East End Profile

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Population

The population of , for people aged 18+ is 121,541. Chart 1 shows that 12,715 (10%) of Dundee’s 18+ population lives in East End.

Chart 1 - Dundee's Population aged 18+ by LCPP

20000 18096 18000 16731 16609 15376 16000 15230 15191 14000 12715 11591 12000 10000 8000 6000 Number of people of Number 4000 2000 0

Source: Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

Within East End there are 6 neighbourhoods. Chart 2 shows that the majority of East End’s 18+ population (5,225 people) lives in Douglas.

Chart 2 - East End Population aged 18+ by Neighbourhood

6000 5225 5000 4000

3000 2371 1727

2000 1668 1467 Number of people of Number 1000 258 0

Source: Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

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The aged 18-64 population of Dundee is 95,574. Chart 3 shows that just under 10,000 (10%) of Dundee’s aged 18- 64 population lives in East End.

Chart 3 - Dundee's Population aged 18-64 by LCPP

18000 15609 16000 14000 12999 12901 11848 11731 12000 11292 9715 9478 10000 8000 6000

Number of people of Number 4000 2000 0

Source: Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

Chart 4 shows 42% (4,043 people) of East End’s 18-64 population lives in Douglas.

Chart 4 - East End Population aged 18-64 by Neighbourhood

4500 4043 4000 3500 3000 2500 1698 2000 1504 1500 1173 1109

Number of people of Number 1000 500 188 0

Source: Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

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The aged 65+ population of Dundee is 25,967. Chart 5 shows that 3,000 (12%) of Dundee’s 65+ year old population lives in East End.

Chart 5 - Dundee's Population aged 65+ by LCPP

6000 5318 5000 3830 4000 3528 3460 3000 3000 2487 2231 2113 2000

Number of people of Number 1000

0

Source: Mid year population estimates 2016, NRS

Chart 6 shows that the majority of people aged 65+ live in the Douglas neighbourhood of East End.

Chart 6 - East End Population aged 65+ by Neighbourhood

1400 1182 1200 1000 800 673 558 600 293 400 222 Number of people of Number 200 70 0

Source: Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

 Douglas has the highest number of people in the 18-64 and 65+ age groups.  Mid Craigie Industrial Estate has the lowest number of people in the 18-64 and 65+ age groups.

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Deprivation The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) is the Scottish Governments official tool for identifying places in suffering from deprivation. Deprivation in this context refers to the range of problems that arise due to the lack of resources or opportunities covering health, safety, education, employment, housing, access to services and financial aspects. The most recent SIMD was released by the Scottish Government in August 2016.

The map shows how many domains each data zone in the East End LCPP which are ranked within the 5 - 20% most deprived datazones in Scotland.

Table 1 shows the percentage of the East End’s population who live in the 5%, 15% and 20% most deprived datazones in Scotland. Linlathen is the area with the highest percentage (92.2%) of its population living in the 5% and 15% most deprived datazones. has no areas within the 5% or 15% most deprived.

Table 1 Pop living in Pop living in Pop living in DZ DZ Total DZ in the 15% in the 20% Community Area Population in the 5% MD MD MD Craigie 2,907 3.6% 3.6% 49.9% Craigiebank 2,078 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Douglas 6,839 10.9% 54.2% 80.6% Linlathen 2,012 92.5% 92.5% 92.5% Mid Craigie 2,697 79.1% 79.1% 79.1% Mid Craigie Industrial Est 79 35.4% 35.4% 35.4% Source: Scottish Government *Population in the 5/15% will be included within the 20%

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Mortality Chart 7 shows that the East End LCPP area had the second highest premature mortality rates of all LCPP areas. The rates for and are almost half the rate for which had the highest premature mortality rate.

Chart 7 - Premature (< 75 years) Mortality Rate (per 100,000 population) by LCPP area

7.0

6.0

5.0

4.0

3.0

2.0

1.0

ate per 100,000 population 100,000 ate per

R population

Locality Dundee

Source: National Records of Scotland (NRS) Annual Death Files & Midyear Population Estimates (Tayside Resident Based, All Ages) via Health Intelligence Team, Public Health, NHS Tayside

There is considerable variation in multi-morbidity rates between LCPP areas across the city. Charts 8 and 9 show the rates of people (aged 16-64, and 65+) with one or more health conditions in each LCPP area, as compared with the Dundee and Scotland average rates. East End’s rates for people who are aged 16-64 and 65+ are the highest of all LCPP’s and also higher than the Dundee and Scotland rates.

