American Scientist the Magazine of Sigma Xi, the Scientific Research Honor Society

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

American Scientist the Magazine of Sigma Xi, the Scientific Research Honor Society A reprint from American Scientist the magazine of Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research Honor Society This reprint is provided for personal and noncommercial use. For any other use, please send a request to Permissions, American Scientist, P.O. Box 13975, Research Triangle Park, NC, 27709, U.S.A., or by electronic mail to [email protected]. ©Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research Hornor Society and other rightsholders Connecting Habitats to Prevent Species Extinctions Conservation biologists are creating links between forest fragments where the most animals with small ranges live. Stuart L. Pimm and Clinton N. Jenkins y the time Charles Darwin ers of an analogous nature.” Nothing where species are dying. To find out landed in Brazil in 1832 while in his experiences of England’s natural what we can do to prevent extinctions, on his voyage on the HMS history had prepared him for this dis- we must first understand where spe- Beagle, Europeans had known covery. The taxonomist and illustrator cies are, which ones are vulnerable and Bfor centuries that the tropics house John Gould confirmed the distinctness why, and where they live. an extraordinary variety of strange, of the mockingbird species with his de- Small-ranged species are dispropor- exotic species. Darwin wrote gushing scriptions of them in 1837. Just how sin- tionately at risk of extinction. The “Red letters to his family about the birds, gular they were was novel to him, too. List” of the International Union for the butterflies, flowers, and other thrill- Worldwide, only six known species had Conservation of Nature (IUCN) aspires ing organisms he saw. From reading smaller geographical ranges—and none to assess the risks of extinction of all travelers’ accounts, he had expected of them formed a cluster of species in species. It has done so for more than the richness of the flora and fauna. Yet the same genus. It would take decades 90,000 plant and animal species, out he missed something vitally important for scientists to realize that some special of a total of nearly 2 million species that was unknown at the time: Many parts of the tropics had many species that taxonomists have described. Birds, species are unique to the coastal region with small geographical ranges. mammals, and amphibians are the best of Brazil, and some are found only on Alfred Russel Wallace set out for the known. Overwhelmingly, it’s the spe- a few mountaintops. Later, Darwin’s Amazon the next decade. Yet it was not cies with small geographical ranges realization that there are special places there, but in insular southeast Asia that that are at greatest risk. For birds, the where many species with small geo- he made his observations on small- risk of extinction drops dramatically graphical ranges are concentrated ranged species that he published in his as range size increases. About half the would change science. “Sarawak Law” paper of 1855, which species with ranges smaller than 1,000 What Darwin didn’t know is some- set the clock ticking on the famous pair square kilometers are at risk. thing profound about the sizes of the of papers announcing the theory of This pattern is not surprising. Other geographical ranges of species. It seems evolution. Like Darwin, he marveled things being equal, the destruction of such an esoteric fact: He was unaware that islands so close to each other could habitats is more likely to terminate a that many species have tiny geographi- have different, but related, species. species that occurs, for instance, on a cal ranges. So when he visited the Ga- In the century that followed, there few mountaintops in coastal Brazil, lápagos Islands in 1835, the presence would be massive destruction of these than one that occurs across the entire of four clearly different, but related, special forests where small-ranged Amazon basin. The challenge for con- species of mockingbird on such small species were concentrated. Only in the servation science is what we can do to islands came as a profound shock. “The past few decades have scientists under- protect these threatened species. fact, that islands in sight of each other, stood that this destruction, combined We now know that species with should thus possess peculiar species, with the uniqueness of the species in small geographical ranges, which are would be scarcely credible,” he wrote, these areas, poses one of the greatest so often threatened, are concentrated “if it were not supported by some oth- challenges to conservation. Such places in certain places. And in these mostly typify the frontlines of the fight to re- tropical concentrations, human actions duce global rates of species extinction, not only destroy habitats but also leave Stuart L. Pimm is Doris Duke Chair of