California General Election and Politics) STAT SHEET

STUDY #535

Results from the Los Angeles Times Poll September 23-28, 2006 (California General Election and Politics) STAT SHEET

Guide to Column Headings

Among likely voters:

LV All likely voters DEM Registered Democrats IND Registered Independents REP Registered Republicans LIB Self-described Liberals MOD Self-described Moderates CON Self-described Conservatives MEN Males WOM Females

Note:

Most trend results are among (ALL) all adults in California and some (*RV) registered voters (vol.) indicates a volunteered response ‘–‘ indicates of less than 0.5%

Q1. Do you think things in California are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Right direction 41 30 47 52 30 38 53 46 37 Wrong track 46 54 45 35 55 48 36 44 47 Don’t know 13 16 8 13 15 14 11 10 16

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TREND FOR Q1 among All

POLL/QN Date Right direction Wrong track Don’t know 528/Q1 05/06 34 53 13 527/Q1 04/06 30 58 12 523/Q1 10/05 26 60 14 509/Q2 10/04 42 46 12 506/Q1 09/04 45 43 12 502/Q1 04/04 36 56 8 498/Q1 02/04 34 53 13 486/Q1 08/03 17 71 12 485/Q1 07/03 24 65 11 483/Q1 03/03 24 68 8 476/Q1 10/02 46 39 15 474/Q1 09/02 41 45 14 466/Q1 02/02 46 36 18 464/Q1 01/02 48 37 15 461/Q1 06/01 29 57 14 453/Q1 02/01 38 47 15 451/Q1 01/01 45 40 15 446/Q2 10/00 51 39 10 437/Q1 02/00 53 30 17 428/Q5 06/99 52 34 14 426/Q10 05/99 46 39 15 418/Q7 10/98 54 33 13 416/Q5 09/98 61 28 11 411/Q7 05/98 48 39 13 410/Q8 04/98 52 38 10 403/Q8 12/97 47 38 15 400/Q7 10/97 46 40 14 386/Q8 10/96 42 44 14 383/Q7 09/96 39 53 8 378/Q7 07/96 34 54 12 372/Q6 03/96 32 53 15 365/Q6 09/95 27 64 9 55/Q9 03/95 32 55 13 48/Q6 10/94 27 64 9 46/Q6 10/94 23 65 12 43/Q6 09/94 25 63 12 35/Q6 05/94 25 65 10 33/Q6 03/94 25 63 12 24/Q6 10/93 18 74 8 320/Q9 09/93 20 68 12 310/Q6 03/93 18 72 10 301/Q5 10/92 14 80 6 298/Q6 09/92 12 82 6 282/Q6 05/92 13 80 7 264/Q6 12/91 18 69 13 260/Q6 10/91 28 60 12 252/Q9 05/91 31 59 10

Q2. What do you think is the most important problem facing California today? Is there another problem you feel is almost as important? (UP TO TWO REPLIES ACCEPTED)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Illegal immigration 34 21 32 50 17 33 49 36 33 Education 26 27 29 22 33 30 19 22 31 Economy (in general) 12 15 11 10 10 13 13 11 13 Taxes 9 2 9 16 2 5 17 11 6 Gasoline prices 7 9 6 7 7 9 6 5 10 Environment 7 10 4 3 14 5 3 6 8 Health care 6 11 6 2 11 8 2 4 9 Crime 6 9 5 3 8 6 4 6 6 Jobs leaving California 5 5 9 3 7 4 4 4 6 Over-development 5 7 8 3 7 5 4 6 4 Traffic/congestion 4 4 12 4 6 3 5 6 3 Affordable housing 4 5 – 3 3 8 2 3 5 State budget deficit 3 2 5 5 2 3 4 4 3 Republican governor/Arnold Schwarzenegger 3 4 2 1 6 2 – 3 2 Inflation 3 3 8 1 4 2 3 3 3 Lack of infrastructure maintenance 3 4 1 2 3 3 2 4 1 Drugs 2 3 – – 2 – 2 1 3 Unemployment 2 4 2 – 3 3 1 3 2 Businesses leaving state 2 1 1 3 1 1 3 2 1 Electricity/gas rates are high 2 2 4 3 1 3 3 2 3 Breakdown of family values 2 1 – 3 1 – 3 2 1 Homelessness/poverty 2 2 2 1 3 1 1 1 3 Democrats controlling legislature 2 – 3 3 – 2 3 2 1 Government (in general) 2 1 4 2 1 2 2 3 1 Over regulating businesses 1 – – 1 – 1 1 1 – Terrorism/homeland security 1 1 – 2 1 – 2 1 1 Worker's compensation 1 1 – 1 1 1 – 1 1 Lack of community spirit 1 – – 1 1 – 1 – 1 Racism 1 2 – 1 3 – 1 2 – Welfare 1 – – 2 – 1 1 1 1 Corruption in government 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Lack of leadership 1 1 – – – 1 – – 1 Political atmosphere 1 2 1 – 2 2 1 2 1 Iraq war/situation in Iraq 1 2 2 – 3 – – 1 1 Public transportation 1 1 – 1 2 1 1 1 1 Water shortage 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Gangs 1 1 – 1 1 – 1 – 2 Prison system 1 – 1 1 – – 1 – 1 Gay rights/same sex marriage – – – 1 – – 1 – – Senior citizen issues – 1 – – 1 – – – – Judicial system – 1 – – 1 – – 1 – Nothing in particular 2 – 4 3 – 4 2 2 1 Other 7 5 8 9 6 9 7 8 6 Don’t know – – – – – 1 – 1 –

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TREND FOR Q2 POLL/QN 527/Q2 523/Q2 Date 04/06 11/05 ALL ALL Illegal immigration 34 Education 25 Gas prices 24 Illegal immigration 13 Education 23 Budget deficit 12 Economy 8 Economy 12 Budget deficit 7 Gas prices 9 Affordable housing 5 Crime 7 Jobs 5 Republican governor/Schwarzenegger 6 Healthcare 5 Healthcare 6 Crime 4 Jobs 5 Inflation 4 Affordable housing 5 Traffic 4 Nothing in particular 3 Unemployment 3 Gangs 3 Environment 3 Inflation 3 Republican governor/Arnold Taxes 3 Schwarzenegger 2 Unemployment 3 Levee repair/flood control 2 Traffic 3 Iraq war 2 Homelessness 3 Gangs 2 Over-development 3 Electricity 2 Unions 2 Lack of infrastructure 2 Lack of infrastructure 2 Taxes 2 Democrats controlling legislature 2 Over-development 2 Government (in general) 2 Nothing in particular 1 Environment 2 Drugs 1 Lack of leadership 2 Violence 1 Political atmosphere 2 Businesses leaving state 1 Violence 1 Over regulating businesses 1 Businesses leaving state 1 Terrorism 1 Drugs 1 Family values 1 High electricity rates 1 Gay rights 1 Over regulating businesses 1 Homelessness 1 Terrorism 1 Lack of community spirit 1 Worker’s compensation 1 Racism 1 Breakdown of family values 1 Senior citizen issues 1 Gay rights 1 Welfare 1 Lack of community spirit 1 Democrats controlling legislature 1 Problems with youth 1 Government (in general) 1 Racism 1 Government corruption 1 Senior citizen issues 1 Governmental over-regulation 1 Welfare 1 Lack of leadership 1 Government corruption 1 Political atmosphere 1 Governmental over-regulation 1 Public transportation 1 Iraq war 1 Worker’s compensation – Public transportation 1 George W. Bush/Federal government – George W. Bush/Federal government – Judicial system – Drought – Prison system – Bilingual education issues – Other 7 Police brutality – Don’t know 3 Recession – Greed – Moral values – Other 9 Don’t know 3

