DOCSLIB.ORG

(CUWS) Outreach Journal # 1273

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
(CUWS) Outreach Journal # 1273 Issue No. 1273 July 21st, 2017 // USAFCUWS Outreach Journal Issue 1273 // Feature Item “Strengthening Strategic Stability with Russia”. Written by Christopher Chivvis, Andrew Radin, Dara Massicot and Clinton Bruce Reach, published by RAND; July 5, 2017 This report analyzes trends in strategic stability between Russia and the United States, examines Russian views on the subject, and assesses current prospects for stemming the erosion of strategic stability between the two countries. Such prospects exist, but they would require a sustained effort and greater political will on both sides. https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/perspectives/PE200/PE234/RAND_PE234.pdf twitter.com/USAF_CUWS | cuws.au.af.mil // 2 // USAFCUWS Outreach Journal Issue 1273 // Table of Contents US NUCLEAR WEAPONS 1. The Nuclear Weapons Complexities 2. Dems urge 'transparent and inclusive' nuke policy review 3. Why The U.S. Must Get Rid Of Its Land-Based Nuclear Missiles 4. Defense Authorization Bills Advance US Missile Defense and Nuclear Weapons Priorities US COUNTER-WMD 1. The Pentagon's Next ICBM Intercept Test Will New Command and Control Missile Defense Technology 2. This new drug could help the U.S. survive a nuclear meltdown 3. Md. Dems resist Trump administration plan to close chemical, biological labs 4. Edgewood Chemical Biological Center Celebrates 100th Anniversary US ARMS CONTROL 1. The Nuclear Ban Treaty: How did we get here, what does it mean for the United States? 2. Sen. Tom Cotton Draws Red Line on Arms Control Treaty With Russia 3. CHOOSING A NEW OPCW HEAD 4. Russia worried over US attempts to call to question expediency of INF Treaty ASIA/PACIFIC 1. The U.S. and North Korea Race Against the Clock 2. China has buried nukes in Pakistan to attack India: Former Defence Minister Mulayam Singh Yadav 3. North Korea’s Yongbyon Facility: Probable Production of Additional Plutonium for Nuclear Weapons 4. A Chinese Spy Ship May Have Observed a THAAD Intercept Test, But That's Just Fine EUROPE/RUSSIA 1. No reason to question viability of INF missile treaty with US – top Russian diplomat 2. Chechnya's leader says Russia has a literal nuclear doomsday device — and it's automated 3. A farewell to traditional arms: Russia develops weapons for the future 4. Why Is Russia Aiming Missiles at China? MIDDLE EAST 1. The Iran Trap 2. Zarif: Iran to retaliate if JCPOA violated 3. Blacklisting Iran’s IRGC to cost US dear: Top commander 4. ISRAELI NUCLEAR SECRET-LEAKER SENTENCED FOR CONTACT WITH FOREIGNERS INDIA/PAKISTAN 1. Is India turning its nuclear focus toward China? 2. India firm on verifiable nuclear weapons reduction 3. Pakistan has taken constructive measures on nuclear safety: US State Department report 4. Centre justifies skipping talks for pact on nuclear arms ban COMMENTARY twitter.com/USAF_CUWS | cuws.au.af.mil // 3 // USAFCUWS Outreach Journal Issue 1273 // 1. The US-Russian teamwork that kept nuclear weapons safe 2. Why Japan Should Go Nuclear 3. The nuclear-weapons-ban thing is not going away, prime minister 4. The Iran Nuclear Deal Has Been a Blessing for Israel Return to Top US NUCLEAR WEAPONS IEEE Spectrum (Piscataway, NJ) The Nuclear Weapons Complexities By G. Pascal Zachary July 19, 2017 We can simulate many systems components, except the most unpredictable of all In a sign that nuclear weapons remain vital technologically and militarily, the U.S. government has launched a multidecade “modernization” program for the nation’s 4,571 nuclear weapons, at an estimated cost of up to US $1 trillion, $348 billion over the next 10 years alone. “An aging nuclear force…has forced the need for a modernization program,” the Defense Science Board declared last December after President Barack Obama gained rare bipartisan support. The aim is ambitious: to refurbish or replace every aspect of America’s land, sea, and air-based nuclear “triad,” and to deter any moves by Russia, China, and rogue states like North Korea to threaten the American homeland. The project is expensive. For instance, the U.S. Navy’s 14 nuclear submarines—each armed with up to 240 nukes—are slated for replacement. The planned Columbia-class sub is expected to consume about one-sixth of the Navy’s entire shipbuilding budget for the next 30 years (about $100 billion in total). Simulation of nuclear wars and warheads also means more money for