Florida Registered Voters March 2020

1. Thinking ahead to the November 2020 Presidential election, what would you say the chances are that you will vote in the presidential election and other state offices –… READ LIST [rotate response options top/bottom] FL Statewide FL Latinos Almost certain I will vote 80 72 Probably will vote 10 13 Chances are 50-50 4 8 Probably will NOT vote 1 2 Certain that I won’t vote 6 5

2. On the whole, what are the most important issues facing your community that you think Congress and the President should address? [MAY SELECT TWO; RANDOMIZE ORDER] FL Statewide FL Latinos Lowering the costs of health care 32 30 Improving wages and incomes 15 18 Creating more jobs 11 14 Protecting immigrant rights 6 12 Border security to control immigration 16 9 Stopping racism against immigrants and Latinos 5 11 Improving K-12 education and schools 7 7 Lowering taxes 10 9 Decrease government spending 6 3 Combating climate change and pollution 10 10 Creating more affordable housing 6 8 Addressing mass shootings and gun safety policy 11 9 Lowering the cost of college 4 6 Protecting women’s reproductive health 4 3 Limiting abortion 3 3 Stopping Pelosi and the Democratic agenda 10 7 Stopping Trump and the Republican agenda 12 9 Combating terrorism and ISIS 6 5 Criminal justice and police reform 4 3 Reducing crime 9 9 Other 5 7

3. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? [Follow up]: Is that strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove? FL Statewide FL Latinos Strongly approve 35 19 Somewhat approve 19 19 Somewhat disapprove 10 17 Strongly disapprove 36 45 Total approve 54 38 Total disapprove 46 62

FL Registered Voters | N=1,071 (+/- 3.0) | Latino n=571 (+/- 4.1) | March 6-12, 2020 1 Florida Registered Voters March 2020

In 2020, the Democrats will select a candidate to face President Trump in the presidential election. For each of the names below, please indicate whether you have heard of the person, and if your impression is very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you have No Opinion, or have Never Heard of the person, that is fine. [ROTATE]

FL Statewide Very SW SW Very No Haven’t Total Total Fav Fav Unfav Unfav Opin Heard Fav Unfav 4. Joe Biden 27 27 11 26 8 2 54 37 5. Bernie Sanders 17 24 13 36 7 2 41 49

FL Latinos Very SW SW Very No Haven’t Total Total Fav Fav Unfav Unfav Opin Heard Fav Unfav 4. Joe Biden 28 27 12 19 10 5 55 31 5. Bernie Sanders 24 23 12 28 8 4 47 40

Besides those Democrats currently running for President, how about these additional people who are involved in politics today?

FL Statewide Very SW SW Very No Haven’t Total Total Fav Fav Unfav Unfav Opin Heard Fav Unfav 6. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12 18 8 31 18 12 30 39 7. Julián Castro 11 18 11 12 26 21 29 23 8. Stacey Abrams 15 14 7 15 26 23 29 22 9. Ron DeSantis 28 29 11 12 15 6 57 23 10. Marco Rubio 20 25 15 20 15 5 45 35 11. Andrew Gillum 13 20 12 18 24 13 33 30

FL Latinos Very SW SW Very No Haven’t Total Total Fav Fav Unfav Unfav Opin Heard Fav Unfav 6. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16 19 9 19 18 19 35 28 7. Julián Castro 9 19 11 13 24 25 28 24 8. Stacey Abrams 10 15 8 12 25 31 25 18 9. Ron DeSantis 22 25 12 11 18 13 47 23 10. Marco Rubio 20 22 12 22 16 8 42 34 11. Andrew Gillum 11 18 11 11 25 23 29 22

FL Registered Voters | N=1,071 (+/- 3.0) | Latino n=571 (+/- 4.1) | March 6-12, 2020 2 Florida Registered Voters March 2020

12. Now thinking ahead to the 2020 election for President of the United States, do you plan to vote for [ROTATE] {the Republican Donald Trump} or for {the Democratic candidate for President}? IF UNDECDIED: “Even though you are undecided, are you leaning more towards supporting Trump, the Republican, or for the Democratic candidate?”

FL Statewide FL Latinos Will vote for Donald Trump 39 28 Undecided – leaning to Trump 9 7 Will vote for the Democrat 37 47 Undecided – leaning to Democrat 7 8 Undecided – don’t know how I will vote 8 11 Total Trump 48 35 Total Democratic Candidate 44 55

13. [IF Q12=3 or 4] If your top Democratic choice for President is not the nominee to run against Trump, are you planning to: {rotate} FL Statewide FL Latinos Vote for the Democratic nominee, no matter who it is 71 60 Wait and see who the actual nominee is before you commit to voting 26 34 If my top choice is not the nominee, I won’t vote in 2020 4 6

14. Okay, and what if the candidates for President are [ROTATE] {the Republican Donald Trump} or {the Democrat Joe Biden}? IF UNDECDIED: “Even though you are undecided, are you leaning more towards supporting Trump, the Republican, or Biden the Democrat?”