TREND FOR Q2 COT’D POLL/QN 502/Q2 485/Q2 Date 04/04 07/03 ALL ALL Budget deficit 20 Budget deficit 27 Economy 18 Education 23 Education 17 Economy 13 Jobs 11 Unemployment 13 Illegal immigration 9 Taxes 7 High gas prices 7 Energy crisis 6 Unemployment 6 Democratic governor 6 Taxes 5 Crime 5 Environment 5 Environment 4 Healthcare 5 Too much growth/development 4 Iraq war 5 Illegal immigration 4 Affordable housing 4 Government (general) 4 Too much growth 4 Affordable housing 3 Crime 3 Healthcare 3 Businesses leaving state 3 Lack of leadership 2 Energy crisis 3 Traffic 2 Terrorism 3 Government corruption 2 Inflation 2 Gangs 2 Democrats controlling legislature 2 High electricity rates 2 Government (in general) 2 High gasoline prices 2 Moral values decline 2 Lack of infrastructure 2 Traffic 2 Homelessness 2 Drugs 1 Judicial system 1 Gangs 1 Violence 1 Judicial system 1 Businesses leaving the state 1 Prison system 1 Drugs 1 Lack of infrastructure 1 Terrorism 1 Too much business regulation 1 Breakdown of family values 1 Family values 1 Drought 1 Drought 1 Police brutality 1 Homelessness 1 Racism 1 Problem with youth 1 Welfare 1 Racism 1 Democrats controlling legislature 1 Welfare 1 Governmental over-regulation 1 Government corruption 1 Political atmosphere 1 Governmental over-regulation 1 Moral decline 1 Lack of leadership 1 Public transportation 1 Political atmosphere 1 Inflation – Greed 1 High natural gas rate – Cutting government programs 1 Recession – Gay marriage 1 Too much business regulations – George W. Bush/Federal government 1 Bilingual education issues – Violence – Prison system – High electricity rate – Lack of community spirit – Lack of community spirit – Problems with youth – Natural gas – Greed – Recession – Insurance – Senior issues – Media – Media – Nothing in particular 2 Public transportation – Other 6 Nothing in particular/Other 10 Don’t know 3 Don’t know 2

TREND FOR Q2 COTN’D

Study: 483 Q2 Date: 03/03

ALL Economy (Net) 58 Budget shortfall 27 Economy (general) 19 Unemployment 9 Terrorism/Homeland security 4 Taxes 4 Inflation 3 Infrastructure maintenance 1 Business leaving state 1 Business regulation – Social (Net) 47 Education 28 Immigration 6 Health care 4 Environment/Pollution 4 Affordable housing 3 Too much growth 2 Homelessness/Poverty 2 Drought 2 Welfare 1 Family values breakdown 1 Racism – Police brutality – Energy (Net) 12 High gasoline prices 5 Energy crisis/Deregulation 5 High electricity rates 2 High natural gas rates – Government (Net) 10 Democratic governor 5 Government (general) 2 Political atmosphere 1 Lack of leadership 1 Government corruption 1 Democrats control Legislature 1 Over-regulation – Crime (Net) 8 Gangs 3 Crime (general) 3 Drugs 2 Violence 1 Judicial system 1 Prison system – Moral (Net) 1 Moral decline/Ethics 1 Greed – Other (Net) 12 War possibility 6 Traffic/Congestion 1 Public transportation 1 Insurance – Other 4 Nothing 1 Don’t know 2 -Continued on the next page.

TREND FOR Q2 COTN’D (AMONG ALL) 1/02 6/01 2/01 1/01 Social (Net) 51 46 41 49 Education 25 16 19 19 Immigration 8 6 4 2 Environment/Pollution 6 6 5 5 Affordable housing 4 4 3 6 Too much growth 3 7 7 7 Health care 3 2 2 2 Homelessness/Poverty 3 2 1 5 Racism 2 1 2 – Welfare 1 2 1 1 Family values breakdown 1 1 1 2 Drought/Water shortage 1 1 1 1 Lack of community spirit 1 1 – 1 Problems with youth 1 1 – 3 Police brutality – 2 – 1 Bilingual education – – – 1 Economy (Net) 41 16 13 20 Economy (general) 18 6 5 5 Unemployment 12 4 1 3 Taxes 4 2 2 3 Inflation 3 3 2 6 State budget deficit 3 * * * Terrorism/Homeland security 3 * * * Business leaving state 1 1 – 1 Infrastructure maintenance 1 1 2 2 Business regulation 1 – 1 1 Recession 1 * * * Energy (Net) 27 63 64 39 Energy crisis/Deregulation 21 53 54 12 High electricity rates 5 10 11 23 High gasoline prices 2 6 2 4 High natural gas rates – 1 1 8 Crime (Net) 13 15 13 14 Crime (general) 7 8 9 6 Drugs 2 5 3 5 Violence 2 1 – 1 Gangs 1 2 3 3 Judicial system 1 1 – 1 Prison system – – 1 – Government (Net) 7 3 5 2 Democratic governor 2 * * * Democrats control Legislature 1 * * * Government (general) 1 1 3 1 Government corruption 1 1 1 1 Political atmosphere 1 1 1 1 Lack of leadership 1 1 – – Governmental over-regulation 1 * * * Moral (Net) 1 2 2 3 Moral decline/Ethics 1 2 2 3 Greed – – 1 – Other (Net) 8 8 9 12 Traffic/Congestion 3 3 4 6 Public transportation 2 1 1 2 Other 3 4 4 4 Nothing 2 2 2 2 Don’t know 4 1 1 5

* An asterisk indicates that a response was not given in this particular survey or was included under a different net. -Continued on the next page.