the Lawrence Livermore and Los Alamos national laboratories, where sophisticated computer models are built. Simulations are vital to predicting real-time performance, yet they are no panacea. Consider guided missiles—the Minuteman series—that sit in silos in North Dakota, Montana, and Wyoming. This year, the U.S. Air Force performed only three “live” tests, but only of missiles, not bombs. If the United States fields new and improved nuclear weapons, will the government be more likely to use them? Also of concern: “These modernized forces are more capable than the originals,” and thus the renovation could ignite a dangerous new arms race, the Arms Control Association asserts. Another risk of modernization is that a fully digital nuclear network might be more vulnerable to hackers. Communications systems for nuclear warriors were created in the 1950s and ’60s: In some missile silos, soldiers still pass around floppy disks. But while communicating with individual silos and submarines is cumbersome today, speedier, potentially hackable links between political decision-makers and weapons in the field could make unintended launches more likely. In a world of “improving” nuclear weapons, there are wider lessons. Because these systems can never be fully tested in advance (thanks to a multilateral test-ban treaty), how can we know how twitter.com/USAF_CUWS | cuws.au.af.mil // 4 // USAFCUWS Outreach Journal Issue 1273 // much foresight is good enough? The human factor is also critical. Soldiers on subs or in missile silos, for instance, might choose to defy launch orders from political leaders they mistrust. Or nuclear warriors, who have grown accustomed to drills and rehearsals, may simply disbelieve when there’s a genuine crisis. Consider how on 11 September 2001, the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD), charged with protecting the United States from nuclear missile attacks from a command center inside Colorado’s Cheyenne Mountain, failed to respond to even the hijacked airplane that struck the Pentagon. Soldiers (captured on tape recordings since made public) kept asking over and over, “Is this real-world or exercise?” They repeatedly assumed they were in a training simulation. Only after all four hijacked aircraft had crashed did NORAD receive authorization to shoot down any threatening aircraft in order to save lives on the ground. Uncertainty clouds the nuclear-weapons complex, and human performance represents perhaps the biggest unknown. Improving hardware may do no good unless it is accompanied by a similar emphasis on enhancing human software. Ultimately, humans will decide whether the human species has the capacity to manage powerful tools that can either protect or grievously harm us. http://spectrum.ieee.org/aerospace/military/the-nuclear-weapons-complexities Return to Top The Hill (Washington, DC) Dems Urge 'Transparent And Inclusive' Nuke Policy Review By Rebecca Kheel July 19, 2017 Twenty-two Senate Democrats are calling for a "transparent and inclusive" process in the Trump administration’s ongoing review of the U.S. nuclear weapons policy. “As the world’s foremost nuclear power and the only nation to have ever used nuclear weapons in war, the United States has a unique responsibility to reduce the risk of their use,” the senators wrote Wednesday in a letter to Defense Secretary James Mattis, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Energy Secretary Rick Perry. “By conducting a transparent and inclusive nuclear posture review process that adheres to longstanding bipartisan principles, you will fulfill that duty while preserving U.S. national security interests.” The letter was spearheaded by Democratic Sens. Ed Markey (Mass.) and Diane Feinstein (Calif.). In April, the Pentagon officially started the nuclear posture review, which was ordered by President Trump in January. It’s the first nuclear posture review since 2010. The review seeks “to ensure the U.S. nuclear deterrent is safe, secure, effective, reliable and appropriately tailored to deter 21st-century threats and reassure our allies,” the Pentagon said in April. It is being led by the deputy Defense secretary and the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and will include interagency input. In a Senate hearing Tuesday, Joint Chiefs of Staff Vice Chairman Paul Selva said he expects that it will take “several more months to complete” the review. twitter.com/USAF_CUWS | cuws.au.af.mil // 5 // USAFCUWS Outreach Journal Issue 