Chart 8 - Rate per 1,000 of the population (aged 16 to 64) with one or more health condition by LCPP area, Dundee and Scotland

350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0

Rate per 1,000 population 1,000 per Rate

Rate per 1,000 population Dundee Scotland

Source: Scotland Census 2011

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Chart 9 - Rate per 1,000 of the population (aged 65 and over) with one or more health conditions by LCPP area, Dundee and Scotland

Source: Scotland Census 2011

All Emergency Admissions Between October 2016 and September 2017, there were 8,035 emergency admissions in Dundee for people aged 18 - 64. Within East End there were a total of 1054 admissions. This means that 13% of Dundee’s emergency admissions for people aged 18-64 came from East End. Chart 10 shows the breakdown of these emergency admissions by neighbourhoods within the East End. Douglas had 41% of all emergency admissions for the East End.

Chart 10 - Number of Emergency Admissions in the East End for people aged 18-64 by Neighbourhood, Oct 16 - Sept 17

500 436 450 400 350 300 250 200 172 200 150 150 92 100 50

0 Number of emergency admissions emergency of Number

** Mid Craigie Ind Est has value of <5 therefore has been excluded to prevent identification Source: SMR 01, 04 & 50 Records

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Although Douglas had the highest number of emergency admissions for people aged 18 - 64, when we compare this by rate per 1,000 people, chart 11 shows that with standardising the data and taking into account the population of each neighbourhood Linlathen had the highest rate of emergency admissions at a rate of 170 per 1,000 population.

Chart 11 - Rate per 1,000 people of All Emergency Admissions in East End for people aged 18-64, by Neighbourhood, Oct 16 - Sept 17

180 120 160 100 140 120 80 100 Neighbourhood 60 80 60 40 Dundee East End 40 20 20 Dundee

0 0

Rate per 1,000 by Neighbourhood by 1,000per Rate Rates per 1,000 for East End LCPP and and LCPP End East for 1,000per Rates

Source: SMR 01, 04 & 50 Records and Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

Over the past 5 years the rate of emergency admissions for people aged 18-64 in Dundee has increased slightly and peaked at 84 emergency admissions per 1,000 people between October 2016 and September 2017. The East End’s emergency admissions have not varied much, however there was a noticeable peak in 2015/16. The rate at 2012/13 was 108 emergency admissions per 1,000 people and in Q2 of 2017/18 the rate was the same.

Chart 12 - Emergency Admission Rate per 1,000 people aged 18-64

120 110 100 90 80 70

Rate per 1,000 People 1,000per Rate 60 50 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 17/18Q1 17/18Q2 DUNDEE EAST END Linear (EAST END)

Source: SMR 01, 04 & 50 Records and Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

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Over the past 5 years emergency admissions for people aged 65+ in Dundee have increased and this included a significant increased between 2013/14 and 2014/15. Over the last 5 years Dundee’s rate of emergency admissions has increased by 7%. The East End rate has varied over the past 5 years however has only increased by 3% overall.

Chart 13 - Emergency Admission Rate per 1,000 people aged 65+

320 310 300 290 280 270 260

Rate per 1,000 People 1,000per Rate 250 240 230 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 17/18Q1 17/18Q2

DUNDEE EAST END Linear (EAST END)

Source: SMR 01, 04 & 50 Records and Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

All Emergency Bed Days Between October 2016 and September 2017 there were a total of 172,827 emergency bed days used for people aged 18+ in Dundee. Chart 14 shows that the highest number of emergency bed days were from with the East End being fourth highest with 22,050 emergency bed days.

Chart 14 - Number of emergency bed days between Oct 16 and Sept 17 for people aged 18+, by LCPP

35000 29035 30000 26456 23485 25000 22050 20830 20000 18346 17830 14795 15000 10000

Number of bed days bed of Number 5000 0

Source: SMR 01, 04 & 50 Records

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The East End had the fourth highest number of emergency bed days in Dundee at September 2017. Since 2012/13 the number of emergency bed days for people aged 18+ has varied, there was a decline between 2012/13 and 2014/15 and a significant increase in 2015/16. Overall the number of emergency bed days in the East End have decreased since 2012/13 from 23201 to 22050 (5%).

Chart 15 - Number of emergency bed days from East End for people aged 18+

25000

23000

21000

19000

17000 Number of bed days bed of Number 15000 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 17/18Q1 17/18Q2

EAST END Linear (EAST END)

Source: SMR 01, 04 & 50 Records

The total number of bed days in the East End between October 2016 and September 2017 was 22,050. When we break this down the majority of emergency bed days were for people aged 65+.