Conserva- which are now 1,000 times their normal what’s behind in small, isolated frag- tion at the Nicholas School of the Environment at rates, according to a 1995 study in Sci- ments. These patches may be too small Duke University, and Clinton N. Jenkins is a pro- fessor at the IPÊ-Instituto de Pesquisas Ecológicas ence coauthored by one of us (Pimm). to sustain viable populations of spe- in Brazil. Together they work with nonprofits in de- The salient feature of biodiversity in cies. Restoring corridors—habitat con- veloping countries to help purchase degraded land, the 21st century is that the places that nections between fragments— affords reforesting these areas to reconnect isolated natural inspired Darwin and Wallace to think a cost-effective solution. For the past habitats. Email for Pimm: [email protected] about the origins of species are now decade, we have worked with local 162 American Scientist, Volume 107 © 2019 Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research Honor Society. Repro- duction with permission only. Contact [email protected]. The Atlantic Forest in the state of Rio de Janeiro near Búzios, Brazil, has been fragmented by a given place are in the tropical moist deforestation and changing land use. This region is home to unique species, many of which forests of the world. The patterns are have small ranges and specific habitat requirements. Connecting forest fragments can curb broadly similar for birds, mammals, the local extinction rate, which is higher in smaller areas. By mapping regions where the most and amphibians— the taxa we know species are at risk of extinction and connecting habitats there, the authors aim to maximize the best. Less geographically resolved data effects of their conservation efforts. for insects and plants suggest the pat- terns are also broadly similar. Wallace partners and started corridor projects have described half of the known am- went to the Amazon because that’s in Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, India, phibian and mammalian species with where the most species are! He made and the Indonesian island of Sumatra. small ranges in the past few decades. his living collecting novelties—species Many more are surely awaiting discov- other collectors had not discovered. He Mapping Conservation Priorities ery. As with birds, large-ranged spe- likely thought that more species would Many more species with small geo- cies were discovered earlier than small- mean more novelties—but he was part- graphical ranges are known now ranged ones. ly wrong, as the next map shows. than in Darwin and Wallace’s time. The century and a half of explora- The map at the top left of page 166 By 1850, taxonomists had described tion since the travels of Darwin and shows where the half of all bird species close to 5,000 terrestrial bird species in Wallace has made it possible to pro- that have the smallest ranges occur. It the world. The histogram on page 164 duce three key maps that show the ar- contains fully half of the species as the shows the numbers of bird species in eas that have, respectively, the greatest left-hand map on page 165, yet it is pro- each category of range size. In 1850, numbers of species, the greatest num- foundly different. Small-ranged spe- 14 years after Darwin returned from bers of species with small ranges, and cies in the Americas are concentrated in his voyage, only 200 (4 percent) of the the greatest numbers of species that are Central America, along the Andes, and known species at that time had ranges threatened with extinction. Geography in a strip of forest along the Brazilian smaller than 10,000 square kilometers. is destiny. Understanding the relation- coast. (Exactly why small-ranged spe- Today, that number is 1,290—close to ships between these geographical pat- cies are concentrated in moist, tropical 13 percent of the more than 10,000 spe- terns is the first vital step in determin- mountains is a matter of some debate.) cies now known. ing where to act to save species. Neither Darwin nor Wallace could We’re still finding more such species. Likely, the maps on page 165 would have had any sense of this map, because In a paper we published in 2010 about not have surprised Darwin and Wal- species with small ranges were only just Edward Parker/Alamy Stock Photo Edward Brazil, we showed that taxonomists lace. The greatest numbers of species in coming into European museums when www.americanscientist.org © 2019 Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research Honor Society. Repro- 2019 May–June 163 duction with permission only. Contact [email protected]. the two men were traveling. (And it harmed those places where small- that include suppressing poaching, re- took many more decades to under stand ranged species are concentrated. Maps ducing demand for animal products, their complete geographical ranges.) provide high-resolution improvements and reducing human-wildlife conflict. Wallace didn’t go back to the Amazon; on his groundbreaking ideas.