1273 // In their letter Wednesday, the Democratic senators said it is particularly important for the State Department to provide input. “In particular, State Department bureaus with responsibilities for negotiating and verifying compliance with arms control agreements must be equal partners in the review process,” they wrote. In urging for the results to be public, they argued that failing to do so would fuel suspicion about U.S. nuclear intentions, “undermining strategic stability and U.S. extended deterrence guarantees.” The senators also urged for the review to uphold the 2010 New START Treaty, which set limits on the number of deployed nuclear warheads and launchers the United States and Russia are allowed. Trump has dismissed New START as one of former President Barack Obama’s “bad deals,” calling it a “a one-sided deal.” The senators further called for the review to continue efforts to reduce the role of nuclear weapons and continue the moratorium on nuclear tests in place since former President George H.W. Bush’s tenure. “We must continue moving toward a future free from the threat of nuclear war,” Markey said in a statement accompanying the letter’s release.
Load more

Recommended publications
  • SPACE and DEFENSE
    SPACE and DEFENSE Volume Three Number One Summer 2009 Space Deterrence: The Delicate Balance of Risk by Ambassador Roger G. Harrison, Collins G. Shackelford and Deron R. Jackson with commentaries by Dean Cheng Pete Hays John Sheldon Mike Manor and Kurt Neuman Dwight Rauhala and Jonty Kasku-Jackson EISENHOWER CENTER FOR SPACE AND DEFENSE STUDIES Space and Defense Scholarly Journal of the United States Air Force Academy Eisenhower Center for Space and Defense Studies Editor-in-Chief: Ambassador Roger Harrison, [email protected] Director, Eisenhower Center for Space and Defense Studies Academic Editor: Dr. Eligar Sadeh, [email protected] Associate Academic Editors: Dr. Damon Coletta U.S. Air Force Academy, USA Dr. Michael Gleason U.S. Air Force Academy, USA Dr. Peter Hays National Security Space Office, USA Major Deron Jackson U.S. Air Force Academy, USA Dr. Collins Shackelford U.S. Air Force Academy, USA Colonel Michael Smith U.S. Air Force, USA Reviewers: Andrew Aldrin John Logsdon United Launch Alliance, USA George Washington University, USA James Armor Agnieszka Lukaszczyk ATK, USA Space Generation Advisory Council, Austria William Barry Molly Macauley NASA, France Resources for the Future, USA Frans von der Dunk Scott Pace University of Nebraska, USA George Washington University, USA Paul Eckart Xavier Pasco Boeing, USA Foundation for Strategic Research, France Andrew Erickson Wolfgang Rathbeger Naval War College, USA European Space Policy Institute, Austria Joanne Gabrynowicz Scott Trimboli University of Mississippi, USA University
    [Show full text]
  • 31 Nuclear Weapons—Use, Probabilities and History
    1 ROTARY DISTRICT 5440 PEACEBUILDER NEWSLETTER MARCH 2020 NUMBER 31 NUCLEAR WEAPONS—USE, PROBABILITIES AND HISTORY William M. Timpson, Robert Meroney, Lloyd Thomas, Sharyn Selman and Del Benson Fort Collins Rotary Club Lindsey Pointer, 2017 Rotary Global Grant Scholarship Recipient In these newsletters of the Rotary District Peacebuilders, we want to invite readers for contributions and ideas, suggestions and possibilities for our efforts to promote the foundational skills for promoting peace, i.e., nonviolent conflict resolution, improved communication and cooperation, successful negotiation and mediation as well as the critical and creative thinking that can help communities move through obstacles and difficulties. HOW THE MOST VIOLENT OF HUMAN ACTIVITY, A NCLEAR WWIII, HAS BEEN AVOIDED, SO FAR Robert Lawrence, Ph.D. is an Emeritus Professor of Political Science at Colorado State University who has written extensively on this issue of nuclear weapons Let’s play a mind game. Think back in time and pick an actual war, any war. Now imagine you are the leader who began the war. Would you have ordered the attack if you knew for certain that 30 minutes later you, your family, and your people would all be killed. Probably not. Your logic led Presidents Reagan and Gorbachev to jointly declare “a nuclear war can never be won and must never be fought.” This is the sine qua non of American and Russian nuclear deterrence policy. Always before wars made sense to some because they could be won, and there were many winners. How then has this no-win war situation---the first in history-- happened? Because the U.S.
