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The Hezbollah-Israeli
The Hizbullah-Israeli War: an American Perspective Aaron David Miller It was unusual for an Israeli Prime Minster to break open a bottle of champagne in front of American negotiators at a formal meeting. But that’s exactly what Shimon Peres did. It was late April 1996, and Peres was marking the end of a bloody three week border confrontation with Hizbullah diffused only by an intense ten day shuttle orchestrated by Secretary of State Warren Christopher. Those understandings negotiated between the governments of Israel and Syria (the latter standing in for Hizbullah) would create an Israeli-Lebanese monitoring group, co-chaired by the United States and France. These arrangements were far from perfect, but contributed, along with on-again-off-again Israeli-Syrian negotiations, to an extended period of relative calm along the Israeli- Lebanese border. The April understandings would last until Israel’s withdrawal. The recent summer war between Hizbullah and Israel, triggered by the Shia militia’s attack on an Israeli patrol on July 12, masked a number of other factors which would set the stage for the confrontation as well as the Bush administration’s response. Six years of relative quiet had witnessed Israel’s unilateral withdrawal from Lebanon in June of 2000, a steady supply of Katushya rockets—both short and long range—from Iran to Hizbullah, the collapse of Israel’s negotiations with Syria and the Palestinians, and the onset of the worst Israeli-Palestinian war in half a century. A perfect storm was brewing, spawned by the empowerment of both Hizbullah and Hamas, Iranian reach into the Arab-Israeli zone, Syria’s forced withdrawal from Lebanon, a determination by Israel to restore its strategic deterrence in the wake of unilateral withdrawals from Lebanon and Gaza, and an inexperienced Israeli prime minister and defense minister uncertain of how that should be done. -
Putin, Exposed, May Become More Dangerous
Opinions Putin, exposed, may become more dangerous By David Ignatius Opinion writer October 31 at 8:06 PM Has there ever been a covert action that backfired as disastrously as Russia’s attempt to meddle in the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign? Granted, we know all the reasons Moscow is gloating: Donald Trump is president; America is divided and confused; Russia’s propagandization of “fake news” is now repeated by people around the world as evidence that nothing is believable and all information is (as in Russia) manipulated and mendacious. But against this cynical strategy there now stands a process embodied by special counsel Robert S. Mueller III, which we will call, as a shorthand: “The Truth.” Mueller has mobilized the investigative powers of the U.S. government to document how Russia and its friends sought to manipulate American politics. We are seeing the rule of law, applied. Put aside for the moment what the indictments and plea agreement announced Monday will ultimately mean for Trump’s presidency. Already, Mueller has stripped the cover from Russia’s machinations: Trump’s former foreign policy adviser George Papadopoulos has confessed that he lied to FBI agents about his contacts with individuals connected to Moscow who promised “dirt” on Hillary Clinton; Trump’s former campaign chairman Paul Manafort has been charged with laundering $18 million in payoffs from Russia’s Ukrainian friends. Russian meddling is now advertised to the world. This topic will dominate American debate for the next year, at least. In Europe, meanwhile, a similar reaction to Russian influence operations is gaining force. -
Legislating Autocracy? Recent Legal Developments in Turkey
National Security Program Foreign Policy Project Legislating Autocracy? Recent Legal Developments In Turkey April 2014 National Security Program Foreign Policy Project ABOUT BPC Founded in 2007 by former Senate Majority Leaders Howard Baker, Tom Daschle, Bob Dole, and George Mitchell, the Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC) is a non-profit organization that drives principled solutions through rigorous analysis, reasoned negotiation, and respectful dialogue. With projects in multiple issue areas, BPC combines politically balanced policymaking with strong, proactive advocacy and outreach. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We gratefully acknowledge the assistance of BPC interns Jessica Atlas and Preston Feinberg for their contributions. DISCLAIMER This report is a product of BPC’s Foreign Policy Project. The findings expressed herein are those solely of the Foreign Policy Project, though no member may be satisfied with every formulation in the report. The report does not necessarily represent the views or opinions of BPC, its founders, or its board of directors. Recent Legal Developments in Turkey | 2 Task Force Co-Chairs Ambassador Morton Abramowitz Former U.S. Ambassador to Turkey Ambassador Eric Edelman Former U.S. Ambassador to Turkey Task Force Members Henri Barkey Bernard L. and Bertha F. Cohen Professor of Internal Relations, Lehigh University Svante Cornell Research Director, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and Silk Road Studies Program Ambassador Paula Dobriansky Former Under Secretary of State for Global Affairs John Hannah Former Assistant for National Security Affairs to the Vice President Ed Husain Senior Fellow for Middle Eastern Studies, Council on Foreign Relations David Kramer Executive Director, Freedom House Aaron Lobel Founder and President, America Abroad Media Alan Makovsky Former Senior Professional Staff Member, House Foreign Affairs Committee Admiral (ret.) Gregory Johnson Former Commander of U.S. -