TREND FOR Q2 COTN’D (AMONG ALL) 6/99 9/98b 4/98b 12/97 10/97a 9/96b Social (Net) 63 65 58 55 62 57 Education 34 33 27 23 19 18 Immigration 13 11 10 10 19 22 Too much growth 6 7 6 5 6 2 Environment/Pollution 5 8 4 4 6 6 Homelessness/Poverty 4 2 2 3 5 3 Welfare 3 5 5 6 9 8 Racism 3 1 3 3 2 2 Affordable housing 2 2 2 1 1 1 Health care 2 3 2 2 2 2 Family values breakdown 2 3 3 3 2 2 Problems with youth 2 1 4 2 2 2 Police brutality 2 – – – – 1 Drought/Water shortage 1 2 1 – 1 1 Lack of community spirit 1 – 1 1 1 * Bilinguals – 1 * 1 * * Affirmative action – – 1 2 3 1 Infrastructure maintenance * 1 * * * * Crime (Net) 32 29 35 37 36 40 Crime (general) 15 18 20 17 20 22 Drugs 7 7 9 8 8 10 Gangs 7 6 7 10 10 9 Violence 6 2 4 6 3 4 Gun control 2 * * * * * Judicial system 1 2 1 1 2 1 Prison system 1 1 1 – – 1 Economy (Net) 21 21 21 21 24 34 Unemployment 7 8 7 9 9 17 Taxes 5 6 6 3 5 5 Economy (general) 5 5 5 5 7 11 Inflation 2 3 1 2 1 * Business regulation 1 1 2 1 2 1 Business leaving state 1 1 1 1 1 1 State budget deficit 1 – 1 1 1 1 Infrastructure maintenance 1 * * * * * Recession – – – – – 1 Moral (Net) 4 2 2 3 3 1 Moral decline/Ethics 3 2 2 3 3 2 Godlessness * * * 1 * * Government (Net) 3 4 5 4 6 6 Government (general) 1 1 2 2 2 2 Government corruption 1 1 1 1 1 1 Political atmosphere 1 1 1 1 1 1 Governor Wilson * 1 1 1 2 1 Other (Net) 10 11 15 9 13 9 Traffic/Congestion 3 4 5 2 4 1 Public transportation 1 1 1 1 1 * Disasters – – 2 1 – – Insurance – – 1 1 1 * Clinton scandal * 1 * * * * Other 6 5 7 5 7 6 Nothing 2 2 2 1 1 – Don’t know 5 4 3 7 3 2

* An asterisk indicates that a response was not given in this particular survey or was included under a different net. In these 1999 and earlier polls, “Energy” comprised fewer than 1% of responses and is subsumed under “Other.”

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TREND FOR Q2 COTN’D

(AMONG ALL) 9/95a 3/95a 10/94a 9/94a 5/94 3/94b Social (Net) 48 51 52 49 47 46 Education 17 14 14 18 14 14 Immigration 15 19 21 16 15 12 Welfare 6 8 6 4 5 6 Racism 4 3 2 2 2 1 Environment/Pollution 3 2 3 3 3 4 Too much growth 3 2 2 3 3 1 Homelessness/Poverty 3 3 5 3 5 5 Health care 2 2 4 4 4 4 Family values breakdown 2 2 1 1 2 1 Problems with youth 1 2 1 2 2 2 Affordable housing 1 1 1 1 1 1 Drought/Water shortage 1 – 1 – 1 1 Police brutality 1 – – – – – Proposition 187 – 1 * * * * Disasters * * * * * 2 Crime (Net) 41 34 40 44 45 49 Crime (general) 23 25 29 32 31 35 Gangs 11 5 5 8 7 7 Drugs 8 4 4 4 5 5 Violence 4 4 2 4 5 5 Judicial system 2 1 3 1 2 1 Prison system – – 1 * * * Economy (Net) 41 44 50 48 54 49 Unemployment 18 18 24 22 26 20 Economy (general) 14 18 16 18 20 18 Taxes 5 4 5 4 5 6 State budget deficit 3 4 4 2 3 3 Business regulation 2 2 1 1 1 1 Business leaving state 2 3 3 4 2 4 Recession 1 1 2 1 1 1 Military base closures – 1 – – – – Worker’s compensation – – – – – 1 Defense downsizing – – 1 * * * Government (Net) 6 6 5 5 3 6 Government (general) 2 3 3 3 2 4 Governor Wilson 2 2 1 1 1 1 Political atmosphere 2 1 * * * * Government corruption 1 1 1 1 1 1 Moral (Net) 2 2 2 1 3 2 Moral decline/Ethics 2 2 2 1 2 2 Other (Net) 8 10 7 7 8 7 Disasters – 1 – – – * Other 7 8 7 7 8 7 Nothing – 1 1 – 1 – Don’t know 2 3 2 2 1 1

* An asterisk indicates that a response was not given in this particular survey or was included under a different net. In these earlier polls, “Energy” comprised fewer than 1% of responses and is subsumed under “Other.”

(ORDER OF CANDIDATE NAMES IS ROTATED WITHIN TEXT) Q5. If the general election for governor of California were being held today and the candidates were Arnold Schwarzenegger, the Republican, Phil Angelides, the Democrat, Peter Camejo, the Green candidate, Janice Jordan, the Peace and Freedom candidate, Edward C. Noonan, the American Independent candidate, and Art Olivier, the Libertarian, for whom would you vote, Schwarzenegger, Angelides, Camejo, Jordan, Noonan, or Olivier? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Schwarzenegger 50 17 49 88 13 45 81 57 42 Angelides 33 61 31 3 65 38 7 30 37 Camejo 4 6 1 1 9 1 1 3 4 Jordan – – – – 1 – – – – Noonan 1 1 – 1 1 1 1 1 1 Olivier 2 2 – 2 – 3 2 2 2 Someone else (vol.) 1 1 – 1 – 1 2 1 1 Don’t know 9 12 19 4 11 11 6 6 13

COMBINED RESPONSES FROM Q5

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Schwarzenegger 50 17 49 88 13 45 81 57 42 Angelides 33 61 31 3 64 38 7 30 37 Someone else (vol.) 8 10 1 5 12 6 6 7 8 Don’t know 9 12 19 4 11 11 6 6 13

(ASKED OF RESPONDENTS WHO CHOSE A CANDIDATE) Q6. How certain are you to vote for that candidate? Will you definitely vote for that candidate, probably vote for that candidate or are you still considering your choices?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Definitely 69 64 57 80 64 69 74 72 66 Probably 29 34 43 19 34 30 25 27 32 Still considering choices 2 2 – 1 2 1 1 1 2

(ORDER OF CANDIDATE NAMES ARE ROTATED IN ALL QUESTIONS) Q7. If the general election for U.S. Senator were being held today and the candidates were Dianne Feinstein, the Democrat, and Richard Mountjoy, the Republican, for whom would you vote: Feinstein, or Mountjoy, or would you vote for someone else? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Feinstein 54 90 57 15 89 70 19 50 59 Mountjoy 36 5 34 76 4 20 71 40 31 Someone else 3 1 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 Don’t know 7 4 6 7 4 8 8 7 8