Recommended publications
  • Conservación Listado De Aves De Colombia 2008
    Número 5 • Mayo 2008 CC oonnsseerrvvaacciióónn CCoolloommbbiiaannaa LLiissttaaddoo ddee AAvveess ddee CCoolloommbbiiaa 22000088 1 ©2008 Fundación ProAves • Bogotá • Colombia • ISSN 1900-1592 Conservación Colombiana Revista de difusión de acciones de conservación de la biodiversidad en Colombia. ISSN 1900–1592 Entidad sin ánimo de lucro S0022872 – Cámara de Comercio de Bogotá Conservación Colombiana Es una revista científica publicada por la Fundación ProAves, institución que tiene como misión «proteger las aves silvestres y sus hábitat en Colombia a través de la investigación, acciones de conservación puntuales y el acercamiento a la comunidad. El propósito de la revista es divulgar las acciones de conservación que se llevan a cabo en Colombia, para avanzar en su conocimiento y en las técnicas correspondientes. El formato y tipo de los manuscritos que se publican es variado, incluyendo reportes de las actividades de conservación desarrolladas, resultados de las investigaciones y el monitoreo de especies amenazadas, proyectos de grado de estudiantes universitarios, inventarios y conteos poblacionales, planes de acción o estrategias desarrolladas para especies particulares, sitios o regiones y avances en la expansión de la red de áreas protegidas en Colombia. Conservación Colombiana está dirigida a un público amplio, incluyendo científicos, conservacionistas y personas en general interesadas en la conservación de las especies amenazadas de Colombia y sus hábitats. Fundación ProAves – Colombia Dirección: Carrera 20 No. 36–61, La Soledad, Bogotá Teléfonos: (1) 245 5134 – 340 3239 Fax: (1) 340 3285 www.proaves.org Sugerencia de Citación Salaman, P., Donegan, T. & Caro, D. 2008. Listado de las Aves de Colombia 2008. Conservación Colombiana 5: 1-85. Mayo 2008.
    [Show full text]
  • 1 Restoring Scientific Integrity in Policy Making February 18, 2004
    Restoring Scientific Integrity in Policy Making February 18, 2004 Science, like any field of endeavor, relies on freedom of inquiry; and one of the hallmarks of that freedom is objectivity. Now, more than ever, on issues ranging from climate change to AIDS research to genetic engineering to food additives, government relies on the impartial perspective of science for guidance. President George H.W. Bush, April 23, 1990 Successful application of science has played a large part in the policies that have made the United States of America the world’s most powerful nation and its citizens increasingly prosperous and healthy. Although scientific input to the government is rarely the only factor in public policy decisions, this input should always be weighed from an objective and impartial perspective to avoid perilous consequences. Indeed, this principle has long been adhered to by presidents and administrations of both parties in forming and implementing policies. The administration of George W. Bush has, however, disregarded this principle. When scientific knowledge has been found to be in conflict with its political goals, the administration has often manipulated the process through which science enters into its decisions. This has been done by placing people who are professionally unqualified or who have clear conflicts of interest in official posts and on scientific advisory committees; by disbanding existing advisory committees; by censoring and suppressing reports by the government’s own scientists; and by simply not seeking independent scientific advice. Other administrations have, on occasion, engaged in such practices, but not so systematically nor on so wide a front. Furthermore, in advocating policies that are not scientifically sound, the administration has sometimes misrepresented scientific knowledge and misled the public about the implications of its policies.