    [Show full text]
  • Downloads of Technical Information
    Florida State University Libraries Electronic Theses, Treatises and Dissertations The Graduate School 2018 Nuclear Spaces: Simulations of Nuclear Warfare in Film, by the Numbers, and on the Atomic Battlefield Donald J. Kinney Follow this and additional works at the DigiNole: FSU's Digital Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected] FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCES NUCLEAR SPACES: SIMULATIONS OF NUCLEAR WARFARE IN FILM, BY THE NUMBERS, AND ON THE ATOMIC BATTLEFIELD By DONALD J KINNEY A Dissertation submitted to the Department of History in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy 2018 Donald J. Kinney defended this dissertation on October 15, 2018. The members of the supervisory committee were: Ronald E. Doel Professor Directing Dissertation Joseph R. Hellweg University Representative Jonathan A. Grant Committee Member Kristine C. Harper Committee Member Guenter Kurt Piehler Committee Member The Graduate School has verified and approved the above-named committee members, and certifies that the dissertation has been approved in accordance with university requirements. ii For Morgan, Nala, Sebastian, Eliza, John, James, and Annette, who all took their turns on watch as I worked. iii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would like to thank the members of my committee, Kris Harper, Jonathan Grant, Kurt Piehler, and Joseph Hellweg. I would especially like to thank Ron Doel, without whom none of this would have been possible. It has been a very long road since that afternoon in Powell's City of Books, but Ron made certain that I did not despair. Thank you. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS Abstract..............................................................................................................................................................vii 1.
    [Show full text]
  • Climate Change and Justice Between Nonoverlapping Generations ANJA
    Climate Change and ANJA Justice between KARNEIN Nonoverlapping Generations Abstract: It is becoming less and less controversial that we ought to aggressively combat climate change. One main reason for doing so is concern for future generations, as it is they who will be the most seriously affected by it. Surprisingly, none of the more prominent deontological theories of intergenerational justice can explain why it is wrong for the present generation to do very little to stop worsening the problem. This paper discusses three such theories, namely indirect reciprocity, common ownership of the earth and human rights. It shows that while indirect reciprocity and common ownership are both too undemanding, the human rights approach misunderstands the nature of our intergenerational relationships, thereby capturing either too much or too little about what is problematic about climate change. The paper finally proposes a way to think about intergenerational justice that avoids the pitfalls of the traditional theories and can explain what is wrong with perpetuating climate change. Keywords: climate change, intergenerational justice, future generations, indirect reciprocity, common ownership, human rights • Introduction When it comes to climate change, it is future generations who are likely to suffer most from both actions and omissions we, people living today, are responsible for.1 Unfortunately, and as dire as the situation threatens to be for them, we are not especially motivated to act on their behalf. There are a number of reasons why, in the case of future generations, we are particularly susceptible to what Stephen Gardiner has called moral corruption.2 Chiefly among them is that future generations are not around to challenge us.