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TREND FOR Q7

Study/Question No. 528/C47 Date 05/25/06 RV Feinstein 59 Mountjoy 30 Someone else – Don’t know 11

Q8. If the general election for lieutenant governor were being held today and the candidates were Tom McClintock, the Republican, and John Garamendi, the Democrat, for whom would you vote: McClintock, or Garamendi, or would you vote for someone else? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Garamendi 41 72 35 8 78 49 9 39 44 McClintock 42 9 35 83 7 27 79 48 35 Someone else 3 5 1 – 3 4 1 2 3 Don’t know 14 14 29 9 12 20 11 11 18

Q9. If the general election for secretary of state were being held today and the candidates were Bruce McPherson, the Republican, and Debra Bowen, the Democrat, for whom would you vote: McPherson, or Bowen, or would you vote for someone else? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Bowen 35 61 29 8 69 36 10 34 36 McPherson 33 10 24 66 8 23 60 38 28 Someone else 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 Don’t know 29 26 44 24 21 39 27 25 33

Q10. If the general election for controller were being held today and the candidates were Tony Strickland, the Republican, and John Chiang , the Democrat, for whom would you vote: Strickland, or Chiang, or would you vote for someone else? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Chiang 36 63 33 6 67 41 9 34 38 Strickland 30 5 20 64 7 17 58 34 26 Someone else 3 4 2 1 3 5 1 2 4 Don’t know 31 28 45 29 23 37 32 30 32

Q11. If the general election for treasurer were being held today and the candidates were Claude Parrish, the Republican, and Bill Lockyer, the Democrat, for whom would you vote: Parrish, or Lockyer, or would you vote for someone else? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Lockyer 50 80 41 19 80 55 24 50 50 Parrish 26 3 14 58 4 17 52 31 22 Someone else 3 4 2 1 2 4 2 2 4 Don’t know 21 13 43 22 14 24 22 17 24

Q12. If the general election for attorney general were being held today and the candidates were Chuck Poochigian, the Republican, and Jerry Brown, the Democrat, for whom would you vote: Poochigian, or Brown, or would you vote for someone else? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Brown 51 81 48 20 81 64 20 48 53 Poochigian 34 8 20 68 6 20 66 40 29 Someone else 3 3 4 1 3 4 3 2 4 Don’t know 12 8 28 11 10 12 11 10 14

TREND FOR Q12

Study/Question No. 527/C45 Date 04/27/06 RV Brown 49 Poochigian 24 Someone else 1 Don’t know 26

Q13. If the general election for insurance commissioner were being held today and the candidates were Steve Poizner, the Republican, and Cruz Bustamante , the Democrat, for whom would you vote: Poizner, or Bustamante, or would you vote for someone else? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Bustamante 43 72 41 11 79 47 14 39 47 Poizner 38 11 29 75 5 30 69 47 29 Someone else 4 5 2 1 4 6 3 2 6 Don’t know 15 12 28 13 12 17 14 12 18

Q14. Have you heard, read or seen anything about Proposition 1B which is called the "Highway Safety, Traffic Reduction, Air Quality, and Port Security Bond Act of 2006," which would authorize bonds for improvements to the state's transportation infrastructure? (IF YES) From what you know, if the election were being held today, would you be inclined to vote for or against this bond act or don't you know enough about it yet to say? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 11 13 11 10 13 13 9 13 9 Vote no 7 6 3 9 7 5 9 9 5 Don’t know 82 81 86 81 80 82 82 78 86

Q15. The ballot summary for Proposition 1B, "The Highway Safety, Traffic Reduction, Air Quality, and Port Security Bond Act of 2006," says it makes safety improvements and repairs to state highways, upgrades freeways to reduce congestion, repairs local streets and roads, upgrades highways along major transportation corridors, improves seismic safety of local bridges, expands public transit, helps complete the state's network of car pool lanes, reduces air pollution, and improves anti-terrorism security at shipping ports by providing for a bond issue not to exceed nineteen billion nine hundred twenty-five million dollars. The fiscal impact is state costs of approximately 38.9 billion dollars over thirty years to repay the bonds. There will be additional unknown state and local operations and maintenance costs. Having heard more, if the general election were being held today, would you vote for or against this bond act? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 39 45 49 33 53 36 31 39 40 Vote no 41 30 31 54 24 38 55 41 39 Don’t know 20 25 20 13 23 26 14 20 21

Q16. Have you heard, read or seen anything about Proposition 1C, the "Housing and Emergency Shelter Trust Fund Act of 2006", which would authorize bonds to finance emergency and low income housing programs? (IF YES) From what you know, if the election were being held today, would you be inclined to vote for or against the bond act or don't you know enough about it yet to say? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 12 15 10 8 16 14 7 11 13 Vote no 15 8 17 22 8 11 23 20 9 Don’t know 73 77 73 70 76 75 70 69 78

Q17. The ballot description for Proposition 1C, the "Housing and Emergency Shelter Trust Fund Act of 2006" says it provides shelters for battered women and their children, clean and safe housing for low-income senior citizens, homeownership assistance for the disabled, military veterans, and working families. Also, it provides repairs and accessibility improvements to apartments for families and disabled citizens. The state shall issue bonds totaling two billion eight hundred fifty million dollars paid from existing state funds at an average annual cost of 204 million dollars per year over the thirty year life of the bonds. Requires reporting and publication of annual independent audited reports showing use of funds, and limits administration and overhead costs. Having heard more, if the general election were being held today, would you vote for or against this bond act? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 51 61 52 38 69 50 38 47 55 Vote no 34 22 35 49 17 29 51 41 27 Don’t know 15 17 13 13 14 21 11 12 18

Q18. Have you heard, read, or seen anything about Proposition 1D, the "Kindergarten to University Public Education Facilities Bond Act of 2006" which authorizes bonds to be used in improving state educational facilities? (IF YES) From what you know, if the election were being held today, would you be inclined to vote for or against this bond act, or don't you know enough about it yet to say? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 16 16 21 14 19 19 12 16 16 Vote no 14 8 15 20 7 15 20 18 11 Don’t know 70 76 64 66 74 66 68 66 73

Q19. The ballot summary for Proposition 1D, the "Kindergarten-University Public Education Facilities Bond Act of 2006," says it is a ten billion four hundred sixteen million dollar bond issue to provide needed funding to relieve public school overcrowding and to repair older schools. It will improve earthquake safety and fund vocational educational facilities in public schools. Bond funds must be spent according to strict accountability measures. Funds will also be used to repair and upgrade existing public college and university buildings and to build new classrooms to accommodate the growing student enrollment in the California Community Colleges, the University of California, and the California State University. The fiscal impact is state costs of about 20.3 billion dollars to pay off both the principal of 10.4 billion dollars and interest of 9.9 billion dollars on the bonds. Payments will be about 680 million dollars per year. Having heard more, if the general election were being held today, would you vote for or against this bond act? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 43 52 52 28 64 38 31 44 42 Vote no 39 25 36 57 18 39 55 43 35 Don’t know 18 23 12 15 18 23 14 13 23

