Shaping a Healthy and Harmonious China & World
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China's Economic Recovery and Dual Circulation Model
BRIEFING China's economic recovery and dual circulation model SUMMARY After a delayed response to the outbreak of the novel coronavirus in late 2019, China has expanded its sophisticated digital surveillance systems to the health sector, linking security and health. It has apparently successfully contained the virus, while most other countries still face an uphill battle with Covid-19. China emerged first from lockdown, and its economy rapidly entered a V-shaped recovery. As in 2008, China is driving the global recovery and will derive strategic gains from this role. However, China's relations with advanced economies and some emerging markets have further deteriorated during the pandemic, as its aggressive foreign policy posture has triggered pushback. This has created a more hostile environment for China's economic development and has had a negative impact on China's hitherto almost unconstrained access to these economies. The need to make the Chinese economy more resilient against external shocks and the intention to tap into the unexploited potential of China's huge domestic market in order to realise the nation's ambitions of becoming a global leader in cutting-edge technologies have prompted the Chinese leadership to launch a new economic development paradigm for China. The 'dual circulation development model' still lacks specifics but is expected to be a key theme in China's 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025) to be officially approved in March 2021. The concept suggests that, in future, priority will be given to 'domestic circulation' over 'international circulation'. China's more inward-looking development strategy geared towards greater self-reliance in strategic sectors requires major domestic structural reform and investment to unleash the purchasing power of China's low-end consumers and the indigenous innovation efforts to achieve the technological breakthroughs needed. -
State of the Field Proficiency, Sustainability, and Beyond
2012 State of the Field Proficiency, Sustainability, and Beyond April 12–14, 2012 | Washington, D.C. At a Glance Dear Colleagues: Contents 2012 Wednesday, April 11 Welcome to the Fifth Annual National Chinese Language Conference! At a Glance Front Inside Cover * 10 a.m.–6 p.m. Registration Open Whether this is your first or fifth year participating in the conference, we are very pleased *** Welcome Letters 1–2 1–4 p.m. Preconference Workshops that you are joining us in Washington, D.C., to examine and reflect upon the state of Chinese language and culture education, both in the United States and abroad. The field Thank-Yous 3 Thursday, April 12 has come a long way over the past few decades. This meeting is an excellent time for us 6:45 a.m.–6 p.m. Registration Open* to take stock of what has been accomplished and what we still must strive to achieve. Preconference 4 8 a.m.–3 p.m. Preconference School Visits The 21st century is a time of rapid change, bringing both challenges and opportunities. *** We hope that this conference will inspire you to think creatively about the effective use of 9 a.m.–12 p.m. Preconference Workshops Main Conference 8 resources and collaboration across the field. 1–4 p.m. Preconference Workshops*** **** 1–4:15 p.m. Exhibits Open Your work is more important than ever, and we applaud your dedication to equipping Speaker Biographies 43 4:30–7:30 p.m. Plenary I: Opening Plenary and I SING BeiJING Concert** our students — the leaders of tomorrow — with the skills and knowledge they need to 7:45–9:00 p.m. -
A Year After the March 2008 Protests: Is China Promoting Stability in Tibet? Roundtable Congressional-Executive Commission on Ch
A YEAR AFTER THE MARCH 2008 PROTESTS: IS CHINA PROMOTING STABILITY IN TIBET? ROUNDTABLE BEFORE THE CONGRESSIONAL-EXECUTIVE COMMISSION ON CHINA ONE HUNDRED ELEVENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION MARCH 13, 2009 Printed for the use of the Congressional-Executive Commission on China ( Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.cecc.gov U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 48–753 PDF WASHINGTON : 2009 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402–0001 VerDate Nov 24 2008 11:10 Jun 24, 2009 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 5011 Sfmt 5011 U:\DOCS\48753.TXT DEIDRE CO N T E N T S Page Opening statement of Charlotte Oldham-Moore, Staff Director, Congressional- Executive Commission on China ........................................................................ 1 Grob, Douglas, Cochairman’s Senior Staff Member, Congressional-Executive Commission on China .......................................................................................... 2 Sperling, Elliot, Associate Professor, Department of Central Eurasian Studies, Indiana University ............................................................................................... 3 Wangchuk, Tseten, Senior Research Fellow, Tibet Center, University of Vir- ginia; Senior Editor, Voice of America, Tibetan Language Section ................. 6 Smith, Warren, Writer, Radio Free Asia, Tibetan, Service ................................. -