    [Show full text]
  • Artificial Intelligence, China, Russia, and the Global Order Technological, Political, Global, and Creative Perspectives
    AIR UNIVERSITY LIBRARY AIR UNIVERSITY PRESS Artificial Intelligence, China, Russia, and the Global Order Technological, Political, Global, and Creative Perspectives Shazeda Ahmed (UC Berkeley), Natasha E. Bajema (NDU), Samuel Bendett (CNA), Benjamin Angel Chang (MIT), Rogier Creemers (Leiden University), Chris C. Demchak (Naval War College), Sarah W. Denton (George Mason University), Jeffrey Ding (Oxford), Samantha Hoffman (MERICS), Regina Joseph (Pytho LLC), Elsa Kania (Harvard), Jaclyn Kerr (LLNL), Lydia Kostopoulos (LKCYBER), James A. Lewis (CSIS), Martin Libicki (USNA), Herbert Lin (Stanford), Kacie Miura (MIT), Roger Morgus (New America), Rachel Esplin Odell (MIT), Eleonore Pauwels (United Nations University), Lora Saalman (EastWest Institute), Jennifer Snow (USSOCOM), Laura Steckman (MITRE), Valentin Weber (Oxford) Air University Press Muir S. Fairchild Research Information Center Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama Opening remarks provided by: Library of Congress Cataloging-in- Publication Data Brig Gen Alexus Grynkewich (JS J39) Names: TBD. and Lawrence Freedman (King’s College, Title: Artificial Intelligence, China, Russia, and the Global Order : Techno- London) logical, Political, Global, and Creative Perspectives / Nicholas D. Wright. Editor: Other titles: TBD Nicholas D. Wright (Intelligent Biology) Description: TBD Identifiers: TBD Integration Editor: Subjects: TBD Mariah C. Yager (JS/J39/SMA/NSI) Classification: TBD LC record available at TBD AIR UNIVERSITY PRESS COLLABORATION TEAM Published by Air University Press in October
    [Show full text]
  • Four Transcripts For
    NAVAL RAVIKANT INTERVIEW PART THREE Hello again, Ars Technica listeners. This is the third installment of a four-part conversation about existential risks, with serial entrepreneur Naval Ravikant. If you haven’t heard the first two parts – which we posted on Monday and Tuesday – I encourage you to first check them out. I’d also encourage you to watch the TED talk which I was invited to give as a result of posting this very interview with Naval to my podcast listeners, back in March. Huge thanks to both TED AND Naval for that1 As mentioned before, it went up on the front page of TED.com yesterday. Also on Ars today, George Church has posted a piece in which he discusses the vital importance of biological surveillance in this dawning era of artificial life – which could certainly include artificial pathogens one day. George points out that “three of the most low- cost and highly-effective global public health strategies are hygiene, quarantine and vaccines -- all of which rely on constant keen observation.” George is one of the world’s most influential bioengineers, and his Harvard lab has spawned a dizzying range of innovations, techniques and startups. He’s also been advocating for surveillance systems in his own field of synthetic biology since 2004. As his article today points out, few would call for a comprehensive global ban on cars. Yet almost everyone supports certain levels of car and driver surveillance – via radar guns, blood-alcohol tests etc. Responsible use and careful surveillance will be even more important in the high stakes world of synbio.
    [Show full text]
  • Mission Playsets S P Ace Mission
    MISSION PLAYSETS S P ACE MISSION INTRODUCTION !e Space Mission is a classic playset for Our Last Best Hope, the Mission that inspired the whole design process. In it, you and your crew will blast o" from the Earth in order to stop a spacebound Crisis from wiping out Humanity, sometimes confronting the problem millions of miles away. Space, the hungry monster, is always at the edge of your vision; it lies just on the other side of your ship’s fragile walls, ready to rip your plans to shreds. Yet with !reats ranging from onboard technical problems to alien attack squads, the Space Mission is not just a hard sci-# Mission. You can #ght aliens, $y through black holes, and take the story wherever your crew thinks your ship should go. It’s a $exible story, and it can play out in interesting ways through the Crisis your crew picks and the !reats you choose. Suggested viewing: Sunshine, Armageddon, Deep Impact, 2001: A Space Odyssey, Battlestar Galactica, District 9, and Apollo 13 CONTENTS 116 S P ACE MISSION TH EMES SARDINES IN A CRUSHED TIN CAN To brave the cold vacuum of space, your team has wrapped itself in a ship that can get them to the Crisis. Yet, living and working in such small spaces can be di%cult for even the most stable of personalities; often basic communication with the rest of Humanity is impaired, as the vast distances the team has traveled makes sending messages di%cult. !e closed system means that problems (such as alien stowaways) tend to stick around, and your crew has few places to get away from the !reats beating down your door.
