March 2021 Housing Land Audit 2019/20 Update Photograph - site under construction at Sharphill, Saltcoats, Summer 2020 (NA 1096) Housing Land Audit | 2019/20 Update Housing Land Audit – 2019/20 Update 158 77 This update provides an overview of North Ayrshire’s Housing Land Audit (HLA) figures for the period April 2019 to March 2020. It includes details Total Housing Sites as of Effective Sites (due to of housing completions for the 12 months to 31st March 2020 and future st delivery programming of our housing sites. 1 April 2020. deliver new homes within the next 5 years). The Housing Land Audit monitors housing sites with a capacity of four of more new houses and identifies and quantifies the land available for housing in North Ayrshire. Details of the sites that make up the housing land supply are listed at Appendix 2 and are within the HLA Storymap, available to view at: https://www.north-ayrshire.gov.uk/planning-and-building- 9115 standards/ldp/land-use-audits.aspx Established Land Supply Headlines Capacity New Sites Private, Affordable, Figure 1: 87 new affordable homes delivered in 2019/20 at Tarryholme Phase 1, Irvine (NA 0649A). 179 220 11 Programming Number of new homes 399 expected to be delivered. 6 33 2558 3064 4888 New Homes Completed Completed Sites Active Sites during 2019/20 5 Year Effective Sites 5 years 7 years Total Capacity Housing Land Audit | 2019/20 Update Completions Completed Sites Completions for 2019/20 have remained steady at 399 In 2019/2020 six HLA sites were fully completed and will be removed from the completions, aligning with last year’s completion rate in 2018/19 audit going into 2020/21. These 6 sites contributed a total of 156 new homes within of 410 completions, demonstrating a sustained upturn in market North Ayrshire (See Figure 2 below for sites). conditions and confidence within the North Ayrshire Housing Of the 6 sites completed 3 sites were delivered by the private sector totalling 18 Market. new homes and 3 sites were delivered through the Strategic Housing Investment Programme (SHIP) which has seen the delivery of 138 affordable new homes (Period 2018/19 – 2019/20). Housing Completions from HLA 2018/19 2019/20 Total HLA Ref Address Town Developer Completions Completions Capacity 188 220 Auchrannie Arran 34 136 222 NA1172 Private 6 7 13 137 83 179 Eco Village (Brodick) 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 51 Vennel NA1161 Dalry Private 0 1 1* Total 171 219 410 399 Street Public 34 136 188 220 Garnock NA1176 Dalry Private 3 1 4 Private 137 83 222 179 Street Irvine Tarryholme NA0649 Irvine Housing 0 87 87 (Phase 1) Completions by Housing Sub-Market Area Association 14 North 2019/20 25 Dickson NA1164 Irvine Ayrshire 0 24 24 204 Drive Council Irvine/ Kilwinning 46 Cunninghame Balnagowan North Coast Total NA0106 Skelmorlie Housing 0 27 27 2 399 Association Garnock Valley New *Site originally programmed for 4 units. No more capacity for further units. Homes Figure 2: Sites which completed during 2019/20 and will be removed from the 2020/21 audit. Three Towns 110 In addition to the six completed sites, there were 33 active sites at April 2020, Arran accounting for 252 of the 399 completions in total across these sites during 2019/2020. Housing Land Audit | 2019/20 Update New Sites Planning Applications Eleven new sites were added to the HLA delivering a potential of 1079 In total, 892 new homes were granted planning permission via new homes in North Ayrshire. Five of the sites are from our LDP 2 planning applications in 2019/20. This figure does not include the two allocations, 2 from our SHIP programme and 4 are windfall sites. The new sites included as part of the Council’s SHIP (Bourtreehill and sites are: Sharphill Phase 5) which could deliver another 100 new homes subject to obtaining the relevant consents. Of the 892 homes HLA Ref Address Town Source Units approved in 2019/20, 590 of the new homes will be delivered from NA1187 Mayfield Saltcoats LDP2 392 the Woodfarm, Kilwinning (198 units) and Mayfield, Saltcoats (392 units) LDP2 allocations. Meaning 302 new homes were approved from NA1188 Woodfarm Kilwinning LDP2 198 planning applications not associated with LDP2 housing release sites. NA1189 Portencross Road West Kilbride LDP2 175 Figure 5: Indicative SPZ masterplan at In addition to the 892 Montgomerie Park in Irvine. NA1190 Lochlibo Road Irvine LDP2 92 new homes approved via the normal NA1191 West of Newhouse Drive Kilbirnie LDP2 100 planning application route, approximately NA1192 Bourtreehill Irvine SHIP 18 170 news homes have been granted consent NA1193 Sharphill (Phase 5) Saltcoats SHIP 82 via Scotland’s first NA1194 Cumbrae Parish Church Millport Windfall 6 housing Simplified Planning Zone (SPZ) in