FL Statewide FL Latinos Will vote for Donald Trump 41 28 Undecided – leaning to Trump 7 6 Will vote for the Joe Biden 38 47 Undecided – leaning to Biden 7 6 Undecided – don’t know how I will vote 7 13 Total Trump 48 34 Total Biden 45 53

FL Registered Voters | N=1,071 (+/- 3.0) | Latino n=571 (+/- 4.1) | March 6-12, 2020 3 Florida Registered Voters March 2020

15. Okay, and what if the candidates for President are [ROTATE] {the Republican Donald Trump} or {the Democrat Bernie Sanders}? IF UNDECDIED: “Even though you are undecided, are you leaning more towards supporting Trump, the Republican, or Sanders the Democrat?”

FL Statewide FL Latinos Will vote for Donald Trump 44 30 Undecided – leaning to Trump 6 5 Will vote for the Bernie Sanders 36 44 Undecided – leaning to Sanders 7 7 Undecided – don’t know how I will vote 8 13 Total Trump 50 35 Total Sanders 43 51 [ROTATE 16-17]

16. [LATINO ONLY] In what you have seen so far in the presidential primary campaign, would you say the Democratic candidates are currently doing a good job of reaching out to [Hispanic/Latinos], that they don't care too much about [Hispanic/Latinos], or that they are being hostile towards [Hispanic/Latinos]? FL Statewide FL Latinos Doing a good job -- 49 Don’t care too much -- 41 Being hostile -- 9

17. [LATINO ONLY] And how about Donald Trump and the Republicans? Would you say the Republican Party is currently doing a good job of reaching out to [Hispanic/Latinos], that they don't care too much about [Hispanic/Latinos], or that they are being hostile towards [Hispanic/Latinos]? FL Statewide FL Latinos Doing a good job -- 33 Don’t care too much -- 36 Being hostile -- 31

18. Some candidates running for president have a long history of supporting different policies or making different statements, and today they change and support new policies. For you personally, do you care more about a candidate’s past statements and policies, or more about what a candidate supports and says today?

FL Statewide FL Latinos Care more about past statements and policies 13 16 Care more about statements and policies today 39 44 Care equally about past and current statements and policies 49 41

FL Registered Voters | N=1,071 (+/- 3.0) | Latino n=571 (+/- 4.1) | March 6-12, 2020 4 Florida Registered Voters March 2020

19. [SPLIT A] Do you support or oppose moving towards a Medicare for all health insurance system that guarantees health care for everyone? FL Statewide FL Latinos Strongly support 32 53 Somewhat support 27 23 Somewhat oppose 17 11 Strongly oppose 24 14

20. [SPLIT B] Do you support or oppose moving towards a universal health insurance system that guarantees health care for everyone? FL Statewide FL Latinos Strongly support 36 50 Somewhat support 26 21 Somewhat oppose 19 12 Strongly oppose 19 17

21. Do you support or oppose creating a permanent pathway to citizenship for DREAMERS – young undocumented immigrants who were brought to the country as children, but were raised in this country? FL Statewide FL Latinos Strongly support 45 60 Somewhat support 30 26 Somewhat oppose 15 9 Strongly oppose 10 5

22. Do you favor or oppose raising Florida’s minimum wage to $10 an hour next year, with a $1 an hour increase until it reaches $15 an hour in 2026? FL Statewide FL Latinos Strongly support 53 66 Somewhat support 24 22 Somewhat oppose 12 7 Strongly oppose 11 6

23. Recently, the United States Senate voted to acquit President Trump, and voted against impeachment, allowing Trump to continue serving as President. Do you personally think Trump should have been impeached and removed from office, or not? FL Statewide FL Latinos Should have been impeached and removed 46 57 Should NOT have been impeached 54 43

FL Registered Voters | N=1,071 (+/- 3.0) | Latino n=571 (+/- 4.1) | March 6-12, 2020 5 Florida Registered Voters March 2020

Are you more likely or less likely to support a candidate for President who is described as:

FL Statewide Much SW SW Much No Net More More Less Less Dif likely-unlikely 24. [A] A Socialist 9 11 18 41 22 -39 25. [B] A Democratic Socialist 13 13 12 42 20 -28 26. [A] Part of the political establishment 13 20 19 20 27 -6 27. [B] Someone with political experience 36 27 10 5 22 48 28. A political outsider 18 24 17 14 28 11