Armed Conflicts Report - Israel
Armed Conflicts Report - Israel Armed Conflicts Report Israel-Palestine (1948 - first combat deaths) Update: February 2009 Summary Type of Conflict Parties to the Conflict Status of the Fighting Number of Deaths Political Developments Background Arms Sources Economic Factors Summary: 2008 The situation in the Gaza strip escalated throughout 2008 to reflect an increasing humanitarian crisis. The death toll reached approximately 1800 deaths by the end of January 2009, with increased conflict taking place after December 19th. The first six months of 2008 saw increased fighting between Israeli forces and Hamas rebels. A six month ceasefire was agreed upon in June of 2008, and the summer months saw increased factional violence between opposing Palestinian groups Hamas and Fatah. Israel shut down the border crossings between the Gaza strip and Israel and shut off fuel to the power plant mid-January 2008. The fuel was eventually turned on although blackouts occurred sporadically throughout the year. The blockade was opened periodically throughout the year to allow a minimum amount of humanitarian aid to pass through. However, for the majority of the year, the 1.5 million Gaza Strip inhabitants, including those needing medical aid, were trapped with few resources. At the end of January 2009, Israel agreed to the principles of a ceasefire proposal, but it is unknown whether or not both sides can come to agreeable terms and create long lasting peace in 2009. 2007 A November 2006 ceasefire was broken when opposing Palestinian groups Hamas and Fatah renewed fighting in April and May of 2007. In June, Hamas led a coup on the Gaza headquarters of Fatah giving them control of the Gaza Strip. -
Annual Report
COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS ANNUAL REPORT July 1,1996-June 30,1997 Main Office Washington Office The Harold Pratt House 1779 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W. 58 East 68th Street, New York, NY 10021 Washington, DC 20036 Tel. (212) 434-9400; Fax (212) 861-1789 Tel. (202) 518-3400; Fax (202) 986-2984 Website www. foreignrela tions. org e-mail publicaffairs@email. cfr. org OFFICERS AND DIRECTORS, 1997-98 Officers Directors Charlayne Hunter-Gault Peter G. Peterson Term Expiring 1998 Frank Savage* Chairman of the Board Peggy Dulany Laura D'Andrea Tyson Maurice R. Greenberg Robert F Erburu Leslie H. Gelb Vice Chairman Karen Elliott House ex officio Leslie H. Gelb Joshua Lederberg President Vincent A. Mai Honorary Officers Michael P Peters Garrick Utley and Directors Emeriti Senior Vice President Term Expiring 1999 Douglas Dillon and Chief Operating Officer Carla A. Hills Caryl R Haskins Alton Frye Robert D. Hormats Grayson Kirk Senior Vice President William J. McDonough Charles McC. Mathias, Jr. Paula J. Dobriansky Theodore C. Sorensen James A. Perkins Vice President, Washington Program George Soros David Rockefeller Gary C. Hufbauer Paul A. Volcker Honorary Chairman Vice President, Director of Studies Robert A. Scalapino Term Expiring 2000 David Kellogg Cyrus R. Vance Jessica R Einhorn Vice President, Communications Glenn E. Watts and Corporate Affairs Louis V Gerstner, Jr. Abraham F. Lowenthal Hanna Holborn Gray Vice President and Maurice R. Greenberg Deputy National Director George J. Mitchell Janice L. Murray Warren B. Rudman Vice President and Treasurer Term Expiring 2001 Karen M. Sughrue Lee Cullum Vice President, Programs Mario L. Baeza and Media Projects Thomas R. -
The Fatah-Hamas Reconciliation: Threatening Peace Prospects
The Fatah-Hamas Reconciliation: Threatening Peace Prospects Testimony by David Makovsky Director, Project on the Middle East Peace Process The Washington Institute for Near East Policy February 5, 2013 Hearing of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Foreign Relations Subcommittee on the Middle East and North Africa Thank you, Madam Chairwoman, Ranking Member Deutch, and distinguished members of the subcommittee for this wonderful opportunity to testify at your very first session of the new Congress. The issue of unity between Fatah and Hamas is something that the two parties have discussed at different levels since 2007 -- and certainly since the two groups announced an agreement in principle in May 2011. Indeed, a meeting between the groups is scheduled in Cairo in the coming days. One should not rule out that such unity will occur; but the past failures of the groups to unite begs various questions and suggests why unity may not occur in the future. While the idea of unity is popular among divided publics everywhere, there have been genuine obstacles to implementing any unity agreement between Fatah and Hamas. First, it seems that neither Fatah -- the mainstream party of the Palestinian Authority (PA) -- nor Hamas wants to risk what it already possesses, namely Hamas's control of Gaza and the PA's control of its part of the West Bank. Each has its own zone and wants to maintain corresponding control. Second, Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas has not been willing to commit to a Hamas demand for the end of PA security cooperation with Israel in the West Bank, which has resulted in the arrests of Hamas operatives by the PA. -