NA1195 Corran Inn, High Road Saltcoats Windfall 5 December 2019. NA1196 Former Royal Hotel Dalry Windfall 7 NA1197 12 Stanlane Place Largs Windfall 4 Figure 3: New sites added to the Housing Land Audit during 2019/20. Figure 4 (left): New site at Corran Inn, High Road, Saltcoats (NA1195) already on site. Figure 6: Drone image of land covered by SPZ at Montgomerie Park in Irvine. Housing Land Audit | 2019/20 Update Programming vs. Actual Completions Programming In last year’s 2018/2019 Housing Land Audit we programmed, based on This upturn in completions was predicted to continue. However, due to market intelligence and HLA data analysis, that 385 units would be the Covid pandemic we expect to see a reduction in completions for completed during the 2019/2020 period. However, the actual completions 2020/21. Analysis of Building Warrants for 2020/2021 indicates recorded for 2019/20 exceeded this figure with 399 new homes being approximately 165 completion certificates for new dwelling houses have delivered. been issued since the 1st April 2020 to 31st December 2020. This therefore aligns with our predicted programming for 1st April 2020 till 31st March 2019/20 Programming vs. Actual 2021 of 211 new homes . Before the pandemic we had anticipated to see approximately 529 new homes complete during 2020/21 (See Table below Completions New Homes for programming analysis pre-Covid and our current position). Programmed for 2019/20 385 Analysis of the data confirms that approximately 248 new homes have New Homes 399 been delayed due to the Covid pandemic. However, these units have not Delivered been lost; instead the delivery of these new homes has been pushed back by the developers into years 2021/22 and 2022/23 resulting in an upturn in programming for these years (See Table Below). Last year the story was similar with 368 new homes programmed for 2018/19, however, 410 new homes were actually delivered during this period. The 2018/19 completions data along with the 2019/20 data New homes programmed in North Ayrshire over demonstrates a sustained market upturn in North Ayrshire (See Appendix the next 5 years 1 for Historic Completion data). This sustained increase in completions demonstrates the hard work and success of the collaborative input of 721 both the public and private sectors to boost housing delivery. 631 591 529 547 551 479 Figure 7: New 404 Homes at 339 Ardrossan Road, 211 Seamill (NA 1104). 52 new homes were 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 delivered during 2019/20 No. of New Homes Programmed in 2019/20 (Current with 31 for affordable rent Programming in light of Covid) and 21 on the No. of New Homes Programmed in 2018/19 (pre- private market. Covid) Housing Land Audit | 2019/20 Update Sites Programmed to Complete in 2020/21 Housing Land Supply Left : Corrie Crescent, Saltcoats (NA As of 1 April 2020, 158 sites made up North Ayrshire’s Housing Land Supply with a 1182). 13 new remaining capacity of 9115 new homes. The majority of this land supply is found affordable within the Irvine & Kilwinning sub-market area. homes. 4888 of the 9115 new homes is from our 5 year effective housing sites. This gives confidence in our land supply in order to provide an appropriate supply of new homes. From this effective supply capacity of 4888 new homes we anticipate 2558 new homes to be delivered over the next 5 years from the 1st April 2020 as shown Right : Ardoch Crescent, Stevenston by Housing Sub-Market Area in the chart below. (NA 0786). Total of 28 new affordable Programming by HSMA homes. 3934 Left : Bowfield, West Kilbride (NA 0059A). Total of 30 new homes to the private market. 1922 1761 2020/2021 Housing Land Audit 2780 We are currently progressing the 2020/21 Housing Land Audit which will 993 provide details of completions from 1st April 2020 to 31st March 2021 and 1519 505 1154 1414 North Ayrshire’s new home programming from April 2021 onwards. We No. New Home Programmed 346 495 498 508 are aiming to publish the 2020/21 Audit in the summer 2021. 159 242 Further information ARRAN GARNOCK IRVINE/ NORTH COAST THREE TOWNS VALLEY KILWINNING For any queries about on the Housing Land Audit and Supply, please contact the Strategic Planning team: 5 Year Programming (2020/21- 2024/25) Telephone: 01294 324380 Post 5 Year Programming (2025/26 Onwards) Email: [email protected] Total Programming Housing Land Audit | 2019/20 Update Appendix 1 – Long-term completions in North Ayrshire The graph below uses an overview of housing completions in North Ayrshire over the last 13 years, split by private and public (Council and Housing Associations) development. The figures are derived from Building Warrant completions (2007-2016) or the Housing Land Audit (2016- 2020).