    [Show full text]
  • Binbin Li Assistant Professor in Environmental Sciences, Duke Kunshan University
    Binbin Li Assistant Professor in Environmental Sciences, Duke Kunshan University Phone: +8613810251904, Email: [email protected] EDUCATION Duke University, Nicholas School of the Environment (Durham, NC, USA) • Ph.D, Environment, Aug 2012 – May 2017. • Major Advisor: Stuart Pimm • Committee members: Jeff Vincent, Alex Pfaff, Jennifer Swenson University of Michigan, School of Natural Resources and Environment (Ann Arbor, MI, USA) • Master of Science, Natural Resources and Environment: Conservation biology and Environmental Informatics, Aug 2010 - April 2012 • Thesis: Effects of feral cats on the evolution of antipredator behaviors in the Aegean island lizard Podarcis erhardii. Peking University (Beijing, China) • Bachelor of Arts, Life Sciences with dual degree in Economics, Sep 2006 - Jul 2010 • Peking University Student Government, President of Dept. of International Communication Student Government of School of Environmental Sciences, President of Dept. of Activity, planning student orientation and social events • Thesis: Influence of Monoculture on Fauna diversity - Comparison of biodiversity in Japanese Larch (Larix kaempferi) monoculture and native secondary forest. WORK EXPERIENCE Duke Kunshan University, Environmental Research Center (Kunshan, Jiangsu, China) Assistant Professor of Environmental Sciences, Jul 2017-now • Responsible for teaching in Environmental Policy Master Program at Duke Kunshan University • Research on conservation biology AWARDS AND FUNDING • Young Conservation Leader, Birdlife International (2018) • Candidate
    [Show full text]
  • Laudatio Stuart Pimm
    The Dr A.H. Heineken Prize for Environmental Sciences 2006 The work of Professor Stuart L. Pimm presented by Professor Gert Jan F. van Heijst, Chairperson of the Jury of the Dr A.H. Heineken Prize for Environmental Sciences Prize citation: for 'his research on species extinction and conservation' Professor Pimm, The jury of the Dr A.H. Heineken Prize for Environmental Sciences has unanimously decided to award you the prize for 2006 for your research on species extinction and conservation. You are one of the leading and most influential biologists working in the field of biodiversity and its preservation, which is evident from the enviable number of times your name is quoted in publications of interest to us scientists, such as New Scientist, Nature and Science. Even at an early stage in your career, you aroused controversy in your publication Food Webs, in which you explained that the extinction of species within an ecological system has repercussions for the preservation of other species in that system. Biodiversity consists overwhelmingly of organisms at the higher trophic levels. In the abundant group of insects, for example, over 95% have been found to be at the higher trophic levels, so that any loss at the lower trophic levels has very serious consequences for the higher, more specialised levels. In other words, if a species at the bottom of the food chain extincts, the repercussions are felt throughout the food web. It was you who coined the term 'food chain' and used it in scientific models that have gone on to inspire many scientists.
    [Show full text]
  • The Biodiversity–Ecosystem Function Debate in Ecology
    Provided for non-commercial research and educational use only. Not for reproduction, distribution or commercial use. This chapter was originally published in the book Handbook of The Philosophy of Science: Philosophy of Ecology. The copy attached is provided by Elsevier for the author’s benefit and for the benefit of the author’s institution, for non-commercial research, and educational use. This includes without limitation use in instruction at your institution, distribution to specific colleagues, and providing a copy to your institution’s administrator. All other uses, reproduction and distribution, including without limitation commercial reprints, selling or licensing copies or access, or posting on open internet sites, your personal or institution’s website or repository, are prohibited. For exceptions, permission may be sought for such use through Elsevier's permissions site at: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/permissionusematerial From deLaplante Kevin, and Picasso Valentin, The Biodiversity-Ecosystem Function Debate in Ecology. In: Dov M. Gabbay, Paul Thagard and John Woods, editors, Handbook of The Philosophy of Science: Philosophy of Ecology. San Diego: North Holland, 2011, pp. 169-200. ISBN: 978-0-444-51673-2 © Copyright 2011 Elsevier B. V. North Holland. Author's personal copy THE BIODIVERSITY–ECOSYSTEM FUNCTION DEBATE IN ECOLOGY Kevin deLaplante and Valentin Picasso 1 INTRODUCTION Population/community ecology and ecosystem ecology present very different per- spectives on ecological phenomena. Over the course of the history of ecology there has been relatively little interaction between the two fields at a theoretical level, despite general acknowledgment that many ecosystem processes are both influ- enced by and constrain population- and community-level phenomena.
