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Quite Likely Highly Unlikely @IngoPhilipp Distant Future Quite Likely ⦿ Near Future Highly Unlikely TL;DL ‹› Tool Long, Didn't Listen @IngoPhilipp ‹› Intelligence is an emergent phenomenon. 1/3 Assumption Intelligence is the product of information processing Sam Harris @IngoPhilipp ‹› We will continue to improve our technology. 2/3 Assumption Technology will continue to advance in ways we can't even comprehend Raymond Kurzweil @IngoPhilipp ‹› The space of all possible intelligences is vast. We're by far not at the peak of intelligence. 3/3 Assumption Human intelligence is a minuscule dot in the space of all possible intelligences Robert Miles ∷ Conclusion ‹› There seems to be nothing fundamentally stopping us from creating intelligent machines. @IngoPhilipp ‹› Everything you hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything you see is a perspective, not the truth. Faith is belief w/o evidence and reason. That's also the definition of delusion. Richard Dawkins ∷ Richard Feynman ‹› Faith is not a good theory. Ask and doubt, then it gets a little harder to believe. @IngoPhilipp A B C Exploring Exploring Exploring The Hype Intelligence Testing Exploring the Near Future @IngoPhilipp Exploring The Hype Just as electricity transformed almost everything 100 years ago, today I actually have a hard time thinking of an industry that I don't think AI will transform in the next several years. Andrew Ng ∷ Andrew Ng ‹› Co-Founder Google Brain @IngoPhilipp ‹› October 3rd, 2019. ∷ OpenAI ‹› Training AI Agents Playing Hide-And-Seek ‹› October 3rd, 2019. @IngoPhilipp ‹› Here's my conclusion after having listened to 8 talks in 4 hours on AI in software testing. Given that pace of technology, I propose we leave testing to the machines and go play outside Ingo Philipp ∷ Inspired by Bill Watterson @IngoPhilipp ‹› Wow. AI can achieve anything, and everything beyond that. @IngoPhilipp @IngoPhilipp Intelligent computer systems aren't made of magic, they are made of logic -- Linda Liukas -- @IngoPhilipp Intelligent computer Nothing has moved as fast as systems aren't made of magic, artificial intelligence is moving they are made of logic right now in the enterprise -- Linda Liukas -- -- Paul Daugherty -- @IngoPhilipp The New Paradigm André Mendes The Next Digital Frontier McKinsey Institute The Next Disruptive Force Nothing has moved as fast as Bloomberg artificial intelligence is moving The New Black right now in the enterprise MIT Technology Review -- Paul Daugherty -- The New Electricity Andrew Ng @IngoPhilipp The New Paradigm André Mendes The Next Digital Frontier McKinsey Institute The Next Disruptive Force Bloomberg The New Black MIT Technology Review The New Electricity 1990 1999 2005 Andrew Ng ∷ Raymond Kurzweil ‹› Director of Engineering at Google @IngoPhilipp We'll be able to fully backup our brains. We'll be able to think in the cloud We're going to put gateways to the cloud in our brains By the late 2030s human thought will be predominantly non-biological We will be uploading our minds to computers & become immortal by 2045 1990 1999 2005 ∷ Raymond Kurzweil ‹› Director of Engineering at Google @IngoPhilipp The Law Of Accelerated Returns Technology becomes more powerful at an accelerating rate; technological advance is exponential, not linear Moore's Law Number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit doubles about every two years 1990 1999 2005 ∷ Raymond Kurzweil ‹› Director of Engineering at Google @IngoPhilipp A Hard Master the software of human thought B Easy Get machines to at least match the human brain's computational power and memory capacity 1990 1999 2005 ∷ Nick Agar ‹› Victoria University of Wellington ∷ Raymond Kurzweil ‹› Director of Engineering at Google @IngoPhilipp We are just a baby step away from eliminating the need for human thinking in software testing -- Hasty Conclusion -- 1990 1999 2005 ∷ Raymond Kurzweil ‹› Director of Engineering at Google @IngoPhilipp We are just a baby step away from eliminating the need for human thinking in software testing -- Hasty Conclusion -- @IngoPhilipp Exploring Intelligence I won't sell you artificial intelligence in software testing in the way miracle weight loss programs or anti-aging face creams are being sold to you! ∷ James Bach ‹› The Next Step In "Test Automation" is Pure Bullshitting @IngoPhilipp Exploring Intelligence I won't sell you artificial intelligence in Artificial software testing in the way miracle weight loss programs Intelligence or anti-aging face creams are being sold to you! Viewed narrowly, there seem to be almost as many definitions of intelligence as the number of experts asked to define it ∷ James Bach ‹› The Next Step In "Test Automation" is Pure Bullshitting ∷ Robert Sternberg @IngoPhilipp Artificial Intelligence Viewed narrowly, there seem to be almost as many definitions