passenger and which in 1998 was close to $300 billion per freight charges somewhat more expensive, year. This would suggest a fuel cost of though a 25% fuel tax, if entirely passed about $50 billion per year. A 1998 study along to customers would only add only cited by the IPCC found that a tax of 25% about 5% to user costs and reduce demand would halve the rate of growth of fuel use, while not having substantial impact on pas- by 5-10%. Such increased fuel costs would, 99 however, create a powerful incentive to air- senger demand. Such a tax would produce lines to use fuel-efficient engines and more revenues of $12.5 billion per year. efficient aircraft design. Higher fuel prices would also increase incentives for a more This tax would generate only modest reve- efficient air traffic control system and other nue compared to the carbon tax, but such factors affecting airline emissions.97 may be its attraction. It would certainly generate far less opposition and might be a low-profile precedent for later, more ambi- tious tax plans. The decline of air travel in the wake of September 11, 2001, increased 95 ENDS Environmental Daily (1999). 96 ENDS Environmental Daily (1998). Aircraft fuel existing industry difficulties world wide. is exempted from tax under the international Chicago Until the finances of the industry improve, Convention of 1944, setting up the International Civil Aviation Organization. 97 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 98 European Report (2000). (2001a). This study of Aviation and the Global At- 99 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change mosphere contains a very useful survey of the field. (2001a).

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governments are unlikely to agree to a new In 1998, the United States persuaded the tax on aviation fuel. But projections of rapid OECD countries to impose a moratorium on growth and consolidation of the industry internet taxation, but the idea continues to suggest that it will soon again emerge as stir interest and on February 12, 2002, EU highly profitable, at which time, a tax may finance ministers approved sales taxes on again seem promising. internet transactions.102 New technology and changing politics may bring this proposal Email/Internet Taxes swiftly forward.

An email or internet tax, sometimes known Tax on World Trade as a “bit tax,” seeks to introduce a tax on the amount of data sent through the internet. A The Brandt Commission proposed this tax person sending 100 emails a day, each con- two decades ago, seeking to raise revenues taining a 10-kilobyte document, would pay a on the value of world trade. William Evan, tax of just 1 cent, according to one proposal. Professor Emeritus at the Wharton School of Business, revived the idea in an article pub- This tax does not seek to discourage use of lished in 1997 in the New York Times.103 email (though it would to some degree). Like the email tax, this tax does not seek to Rather, its proponents hope to raise funds discourage the activity it taxes. Rather, it that would be spent to narrow the “digital hopes to raise international revenue based on divide” between rich and poor. Revenues the idea that international trade and prosper- would help make email and web access ity relies on international institutions work- available in poor communities and low- ing for peace and general well being. income countries. With volume of world trade at $7.3 trillion The UNDP Human Development Report in 1998, a tax of 0.5% on the value of all 1999 mentioned such a tax.100 UNDP esti- trade activity in both goods and services mated that globally in 1996, such a tax would result in $37 billion of total annual would have yielded $70 billion.101 Since revenue. internet users now frequently send data-rich photos and large documents, transfer rates Tax on Use of the Oceans and Earth’s At- are far higher than in 1996 and the number mosphere/International Air Transport Tax of internet users has grown enormously. For these reasons, a tax should be set at a rate Environmental advocates favor taxes that well below the one UNDP first proposed. impose costs on the use of the “global com- Still, it could produce a large revenue and mons.” These taxes could reduce the nega- impact users only modestly. tive impact of heavy human use of the oceans and the atmosphere and create funds for research and preservation of these pre- 100 United Nations Development Programme (1999), 66. cious resources. Such taxes could levy in- 101 Ibid. The Report brought a sharp rebuke from the ternational air traffic, international maritime United States government in the form of a letter to traffic, and possibly also the military use of UNDP Administrator Mark Malloch Brown. Mal- the oceans and atmosphere, since military loch Brown felt compelled to reply that "UNDP does not advocate and will never advocate the establish- ment of this or any other kind of global tax.” See 102 Associated Press (2002). See also Glasner (2001). Bureau of International Organization Affairs (1999) 103 Evan made his proposal specifically to fund the and Winfield (1999). UN regular budget. See Evan (1997).