Chart 16 - Number of emergency bed days in East End, Oct 16 - Sept 17

7525

14525

18 - 64 65+

Source: SMR 01, 04 & 50 Records

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Chart 17 shows that, of all emergency bed days for people aged 65+ in East End, the highest number were from the Douglas neighbourhood.

Chart 17 - Number of emergency bed days between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 65+, by East End Neighbourhood

6000 4855 5000 3875 4000

3000 2083 2053

2000 1323 Number of bed days bed of Number 1000 336 0

Source: SMR 01, 04 & 50 Records

When we compare the emergency bed day rate per 1,000 people in the East End aged 65+, taking into account the population of each neighbourhood, Linlathen had the highest rate of emergency bed days. Between October 2016 and September 2017, the rate for Dundee was 4,218 bed days per 1,000 population and the East End rate was 15% higher than this with 4,842 bed days per 1,000 population.

Chart 18 - Emergency bed day rate between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 65+, by East End Neighbourhoods

8000 4900 7000 4800 4700 6000 4600 5000 4500 4000 4400 3000 4300 4200 Neighbourhoods 2000 4100 East End Rate by Neighbourhood by Rate 1000 4000

0 3900 Dundee Rate for East End LCPP and Dundee and LCPP End East for Rate

Source: SMR 01, 04 & 50 Records and Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

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When comparing all emergency bed days for people aged 18-64, Douglas had the highest number of emergency bed days within East End, however when comparing all emergency bed days by the rate per 1,000 population Mid Craigie Industrial Estate had the highest rate of all emergency bed days. When comparing East End to Dundee the East End had a higher rate per 1,000 population of emergency bed days than Dundee by 17%.

Chart 19 - Emergency bed day rate between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 18-64, by East End Neighbourhoods

1600 800 1400 780 760 1200 740 1000 720 800 700 600 680 660 Neighbourhoods 400 640 East End Rate by Neighbourhood by Rate 200 620

0 600 Dundee Rate for East End LCPP and Dundee and LCPP End East for Rate

Source: SMR 01, 04 & 50 Records and Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

Mental Health Emergency Admissions Between October 2016 and September 2017 there were 669 mental health emergency admissions in Dundee aged 18+. Of these admissions, 81 people were admitted from East End, which is 12% of the total admissions within Dundee.

Chart 20 - Number of Mental Health emergency admissions between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 18+, by LCPP

140 122 120 102 95 100 81 77 80 68 65 59 60 40

20 Number of admissions of Number 0

Source: SMR 04 Records

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Chart 21 shows that within East End, Douglas had the highest number of 18+ emergency mental health admissions (34 admissions).

Chart 21 - Number of Mental Health emergency admissions between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 18+, by East End neighbourhoods

40 34 35 30 25 20 15 12 15 10 10 10 10

5 Number of admissions of Number 0

** Linlathen, Mid Craigie Ind Est and Craigiebank have values of <10 therefore have been rounded up to 10 to prevent identification. Source: SMR 04 Records

Again when we standardise the data and take into consideration the number of people within each of the neighbourhoods, Mid Craigie Industrial Estate had a considerably higher rate per 1,000 population, being admitted with mental health needs aged 18+ (27 mental health emergency admissions per 1,000 people).

Mental Health Emergency Bed Days Chart 22 shows that between October 2016 and September 2017 the East End used 6,094 bed days, this was 11% of the total bed days used in Dundee.

Chart 22 - Number of Mental Health emergency bed days between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 18+, by LCPP

12000 9554 10000 7998 7710 8000 6873 6666 6094 5452 6000 4586 4000

Number of Bed Days Bed of Number 2000 0

Source: SMR 04 Records

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Since 2012/13 the number of bed days in the East End have increased by 22%.

Chart 23 - East End Mental Health Emergency Bed Days

7000

6000

5000

4000

3000

Number of Bed Days Days Bed of Number 2000

1000

0 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 17/18Q1 17/18Q2

EAST END Linear (EAST END)

Source: SMR 04 Records

The total number of mental health emergency bed days in the East End, between October 2016 and September 2017 was 6,094. When we break this down chart 24 shows that just a little over half of the mental health emergency bed days were allocated to people aged 65+.

Chart 24 - Number of Mental Health emergency bed days in East End, Oct 16 - Sept 17, by age

3015 3079

18-64 65+

Source: SMR 04 Records

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Chart 25 shows that of those people aged 65+ the majority of bed days were from the Douglas neighbourhood and amounted to 25% of the total bed days from the East End.