Q20. Have you heard, read, or seen anything about Proposition 1E, the "Disaster Preparedness and Flood Prevention Bond Act of 2006", which authorizes bonds to finance disaster preparedness and flood prevention projects? (IF YES) From what you know, if the election were being held today, would you be inclined to vote for or against this bond act or don't you know enough about it yet to say? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 17 17 25 15 20 16 15 18 15 Vote no 13 9 10 18 9 11 18 16 10 Don’t know 70 74 65 67 71 73 67 66 75

Q21. The ballot description for Proposition 1E, the "Disaster Preparedness and Flood Prevention Bond Act of 2006" says it rebuilds and repairs California's most vulnerable flood control structures to protect homes and prevent loss of life from flood- related disasters, including levee failures, flash floods, and mudslides. It protects California's drinking water supply system by rebuilding delta levees that are vulnerable to earthquakes and storms, by authorizing a 4.09 billion dollar bond act. The fiscal impact is state costs of approximately 8 billion dollars over thirty years to repay bonds. There could be a reduction in local property tax revenues of potentially up to several million dollars annually, plus additional unknown state and local operations and maintenance costs. Having heard more, if the general election were being held today, would you vote for or against this bond act? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 50 53 61 45 54 48 48 48 52 Vote no 29 25 19 36 24 26 37 34 25 Don’t know 21 22 20 19 22 26 15 18 23

Thinking now about the race for governor, regardless which candidate for governor you happen to prefer right now, which candidate do you think would do the better job of handling the following issues:

(ORDER OF NEXT SEVEN QUESTIONS AND CANDIDATE NAMES WITHIN TEXT IS ROTATED) Q22. Who do you think would do the better job of handling public education: Arnold Schwarzenegger or Phil Angelides?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Schwarzenegger 40 17 40 68 13 34 66 44 35 Angelides 38 64 30 9 72 41 9 35 40 Both/no difference (vol.) 3 3 9 3 4 1 4 5 3 Neither of them (vol.) 9 7 10 10 4 9 13 7 11 Don’t know 10 9 11 10 7 15 8 9 11

Q23. Who do you think would do the better job of handling the state's budget: Arnold Schwarzenegger or Phil Angelides ?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Schwarzenegger 49 21 43 85 17 47 76 57 41 Angelides 29 48 37 4 59 29 7 27 31 Both/no difference (vol.) 3 4 4 1 4 3 2 2 3 Neither (vol.) 9 12 7 6 8 12 7 6 13 Don’t know 10 15 9 4 12 9 8 8 12

Q24. Who do you think would do the better job of handling the state's environmental issues: Arnold Schwarzenegger or Phil Angelides ?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Schwarzenegger 37 23 26 54 16 40 51 39 35 Angelides 36 51 46 17 61 33 19 39 32 Both/no difference (vol.) 4 3 11 3 4 6 4 6 3 Neither (vol.) 9 8 6 11 6 11 10 6 12 Don’t know 14 15 11 15 13 10 16 10 18

Q25. Who do you think would do the better job of handling California's economy: Arnold Schwarzenegger or Phil Angelides?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Schwarzenegger 52 22 53 87 19 46 83 61 44 Angelides 29 50 29 4 55 33 6 27 31 Both/no difference (vol.) 4 6 5 1 8 3 – 3 4 Neither of them (vol.) 8 13 4 4 9 11 6 4 12 Don’t know 7 9 9 4 9 7 5 5 9

Q26. Who do you think would do the better job of handling immigration issues in California: Arnold Schwarzenegger or Phil Angelides?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Schwarzenegger 43 23 41 70 16 45 63 48 38 Angelides 30 48 32 6 63 24 9 30 30 Both/no difference (vol.) 3 4 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 Neither of them (vol.) 14 15 14 11 7 20 14 13 15 Don’t know 10 10 9 11 10 8 11 6 14

Q27. Which candidate for governor do you think has stronger leadership qualities: Arnold Schwarzenegger or Phil Angelides?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Schwarzenegger 60 40 57 86 36 58 80 68 51 Angelides 20 31 30 4 39 18 6 18 21 Both/no difference (vol.) 3 4 2 3 5 4 2 4 3 Neither of them (vol.) 9 13 2 4 12 12 5 5 13 Don’t know 8 12 9 3 8 8 7 5 12

Q28. Which candidate for governor do you think has more honesty and integrity to serve as governor of California: Arnold Schwarzenegger or Phil Angelides?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Schwarznegger 43 17 43 74 12 38 71 49 36 Angelides 25 42 27 3 55 22 4 25 26 Both/no difference (vol.) 8 10 8 7 8 10 6 8 8 Neither of them (vol.) 17 20 13 12 17 21 13 12 21 Don’t know 7 11 9 4 8 9 6 6 9

Q29. Generally speaking, what is your impression of Arnold Schwarzenegger? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Favorable (net) 60 36 60 89 28 59 85 64 54 Very favorable 18 7 16 32 7 13 29 20 15 Somewhat favorable 42 29 43 57 21 46 57 44 40 Unfavorable (net) 39 63 38 10 70 40 14 34 45 Somewhat unfavorable 22 34 24 9 38 19 11 22 22 Very unfavorable 17 29 15 1 32 21 2 12 22 Haven't heard enough – – 2 – 1 – 1 1 – Don’t know 1 1 – 1 1 1 – 1 1

TREND FOR Q29

Study/Question No. 528/C37 523/C40 493/C26 487/C32 486/C41 Date 05/25/06 10/31/05 12/14/03 09/10/03 08/21/03 RV RV RV RV RV Favorable (net) 49 40 56 52 46 Very favorable 15 18 26 17 14 Somewhat favorable 34 22 30 35 32 Unfavorable (net) 47 55 38 38 40 Somewhat unfavorable 22 19 16 20 23 Very unfavorable 25 36 23 19 17 Haven't heard enough 2 2 4 6 9 Don’t know 2 3 2 4 5

(ASKED OF VOTERS WHO HAVE A VERY/SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE IMPRESSION OF SCHWARZENEGGER) Q30. Why do you have a favorable impression of Arnold Schwarzenegger? Is there another reason why you have a favorable impression of Arnold Schwarzenegger? (UP TO TWO REPLIES ACCEPTED)