Xi Jinping's Address to the Central Conference On
Xi Jinping’s Address to the Central Conference on Work Relating to Foreign Affairs: Assessing and Advancing Major- Power Diplomacy with Chinese Characteristics Michael D. Swaine* Xi Jinping’s speech before the Central Conference on Work Relating to Foreign Affairs—held November 28–29, 2014, in Beijing—marks the most comprehensive expression yet of the current Chinese leadership’s more activist and security-oriented approach to PRC diplomacy. Through this speech and others, Xi has taken many long-standing Chinese assessments of the international and regional order, as well as the increased influence on and exposure of China to that order, and redefined and expanded the function of Chinese diplomacy. Xi, along with many authoritative and non-authoritative Chinese observers, presents diplomacy as an instrument for the effective application of Chinese power in support of an ambitious, long-term, and more strategic foreign policy agenda. Ultimately, this suggests that Beijing will increasingly attempt to alter some of the foreign policy processes and power relationships that have defined the political, military, and economic environment in the Asia- Pacific region. How the United States chooses to respond to this challenge will determine the Asian strategic landscape for decades to come. On November 28 and 29, 2014, the Central Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leadership convened its fourth Central Conference on Work Relating to Foreign Affairs (中央外事工作会)—the first since August 2006.1 The meeting, presided over by Premier Li Keqiang, included the entire Politburo Standing Committee, an unprecedented number of central and local Chinese civilian and military officials, nearly every Chinese ambassador and consul-general with ambassadorial rank posted overseas, and commissioners of the Foreign Ministry to the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region and the Macao Special Administrative Region. -
China's Dual Circulation Economy
THE SHRINKING MARGINS FOR DEBATE OCTOBER 2020 Introduction François Godement This issue of China Trends started with a question. What policy issues are still debated in today’s PRC media? Our able editor looked into diff erent directions for critical voices, and as a result, the issue covers three diff erent topics. The “dual circulation economy” leads to an important but abstruse discussion on the balance between China’s outward-oriented economy and its domestic, more indigenous components and policies. Innovation, today’s buzzword in China, generates many discussions around the obstacles to reaching the country’s ambitious goals in terms of technological breakthroughs and industrial and scientifi c applications. But the third theme is political, and about the life of the Communist Party: two-faced individuals or factions. Perhaps very tellingly, it contains a massive warning against doubting or privately minimizing the offi cial dogma and norms of behavior: “two-faced individuals” now have to face the rise of campaigns, slogans and direct accusations that target them as such. In itself, the rise of this broad type of accusation demonstrates the limits and the dangers of any debate that can be interpreted as a questioning of the Party line, of the Centre, and of its core – China’s paramount leader (领袖) Xi Jinping. The balance matters: between surviving policy debates on economic governance issues and what is becoming an all-out attack that targets hidden Western political dissent, doubts or non-compliance beyond any explicit form of debate. Both the pre-1949 CCP and Maoist China had so-called “line debates” which science has seen this often turned into “line struggles (路线斗争)”: the offi cial history of the mostly as a “fragmented pre-1966 CCP, no longer reprinted, listed nine such events. -
2015 Military Reform in the People's Republic of China
BELFER CENTER PAPER 2015 Military Reform in the People’s Republic of China Defense, Foreign and Domestic Policy Issues Andrei A. Kokoshin PAPER OCTOBER 2016 Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Harvard Kennedy School 79 JFK Street Cambridge, MA 02138 www.belfercenter.org Translated from Russian by Kirill Leonov Edited by Mari Dugas Design & Layout by Andrew Facini Cover image: A Chinese military band conductor leads the band at the end of the opening session of the annual National People’s Congress in Beijing’s Great Hall of the People, Saturday, March 5, 2016. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) Statements and views expressed in this paper are solely those of the author and do not imply endorsement by Harvard University, Harvard Kennedy School, or the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. Copyright 2016, President and Fellows of Harvard College Printed in the United States of America BELFER CENTER PAPER 2015 Military Reform in the People’s Republic of China Defense, Foreign and Domestic Policy Issues Andrei A. Kokoshin PAPER OCTOBER 2016 About the Author Andrei Kokoshin is a member of the Russian Academy of Sciences and dean of Moscow State University’s Faculty of World Politics. He has served as Russia’s first deputy defense minister, secretary of the Defense Council and secretary of the Security Council. Dr. Kokoshin has also served as chairman of the State Duma’s Committee on the Commonwealth of Independent States and as first deputy chairman of the Duma’s Committee on Science and High Technology. iv 2015 Military Reform in the People’s Republic of China: Defense, Foreign and Domestic Policy Issues Table of Contents Synopsis of the Study .............................................................vi Introduction ............................................................................. -