FL Latinos Much SW SW Much No Net More More Less Less Dif likely-unlikely 24. [A] A Socialist 9 12 15 43 21 -37 25. [B] A Democratic Socialist 16 18 13 33 21 -12 26. [A] Part of the political establishment 12 21 18 18 31 -3 27. [B] Someone with political experience 44 28 6 6 15 60 28. A political outsider 12 23 20 21 24 -6

29. President Trump often states that unemployment is very low and the stock market is doing very well. Do you feel that you have personally benefitted, or not, from Donald Trump’s economic policies? [rotate response options, top-to-bottom] FL Statewide FL Latinos A lot 23 16 Somewhat 22 18 Just a little 16 17 Not at all 40 50

30. Generally speaking, how much of a problem, or not, do you think racism against Latinos and immigrants is today? FL Statewide FL Latinos Major problem 33 47 Somewhat of a problem 31 31 Not too much of a problem 26 16 Not a problem at all 11 6

31. Do you think U.S. government officials are doing enough or not to prevent the spread of coronavirus in the United States? [ROTATE OPTIONS] FL Statewide FL Latinos They are doing enough 53 48 They are NOT doing enough 43 46 Don’t know 4 6

FL Registered Voters | N=1,071 (+/- 3.0) | Latino n=571 (+/- 4.1) | March 6-12, 2020 6 Florida Registered Voters March 2020

32. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an independent, or something else? FL Statewide FL Latinos Republican 40 29 Democrat 36 44 Independent 22 23 Other party 2 5

33. [IF Q35 = 3/4] Do you consider yourself closer to the Republican Party or Democratic Party? FL Statewide FL Latinos Republican 26 19 Democrat 30 21 Independent 37 45 Other party 6 15

34. [IF DEM OR LEAN DEM] Are you currently registered to vote as a Democrat or with another party? FL Statewide FL Latinos Democrat 91 90 Other Party 9 8

35. [IF Dem or lean Dem] Among the Democratic candidates running for President, who are you currently planning to vote for in the primary? {READ LIST – RANDOMIZE NAMES} Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Tulsi Gabbard, or someone else? FL Statewide FL Latinos Joe Biden 63 48 Bernie Sanders 25 40 Tulsi Gabbard 2 2 Other 6 5 Don’t know 4 6

38B.[IF Q38=3,4,5] If that candidate drops out and the only choices are Bernie Sanders or Joe Biden, who would you vote for? FL Statewide FL Latinos Joe Biden 30 32 Bernie Sanders 53 46 Don’t know 17 22

Final two-way vote match-up in Democratic primary FL Statewide FL Latinos Joe Biden 67 52 Bernie Sanders 32 46 Don’t know 2 3

FL Registered Voters | N=1,071 (+/- 3.0) | Latino n=571 (+/- 4.1) | March 6-12, 2020 7 Florida Registered Voters March 2020

36. When it comes to the presidential election in November, are there any candidates that you would absolutely not vote for under any condition: [ list each candidate name, collect yes/no where on means “would never vote for”] [RANDOMIZE]

FL Statewide would consider would never voting for vote for A. Donald Trump 56 44 B. Joe Biden 57 43 C. Bernie Sanders 48 52

FL Latinos would consider would never voting for vote for A. Donald Trump 43 57 B. Joe Biden 64 36 C. Bernie Sanders 57 43

37. Thinking about the people in your family as well as your friends and co-workers. Do you happen to know someone who is an undocumented immigrant? [Check all that apply]

FL Statewide FL Latinos Yes – someone in my family 8 10 Yes – a close friend 9 16 Yes – someone I work with 7 10 Yes – someone else I know 11 22 No – I don’t know anyone undocumented 76 58

Methodology Univision Noticias commissioned a statewide poll of Florida registered voters with an oversample of Florida Latinos. The poll was implemented from March 6 – 12, 2020. The statewide portion (N=1,071) contains a margin of error of +/- 3.0 and the Latino portion (n=571) contains a margin of error of +/- 4.1. Democratic primary vote choice was asked of 531 respondents statewide and carries a margin of error of +/- 4.3 and, and 291 Latino Democratic voters, +/- 5.7. Surveys were administered in English or Spanish at the discretion of the respondent and included a mix of cell phone, landline telephone and online self-completed interviews. All respondents are confirmed to be registered to vote. Respondents were randomly selected from the voter file and invitations for interviews were done by live caller, email, or text message. Invitations were bilingual at point of contact and allowed respondent to complete the interview in their language of choice. Among Latinos, 58% completed the survey in English and 42% in Spanish. After data collection was complete a post-stratification weight was added to balance the data to the best known Census ACS data on the eligible voting population in Florida. The survey was overseen by Dr. Sergio Garcia-Rios, director of polling for Univision, and administered by Latino Decisions.

FL Registered Voters | N=1,071 (+/- 3.0) | Latino n=571 (+/- 4.1) | March 6-12, 2020 8