LV DEM REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Good job as governor 23 20 23 18 23 24 24 22 Honest/has integrity 16 14 19 7 20 18 15 19 Strong leadership qualities 13 15 13 16 12 13 13 14 Agree with him on issues 9 7 11 4 11 9 7 11 Cares about people like me 7 4 9 7 5 8 6 8 No reason/just like him 6 9 6 6 10 4 4 7 Bipartisan/works with Democrats in Legislature 6 4 5 10 2 6 6 5 Balanced budget without raising taxes 5 4 5 6 3 5 4 6 Business experience 5 3 5 – 6 5 7 2 Parental consent-supports 5 1 5 2 – 7 5 4 Conservative 4 – 5 1 – 6 3 4 Best choice 4 1 6 1 1 5 5 2 Education / restored funding 4 3 4 4 1 6 5 4 Illegal immigrant guard on border/guest worker/path 4 8 2 4 5 4 4 5 Not beholden to special interests 4 3 4 4 5 3 5 2 Know more about him and his positions 3 3 3 4 2 4 2 4 Stem cell research funding 3 2 3 1 3 4 4 2 Budget cautious/not a wasteful spender 3 1 4 2 4 3 3 3 Economy better/more jobs 3 1 5 3 2 4 5 2 Environment /good record on environment 2 6 – 11 2 – 3 2 Moderate 2 3 2 5 3 1 2 2 Gay marriage bill/doesn't support gay marriage 1 – 1 – 1 1 1 – Global warming/greenhouse gas emissions/signed bill 1 – – 3 – – – 1 Minimum wage increase bill-signed 1 2 1 3 1 – 1 1 Off shore oil drilling-opposes 1 – 2 – 1 2 – 3 Opposes partial birth abortion 1 – 1 – – 1 1 – Celebrity/like his movies 1 3 1 5 2 – 2 1 Learns from his mistakes 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 Republican – 1 – 1 – – – – Pro-choice – 1 – 1 – – – – Supports, gun control – – – 1 – – – – Infrastructure bonds-supports – 1 – 1 – – – – Cell phone ban while driving, signed bill – – – – – – – 1 Favors death penalty – – – – – 1 1 – Don’t know 3 7 2 8 5 1 3 3

(ASKED OF VOTERS WHO HAVE A VERY/SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE IMPRESSION OF SCHWARZENEGGER) Q31. Why do you have an unfavorable impression of Arnold Schwarzenegger? Is there another reason why you have an unfavorable impression of Arnold Schwarzenegger? (UP TO TWO REPLIES ACCEPTED)

LV DEM LIB MOD MEN WOM Not honest 17 18 16 21 21 14 Poor record on education 15 12 16 19 14 17 Ineffective/poor track record 11 9 12 6 12 9 Personality/arrogant 10 12 12 6 10 9 Doesn't understand the problems of California 9 10 9 8 10 8 No reason/just dislike him 9 9 9 9 7 12 Celebrity 8 9 11 3 5 10 Illegal immigration/supports reforms-guest worker 8 7 8 10 11 6 Beholden to special interests 6 6 8 3 4 8 Does not care about people like me 5 5 5 7 5 5 Flip flops 5 3 4 5 5 4 Sexist reputation 5 6 7 2 4 6 Republican 5 7 7 3 8 3 Don't agree with him on issues 5 3 6 4 6 4 Controversial remarks about minorities 4 4 3 4 1 6 Anti-labor unions 4 4 4 5 5 2 Opposes driver licenses for illegal immigrants 3 3 – 2 3 2 Fiscally inept 3 4 4 1 5 1 Pro-business 3 2 3 – 4 2 Typical politician 3 4 2 6 1 5 Unqualified/not bright 3 4 4 1 2 3 Failed costly special election 2 3 2 3 3 2 Neglects state employee needs 2 2 1 4 – 3 Not doing enough on the environment 2 2 1 3 1 2 Democrat/too bipartisan/not a good republican 2 – – – 3 1 Supported reelection of Bush 2 2 3 3 4 1 Actor playing governor 1 1 1 – 2 1 Gun control stand 1 1 2 1 1 1 Cut programs/raised fees to balance budget 1 1 2 – 1 1 Conservative 1 – – 4 2 – Moderate 1 – – – 1 1 Gay marriage bill/doesn't support gay marriage – – – – – – Negative campaigning/ads – – – – – – Pretends to be a Stem cell research funding – – – – – – Pro-choice – – – 1 – – Other 7 6 6 8 9 6 Don’t know 1 3 1 5 – 4

Q32. Generally speaking, what is your impression of Phil Angelides? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Favorable (net) 38 59 41 14 72 39 13 38 38 Very favorable 7 14 6 – 14 8 1 7 8 Somewhat favorable 31 45 35 13 58 30 11 32 30 Unfavorable (net) 43 19 40 70 12 39 68 50 35 Somewhat unfavorable 22 12 28 31 8 21 32 26 16 Very unfavorable 21 7 12 40 4 19 36 23 19 Haven't heard enough 17 20 17 13 14 20 17 10 24 Don’t know 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3

TREND FOR Q32

Study/Question No. 528/Q38 527/Q37 523/Q39 Date 05/25/06 04/27/06 10/31/05 RV RV RV Favorable (net) 34 28 14 Very favorable 6 6 4 Somewhat favorable 28 22 10 Unfavorable (net) 26 14 10 Somewhat unfavorable 15 8 4 Very unfavorable 11 6 6 Haven't heard enough 36 56 72 Don’t know 4 2 4

(ASKED OF VOTERS WHO HAVE A VERY/SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE IMPRESSION OF PHIL ANGELIDES?) Q33. Why do you have a favorable impression of Phil Angelides? Is there another reason why you have a favorable impression of Phil Angelides? (UP TO TWO REPLIES ACCEPTED)

LV DEM LIB MOD MEN WOM No reason/just like him 22 19 13 31 25 20 Honest/has integrity 13 16 15 10 14 12 Democrat 12 16 15 9 11 13 Experience/state treasurer 12 14 14 7 11 13 Best choice among candidates 11 13 13 12 10 12 Agree with him on issues 10 8 13 8 10 10 Cares about average Californian 9 10 11 5 7 11 Education proposals 8 7 8 8 11 5 Understands the problems of California 6 8 5 9 6 6 Strong leadership qualities 5 2 5 2 5 4 Business experience/ real estate development 4 5 5 – 5 3 Shares the same values as I do 4 3 6 2 5 4 Not a typical politician 3 2 4 2 4 3 Environmental proposals 2 1 2 2 1 2 Family man 2 1 2 2 1 2 Moderate/liberal 1 – 1 1 2 – Budget proposals 1 1 1 2 2 1 Endorsements 1 2 1 1 1 1 Gun control/favors stricter control 1 1 1 – – 1 Labor unions/pro unions 1 1 1 2 1 1 Tax cuts-middle class/small businesses 1 1 1 2 1 1 Three strikes/Prop83 1 1 – 1 1 – Immigration position 1 1 1 3 2 1 Other 9 10 7 15 6 11 Don’t know 1 – 1 – 2 –