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use causes considerable damage and pollu- from various sources over the years includ- tion. ing the government of Saudi Arabia, UNEP, the UN Committee for Development Plan- Advocates have most often proposed a tax ning, the Brandt Commission and the UNDP on international air tickets and airfreight Human Development Report.108 The interna- charges. All the major studies have raised tional arms trade, only a very small fraction this idea and a recent UN paper included it of overall world trade, totaled approximately among the three most promising propos- $25-30 billion in the period 1990-2000, if als.104 Such a tax is already in force at the we take the trade in ”major conventional national level. Governments and airport weapons” as the benchmark.109 A tax of 5% authorities commonly levy charges that air- on this trade would yield about $1.2 billion, lines pass along in ticket prices or airfreight assuming a small trade reduction due to the bills. Such charges amounted to $6.7 billion effects of the tax. in the United States alone in 1998. One estimate based on 1989 data, suggested that The United Nations Register of Conven- a 1% tax could yield revenue of $1 bil- tional Arms, decided in 1991 by the General lion.105 The Air Transport Action Group Assembly, gathers information on the arms reports total 1998 world airline industry trade that could plausibly be used as a basis revenues at $307 billion (including both for such a tax levy, though information domestic and international flights), of which would have to be gathered on a mandatory international revenues were somewhat over basis and with sales value as well as volume. half. Fines for Ocean Dumping According to our calculations, a tax of 1% on all air transport revenues would yield Oil tankers flush out their tanks with sea- about $3 billion while a tax on international water, polluting the oceans with great fights alone would yield approximately $1.2 amounts of oil each year. Cruise liners billion.106 A UN study arrives at a some- dump polluting refuse into pristine seas. what smaller revenue conclusion, estimating Coastal cities dump garbage at sea. These that 1% tax on all international passenger and many other forms of dumping are caus- tickets and airfreight charges would yield ing growing pollution of the world’s oceans, $2.2 billion, of which $800 million on pas- accelerating the decline of fish stocks, caus- senger tickets alone.107 ing the death of coral reefs and leading to many other serious problems.110 Tax on the International Arms Trade Advocates have proposed fines, to be im- Disarmament advocates have long proposed posed on those who dump – very severe a tax on the international arms trade, in fines that would make dumping extremely hopes of reducing its volume and raising expensive, even if only sporadically discov- revenues to promote disarmament and other ered. When set at high rates, the total reve- peaceful purposes from this deadly mer- nues collected from this source would still chandise. Proposals for this tax have come 108 Mendez (1992), 229. See UNDP (1994), 56 and d’Orville and Najman (1995), 47-48. 104 General Assembly. United Nations (2001), 2-3. 109 Stockholm International Peace Research Institute 105 d’Orville (1995), 51. (projects.sipri.se/armstrade/facts_and_figures.html) 106 See www.atag.org/ECO/default.htm 110 Independent World Commission on the Oceans 107 General Assembly, United Nations (2001), 2. (1998).

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probably not be large. If each year interna- tional authorities imposed five thousand fines of $100,000 each, the total revenue would reach $500 million. This proposal would require a complex global monitoring process that would itself be expensive, re- ducing net revenue from the tax to a modest level, though doubtless also making progress against the plague of dumping and ocean pollution.

Other Proposals

Advocates have advanced many other pro- posals for global taxes. These include: a tax (or fee) for commercial deep-sea fishing; a “parking fee” for earth-orbiting satellites, a fee for the use of the electronic spectrum (for radio/television/mobile phones/etc.), a tax on the profits of transnational corpora- tions, and a tax on international advertising.