    [Show full text]
  • Human Impacts on the Rates of Recent, Present, and Future Bird Extinctions
    Human impacts on the rates of recent, present, and future bird extinctions Stuart Pimm*†, Peter Raven†‡, Alan Peterson§, Çag˘anH.S¸ ekerciog˘lu¶, and Paul R. Ehrlich¶ *Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, Duke University, Box 90328, Durham, NC 27708; ‡Missouri Botanical Garden, P.O. Box 299, St. Louis, MO 63166; §P.O. Box 1999, Walla Walla, WA 99362; and ¶Center for Conservation Biology, Department of Biological Sciences, Stanford University, 371 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA 94305-5020 Contributed by Peter Raven, June 4, 2006 Unqualified, the statement that Ϸ1.3% of the Ϸ10,000 presently ‘‘missing in action,’’ not recently recorded in its native habitat known bird species have become extinct since A.D. 1500 yields an that human actions have largely destroyed. This assumption estimate of Ϸ26 extinctions per million species per year (or 26 prevents terminating conservation efforts prematurely, even as E͞MSY). This is higher than the benchmark rate of Ϸ1E͞MSY it again underestimates the total number of extinctions. Finally, before human impacts, but is a serious underestimate. First, rapidly declining species will lose most of their populations and Polynesian expansion across the Pacific also exterminated many thus their functional roles within ecosystems long before their species well before European explorations. Second, three factors actual demise (3, 4). increase the rate: (i) The number of known extinctions before 1800 We explore the often-unstated assumptions about extinction is increasing as taxonomists describe new species from skeletal numbers to understand the various estimates. Starting before remains. (ii) One should calculate extinction rates over the years 1500 and the period of first human contact with bird species, we since taxonomists described the species.
    [Show full text]
  • Planetary Boundaries for Biodiversity José Montoya, Ian Donohue, Stuart Pimm
    Planetary Boundaries for Biodiversity José Montoya, Ian Donohue, Stuart Pimm To cite this version: José Montoya, Ian Donohue, Stuart Pimm. Planetary Boundaries for Biodiversity: Implau- sible Science, Pernicious Policies. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 2018, 33 (2), pp.71-73. 10.1016/j.tree.2017.10.004. hal-02404725v2 HAL Id: hal-02404725 https://hal-univ-tlse3.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02404725v2 Submitted on 26 Oct 2020 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. Forum 10-fold background. Despite widespread To address concerns that extinction rates Planetary Boundaries criticisms, the tipping-point claim per- are an inappropriate metric, the biodiver- for Biodiversity: sists, with recent reproduction of the orig- sity boundary is renamed as ‘biosphere ii inal claim [1] and statements that the integrity’ [3]. Two static measures of bio- Implausible Science, threshold is ‘not arbitrary’, emerges from diversity replace rates: phylogenetic vari- Pernicious Policies ‘massive amounts of data’ from many ability and functional diversity. Problems 1, fields, and that ‘no one is saying that of definition apart, reliable estimates for José M. Montoya, * ’ ‘ 2 the idea is wrong , despite massive anything resembling these are impossible Ian Donohue, and ’ 3 breakthroughs in counting extinctions .
    [Show full text]
  • The Sixth Great Extinction Donations Events "Soon a Millennium Will End
    The Rewilding Institute, Dave Foreman, continental conservation Home | Contact | The EcoWild Program | Around the Campfire About Us Fellows The Pleistocene-Holocene Event: Mission Vision The Sixth Great Extinction Donations Events "Soon a millennium will end. With it will pass four billion years of News evolutionary exuberance. Yes, some species will survive, particularly the smaller, tenacious ones living in places far too dry and cold for us to farm or graze. Yet we Resources must face the fact that the Cenozoic, the Age of Mammals which has been in retreat since the catastrophic extinctions of the late Pleistocene is over, and that the Anthropozoic or Catastrophozoic has begun." --Michael Soulè (1996) [Extinction is the gravest conservation problem of our era. Indeed, it is the gravest problem humans face. The following discussion is adapted from Chapters 1, 2, and 4 of Dave Foreman’s Rewilding North America.] Click Here For Full PDF Report... or read report below... Many of our reports are in Adobe Acrobat PDF Format. If you don't already have one, the free Acrobat Reader can be downloaded by clicking this link. The Crisis The most important—and gloomy—scientific discovery of the twentieth century was the extinction crisis. During the 1970s, field biologists grew more and more worried by population drops in thousands of species and by the loss of ecosystems of all kinds around the world. Tropical rainforests were falling to saw and torch. Wetlands were being drained for agriculture. Coral reefs were dying from god knows what. Ocean fish stocks were crashing. Elephants, rhinos, gorillas, tigers, polar bears, and other “charismatic megafauna” were being slaughtered.