China's Looming Water Crisis
CHINADIALOGUE APRIL 2018 (IMAGE: ZHAOJIANKANG) CHINA’S LOOMING WATER CRISIS Charlie Parton Editors Chris Davy Tang Damin Charlotte Middlehurst Production Huang Lushan Translation Estelle With special thanks to China Water Risk CHINADIALOGUE Suite 306 Grayston Centre 28 Charles Square, London, N1 6HT, UK www.chinadialogue.net CONTENTS Introduction 5 How serious is the problem? 6 The problem is exacerbated by pollution and inefficient use 9 Technical solutions are not sufficient to solve shortages 10 What are the consequences and when might they hit? 14 What is the government doing? 16 What is the government not doing and should be doing? 19 Can Xi Jinping stave off a water crisis? 25 Global implications 28 Global opportunities 30 Annex - Some facts about the water situation in China 32 About the author 37 4 | CHINA’S LOOMING WATER CRISIS SOUTH-NORTH WATER TRANSFER PROJECT (IMAGE: SNWTP OFFICIAL SITE) 5 | CHINA’S LOOMING WATER CRISIS INTRODUCTION Optimism or pessimism about the future success of Xi Jinping’s new era may be in the mind of the beholder. The optimist will point to the Party’s past record of adaptability and problem solving; the pessimist will point out that no longer are the interests of reform pointing in the same directions as the interests of Party cadres, and certainly not of some still powerful vested interests. But whether China muddles or triumphs through, few are predict- ing that problems such as debt, overcapacity, housing bubbles, economic rebalancing, the sheer cost of providing social security and services to 1.4 billion people will cause severe economic disruption or the collapse of Chi- na. -
November 2020 Trade Bulletin
November 9, 2020 Highlights of This Month’s Edition • Bilateral trade: In the first three quarters of 2020, the U.S. goods trade deficit was $223 billion, down 5 percent year-on-year, with agricultural exports to China up 92.8 percent from last year; in Q2 2020, the U.S. services surplus with China reached $11.7 billion, a record low due to the COVID-19 pandemic. • Policy trends in China’s economy: At the Fifth Plenum, the CCP stressed economic self-reliance and stronger domestic innovation; China’s new Export Control Law has a broad scope that creates the potential for arbitrary restrictions on Chinese exports, extraterritorial reach, and retaliation against foreign exporters and end users; China’s government introduced the digital RMB; the new Chengdu-Chongqing regional integration plan reflects a multiyear strategy of fostering economic development centered on innovation and exports. • Quarterly review of China’s economy: China reported GDP growth of 4.9 percent year-on-year in Q3, but a sluggish recovery elsewhere in the world and concerns over debt could undermine growth going forward; this year’s “Golden Week” saw a return to consumption, though indicators point to worsening income disparities. • Financial markets: Suspension of blockbuster Ant Group IPO underscores the CCP’s control over private enterprise in China. • In focus – Trends in supply chain realignment: Preliminary data and anecdotal evidence suggest the complete uprooting of supply chains out of China is unlikely, with gradual diversification emerging as a more prominent -
Bremer-Hukou-System Lesson Plan
Sarah Bremer The Hukou System April 2019 L E S S O N P L A N The Hukou (Household Registration) System Sarah Bremer Bishop O’Dowd High school Essential/Central Question: How does the hukou system impact the ability of individuals to achieve the “Chinese dream”? Lesson Summary: Through a role play based on members of a family featured in Rob Schmitz’s book Street of Eternal Happiness, students explore the ways that the household registration system, or “hukou” has affected the lives of a family from the rural province of Shandong. Implemented in 1958, this system requires every citizen of China to be registered with either a rural or urban hukou. Today, millions of Chinese citizens with rural hukou registration live as migrants in cities like Shanghai. Their hukou status, which is passed down through families and nearly impossible to change, prevents them from accessing public education, healthcare, pensions, and other services in the cities in which they live and work. Grade levels and Courses: This lesson was designed for a high school (9-12 grade) course in world history or AP Human Geography. It can also be adapted for English Language Arts classes. Duration: One 80-minute block period or two 45 minute periods Step-by-step Description: Materials: Handout 1 (cut into strips), Handout 2 (video note sheet), Handout 3 (role play cards), projector and computer Warm Up: 1. Cut up Handout 1: Timeline of the Hukou system into strips separated by date. Give each student or pair of students a date and description. Be sure that the strips are not in order. -