50 Ways Trump Is Wrong on Trade
MEMO Published April 7, 2016 • 16 minute read 50 Ways Trump Is Wrong on Trade Gabe Horwitz Donald Trump is a businessman, a billionaire, and a Vice President for the Economic Program globetrotter with nancial interests currently in Turkey, @HorwitzGabe Panama, South Korea, Canada, Philippines, India, Uruguay, Jay Chittooran Brazil, Ireland, Scotland, and the United Arab Emirates, Policy Advisor, Economic 1 Program according to his website. So how could someone with that breadth of global experience be so wrong on trade? Donald Trump is one of America’s loudest voices in opposition to trade generally and to the Trans-Pacic Partnership (TPP), which is his prerogative as a candidate for President. He has leveled bombastic accusations about TPP and other U.S. trade deals; of course, he levels bombastic accusations nearly every day on a host of issues. Of course, the sheer size of TPP —nearly 40% of global GDP— calls for robust debate and analysis. Third Way supports TPP as a way to open U.S. markets, write the rules of commerce in Asia (instead of China), and dramatically increase Made in America exports to the world’s most important growing market. We see this agreement as an essential component of restoring the basic American bargain of economic growth that benets the middle class and those aspiring to join it. Others, including Trump, view TPP dierently, and that debate has been passionate. But unlike most issue areas in this presidential race, Donald Trump has actually proposed a specic trade policy in place of TPP—a 45% tax on imports coming from China, a 35% tax on many imports from Mexico, and a 20% tax on imports from other countries. -
Insights from the Second Lebanon War
CHILDREN AND FAMILIES The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that EDUCATION AND THE ARTS helps improve policy and decisionmaking through ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT research and analysis. HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE This electronic document was made available from INFRASTRUCTURE AND www.rand.org as a public service of the RAND TRANSPORTATION Corporation. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS LAW AND BUSINESS NATIONAL SECURITY Skip all front matter: Jump to Page 16 POPULATION AND AGING PUBLIC SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Support RAND Browse Reports & Bookstore TERRORISM AND HOMELAND SECURITY Make a charitable contribution For More Information Visit RAND at www.rand.org Explore the RAND National Defense Research Institute View document details Limited Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law as indicated in a notice appearing later in this work. This electronic representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for non-commercial use only. Unauthorized posting of RAND electronic documents to a non-RAND website is prohibited. RAND electronic documents are protected under copyright law. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please see RAND Permissions. This product is part of the RAND Corporation monograph series. RAND monographs present major research findings that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors. All RAND mono- graphs undergo rigorous peer review to ensure high standards for research quality and objectivity. All Glory Is Fleeting Insights from the Second Lebanon War Russell W. Glenn Prepared for the United States Joint Forces Command Approved for public release; distribution unlimited NATIONAL DEFENSE RESEARCH INSTITUTE The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Joint Forces Command Joint Urban Operations Office. -
Israel: Background and U.S. Relations in Brief Name Redacted Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs
Israel: Background and U.S. Relations in Brief name redacted Specialist in Middle Eastern Affairs February 12, 2018 Congressional Research Service 7-.... www.crs.gov R44245 Israel: Background and U.S. Relations in Brief Contents U.S.-Israel Relations: Key Concerns ............................................................................................... 1 Israeli-Palestinian Issues ................................................................................................................. 3 Overview ................................................................................................................................... 3 Assessment ................................................................................................................................ 5 Jerusalem ................................................................................................................................... 6 New U.S. Stance ................................................................................................................. 6 Reactions and Policy Implications ...................................................................................... 7 Regional Security Issues.................................................................................................................. 9 Iran and Its Allies .............................................................................................................. 10 Lebanon-Syria Border Area and Hezbollah ..................................................................... -
A Single Organization Controls Almost Everything You See, Hear, and Read in the Media and They've Been Handpicking Your Leaders for Decades
