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Copernicus Global Land Operations – Lot 1 Date Issued: 29.03.2019 Issue: I1.00 Copernicus Global Land Operations “Vegetation and Energy” ”CGLOPS-1” Framework Service Contract N° 199494 (JRC) SCIENTIFIC QUALITY EVALUATION 2018 SOIL WATER INDEX VERSION 3.0 Issue I1.00 Organization name of lead contractor for this deliverable: TU Wien Book Captain: Bernhard Bauer-Marschallinger (TU Wien) Contributing Authors: Tobias Stachl (TU Wien) Copernicus Global Land Operations – Lot 1 Date Issued: 25.03.2019 Issue: I1.00 Dissemination Level PU Public X PP Restricted to other programme participants (including the Commission Services) RE Restricted to a group specified by the consortium (including the Commission Services) CO Confidential, only for members of the consortium (including the Commission Services) Document-No. CGLOPS1_SQE-SWIV3-2018 © C-GLOPS Lot1 consortium Issue: I1.00 Date: 25.03.2019 Page: 2 of 77 Copernicus Global Land Operations – Lot 1 Date Issued: 25.03.2019 Issue: I1.00 Document Release Sheet Book captain: Bernhard Bauer-Marschallinger Sign Date 25.03.2019 Approval: Roselyne Lacaze Sign Date 29.03.2019 Endorsement: Michael Cherlet Sign Date Distribution: Public Document-No. CGLOPS1_SQE-SWIV3-2018 © C-GLOPS Lot1 consortium Issue: I1.00 Date: 25.03.2019 Page: 3 of 77 Copernicus Global Land Operations – Lot 1 Date Issued: 25.03.2019 Issue: I1.00 Change Record Issue/Rev Date Page(s) Description of Change Release 25.03.2019 All First issue I1.00 Document-No. CGLOPS1_SQE-SWIV3-2018 © C-GLOPS Lot1 consortium Issue: I1.00 Date: 25.03.2019 Page: 4 of 77 Copernicus Global Land Operations – Lot 1 Date Issued: 25.03.2019 Issue: I1.00 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary .................................................................................................................. 14 1 Background of the document ............................................................................................. 16 1.1 Scope and Objectives............................................................................................................. 16 1.2 Content of the document....................................................................................................... 16 1.3 Related documents ............................................................................................................... 16 1.3.1 Applicable documents ................................................................................................................................ 16 1.3.2 Input ............................................................................................................................................................ 16 1.3.3 Output ......................................................................................................................................................... 17 2 Review of Users Requirements ........................................................................................... 18 3 Review of the SWI quality .................................................................................................. 20 4 Scientific Quality Evaluation Method ................................................................................. 22 4.1 Global Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 22 4.2 Regional analysis ................................................................................................................... 25 4.3 Model Reference Products ..................................................................................................... 25 4.4 In-situ Reference Products ..................................................................................................... 26 4.5 Other Reference Products ...................................................................................................... 28 4.6 Data Availability .................................................................................................................... 29 4.7 Layer Comparison Matrix ....................................................................................................... 29 5 Results .............................................................................................................................. 30 5.1 Global analysis ...................................................................................................................... 30 5.1.1 Comparison with GLDAS Noah .................................................................................................................... 30 5.1.2 Comparison with ISMN ............................................................................................................................... 45 5.2 Regional Analysis .................................................................................................................. 59 5.2.1 Situation in East Africa in 2018 ................................................................................................................... 60 5.2.2 Kenya .......................................................................................................................................................... 61 5.2.3 Central and Northern Europe ..................................................................................................................... 63 5.2.4 Portugal ....................................................................................................................................................... 65 5.2.5 Italy ............................................................................................................................................................. 67 5.2.6 Germany ..................................................................................................................................................... 69 6 Conclusions ....................................................................................................................... 71 Document-No. CGLOPS1_SQE-SWIV3-2018 © C-GLOPS Lot1 consortium Issue: I1.00 Date: 25.03.2019 Page: 5 of 77 Copernicus Global Land Operations – Lot 1 Date Issued: 25.03.2019 Issue: I1.00 6.1 Global Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 71 6.2 Regional analysis ................................................................................................................... 73 7 Recommendations ............................................................................................................. 74 8 References ........................................................................................................................ 75 8.1 Scientific Literature ............................................................................................................... 75 8.2 News Footage ....................................................................................................................... 76 Document-No. CGLOPS1_SQE-SWIV3-2018 © C-GLOPS Lot1 consortium Issue: I1.00 Date: 25.03.2019 Page: 6 of 77 Copernicus Global Land Operations – Lot 1 Date Issued: 25.03.2019 Issue: I1.00 List of Figures Figure 1: Map showing the regions used to define the regions of special interest for the plots of R over time. ............................................................................................................................... 23 Figure 2: Map of used ISMN networks, showing all stations with data in the period 2007-2018. ... 27 Figure 3: Pearson’s correlation coefficient between SWI T=1 and GLDAS Noah, as well the difference between the reference period (2007-01-01 until 2017-12-31) and the current validation period (2018-01-01 until 2018-12-31). Green colours indicate performance improvements in the current period. In the difference map only the statistically significant differences are shown whereas the violinplots show all data points. The violinplots show the estimated kernel density plot as well as the median (dashed line) and the lower and upper quartile (dotted lines). ............................................................................................................ 31 Figure 4: Pearson’s correlation coefficient between SWI T=20 and GLDAS Noah, as well the difference between the reference period (2007-01-01 until 2017-12-31) and the current validation period (2018-01-01 until 2018-12-31). Green colours indicate performance improvements in the current period. In the difference map only the statistically significant differences are shown whereas the violinplots show all data points. The violinplots show the estimated kernel density plot as well as the median (dashed line) and the lower and upper quartile (dotted lines). ............................................................................................................ 32 Figure 5: Pearson’s correlation coefficient between SWI T=100 and GLDAS Noah, as well the difference between the reference period (2007-01-01 until 2017-12-31) and the current validation period (2018-01-01 until 2018-12-31). Green colours indicate performance improvements in the current period. In the difference map only the statistically significant differences are shown whereas the violinplots show all data points. The violinplots show the estimated kernel density plot as well as the median (dashed line) and the lower and upper quartile (dotted lines). ...........................................................................................................