China's 17Th Communist Party Congress, 2007: Leadership And
Order Code RS22767 December 5, 2007 China’s 17th Communist Party Congress, 2007: Leadership and Policy Implications Kerry Dumbaugh Specialist in Asian Affairs Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division Summary The Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) 17th Congress, held from October 15 - 21, 2007, demonstrated the Party’s efforts to try to adapt and redefine itself in the face of emerging economic and social challenges while still trying to maintain its authoritarian one-Party rule. The Congress validated and re-emphasized the priority on continued economic development; expanded that concept to include more balanced and sustainable development; announced that the Party would seek to broaden political participation by expanding intra-Party democracy; and selected two potential rival candidates, Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang, with differing philosophies (rather than one designated successor-in- waiting) as possibilities to succeed to the top Party position in five years. More will be known about the Party’s future prospects and the relative influence of its two potential successors once the National People’s Congress meets in early 2008 to select key government ministers. This report will not be updated. Periodically (approximately every five years) the Chinese Communist Party holds a Congress, attended by some 2,000 senior Party members, to authorize important policy and leadership decisions within the Party for the coming five years. In addition to authorizing substantive policies, the Party at its Congress selects a new Central Committee, comprised of the most important figures in the Party, government, and military.1 The Central Committee in turn technically selects a new Politburo and a new Politburo Standing Committee, comprised of China’s most powerful and important leaders. -
Region Rises from Serfdom to Selfdetermination
CHINA DAILY | HONG KONG EDITION Thursday, March 28, 2019 | 7 CHINA Tibet Region rises from serfdom to selfdetermination Sixty years ago, the old government of Tibet was dismissed. The date was later named ‘Serf’s Emancipation Day’. Cui Jia and Palden Nyima report from Shigatse, Tibet autonomous region. Editor’s note: This is the first of a tion and social system, which made series of stories about the Tibet it extremely difficult to disseminate autonomous region, focusing on the progressive ideas, he said. area’s history, povertyalleviation In 1951, Ngapoi Ngawang Jigme measures and the cultural and busi was the Tibetan government’s chief ness sectors. negotiator during the process of signing the Agreement of the Cen hurbu Tsering was born in tral People’s Government and the Phalha Manor in Gyalze Local Government of Tibet on county, Tibet autonomous Measures for the Peaceful Libera region. The house, in Paljor tion of Tibet. PLhunpo village, was once owned by The agreement acknowledged the the aristocratic Phalha family. necessity of reforming Tibet’s social Before 1959, the family owned system and stressed that “the local much of the land in the county, government of Tibet should carry which is renowned for its fertility out reform voluntarily”. and boasts perfect conditions for Zhang said: “The central govern the cultivation of highland barley. ment was very patient toward the The Phalhas also owned Phurbu reform out of consideration for the Tsering’s parents, who were “house special circumstances in Tibet. It slaves”, nangzan in the Tibetan lan didn’t want to create any conflict. -
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NEWS BRIEF 2 NATIONAL PEOPle’s CoNGRESS OF CHINA People display the national flag in Golden Bauhinia Square in Hong Kong Special Ad- ministrative Region in south China. Li Gang ISSUE 1 · 2021 3 Safeguarding people’s health, building 10 quality basic public education stressed 目录 Contents Annual Session 2021 12 Special Report: NPC Work Report Xi stresses high-quality 6 development, improving 22 President Xi and the people people’s well-being Working for the people 8 14 New development philosophy, Senior leaders attend delibera- Law Stories of HK ethnic unity stressed tions at annual legislative session 10 16 24 Safeguarding people’s health, People as masters of their country An imperative step for long-term stability building quality basic public is essence of democracy in Hong Kong education stressed 26 Decision to improve Hong Kong elector- al system adopted 28 Explanations on the Draft Decision of the National People’s Congress On Improv- ing the Electoral System of The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region 4 NATIONAL PEOPle’s CoNGRESS OF CHINA An imperative step for long-term 24 stability in Hong Kong China unveils action plan for 36 modernization ISSUE 1 · 2021 Spotlight Insights 34 China projects confidence with over 6% 42 Xi’s messages point way for China at VOL.52 ISSUE 1 March 2021 GDP growth target historic development juncture Administrated by General Office of the Standing NPC Highlights Committee of National People’s Congress 44 NPC Standing Committee strongly Chief Editor: Wang Yang condemns US sanctions on Chinese 36 General