(ASKED OF VOTERS WHO HAVE A VERY/SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE IMPRESSION OF PHIL ANGELIDES) Q34. Why do you have an unfavorable impression of Phil Angelides? Is there another reason why you have an unfavorable impression of Phil Angelides? * (UP TO TWO REPLIES ACCEPTED)

LV DEM REP MOD CON MEN WOM Not honest/has no integrity 18 19 17 13 21 17 20 No reason/just dislike him 15 19 17 18 14 15 16 Tax plan/will raise taxes 15 5 17 10 19 16 14 Weak leadership qualities 10 15 10 8 10 10 10 Don't agree with him on issues 10 10 10 15 8 9 10 Democrat 8 – 11 2 11 8 7 Negative campaigning/ads 8 8 7 7 7 6 11 Lacks charisma 6 9 4 9 4 6 4 Flip flops on certain issues/Jessica's law 6 7 5 11 4 6 5 Environmental proposals 5 9 2 8 4 5 4 Liberal/too liberal 5 1 6 1 7 5 5 Typical politician 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 Don’t know enough about him or his positions 4 6 3 5 3 3 6 Ideas will reverse California’s progress 3 – 5 1 4 4 1 Immigration position 3 – 3 2 4 5 1 Real estate development scandal 3 2 4 7 2 3 4 Doesn't care about the average Californian 2 3 2 1 1 1 3 Labor unions/pro unions/not business friendly 2 1 3 1 3 3 2 Negative track record in business and government 2 1 1 – 2 3 1 Education proposals 1 – – – 2 2 – Gun control/favors strict control 1 – 1 – 1 1 – Leak of tapes with government’s controversial remarks 1 – 1 – 1 1 – Pro-choice/supports abortion – 1 1 – 1 1 – Death penalty-favors it – – – – – – – Other 7 11 7 9 6 6 10 Don’t know 1 – 2 – 2 1 1

(NEXT TWO QUESTIONS ARE ROTATED) Q35. As you may know, Phil Angelides has promised that, if elected, he would raise taxes on some corporations and raise income taxes on Californians who make more than $250,000 a year. He also plans to cut income taxes on people making less than $100,000 a year and cut taxes on small businesses. Does this make you more or less likely to vote for Angelides for governor in November, or does it make no difference in your decision one way or the other? (IF MORE/LESS LIKELY) Are you much (more/less) likely to vote for him, or only somewhat (more/less) likely?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM More likely (net) 35 54 42 11 65 38 13 31 40 Much more likely 20 32 23 6 39 22 5 18 22 Somewhat more likely 15 22 19 5 26 16 8 13 18 Less likely (net) 24 9 14 47 4 14 45 30 18 Somewhat less likely 6 2 4 11 2 3 10 6 6 Much less likely 18 7 10 35 2 11 35 23 13 No difference 39 35 42 42 29 47 41 38 39 Don’t know 2 2 3 1 2 1 1 1 2

Q36. As you may know, Arnold Schwarzenegger has promised that, if re-elected, he would not raise any taxes. Does this make you more or less likely to vote for Schwarzenegger for governor in November, or does it make no difference in your decision one way or the other? (IF MORE/LESS LIKELY) Are you much (more/less) likely to vote for him, or only somewhat (more/less) likely?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM More likely (net) 30 10 29 55 6 23 53 33 27 Much more likely 19 5 23 36 3 12 36 24 15 Somewhat more likely 11 5 6 19 2 11 17 10 13 Less likely (net) 17 28 17 3 32 19 3 17 17 Somewhat less likely 6 10 5 1 10 6 1 5 5 Much less likely 11 18 12 2 23 13 2 11 11 No difference 52 62 53 40 62 58 42 50 54 Don’t know 1 – 1 2 – 1 2 – 2

Q37. Have you heard, read, or seen anything about Proposition 86, the "Tax on Cigarettes Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute", having to do with taxing tobacco products to provide funding for health programs? (IF YES) From what you know, if the election were being held today, would you be inclined to vote for or against this initiative, or don't you know enough about it yet to say? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 28 34 36 18 38 27 21 28 28 Vote no 31 19 25 48 18 25 45 34 27 Don’t know 41 47 39 34 44 48 34 38 45

Q38. The ballot description for Proposition 86, the "Tax on Cigarettes Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute" says it imposes an additional $2.60 per pack excise tax on cigarettes and indirectly increases taxes on other tobacco products. Provides funding for various health programs, children's health coverage, and tobacco-related programs. The fiscal impact is an increase in excise tax revenues of about 2.1 billion dollars annually in 2007 and 2008 spent for the specified purposes outlined above. There would be other potentially significant costs and savings for state and local governments due to program changes. Having heard more, if the general election were being held today, would you vote for or against this initiative? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 47 59 53 33 60 49 37 46 49 Vote no 42 29 38 59 24 38 58 45 39 Don’t know 11 12 9 8 16 13 5 9 12

Q39. Have you heard, read, or seen anything about Proposition 87, the "Alternative Energy, Research, Production, Incentives Tax on California Oil Producers Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute", which has to do with taxing gasoline producers to fund alternative energy sources? (IF YES) From what you know, if the election were being held today, would you be inclined to vote for or against this initiative, or don't you know enough about it yet to say? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 25 34 31 13 39 27 12 25 24 Vote no 30 14 24 49 13 25 47 36 24 Don’t know 45 52 45 38 48 48 41 39 52

Q40. The ballot description for Proposition 87, the "Alternative Energy, Research, Production, Incentives Tax on California Oil Producers Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute" says it establishes a four billion dollar program to reduce petroleum consumption through incentives for alternative energy, education and training. It is funded by tax on California oil producers. The fiscal impact is state oil tax revenues of 225 million to 485 million dollars annually for alternative energy programs totaling 4 billion dollars. State and local revenue reductions up to low tens of millions of dollars annually. Having heard more, if the general election were being held today, would you vote for or against this initiative? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Vote yes 45 60 53 25 72 45 24 43 46 Vote no 38 23 34 57 16 36 58 44 33 Don’t know 17 17 13 18 12 19 18 13 21

Q43. Lots of people don't pay much attention to political campaigns. How about you? So far this year, how interested have you been in following political campaigns, such as the race for governor, other state races, and state ballot measures? Are you very interested, somewhat interested, somewhat uninterested or very uninterested in following those political campaigns this year?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Interest (net) 91 90 93 90 90 90 91 92 89 Very interested 31 31 21 36 29 28 35 33 30 Somewhat interested 59 59 72 54 61 62 56 59 59 Uninterested (net) 9 10 6 10 10 9 9 8 10 Somewhat uninterested 7 7 2 8 6 7 7 6 7 Very uninterested 3 3 4 2 4 2 2 2 3 Don’t know – – 1 – – 1 – – 1