of intelligence as the number of experts asked to define it ∷ Robert Sternberg @IngoPhilipp Emotional Critical Problem Thinking Thinking Solving Logical Communication Modelling Thinking Perception Planning Abstraction Imagination Memory Learning Creativity Experience Understanding Judgement Environment Knowledge Analysis Manipulation Environment Strategic Instinctive Adaptation Goal Setting Judgement @IngoPhilipp ‹› There's no standard definition of intelligence. Intelligence Intelligence is like an enormous suitcase that contains all sorts of phenomena we can't explain @IngoPhilipp ‹› There's no standard definition of intelligence. Intelligence Intelligence is what is measured Intelligence is like an enormous by intelligence tests suitcase that contains all sorts of phenomena we can't explain Edwin Boring • The Turing Test • The Reverse Turing Test • The Visual Turing Test • The Lovelace Test • The Lovelace 2.0 Test • The Winograd Schema Challenge • The Ex Machina Test • The Tokyo Test • The AIQ Test • The DeepMind Test • The Marcus Test • The IKEA Challenge • The NCC Test @IngoPhilipp ‹› There's no standard definition of intelligence. Intelligence Intelligence is what is measured Intelligence is like an enormous by intelligence tests suitcase that contains all sorts of phenomena we can't explain Edwin Boring Intelligence measures an agent’s ability to achieve goals in a wide range of environments Shane Legg Artificial intelligence is anything machines can't yet do Chris Bishop @IngoPhilipp ‹› Generalize beyond programming and training data. Intelligence Artificial Intelligence is like an enormous suitcase that contains all sorts of General phenomena we can't explain Intelligence A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to any problem ∷ aka ‹› Pure ‹› Strong ‹› Full ‹› General-Purpose AGI ∷ Martin Krafft ‹› The Robots Won't Take Away Our Jobs @IngoPhilipp Artificial General Intelligence ? Will humans ever create A machine with the ability to apply artificial general intelligence? intelligence to any problem ∷ aka ‹› Pure ‹› Strong ‹› Full ‹› General-Purpose AGI ▸No, because humans aren't generally intelligent. @IngoPhilipp Artificial General Intelligence AGI is the study of what we could do with machines we A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to any problem don't have.› … and probably will never have ∷ aka ‹› Pure ‹› Strong ‹› Full ‹› General-Purpose AGI ∷ Inspired by Scott Aaronson @IngoPhilipp Artificial Artificial General Narrow Intelligence Intelligence A machine with the ability to apply A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to any problem intelligence to a specific problem ∷ aka ‹› Pure ‹› Strong ‹› Full ‹› General-Purpose AGI ∷ aka ‹› Specialized ‹› Weak ‹› Purpose-Specific ANI @IngoPhilipp Artificial Narrow Intelligence A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to a specific problem ∷ Recognize Faces ‹› Facebook Recognizer ∷ aka ‹› Specialized ‹› Weak ‹› Purpose-Specific ANI @IngoPhilipp Here's a beautiful women standing on the beach Artificial Narrow Intelligence A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to a specific problem ∷ Interpret Images ‹› Azure Cognitive Services ∷ aka ‹› Specialized ‹› Weak ‹› Purpose-Specific ANI @IngoPhilipp Artificial Narrow Intelligence A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to a specific problem ∷ Playing Jeopardy ‹› IBM Watson Jeopardy ∷ aka ‹› Specialized ‹› Weak ‹› Purpose-Specific ANI @IngoPhilipp Artificial Narrow Intelligence A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to a specific problem ∷ Detecting Deceases ‹› IBM Watson Healthcare ∷ aka ‹› Specialized ‹› Weak ‹› Purpose-Specific ANI @IngoPhilipp ‹› A sign of things to come? Artificial Narrow Lee Se-Dol▪Retired Nov 27th, 2019 Intelligence A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to a specific problem ∷ Playing Go ‹› AlphaGo ‹› "AI is an entity that cannot be defeated." ∷ aka ‹› Specialized ‹› Weak ‹› Purpose-Specific ANI @IngoPhilipp Artificial Narrow Intelligence A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to a specific problem ∷ Self-Driving Cars ‹› Google ∷ aka ‹› Specialized ‹› Weak ‹› Purpose-Specific ANI @IngoPhilipp AGI Artificial Self-driving cars are a great leap forward Narrow But they can only do one Intelligence thing, e.g. self-driving cars can't play Chess A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to a specific problem ∷ Self-Driving Cars ‹› Google ∷ aka ‹› Specialized ‹› Weak ‹› Purpose-Specific ANI @IngoPhilipp AGI Artificial Narrow Intelligence Sofia▪Hanson Robotics A machine with the ability to apply intelligence to a specific problem ∷ Ben Goertzel ‹› CEO & Founder SingularityNET & OpenCog ∷ aka ‹› Specialized ‹› Weak ‹› Purpose-Specific ANI ∷ Marvin Minsky ‹› Co-Founder MIT AI Lab @IngoPhilipp Sofia▪Hanson Robotics
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