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Assessment of Natural Disasters and Climate Change for Lower Rioni Pilot Watershed Area, Plan of Mitigation & Adaptation Measures Republic of Georgia

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Assessment of Natural Disasters and Climate Change for Lower Rioni Pilot Watershed Area, Plan of Mitigation & Adaptation Measures Republic of Georgia Assessment of Natural Disasters and Climate Change for Lower Rioni Pilot Watershed Area, Plan of Mitigation & Adaptation Measures Republic of Georgia Technical Report No. 20 Integrated Natural Resources Management in the Republic of Georgia Program Technical Report Number 20 Assessment of Natural Disasters and Climate Change for Lower Rioni Pilot Watershed Area, Plan of Mitigation & Adaptation Measures Republic of Georgia Funding for this publication was provided by the people of the United States of America through the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) under Agreement No.CA # AID-114-LA-10-00004, as a component of the Integrated Natural Resources Management for the Republic of Georgia Program. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the United States Agency for International Development of the United States Government or Florida International University. Copyright © Global Water for Sustainability Program – Florida International University This publication may be reproduced in whole or in part and in any form for educational or non-profit purposes without special permission from the copyright holder, provided acknowledgement of the source is made. No use of the publication may be made for resale or for any commercial purposes whatsoever without the prior permission in writing from the Florida International University - Global Water for Sustainability Program. Any inquiries can be addressed to the same at the following address: Global Water for Sustainability Program Florida International University Biscayne Bay Campus 3000 NE 151 St. ACI-267 North Miami, FL 33181 USA Email: [email protected] Website: www.globalwaters.net For bibliographic purposes, this document should be cited as: GLOWS-FIU. 2013. Technical Report 20: Assessment of Natural Disasters and Climate Change for Lower Rioni Pilot Watershed Area, Plan of Mitigation & Adaptation Measures ISBN: Contents Abbreviations and Acronyms .................................................................................................................. 6 Tables ...................................................................................................................................................... 8 Diagrams ............................................................................................................................................... 10 Maps ..................................................................................................................................................... 11 Methodology of Research ..................................................................................................................... 12 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................... 14 1. General Characterization .................................................................................................................. 15 1.1 General Information ................................................................................................................... 15 Location ......................................................................................................................................... 15 Relief ............................................................................................................................................. 15 Hazardous Natural Disasters ......................................................................................................... 15 1.2 Climate ........................................................................................................................................ 17 1.2.1 Senaki Municipality .................................................................................................................. 17 Ongoing Climate Changes ............................................................................................................. 17 Extreme Occurrences .................................................................................................................... 19 Expected Changes of Climate Parameters in Years 2020‐2050 .................................................... 20 Extreme Occurrences .................................................................................................................... 21 1.2.2 Khobi Municipality ................................................................................................................... 23 Ongoing Climate Changes ............................................................................................................. 23 Expected Changes of Climate Parameters in Years 2020‐2050 .................................................... 26 Extreme Occurrences .................................................................................................................... 28 1.3 Soil ............................................................................................................................................... 30 1.4 Natural Vegetation ...................................................................................................................... 32 1.5 Direction of Agriculture ............................................................................................................... 34 1.6 Assessment of Population’s Health ............................................................................................ 35 2. Vulnerability to Climate Change and Natural Disasters in Lower Alazani‐Iori Pilot Watershed Area .............................................................................................................................................................. 38 2.1 Flood and Freshet Risk Assessment in General Terms of Expected Climate Changes in Lower Rioni Basin ......................................................................................................................................... 38 2.2 Coastal Erosion ............................................................................................................................ 49 2.3 Soil Degradation .......................................................................................................................... 49 2.4 Natural Vegetation ...................................................................................................................... 49 © CENN – 2013 Page | 2 Lower Rioni Pilot Watershed Area ‐ Assessment of the Vulnerability to Natural Disasters and Climate Change 2.5 Agriculture ................................................................................................................................... 49 2.6 Future Climate Impacts on the Health Status of the Population ................................................ 50 2.7 Vulnerability and Disaster Risk Assessment by the Communities .............................................. 50 2.7.1. Potskho Community ................................................................................................................ 51 Potskho Village .............................................................................................................................. 52 Mokhashi Village ........................................................................................................................... 54 2.7.2. Ushapati Community .............................................................................................................. 57 Ushapati Village ............................................................................................................................ 58 Lekokaie Village ............................................................................................................................. 59 2.7.3. Eki Community ........................................................................................................................ 62 Saadamio Village ........................................................................................................................... 63 Satskhvitao Village ........................................................................................................................ 64 Eki Village ...................................................................................................................................... 65 2.7.4. Zana Community ..................................................................................................................... 68 Zana Village ................................................................................................................................... 69 Etseri Village .................................................................................................................................. 70 Satkebuchao Village ...................................................................................................................... 71 2.7.5. Khorshi Community................................................................................................................. 74 Shua Khorshi Village ...................................................................................................................... 75 Tsizeti Village ................................................................................................................................. 76 Patara Zana Village .......................................................................................................................
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