TREND FOR Q43

2006 Primary Election

Study/Question No. 528/C25 527/C24 Date 05/25/06 04/27/06 RV RV Interested (net) 74 73 Very interested 22 23 Somewhat interested 52 50 Uninterested (net) 25 26 Somewhat uninterested 17 17 Very uninterested 8 9 Don’t know 1 1

1998 General Election

Study/Question No. 418/Q65 416/Q70 Date 10/21/98 09/17/98 RV RV Interested (net) 78 73 Very interested 31 22 Somewhat interest 47 51 Uninterested (net) 21 26 Somewhat uninterested 14 19 Very uninterested 7 6 Don’t know 1 1

Q50. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or do you (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Approve (net) 42 14 37 76 9 25 79 47 35 Approve strongly 16 6 11 32 2 10 32 18 15 Approve somewhat 25 8 26 44 6 15 47 30 20 Disapprove (net) 57 86 62 22 91 74 20 53 63 Disapprove somewhat 9 7 14 10 5 13 8 9 8 Disapprove strongly 49 79 48 13 86 61 12 43 55 Don’t know 1 – 1 2 – 1 1 – 2

TREND FOR Q50 among ALL

POLL/QN DATE Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly *527/Q29 04/06 13 19 16 49 523/Q3 10/05 17 19 14 45 *509/Q15 10/04 26 17 10 45 *506/Q16 09/04 24 19 13 42 502/Q17 04/04 25 20 10 43 498/Q38 02/04 22 25 15 34 486/Q2 08/03 26 21 14 33 485/Q3 07/03 30 26 12 27 483/Q3 03/03 30 18 13 35 474/Q2 09/02 30 24 17 23 464/Q3 01/02 42 34 9 10 461/Q3 06/01 18 22 14 31

*Registered voters

COMBINED RESPONSES

POLL/QN DATE Approve Disapprove Don’t know *527/C29 04/06 31 66 3 523/C3 10/05 36 59 5 *509/C15 10/04 42 56 2 *506/C16 09/04 43 55 2 502/C17 04/04 45 53 2 498/C38 02/04 47 49 4 486/C2 08/03 47 47 5 483/C3 03/03 48 48 4 474/C2 09/02 54 40 6 464/C3 01/02 76 19 5 461/C3 06/01 40 45 15

*Registered voters

Q51. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arnold Schwarzenegger is handling his job as governor? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

LV DEM IND REP LIB MOD CON MEN WOM Approve (net) 59 34 59 90 27 52 88 64 54 Approve strongly 20 9 18 35 6 16 34 26 13 Approve somewhat 39 25 41 55 21 36 54 37 41 Disapprove (net) 40 65 40 9 71 48 11 36 44 Disapprove somewhat 21 34 27 7 37 26 7 20 23 Disapprove strongly 19 31 13 2 34 22 4 17 21 Don’t know 1 1 1 1 2 – 1 – 2

TREND FOR Q51

POLL/QN DATE Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly *528/Q31 05/06 13 30 24 27 *527/Q30 04/06 14 30 25 28 523/Q4 10/05 16 16 18 44 *509/Q42 10/04 33 33 13 12 *506/Q39 09/04 29 37 14 12 502/Q21 04/04 34 30 12 14 498/Q43 02/04 29 32 10 12

*Registered voters

COMBINED RESPONSES

POLL/QN DATE Approve Disapprove Don’t know *528/C31 05/06 44 51 5 *527/C30 04/06 44 53 3 523/C4 10/05 32 62 6 *509/C42 10/04 66 25 9 *506/C39 09/04 66 27 7 502/C21 04/04 64 26 10 498/C43 02/04 61 22 17

*Registered voters

METHODOLOGY

This Los Angeles Times poll is the 535th in a series of opinion studies designed to measure public attitudes on a number of critical issues. This particular survey focuses on California politics. This pre-election study looks at the upcoming November 2006 election. Included are sections on the governor, the down ballot races, bond measures 1B, 1C, 1D, 1E and Propositions 86 and 87.

The sampling frame for this survey is all telephone residences in the state of California. One thousand eight hundred and sixty- eight men and women 18 years of age or older were contacted by telephone September 23-28, 2006. Among them were 1,312 registered voters of which 989 were deemed likely to vote in the November general election.

Likely voters were determined by a screening process that included questions on intention to vote, interest in the campaign and past voting history.

The samples for this survey are random selections of telephone numbers from among all working banks of land-line exchanges in the state. Working banks are 100 contiguous numbers containing one or more residential listings. The use of random samples of telephone exchanges such as these allow researchers to contact both listed and unlisted numbers. Sampled numbers are released in representative replicates to ensure an appropriate regional distribution, and multiple attempts were made to contact each number. Interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish. Interviews in the Latino supplemental sample were conducted by Interviewing Service of America, Van Nuys, California.

While voters of all racial and ethnic groups were interviewed and are included as part of the overall results, some may comprise too small a subgroup of the sample to be separately reported.

The entire sample of adults was evaluated against the most recent U.S. Census Bureau's Current Population Survey demographic estimates of sex, ethnicity, age, education and region as well as party registration data obtained from the office of the California Secretary of State. A weight was calculated to bring the sample proportions into alignment with their respective proportions, if necessary, for analysis.

For results based on the entire statewide sample, one can say with 95% confidence that error attributable to sampling for this survey among all adults, registered and likely voters is at most plus or minus 3 percentage points. For certain subgroups, the error margin may be somewhat higher. Weights such as these are used to account for error introduced when respondents to the survey may differ from those who refused to be interviewed or who were never home during the interviewing period.

While every precaution has been taken to avoid error and increase accuracy, surveys such as this one may be subject to inaccuracies for which precise estimates cannot be calculated and which may, in some cases, contribute to errors of greater or lesser extent than the effects associated with sampling procedures. For example, findings may be influenced by events which take place while the survey is in the field and, of course, events occurring since the time the interviews were conducted could have changed the opinions reported here. In addition, inadvertently biased question wordings and the order in which they are asked may influence results. Such errors and others are the result of the various practical difficulties associated with taking any survey of public opinion.

Susan Pinkus directs the Los Angeles Times Poll. Jill Darling is the associate director, Roger Richardson is the field director, Claudia Vaughn is the data management supervisor and Farnaz Calafi is the publications coordinator.

Further information regarding this study is available by writing to the Los Angeles Times Poll, 202 West 1st Street, Los Angeles, California 90012, or by calling (213) 237-2027, or by emailing [email protected]. In addition, poll data can now be found on the World Wide Web. Visit us at http://www.latimes.com/timespoll.

This report conforms to the standards of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls and the American Association for Public Opinion Research.