SILICON VALLEY Savills Research
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Q4 2019 MARKET IN MINUTES SILICON VALLEY Savills Research Availability holds flat, still asking rents push KEY STATISTICS y-o-y Q4 2018 Q4 2019 upwards Change Overall availability in Silicon Valley ended the fourth quarter at 14.4%, a slight Inventory 82.0 MSF 84.4 MSF 40-basis-point-increase over the year. Class A availability was similarly unchanged, Availability Rate 14.0% 14.4% dropping just 10 basis points over the year to 17.1%. Still, asking rents push upwards, ending the year at $4.97 per square foot (psf), per month, for all classes and $5.51 Asking Rental Rate $4.30 $4.97 psf monthly for class A space. Asking rents in prime submarkets like Palo Alto Class A Asking Rental Rate $4.53 $5.51 and Mountain View closed the quarter with averages well-above $6.67 psf, per month. Rising rents have forced tenants to look south to lower-cost submarkets, Quarterly Leasing Activity 1.8 MSF 1.9 MSF like Downtown and North San Jose, for more affordable options. Silicon Valley unemployment rates have reached a recent low of 2.7%, and as companies find it even harder to recruit and retain talent, location has become an increasingly important ASKING RENT TRENDS factor in real estate decisions. Overall Asking Rent Class A Asking Rent $10.00 San Jose submarket sees abundance of new developments $9.00 Flooded by new developments, the San Jose submarket is tightening quickly with $8.00 strong tenant appetite for new, highly-amenitized, space. With new buildings $7.00 coming online at above-market pricing, asking rents have seen substantial $6.00 $5.51 increases. The submarket’s average asking rent increased to $3.95 psf monthly $5.00 $ / SF $4.97 from $3.73 psf monthly in the third quarter. Though these rents are still lower $4.00 than other prime submarkets, they are elevating quickly. More than 35 million $3.00 square feet (msf) of new commercial development is in the pre-development or $2.00 construction phase. $1.00 $0.00 Q4 2014 Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Q4 2017 Q4 2018 Q4 2019 Google’s expansion continues throughout the market Tech giant, Google, which is headquartered in Mountain View continues to spread its real estate footprint across the Silicon Valley. In addition to recently revealing a AVAILABILITY TRENDS Overall Availability Class A Availability detailed blueprint of its transit-oriented San Jose development plans, it continues 30.0% to expand through acquisitions and leases. It recently purchased three Mountain View properties totaling about 167,000 square feet adjacent to the famous Googleplex, and nine properties in two separate transactions totaling around 1.2 20.0% million square feet of buildings and land once owned by Yahoo! In Moffett Park. 17.1% Google also ended the year leasing 500,000 sf North Sunnyvale. Google’s real estate presence has an estimated value of $438 million in the area. As the company 14.4% works toward redefining traditional real estate office space, its focus has been on 10.0% creating a community that can balance out office, residential, and the abundance of amenity spaces needed to create a cohesive environment. 0.0% Q4 2014 Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Q4 2017 Q4 2018 Q4 2019 LEASING ACTIVITY Outlook Quarterly Leasing Activity 5-Year Quarterly Average 4.0 • With limited space in prime submarkets like Palo Alto and Mountain 3.5 View many tech tenants find themselves exploring cheaper rents for 3.0 more space in the San Jose, Santa Clara, and Sunnyvale area 2.5 • As tech giants continue to drive the real estate market by increasing 2.0 South Bay footprint, others are bound to follow as these new 1.5 redevelopments and communities are creating a work-life-balanced community filled with amenities 1.0 Square feet (millions) 0.5 0.0 Q4 2014 Q4 2015 Q4 2016 Q4 2017 Q4 2018 Q4 2019 Silicon Valley Market in Minutes - Q4 2019 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS 84.5% 53.9% 75.0% of major transactions were new of major transactions occurred in Tech tenants represented a combined locations Sunnyvale/Cupertino submarket 75.0% of major transactions Tenant Square feet Address Transaction type Submarket Industry Google 316,604 1020 Enterprise Way New Location Sunnyvale/Cupertino Technology Google 158,302 1050 Enterprise Way New Location Sunnyvale/Cupertino Technology Menlo Park (San Mateo For more information, SoftBank 154,000 500 El Camino Real New Location Professional Services South) please contact us: Crowdstrike 134,018 150 Mathilda Place Renewal and Expansion Sunnyvale/Cupertino Technology Savills 96,502 350 Holger Way New Location North San Jose Technology NXP Semiconductors 550 S. Winchester Blvd., Suite 600 Inphi 87,608 110 Rio Robles New Location North San Jose Real Estate San Jose, CA 95128 Mountain View/Los Bytedance 78,000 250 Bryant Street New Location Technology +1 408 554 8855 Altos Associations and Sourcewise 40,787 3100 De La Cruz Boulevard Renewal Santa Clara Non-profits 705 High Street Palo Alto, CA 94301 Twitter 33,529 3055 Olin Avenue New Location South San Jose Technology +1 650 812 9800 Twitter 30,000 500 Santana Row New Location South San Jose Technology John Brady Vice Chairman Source Savills Research [email protected] Mark Pearson AVAILABILITY RATE COMPARISON RENTAL RATE COMPARISON ($/SF) Executive Silicon Valley Submarkets Silicon Valley Submarkets Managing Director [email protected] Morgan Hill/Gilroy 0.9% Palo Alto $7.52 Alex Williams South San Jose 6.0% Mountain View/Los Altos $7.05 Research Associate Fremont (880 Corridor) 6.2% Menlo Park (San Mateo South) $6.35 [email protected] Mountain View/Los Altos 10.0% Sunnyvale/Cupertino $6.15 Menlo Park (San Mateo South) 11.8% Silicon Valley Overall $4.97 About Savills Inc. Savills helps organizations find the Downtown San Jose 11.8% Downtown San Jose $4.32 right solutions that ensure employee success. Sharply skilled Sunnyvale/Cupertino 12.4% Santa Clara $4.12 and fiercely dedicated, the firm’s integrated teams of consultants and Silicon Valley Overall 14.4% Campbell/Los Gatos $3.81 brokers are experts in better real estate. With services in tenant North San Jose 16.1% North San Jose $3.79 representation, workforce and incentives strategy, workplace Campbell/Los Gatos 16.8% South San Jose $3.18 strategy and occupant experience, project management, and capital Palo Alto 17.6% Milpitas $2.72 markets, Savills has elevated the potential of workplaces around the Milpitas 17.6% Fremont (880 Corridor) $2.70 corner, and around the world, for 160 years and counting. Santa Clara 19.8% Morgan Hill/Gilroy $2.16 For more information, please visit 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% $0.00 $2.00 $4.00 $6.00 $8.00 $10.00 Savills.us and follow us on LinkedIn, Twitter, Instagram and Facebook. Unless otherwise noted, all rents quoted throughout this report are average asking gross (full service) rents per square foot (psf). Statistics are calculated using both direct and sublease information. Current and historical availability and rent data are subject to change due to changes in inventory. The information in this report is obtained from sources deemed reliable, but no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Unless otherwise noted, source for data is Savills research. Copyright © 2020 Savills savills.us.