    [Show full text]
  • Neotropical Birding 24 2 Neotropical Species ‘Uplisted’ to a Higher Category of Threat in the 2018 IUCN Red List Update
    >> FEATURE RED LIST 2018 The 2018 IUCN Red List in the Neotropics James Lowen, Hannah Wheatley, Claudia Hermes, Ian Burfield and David Wege Neotropical Birding 21 featured a summary of the key implications for the Neotropics of the 2016 IUCN Red List for birds. This article briefs readers on the main changes from the 2018 update. s part of its role as the IUCN Red List BirdLife’s Red List team updated the Authority for birds, BirdLife International information available for roughly 2,300 species A is responsible for assessing the global worldwide. Globally, this resulted in changes to conservation status of each of the world’s 11,000 the categorisation of 89 species; 58 species were or so bird species, allocating each to a category ‘uplisted’ to a higher category of threat, whilst ranging from Least Concern to Extinct. The latest roughly half that number – 31 species – were update was published in November 2018 (BirdLife ‘downlisted’. In the Neotropics, 13 species were International 2018). Although much more modest uplisted (Fig. 2) and slightly more – 18 – were in reach than the comprehensive update carried downlisted (Fig. 5). Now let’s take a closer look at out in 2016, whose Neotropical dimension was the individual changes, largely using information discussed in Symes et al. (2017), the 2018 revamp made available on BirdLife’s ‘Globally Threatened contains a suite of interesting changes for species Bird Forums’ (8 globally-threatened-bird- occurring in the Neotropical Bird Club region that forums.birdlife.org). Is the picture quite as rosy as are worth drawing to readers’ collective attention.
    [Show full text]
  • Biodiversity
    BiodiveBrsiiotyd: iversity Its Importance to Human Health Interim Executive Summary Editor Eric Chivian M.D. A Project of the Center for Health and the Global Environment Harvard Medical School under the auspices of the World Health Organization and the United Nations Biodiversity Environment Programme 5 The project Biodiversity: Its Importance to Human Health has been made possible through the generous support of several individuals and the following foundations: Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Nathan Cummings Foundation Richard & Rhoda Goldman Fund Clarence E. Heller Charitable Foundation Johnson & Johnson John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation The New York Community Trust The Pocantico Conference Center of the Rockefeller Brothers Fund V. Kann Rasmussen Foundation Wallace Genetic Foundation Wallace Global Fund The Winslow Foundation Biodiversity: Its Importance to Human Health Interim Executive Summary A Project of the Center for Health and the Global Environment Harvard Medical School under the auspices of the World Health Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme Editor Eric Chivian M.D. Associate Editors Maria Alice dos Santos Alves Ph.D. (Brazil) Robert Bos M.Sc. (WHO) Paul Epstein M.D., MPH (USA) Madhav Gadgil Ph.D. (India) Hiremagular Gopalan Ph.D. (UNEP) Daniel Hillel Ph.D. (Israel) John Kilama Ph.D. (USA/Uganda) Jeffrey McNeely Ph.D. (IUCN) Jerry Melillo Ph.D. (USA) David Molyneux Ph.D., Dsc (UK) Jo Mulongoy Ph.D. (CBD) David Newman Ph.D. (USA) Richard Ostfeld Ph.D. (USA) Stuart Pimm Ph.D. (USA) Joshua Rosenthal Ph.D. (USA) Cynthia Rosenzweig Ph.D. (USA) Osvaldo Sala Ph.D. (Argentina) 1 Biodiversity Introduction that as many as two thirds of all species on Earth could be lost by the end of this century, a E.O.