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5. Common Issues and Themes

While global tax proposals include many tantly, provide accountability. These citi- widely different ideas, they share certain zens will ask for a more representative sys- common themes. In what follows, we ad- tem, more democratic global political insti- dress some of the most important issues, to tutions, on the principle of “no taxation explore the problems and potential of global without representation.” taxes as a policy tool. Critics of global taxes often focus on the Organization and Oversight kind of institution that would supervise and spend the funds at the global level. US Harmonization & Sovereignty Congressional critics warn that the institu- tion(s) would be bureaucratic, corrupt, and Global taxes can only gain legal standing authoritarian. These concerns are exagger- through a treaty agreement between nation ated but they are not entirely unreasonable. states, in an “internationally-harmonized tax A successful global tax system must provide regime.” Each participating nation will raise assurances that monies will be efficiently the taxes through its own taxing authority, administered, well protected from dishon- based on a globally agreed tax rate and tax- esty, carefully accounted-for, responsive to ing policy plan. Each will then pass an public feedback, and disbursed with care in agreed portion of the revenue along to an the very best traditions of public service. international organization for spending at the global level. This arrangement does not We should oppose any plan that would put require fundamental changes in international the monies in the hands of the International law and so it avoids a direct challenge to Monetary Fund, the World Bank, or some state sovereignty that a global taxing author- other secretive agency unduly influenced by ity would pose. States can keep jealous con- Washington. A strong accountability plan trol over their taxing powers. must guard against creating a Frankenstein monster that we would later sadly regret. A treaty body that supervises a tax will as- sume authority that is partly in competition Administrative Costs, Enforcement Issues with the authority of national legislatures and tax authorities, but it will remain subject The cost of raising revenue and the diffi- to the will of participating governments. culty of enforcement vary greatly from one tax to another. Authorities find income Accountability and Oversight taxes complex and expensive to administer and increasingly difficult to enforce, while Though nation states will initially collect sales or value-added-taxes are simpler and and decide (through inter-governmental con- far cheaper (though less progressive). sultation) on the spending of global taxes, new citizen pressures for global oversight The main global tax proposals meet the cri- will emerge. Citizens in diverse nations teria of cost-effectiveness and ease of en- will want robust institutions (not just tradi- forcement. Many experts believe that a cur- tional diplomacy) to oversee , de- rency transaction tax would be extremely cide on spending priorities and, most impor- simple and cost-effective, because it would be levied through a computer program in-

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stalled in a relatively small number of banks Non-participant countries may offer tax- and financial institutions. A carbon opportunities. Some experts fear would be more complex because it would that currency traders would migrate to tax- involve more different transactions and free locations, including offshore centers, to more varied reporting. But levied on the escape the CTT, or that energy buyers would initial sale of just three basic fuels (coal, favor markets in tax-free jurisdictions to petroleum, natural gas), tax authorities avoid the carbon tax. Well-designed tax should find it relatively simple, as it would plans can minimize these problems, though, be similar to the sales taxes that nearly every as experts like Schmidt have shown. tax authority imposes. Aviation fuel taxes, a levy on airline tickets, and a tax on seabed There remains the “free rider” effect, that mining would similarly appear to be simple offers tax-related benefits to the non- and cost-effective. More complex and participant nation at no cost to its citizens. costly proposals, such as email taxes and US citizens, for example, would benefit fines for ocean dumping, have understanda- from reduced global warming created by a bly attracted less support. global carbon tax regime that the U.S. gov- ernment did not join and that its citizens did A system of collection based on national tax not pay for. Still, U.S. buyers of French authorities would run into problems in states wines, German automobiles, and British beset by national crisis, war, or a collapsing raincoats would all indirectly pay for the central authority. States like the Democratic taxes. In a globalizing world, no rider can Republic of Congo, Angola, Sierra Leone, be absolutely “free.” Somalia, Sudan, and Afghanistan would doubtless not be able to collect taxes as part Global taxes must include as many nations of a global tax regime. No tax regime man- as possible. But experts believe that avoid- ages a perfect collection record, however, ance and free-rider problems would not and these weak-points would arise in places wreck the tax regime or even greatly disad- where generally only very small amounts of vantage the participants. In the case of a tax would be owed. A well-developed tax global but non-universal carbon tax, partici- regime could, in any case, provide interna- pant nations would promote their own eco- tional assistance in cases (for example, oil nomic efficiency, convert towards a renew- taxes levied in Angola) where national au- able energy system, improve their land-use thorities would be weak and major revenue and build new industries of the future like leakage possible. solar cells and hydrogen-powered motors. They would act with a future prospect, in contrast to non-participant nations that Must Global Taxes be Universal? would mortgage their future in favor of a few years’ profligate energy consumption. In light of strong opposition from the United States and to a considerable extent from Within international law, very few treaties, Britain as well, global taxes will not at first conventions and bodies embrace all nations. include all nations. Global taxes would func- The International Criminal Court and the tion better if levied universally, though, Kyoto Protocol are important initiatives that minimizing avoidance and the “free rider” will go forward without the participation of effect. the United States and some other significant parties. Global taxes are likely to follow a