by Matt Agorist January 29, 2018 from TheFreeThoughtProject Website A single organization controls almost everything you see, hear, and read in the media and they've been handpicking your leaders for decades. It is no secret that over the last 4 decades, mainstream media has been consolidated from dozens of competing companies to only six. Hundreds of channels, websites, news outlets, newspapers, and magazines, making up ninety percent of all media is controlled by very few people, giving Americans the illusion of choice. While six companies controlling most everything the Western world consumes in regard to media may sound like a sinister arrangement, the Swiss Propaganda Research center (SPR) has just released information that is even worse. The research group was able to tie all these media companies to a single organization: the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). For those who may be unaware, the CFR is a primary member of the circle of Washington think-tanks promoting endless war. As former Army Major Todd Pierce describes, this group acts as "primary provocateurs" using, "'psychological suggestiveness' to create a false narrative of danger from some foreign entity with the objective being to create paranoia within the U.S. population that it is under imminent threat of attack or takeover." A senior member of the CFR and outspoken neocon warmonger, Robert Kagan has even publicly proclaimed that the U.S. should create an empire. The narrative created by CFR and its cohorts is picked up by their secondary communicators, also known the mainstream media, who push it on the populace with no analysis or questioning. -
April 2000 – February 2001)
U.S. Commission on National Security/21st Century (click on heading to be linked directly to that section) Phase 1 (July 1998 - August 1999) Major Themes And Implications Supporting Research And Analysis Phase 2 (August 2000 – April 2000) Seeking A National Strategy: A Concert For Preserving Security And Promoting Freedom Phase 3 (April 2000 – February 2001) Roadmap For National Security: Imperative For Change 71730_DAPS.qx 10/12/99 5:06 PM Page #1 NEW WORLD COMING: AMERICAN SECURITY IN THE 21ST CENTURY MAJOR THEMES AND IMPLICATIONS The Phase I Report on the Emerging Global Security Environment for the First Quarter of the 21st Century The United States Commission on National Security/21st Century September 15, 1999 71730_DAPS.qx 10/12/99 5:06 PM Page #3 Preface In 1947, President Harry Truman signed into law the National Security Act, the landmark U.S. national security legislation of the latter half of the 20th century. The 1947 legislation has served us well. It has undergirded our diplomatic efforts, provided the basis to establish our military capa- bilities, and focused our intelligence assets. But the world has changed dramatically in the last fifty years, and particularly in the last decade. Institutions designed in another age may or may not be appropriate for the future. It is the mandate of the United States Commission on National Security/21st Century to examine precise- ly that question. It has undertaken to do so in three phases: the first to describe the world emerging in the first quarter of the next century, the second to design a national security strategy appropri- ate to that world, and the third to propose necessary changes to the national security structure in order to implement that strategy effectively. -
Books of the Week 2008-2010
BOOKS OF THE WEEK 2008-2010 07/04/2010 Shop Class as Soulcraft: An Inquiry into the Value of Work, by Matthew B. Crawford 06/27/30 Winning in Emerging Markets: A Road Map for Strategy and Execution, by Tarun Khanna and Krishna Palepu 06/20/2010 Reset: Iran, Turkey, and America's Future, by Steven Kinsler 06/13/2010 More Money than God, by Sebastian Mallaby 06/06/10 The Icarus Syndrome: A History of American Hubris, by Peter Beinart 05/30/10 The Man Who Loved China, by Simon Winchester 05/23/10 The Promise, by Jonathan Alter 05/16/2010 The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War between States and Corporations, by Ian Bremmer 05/09/2010 Pakistan: Between Mosque and Military, by Hussain Haqqani 05/02/2010 The Great Reset: How New Ways of Living and Working Drive Post-Crash Prosperity, by Richard Florida 04/25/2010 Elements of Investing, by Burton Malkiel and Charles Ellis 04/18/2010 The Bridge, by David Remnick 04/11/2010 Mandela's Way: 15 Lessons on Life, Love and Courage, by Rick Stengel 04/04/2010 The Checklist Manifesto: How to Get Things Right, by Atul Gawande 03/28/2010 The Great Inflation and its Aftermath: The Past and Future of American Affluence, by Robert Samuelson 03/21/2010 The Big Short, by Michael Lewis 03/14/2010 Things I've Been Silent about: Memories of a Prodigal Daughter, by Azar Nafisi 03/07/2010 Imperial Life in the Emerald City, by Rajiv Chandrasekaran 02/28/2010 The Soros Lectures at the Central European University, by George Soros 02/21/2010 Work Hard, Study and Keep Out of Politics by James Baker Recount (movie) 02/14/2010 Into the Story, by David Maraniss "How to Tame the Deficit," by Jeffrey Sachs (article) 02/07/2010 Comeback America: Turning the Country Around and Restoring Fiscal Responsibility by David Walker 01/31/2010 Capitalism and the Jews, by Jerry Muller 01/24/2010 The Death of Conservatism, by Sam Tanenhaus 01/17/2010 Mountains Beyond Mountains: The Quest of Dr.