Chart 25 - Number of Mental Health emergency bed days between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 65+, by East End Neighbourhoods

900 784 800 692 700 600 527 500 451 432 400 300 193 200 Number of Bed Days Bed of Number 100 0

Source: SMR 04 Records

Chart 26 shows that when we compare the rate per 1,000 people in East End’s neighbourhoods, taking into account the population of each neighbourhood, the data shows that Mid Craigie Industrial Estate has the highest rate of mental health emergency bed days. The Dundee rate was 330 mental health emergency bed days per 1,000 population and East End was lower than this with 310 mental health emergency bed days per 1,000 population.

Chart 26 - Emergency Mental Health bed day rates between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 18-64, by East End Neighbourhoods

1600 335 1400 330 1200 325 1000 320 800 Neighbourhoods 315 600 East End 310 400 Dundee

Rate by Neighbourhood by Rate 200 305

0 300 Rate for East End LCPP and Dundee and LCPP End East for Rate

Source: SMR 04 Records and Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS 15 | P a g e

When comparing mental health emergency bed days for people aged 65+, Douglas had the highest number of mental health emergency bed days within the East End. When comparing mental health emergency bed days by the rate per 1,000 population Mid Craigie Industrial Estate had the highest rate. When comparing the East End’s rate to Dundee’s chart 27 shows that East End had a higher rate of emergency bed days than Dundee by 14%.

Chart 27 - Emergency Mental Health bed days rate between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 65+, by East End Neighbourhood

3000 1040 1020 2500 1000 980 2000 960 940 Neighbourhoods 1500 920 East End 1000 900 880 Dundee 500 860

Rate by Neighbourhood by Rate 840

0 820 Rate for East End LCPP and Dundee and LCPP End East for Rate

Source: SMR 04 Records and Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

Falls From 2012/13 to Q2 2017/18 falls for people aged 65+ in Dundee have increased by 22%. In East End falls have increased by 3%, from 106 falls in 2012/13 to 109 falls in Q2 of 2017/18.

Chart 28 - Number of falls admissions between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 65+, by LCPP

140 126 120 109 108 107

100 85 78 80 62 60 53

Number of falls of Number 40 20 0

Source: SMR 01 Records

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Chart 29 shows that Douglas had the highest number of falls admissions for people aged 65+ within the East End Neighbourhood.

Chart 29 - Number of falls admissions between Oct 16 - Sept 17 for people aged 65+, by East End Neighbourhood

45 42 40 35 30 26 25 20 16 13 15 10 10 5

0 Number of falls admissions falls of Number

Source: SMR 01 Records **Mid Craigie Ind Est has a values of <10 therefore have been rounded up to 10 to prevent identification. ** Mid Craigie has been excluded as values <5 to prevent identification

Chart 30 shows that when we compare the rate of falls per 1,000 population in East End, Mid Craigie Industrial Estate had the highest rate of hospital admissions due falls at a rate of 128 admissions per 1,000 people. This is due to the small numbers in this area.

Chart 30 - Falls rate between Oct 16 - Sept 17for people aged 65+, by East End neighbourhoods

140 40 120 35 100 30 25 80 20 60 15 40 10

20 5 Dundee Rate per 1,000 by LCPP by 1,000per Rate

0 0 Rate per 1,000 for East End LCPP and and LCPP End East for 1,000per Rate

Neighbourhoods Dundee East End

Source: SMR 01 Records and Mid-year population estimates 2016, NRS

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Home Care Chart 32 shows that in Dundee, during a snapshot week at the end of March 2017, there were 1,911 people receiving home care with a total of 9,037 Local Authority hours being provided. In East End there are 252 people receiving home care with a total of 1,175 Local Authority hours being provided.

Chart 32 - Number of people receiving home care at March 2017, by LCPP

400 360 350 311 300 280 252 235 250 185 200 171 150 117

100 Number of people of Number 50 0

Source: Social Work Database, K2

Chart 33 shows that East End had the fourth highest number of home care hours with 1,175 hours in total.

Chart 33 - Number of LA Hours Provided to clients, by LCPP

2000 1740 1800 1600 1458 1367 1400 1175 1200 1085 1000 904 723 800 586 600 Number of hours of Number 400 200 0

Source: Social Work Database, K2

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Chart 34 shows that East End had the fourth highest number of private and voluntary hours provided with 1638 hours in total.

Chart 34 - Number of Private & Voluntary Hours provided to clients, by LCPP

2500 2070 2000 1834 1705 1638 1433 1500 1007 990 1000 498

500 Number of hours of Number 0

This Locality Profile was prepared by Lisa Traynor, Information Assistant, Strategy and Performance, Dundee Health and Social Care Partnership.

If you have any queries or require this information in alternative formats please email spssinformationteam@[email protected] or Telephone 01383 434000

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