Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan Education Sector Public Expenditure Review
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Report No: ACS18935 Public Disclosure Authorized . Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan Education Sector Public Expenditure Review . June 17, 2016 Public Disclosure Authorized . GED05 MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA . Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized 1 Standard Disclaimer: . This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/ The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Copyright Statement: . The material in this publication is copyrighted. 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All other queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to the Office of the Publisher, The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA, fax 202-522-2422, e-mail [email protected]. 2 Contents Acronyms ...................................................................................................................................................... 6 Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 7 I. Introduction .......................................................................................................................................... 9 II. Overview of Education Outcomes ...................................................................................................... 10 III. The Public Education Learning Environment .................................................................................. 19 IV. Overview of Public Education Spending ......................................................................................... 30 A. Capital Spending ............................................................................................................................. 32 B. Recurrent Spending ........................................................................................................................ 34 C. Syrian Refugee Students ................................................................................................................. 35 V. Teacher Compensation ....................................................................................................................... 39 A. Teachers Are Paid According to Qualification and Seniority .......................................................... 42 B. Teachers Are Relatively Well-paid .................................................................................................. 44 VI. Recommendations .......................................................................................................................... 49 A. Motivating Teachers to Perform ..................................................................................................... 49 B. Realigning Capital Investments ....................................................................................................... 54 C. Addressing Regional Variation ........................................................................................................ 56 References .................................................................................................................................................. 61 Boxes Box 1: Early Childhood Education in Jordan …………………………………………………………………………………………12 Box 2: USAID Support to the Education Sector in Jordan………………………………………………………………………33 Box 3: Strengthening Accountability in Jordan’s Education System ……………………………………………………..51 Figures Figure 1: Average years of school, Jordan and comparators (1970-2010) ................................................. 11 Figure 2: Gross enrolment ratios in kindergarten, basic, and secondary education, by governorate (2010- 11) ............................................................................................................................................................... 12 3 Figure 3: Gross enrolment ratios in kindergarten, basic, and secondary education, by gender (2013-14) .................................................................................................................................................................... 13 Figure 4: Total enrolment in kindergarten, basic, and secondary, by authority (2001-14) ....................... 15 Figure 5: Share of total enrolment in kindergarten, basic, and secondary education, by authority (2001- 14) ............................................................................................................................................................... 15 Figure 6: Jordan population projections, 2010-2050 (1,000s) ................................................................... 16 Figure 7: Jordan's performance in international student assessments ..................................................... 17 Figure 8: Variation in 2011 TIMSS scores, by gender and geographic location ......................................... 18 Figure 9: Growth in numbers of schools, classes, teachers, and students, by authority (2001-14) .......... 20 Figure 10: Distribution of school size, Ministry of Education and private schools, by geographic location (2014) .......................................................................................................................................................... 23 Figure 11: Distribution of class size, Ministry of Education and private schools, by geographic location (2014) .......................................................................................................................................................... 24 Figure 12: Distribution of student-teacher ratio, Ministry of Education and private schools, by geographic location (2014) ............................................................................................................................................ 25 Figure 13: Correlation between GDP per capita and government spending on primary education as a share of GDP, 2014 ..................................................................................................................................... 31 Figure 14: Correlation between GDP per capita and government spending on secondary education as a share of GDP, 2014 ..................................................................................................................................... 32 Figure 15: Number of Ministry of Education teachers, 2001-13 ............................................................... 41 Figure 16: Teacher salaries relative to per capita GDP, 2012 .................................................................... 45 Figure 17: Distribution of public school teachers by age and gender, 2010 .............................................. 47 Tables Table 1: Jordan’s gross enrolment ratios for all levels of education, 1970-2012 ...................................... 10 Table 2: Gross enrolment ratios for Jordan and comparators, 2012-13 .................................................... 11 Table 3: Jordan's schools, by authority, type, and gender (2013-14) ......................................................... 14 Table 4: Schools by governorate and authority, 2013-14 (percent share of total in governorate)........... 16 Table 5: Percent growth rate in school size, class size, and student-teacher ratio, by authority (2001-14) .................................................................................................................................................................... 20 Table 6: Trends in school size, class size, and student-teacher ratio, by authority (2001-14) .................. 21 Table 7: School size, class size, and student-teacher ratio, by region and geography (2014).................... 22 Table 8: Characteristics of schools with fewer than 100 students, 2014 .................................................. 26 Table 9: Characteristics of schools with average class size greater than 40 students, 2014 ..................... 26 Table 10: Tawjihi results, by school characteristic, 2013 ............................................................................ 28 Table 11: Regression results for tawjihi pass rates and school characteristics, 2014 ................................ 29 Table 12: Ministry of Education expenditures, as share of GDP and total education expenditures (2008- 13) ............................................................................................................................................................... 31 Table 13: Total capital spending, by budget entity (2013) .......................................................................