    [Show full text]
  • The Description and Number of Undiscovered Mammal Species
    Received: 10 April 2017 | Revised: 10 November 2017 | Accepted: 20 November 2017 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.3724 ORIGINAL RESEARCH The description and number of undiscovered mammal species Molly A. Fisher | John E. Vinson | John L. Gittleman | John M. Drake Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA Abstract Global species counts are a key measure of biodiversity and associated metrics of Correspondence Molly A. Fisher, Odum School of Ecology, conservation. It is both scientifically and practically important to know how many spe- University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA. cies exist, how many undescribed species remain, and where they are found. We mod- Email: [email protected] ify a model for the number of undescribed species using species description data and incorporating taxonomic information. We assume a Poisson distribution for the num- ber of species described in an interval and use maximum likelihood to estimate param- eter values of an unknown intensity function. To test the model’s performance, we performed a simulation study comparing our method to a previous model under condi- tions qualitatively similar to those related to mammal species description over the last two centuries. Because our model more accurately estimates the total number of spe- cies, we predict that 5% of mammals remain undescribed. We applied our model to determine the biogeographic realms which hold these undescribed species. KEYWORDS biodiversity, conservation, taxonomic effort, total number of species, unknown species 1 | INTRODUCTION to ~13 million for the total number of species (Costello et al., 2012; Scheffers, Joppa, Pimm, & Laurance, 2012). The routine description of biological species not previously known Rather than modeling how many species remain to be described, to science shows clearly that the project to catalog life on earth may some researchers have used species descriptions since the last check- be only two- thirds complete (Costello, Wilson, & Houlding, 2012; list (Hoffmann et al., 1993; Wilson & Reeder, 2005) to analyze the Pimm et al., 2014).
    [Show full text]
  • 2019 (27Th) International COSMOS Prize Awarded to STUART L
    2019 (27th) International COSMOS Prize awarded to STUART L. PIMM Professor of Conservation Ecology, Duke University, U.S.A. Pimm’ pioneering work clarified the complexities of food webs that sustain life on earth and calculated rates of species extinction using quantitative mathematical models. Building on these foundations, he went on to empirically verify his theoretical findings in the field. Through such work, he has been an influential figure, contributing greatly to the shaping of policies to conserve biological diversity globally and to ecological habitat conservation practice in many parts of the world. He has further extended the global outreach of hs work by establishing the international non‐profit foundation, “Saving Nature” (formerly “Saving Species”), which supports local conservation groups across the world, empowering them to reduce the risk of species extinction and better manage ecological habitats under threat. His considerable achievements, integrating science with practice, mark Stewart Pimm as a true giant in the field of conservation biology, whose contributions to the “Harmony of Man and Nature” make him a most worthy winner of the International COSMOS Prize for 2019. 2019 (27th) International COSMOS Prize: Prizewinner Stuart Leonard Pimm Professor of Conservation Ecology, Duke University, U.S.A. • Date of Birth: ‐ 27 February 1949 (70 yrs) ‐ Born in Derbyshire, U.K. • Nationality: • Academic Background: ‐ U.S. Citizen ‐ 1971: B.Sc. Oxford University, U.K. ‐ 1974: Ph.D. New Mexico State • Current Position: University ‐ Professor (Conservation Ecology), Duke University • Major International Awards Received: ‐ 2006: Heineken Prize for the • Major: Environment ‐ Conservation Ecology ‐ 2010: Tyler Prize for the Environment THE GREAT OUTDOORS With Oxford University field A PERSONAL SKETCH studies team 1970, Band-e-Amir, Afghanistan PIMM’S EARLY YEARS School photograph taken when Pimm started bird watching 1962, Bemrose School, Derby.
    [Show full text]