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similar path. Advocates now recognize this posals should thus consider a package of and develop proposals based on non- spending projects that can inspire the public universal options. On the carbon tax, a re- and guarantee financial support for positive cent Swedish study comments optimisti- policy goals. cally: “the absence of universal agreement would not make the operations impossible or Policy Aspects necessarily unacceptable for those otherwise 111 willing to take part.” Multiple Purposes

Non-participant states may eventually join As we have seen, global taxes (like national the tax regimes, for a variety of reasons. taxes) may have three simultaneous pur- They may come to see advantages or shift poses: (1) revenue-raising, (2) policy steer- when pressured by their own citizens. Tax ing, and (3) income redistribution. Global regimes may be set up with mild penalties tax proposals must consider the relations and for non-participants. Non-participants may tradeoffs between these purposes. Clearly, also be lured into joining because they no tax can meet all three purposes equally would want to take part in the goal-setting, well, but proponents must carefully develop oversight and benefits of the resulting global projections, to discover the interplay of fac- funds. tors and the best policy and political results.

Tied Revenues vs. a Common Pool The carbon tax best illustrates this issue. Conflict may arise between those who favor Global tax proposals often suggest uses for maximum revenue (for whom a low tax rate the resulting revenues, like an environmental is optimal) and those who favor sharp reduc- protection fund, debt reduction, or a univer- tions in carbon emissions (who favor high sal education fund. Some proposals go fur- tax rates). Those concerned most with in- ther and propose that revenues be tied (or come redistribution may favor low rates and earmarked) for a specific purpose. Such tied strong redistributive spending programs. revenues may build public support for a tax proposal and reassure skeptics that revenues Advocates must understand very well the will not eventually be spent on unanticipated tradeoffs and likely distribution of benefits. and unwanted projects, like colonization of With different constituencies favoring or Mars or global military forces. opposing different aspects of the taxes, they offer an especially complex political land- A “common pool” approach to revenues, scape. The tax on currency transactions ap- which many tax experts favor, separates pears to satisfy all three criteria the best, taxes (as a source of revenue) from spending which is why it attracts the broadest-based programs. At the national level this has support. Currency transaction turnover is so many advantages and avoids tax-driven pro- large that the a tax might diminish trading jects like the gasoline taxes in the United by as much as 75% while still raising an States that automatically build more high- enormous amount of revenue and creating ways. But at the global level, in the absence substantial opportunities for global re- of a common pool budget and parliamentary distribution. institutions, the advantages of tied revenues may outweigh the disadvantages. Tax pro-

111 Sagasti (2001), 44.

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Re-distribution would recognize that consumption is a privi- lege that uses global resources, some small The global economic system is highly un- part of which should be returned to global equal and very disadvantageous to poor purposes, including development and redis- countries and poor people. More than half tribution. A few advocates have proposed the world’s population lives in serious pov- consumption taxes on luxury goods while erty and income disparities have been stead- others prefer general consumption taxes. ily growing wider. In such a setting, global Global consumption taxes might not find taxes would be inconscionable if they did sufficient political support at present, but not result in strongly progressive re- they are a promising idea that may find sup- distribution. port in the future.

