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C:\Users\705475\Desktop\PROGETTI Maritime and multimOdal transport Services based on Ea Sea-way project MOSES Doc. Principale - Copia Documento Protocollo Arrivo N. 119754/2019 del 02-10-2019 REGIONE MOLISE GIUNTA REGIONALE WP4 Piloting new connections and improving services (D.4.2.1) Report for the feasibility study for the reactivation of a (clean fuel powered) maritime transport service between Termoli and Dubrovnik/Ploče 31/08/2019 Working group FiL.Os srl Pool Engineering srl Filos srl Via San Pio X, 6 Piazza Cuoco, 29 31010 - Mareno di Piave (TV) 86100 - Campobasso (CB) +39 0438492359 +39 0874.98599 [email protected] [email protected] Arch. Roberto SCARAMUZZA Arch. Francesco FERRAUTO Dr. Francesco PARETI Dr. Andrea BALLARIN European Regional Development Fund www.italy-croatia.eu Index Introduction .............................................................................................................................................................. 6 1. Description of the context and current situation (“As is analysis”) .......................................................... 7 1.2. Economy ...................................................................................................................................................... 9 1.3. Infrastructures and territory ..................................................................................................................... 12 Doc. Principale - Copia Documento Protocollo Arrivo N. 119754/2019 del 02-10-2019 REGIONE MOLISE GIUNTA REGIONALE 1.4. Termoli port ............................................................................................................................................... 16 1.4.1. Background ........................................................................................................................................... 16 1.4.2. Proposal for the Regulatory Plan ....................................................................................................... 17 1.4.3. Port accessibility .................................................................................................................................. 20 1.4.4. Traffic ..................................................................................................................................................... 22 1.4.5. Positioning ............................................................................................................................................. 22 1.4.6 Definition of the main goals ....................................................................................................................... 24 2. Demand analysis .......................................................................................................................................... 25 2.1. Quality and detail of the available data ................................................................................................. 25 2.2. General framewok: EU data ................................................................................................................... 25 2.2.1. Tariffs ..................................................................................................................................................... 32 2.2.2. Technology and propulsion ................................................................................................................ 34 2.2.3. Final considerations ............................................................................................................................. 35 2.3. Characteristics and dynamics of maritime passenger transport in the Adriatic .............................. 37 2.3.1. Lines in Adriatic and reference ports ................................................................................................. 37 2.3.2. Characteristics of maritime passenger transport demand between Italy and Croatia ............... 39 2.3.3. International ferry and other passenger traffic from Italian and Croatian ports ........................... 41 2.4. Passenger traffic between Italy and Croatia: existing connections, competing routes and major operators ................................................................................................................................................................ 44 2.4.1. The situation in the south- central part of Adriatic ........................................................................... 46 2.4.2. Existing connections and potential competition ............................................................................... 48 2.4.3. High speed crafts operating on Italy-Croatia lines .......................................................................... 53 2.4.3.1. San Frangisk e San Pawl ............................................................................................................... 53 European Regional Development Fund www.italy-croatia.eu 2.4.3.2. Zenith ................................................................................................................................................. 54 2.4.3.3. Don Paolo ......................................................................................................................................... 55 2.4.3.4. Adriatic Jet ........................................................................................................................................ 56 2.4.3.5. Prince of Venice ............................................................................................................................... 57 2.4.3.6. Sofia M .............................................................................................................................................. 58 3. COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS ....................................................................................................................... 59 3.1. Forecast model of demand ..................................................................................................................... 59 Doc. Principale - Copia Documento Protocollo Arrivo N. 119754/2019 del 02-10-2019 REGIONE MOLISE GIUNTA REGIONALE 3.2. Demand forecast ...................................................................................................................................... 65 3.2.1. Foreword ............................................................................................................................................... 65 3.3. Checklist .................................................................................................................................................... 86 3.4. Costs .......................................................................................................................................................... 90 3.4.1. Investment costs .................................................................................................................................. 90 3.4.2. Other “una tantum” costs .................................................................................................................... 93 3.4.3. Residual value ...................................................................................................................................... 94 3.4.4. Personnel costs .................................................................................................................................... 95 3.4.5. Fuel consumption ................................................................................................................................. 97 3.4.6. Insurance cost ...................................................................................................................................... 98 3.4.7. Promotional costs ................................................................................................................................ 98 3.4.8. Other costs ............................................................................................................................................ 98 3.5. Revenues ................................................................................................................................................ 100 3.6. Results of the elaboration ..................................................................................................................... 107 3.7. Financial analysis ................................................................................................................................... 107 3.8. Economic analysis ................................................................................................................................. 118 3.8.1. Externalities: accidents, emissions, noise, climate change, travel time ..................................... 120 3.8.1.1. Total externalities related to transport in EU countries 28 ....................................................... 120 3.8.1.2. Methodology and input for the calculation of externalities ....................................................... 122 3.8.2. Results of the economic analysis .................................................................................................... 128 3.9. Economic indicators (profitability ratio) ............................................................................................... 134 3.10. Risk analysis and sensitivity ............................................................................................................. 135 European Regional Development Fund www.italy-croatia.eu
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