    [Show full text]
  • Antinuclear Politics, Atomic Culture, and Reagan Era Foreign Policy
    Selling the Second Cold War: Antinuclear Cultural Activism and Reagan Era Foreign Policy A dissertation presented to the faculty of the College of Arts and Sciences of Ohio University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Doctor of Philosophy William M. Knoblauch March 2012 © 2012 William M. Knoblauch. All Rights Reserved. 2 This dissertation titled Selling the Second Cold War: Antinuclear Cultural Activism and Reagan Era Foreign Policy by WILLIAM M. KNOBLAUCH has been approved for the Department of History and the College of Arts and Sciences by __________________________________ Chester J. Pach Associate Professor of History __________________________________ Howard Dewald Dean, College of Arts and Sciences 3 ABSTRACT KNOBLAUCH, WILLIAM M., Ph.D., March 2012, History Selling the Second Cold War: Antinuclear Cultural Activism and Reagan Era Foreign Policy Director of Dissertation: Chester J. Pach This dissertation examines how 1980s antinuclear activists utilized popular culture to criticize the Reagan administration’s arms buildup. The 1970s and the era of détente marked a decade-long nadir for American antinuclear activism. Ronald Reagan’s rise to the presidency in 1981 helped to usher in the “Second Cold War,” a period of reignited Cold War animosities that rekindled atomic anxiety. As the arms race escalated, antinuclear activism surged. Alongside grassroots movements, such as the nuclear freeze campaign, a unique group of antinuclear activists—including publishers, authors, directors, musicians, scientists, and celebrities—challenged Reagan’s military buildup in American mass media and popular culture. These activists included Fate of the Earth author Jonathan Schell, Day After director Nicholas Meyer, and “nuclear winter” scientific-spokesperson Carl Sagan.
    [Show full text]
  • Chapter 4: History of Zombie on Film UNDEAD in WESTERN CINEMA
    Chapter 4: History of Zombie on Film UNDEAD IN WESTERN CINEMA Many scholars who have researched zombies argue that there are three distinct eras of the zombie evolution: The Haitian zombi, the Romero zombie, and the post 9/11 zombie (Bishop, 2010; Bishop, 2015; Dendle, 2007; McIntosh, 2008; Platts, 2014). These eras are broadly defined by how the zombies are created and then characterized. Each of these eras was can be further refined through the societal anxieties that are represented in the movies. The Haitian Zombi The era of the Haitian zombi can be epitomized by the movie White Zombie (Weston and Halperin, 1932). The scholarly definition of the zombies in this era are characterized by their lack of will, they are essentially controlled by some form of master (Bishop, 2010; Bishop, 2015; Dendle, 2007; McIntosh, 2008; Platts, 2014). In my interpretation, this film represents the Imperial nature of western society on indigenous populations and confronts such topics as racism, colonialism, and gendered norms. The black Haitians in the film are transformed into zombis through a potion and are both created and controlled by Murder Legendre, the white sugar mill manager, portrayed by Bela Lugosi. When he attempts to extend this control over the white fiancée of a rival of the owner as well as over the owner himself, he is only partially successful. The white woman, Madeline is completely under his control but the white man Charles can break the spell and kills Murder. The white male zombi was able to exert his will and break out of the potion’s spell while the black zombis are directionless without their master and throw themselves from a cliff (Weston and Halperin, 1932).