National tax systems in rich countries tend For progressive redistribution to succeed to re-distribute income and the European most completely, an international tax Union re-distributes from richer to poorer agreement must include firm obligations for regions. But the international system, contributions from participant tax authorities though it has a much steeper level of ine- to a global fund. At first this may be only a quality, has presently no system of re- modest percentage of the total revenue, but distribution other than Official Development over time it must rise to half or more. Assistance, which amounts to only about Spending of this global fund must favor the 0.1% of global GDP. poorest citizens. Funds should thus be tar- geted at poverty eradication, including Fortunately, most proposed global taxes health care, housing, provision of clean wa- appear to be progressively re-distributive, ter and waste treatment, education for all, especially when policy steering and revenue and similar programs. To make sure that the spending are considered. The taxes them- funds would not disappear into corruption selves levy commodities or services that and waste, oversight authorities at the na- mainly the richer inhabitants of the globe tional, regional and global levels must keep consume. This is especially true of the cur- careful watch. rency transaction tax. It is true for taxes on air fuels and taxes on air tickets. Taxes on Revenue Neutrality? carbon-based energy would also mainly im- pact the energy hungry consumers of the Some advocates of new taxes favor an ap- global North, with their automobiles, air proach that is “revenue neutral” – that is, the conditioners and home appliances. Taxes of new levies should be adopted while at the the airwaves would raise the cost of cell- same time diminishing other taxes, so that phone users, while bit-taxes would raise the no new net revenues are raised. This posi- costs of email. All these items of consump- tion treats taxes as inherently unpopular and tion are rare among the world’s poorest bil- likely to weaken the vigor of private mar- lions. kets. Plans for environmental taxes in the European Union are proceeding on this ba- The most strongly redistributive global tax sis, which proposes to make natural re- would probably be a tax on consumption, sources more costly and labor cheaper by assuming that taxes on income or wealth shifting taxes between the two. would be too difficult to administer. This could be a global sales or VAT tax. It

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Global taxes could theoretically be revenue Official Development Assistance (ODA) in neutral, by harmonizing national tax reduc- 2000, according to OECD data, amounted to tions that would offset the new globally- $53.7 billion, while in that same year, the negotiated levies. Harmonization, in short, UN Regular Budget was about $1.1 billion. can work both ways. But national tax au- The total UN system budget for 1997, the thorities will presumably not be willing to last year for which complete data is avail- give up national revenue for global projects. able, was $10.3 billion. The sums required For this reason, global taxes are unlikely to to provide environmental protection, school- be revenue neutral. ing for all, safe drinking water and other vital goals amount to further tens of billions To succeed, global taxes must address new of dollars per year. The potential revenue of needs and fund global public purposes. This some tax proposals, though quite substantial, means that they will reduce private incomes, is certainly not enough in an early phase to especially in rich countries, if only very meet these many needs. We will need com- slightly. The affected public must see a plementary national fund contributions if the strong benefit, for which personal income full promise of the taxes is to be realized. will be traded for global public well being. Global Public Goods Complementing Existing Fund Sources The concept of “global public goods,” which Like the proponents of revenue neutrality, has recently attracted increasing attention,112 some experts propose that global taxes offers a theoretical support for global taxes. should substitute for existing national fund- It provides a clear framework for under- ing for Official Development Assistance or standing that markets do not and cannot for assessments and contributions to interna- provide many important things we need. tional organizations like the UN. This swap Private markets may be efficient producers might leave resources for these purposes at of toothpaste and washing machines. But the same level or even less than before. markets cannot produce public goods like Such a scheme would offer savings for na- fire departments, lighthouses, public parks, tional budgets, but it would scarcely gener- and clean air. These public goods can only ate major new global resources. As such, it be produced and enjoyed collectively. would be contrary to the spirit of the new tax idea. Funds generated by global taxes Citizens with money to spend can buy mar- should be available to finance new pro- ket commodities, but they may prefer to grams, not substitute for monies that would have public goods, which are not on offer in be withdrawn back into national treasuries. the store. Public goods can only be created through a political process, assembling the Complementary funds would enable total needs and wishes of thousands, millions or global public resources to grow quite rapidly even billions of people. Public goods em- in an early phase of the tax regime. Eventu- phasize public, democratic citizen action. ally, of course, if the flow of global taxes The idea of global public goods shifts the reached a high level, the old system of con- concept to the global level, implying an even tributions and assessments might be phased larger field of political action, collective out over a period of years. But initially, the thinking and solidarity. Global public goods old and the new must exist side-by-side.