    [Show full text]
  • Autonomous Weapons and Nuclear Deterrence: Conceptualizing Policy for Revolutionary Weapons
    AUTONOMOUS WEAPONS AND NUCLEAR DETERRENCE: CONCEPTUALIZING POLICY FOR REVOLUTIONARY WEAPONS By: Stepan Denk Submitted to Central European University Department of International Relations In partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts in International Relations CEU eTD Collection Supervisor: Professor Alexander V. Astrov Word Count: 13 965 Budapest, Hungary 2018 ABSTRACT Autonomous weapons have gone from relative obscurity to a hotly debated topic within a space of just several years since first being discussed in a United Nations disarmament forum in 2013. Despite the recent academic surge in interest of autonomous weapons, the debates have largely been confined to specific ethical and legal questions, mostly conducted between opponents and lobbyist supporters of autonomous weapons. This thesis seeks to address the deficiency by attempting to historicize the current debate surrounding autonomous weapons and academically inquire into the role autonomous weapons might play in international relations. To that end, autonomous weapons are seen as continuing in a historical trend of adopting modern technology and the concomitant knowledge production that such innovations bring along. The historical process of developing nuclear policy is shown to serve as a template for discussions on autonomous weapons. To the extent that weapons with autonomous structures will become technologically possible, the debate on autonomous weapons has been conducted with a framework already in existence due to nuclear weapons policy. The attempt of the limited IR and strategic scholarship is progressing along similar lines as that of nuclear weapons. Understanding nuclear strategy is thus essential to predicting the role autonomous weapons will play in future military doctrine.
    [Show full text]
  • The American Futures Studies Movement (1965-1975); Its Roots, Motivations, and Influences Kaya Tolon Iowa State University
    Iowa State University Capstones, Theses and Graduate Theses and Dissertations Dissertations 2011 The American futures studies movement (1965-1975); its roots, motivations, and influences Kaya Tolon Iowa State University Follow this and additional works at: https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/etd Part of the History Commons Recommended Citation Tolon, Kaya, "The American futures studies movement (1965-1975); its roots, motivations, and influences" (2011). Graduate Theses and Dissertations. 12029. https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/etd/12029 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Iowa State University Capstones, Theses and Dissertations at Iowa State University Digital Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in Graduate Theses and Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Iowa State University Digital Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected]. The American futures studies movement (1965-1975); its roots, motivations, and influences by Kaya Tolon A dissertation submitted to the graduate faculty in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Major: History of Technology and Science Program of Study Committee: Amy Bix, Major Professor David B. Wilson James T. Andrews Hamilton Cravens John W. Monroe Iowa State University Ames, Iowa 2011 Copyright © Kaya Tolon, 2011. All rights reserved. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Abstract iv Introduction 1 Chapter 1. Post-World War Two Beginnings and Cold War Pressures 19 a. Overall Context & Start of the Cold War 21 b. Emergence of Project RAND and its Theoretical Division 28 c. Emergence of Project DELPHI 33 d. Game Theory, Gaming, and Other Futurist Threads from Cold War Strategic Thinking 40 e.
    [Show full text]
  • How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb (1964) Informed Audiences That the United States Government Had Recklessly Managed Its War on Communism
    CHAPTER 2 THE ANATOMY OF THE FILM The creators of Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb (1964) informed audiences that the United States government had recklessly managed its war on communism. President John F. Kennedy’s management of the Berlin wall crisis and his administration’s response to the alliance between Cuban dictator Fidel Castro and Khrushchev threatened to incite a nuclear war. Stanley Kubrick believed that the government’s dependence upon nuclear weapons increased the likelihood of using such weapons during cold war crises. In an essay published in Films and Filming in 1963, Kubrick expressed his hope that Dr. Strangelove would alter the public’s perception of the government and encourage changes in nuclear policies.1 He utilized all of the tools of filmmaking and storytelling to convey this warning to audiences. The screenwriting team utilized several characters to mock American officials and explore various themes associated with their cold war policies. All of the film’s major characters were based upon well-known figures in America’s war on communism, despite the disclaimer stating the opposite at the outset of the film. Although the portrayals seemed absurd, characters’ actions and appearances were intended to inspire comparisons to their real-life counterparts. Diplomat and politician Adlai Stevenson served as the model for President Merkin Muffley. Muffley’s failure to prevent a nuclear catastrophe warned audiences that a communications breakdown might hinder efforts to avert disaster and that in the world created by Kennedy might face greater crises. General 1 Stanley Kubrick, “How I learned to stop worrying and Love the Cinema,” Films and Filming 9 (June 1963): 12-13.
    [Show full text]