112 Mendez (1995b), Kaul et al (1999), Sagasti (2001), Haugen (2001).

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would include a sustainable global environ- Strategic Issues ment, a far better global public health sys- tem, and better maintenance of world peace. Starting Small? In a sense, it is a transformational line of thought. To pay for these “goods,” citizens Taxes producing large revenue are likely to must agree to tax themselves and they must stir up major opposition from those who will create responsive political institutions that lose income, such as financial institutions will fulfill their collective aspiration. opposing CTTs or oil companies opposing carbon taxes. These institutions are ex- Living with Uncertainty in Tax Planning tremely influential and they have a clear vision of how their interests would be dam- Global taxes attempt to change the world for aged. Global tax schemes that take aim at the better. Advocates must approach such such huge concentrations of power must be an ambitious project with a mixture of en- prepared for difficult political struggles and thusiasm and humility, because there are a high possibility of failure. very many unknowns. Even the most care- ful and responsible planning can have unin- By contrast, a first global tax might be a tended consequences. Gunnar Myrdal, the small measure that sets important precedents Swedish Nobel laureate warned that “Taxa- while evoking few powerful opponents be- tion is a most flexible and effective but also cause it produces only small amounts of a dangerous instrument of social reform. revenue and has only very modest policy One has to know precisely what one is doing steering and re-distributional effects. CTTs lest the results diverge greatly from one’s and carbon taxes set at a very low level intentions.”113 might meet this requirement. International taxes would be an interesting, low- Inaction in the face of global problems may target alternative – for example, a tax on have greater and more serious consequences, tobacco products. A global tobacco tax such as global climate change. But a tax would complement the anti-tobacco cam- regime that will impact six billion people, paign of the World Health Organization, across some two hundred nations, even if advocates could promote it as a health tax very carefully planned, is bound to have and it would add a small additional incre- unanticipated and partially negative results. ment to nearly-universal national taxes al- For this reason, it would be wise to begin ready imposed on these products. global taxes at a low rate and to phase them in gradually. It also would be advisable to The first global tax established was the tax create feedback mechanisms that would on seabed mining in the form of royalties swiftly introduce modifications and provide payable to the International “Seabed Author- resources to help vulnerable people who ity. Doubtless it was adopted as part of the may be harmed. Such a flexible plan will be Law of the Sea because at the time there was stronger, more responsible and more likely no seabed mining to tax! Nor has there been to inspire public confidence. any since, resulting in zero revenue. With this in mind, global tax advocates might consider a next step that aims above zero, but not in the stratosphere. When nations and citizens find they are comfortable with this tax, steps towards more ambitious or 113 Mendez (1992), 213-14.

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high-revenue taxes may find a smoother poses such as solar-panels for heating the course to adoption. barn. An adjustment fund might also help poor people insulate their homes and de- On the other hand, broad public campaigns velop alternative cooking devices powered depend for their success on large visions and by solar energy. bold approaches. The two most prominent proposals are clearly not modest ones, and The adjustment fund would combine money still they appear to have the best chance for with expertise to help millions of people success. So starting big may be better than (and governments, too) cope with the chang- starting small. But even the big proposals ing energy markets and their impact on hu- may succeed best if they begin with a small man life. An adjustment fund would also rate and phase in over several years, begin- serve as a gesture of good faith towards the ning modestly (though boldly) the great hundreds of millions (or even billions) of transition. poor people for whom even small change carries very serious economic risk. A planned phase-in, beginning with a low rate, can help to avoid errors and ease trans- Assembling Political Blocs and Advocacy itions. This is particularly important with Campaigns the carbon tax, which will cause large shifts in energy investments, research programs, As global taxes come closer to political real- transportation systems and the built environ- ity, advocates must begin to think about ment – shifts that can only occur over many assembling political blocs or coalitions to years. A phase-in with increments known press forward towards enactment. We al- far in advance can avoid backlash, promote ready can see the outlines of such coalitions. effective forward planning and smooth the whole transition process. In the case of the carbon tax, the coalition includes environmental groups, small island An Adjustment Fund states and other coastal nations threatened by rising ocean levels, advocates of the UN Though global taxes will have many very and global institutions, intellectuals, sustain- positive results, they may also have negative able energy industries, and insurance com- effects for certain groups of people, some of panies. This forms already a very substan- whom may be poor and vulnerable. For this tial alliance. The CTT has managed to at- reason, advocates should propose an adjust- tract broad publics with a concern about ment fund to help out those most vulnerable globalization and the ills of the global finan- and least able to adapt. cial system. The CTT also appeals to trade unions, countries negatively affected by Let us imagine the case of a small farmer currency speculation, economists, UN advo- who uses a simple tractor, powered by a cates, and others. gasoline or diesel engine. A carbon tax might increase costs so much that the Tied revenues provide a means to enlarge farmer’s crop sales could no longer cover coalitions by offering benefits to targeted expenses, forcing the family into poverty. constituencies. Suppose that a carbon tax An adjustment fund might offer loans for revenue would be earmarked for sustainable new and more fuel-efficient tractors, sus- development purposes, including clean wa- tainable energy motors and other farm pur- ter and energy access for all. Beneficiaries

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might be very numerous and they might provide key elements of a broadening sup- port bloc to press for the tax adoption.

The time has come to build unstoppable worldwide campaigns, because coordinated international public pressure yields results. In the case of the CTT, a campaign is al- ready under way. Many national and re- gional NGO groups have coordinated their efforts globally since March 1999 and the positive results are clearly visible. The car- bon tax now needs a campaign of its own. Both must strategize very broadly. Coali- tion building implies careful thought about logical allies on a world scale. The cam- paign for an International Criminal Court provides interesting precedents of wide NGO coalitions and nation-specific cam- paigns.

As the process moves forward, we will see the earliest steps in a new global political process. Global citizenship will at last take form, not as a dream or ideal, but as a real process involving common political tasks across national borders, to create a common future.

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5. Conclusion

In a globalizing world, the United Nations global taxes on the political agenda. and other international agencies must find Politicians and governments in Europe and substantial new funding to address emerging in major countries of the global South such crises and promote global public purposes. as Brazil and India now back a currency Taxes can raise tens or even hundreds of transaction tax. Implementation seems a billions of dollars annually for projects to lively possibility. protect the environment, measures for public health, programs to overcome poverty, and Much remains to be solved, though, before initiatives to prevent wars and civil governments agree to an effective conflicts. international tax program. Advocates must consider how best to phase in the taxes, how Global taxes can have powerful policy to assure broad re-distribution, how to steering effects. A carbon tax can reduce promote democratic accountability and carbon dioxide emissions, slowing the oversight of the funds, and how to balance dangerous effects of global warming. A the demands of state sovereignty and global currency transaction tax can throw “sand in action. Difficult as these challenges may the gears” of the currency trading system, seem, they can and will be overcome. reducing volatility and speculation that can harm millions of people. Other taxes can Though the global tax movement has made diminish pollution of the oceans or reduce great gains, its future is still not assured. the arms trade. We need bold leadership and imaginative strategy to bring global taxes – and the Global taxes can also help overcome the better world they promise – finally to reality. world’s growing inequality by system- atically redistributing revenue, helping the world’s poorest people escape from poverty. Such redistribution would follow the pattern of income redistribution that national tax systems introduced nearly a century ago.

A tax amounting to just 1% of global GDP could address many of the most serious international problems and create a much more healthy, humane world for succeeding generations, while placing only a modest burden on consumers in rich countries.

As recently as the mid-1990’s, global taxes seemed a distant hope – bedeviled by technical concerns, opposed by powerful interests and blocked by an intractable United States government. But today the political balance has shifted. NGOs have built a worldwide mass movement and put

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Other Reports in this Series Published by Global Policy Forum, WEED and the Heinrich Böll Foundation

James Paul and Jason Garred. Making Corporations Accountable. January, 2001.

Jens Martens. Rethinking ODA: towards a renewal of Official Development Assistance April, 2001.

Rainer Falk. The Reform of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) October, 2001.

International Roundtables in this Series Organized by Global Policy Forum, WEED and the Heinrich Böll Foundation

November 8, 2000 - “Corporate Investments: Towards Account- able Development” (New York)

December 4, 2000 - “The Future of Overseas Development Assis- tance” ()

May 5, 2001 - “Global Taxes for Global Priorities” (New York)

October 22, 2001 - “Quo Vadis IMF? A Reform Debate” (Wash- ington)