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Hart District Local Plan Public Transport Assessment Hart District Council June 2012

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Hart District Local Plan Public Transport Assessment Hart District Council June 2012 Hart District Local Plan Public Transport Assessment Hart District Council June 2012 QM Issue/revision Issue 1 Revision 1 Revision 2 Revision 3 Remarks Draft Final Revised Final Date March 2012 April 2012 June 2012 Prepared by Emily Butler Emily Butler Kirstin McMullan Signature Checked by Tom Beck Tom Beck Tom Beck Signature Authorised by Stephen Reed Stephen Reed Stephen Reed Signature Project number 50400036 50400036 File reference N:\50400036 - N:\50400036 - Hart LDF Public Hart LDF Public Transport\TEXT\ Transport\TEXT\ REPORTS\REVI REPORTS\REVI SED FINAL SED FINAL ISSUE June ISSUE June 2012\Hart District 2012\Hart District Local Plan Public Local Plan Public Transport Transport Assessment Assessment REVISED REVISED FINAL.docx FINAL.docx WSP UK Limited | Registered Address WSP House, 70 Chancery Lane, London, WC2A 1AF, UK | Reg No. 01383511 England | WSP Group plc | Offices worldwide Contents 1 Introduction 1 2 Transport Assessment Methodology 2 3 Current Levels of Public Transport Accessibility in Hart District 7 4 Impact Of Planned Development In Hart District On Public Transport 13 5 Summary 21 Appendix A Revised Housing Distribution Appendix B Existing Public Transport Access Figures Appendix C Site Visit Summary Appendix D Forecast Impact On Rail Services Appendix E Forecast Impact On Bus Services 1 Introduction 1.1 INTRODUCTION 1.1.1 Since the publication of the National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) on 27 March 2012 Local Authorities that have not yet published their Local Development Framework (LDF) will now produce a Local Plan. 1.1.2 The Local Plan will be made up of a number of documents, produced by the district council, which outline the spatial planning strategy for the local area. This part of the planning system assists in determining the scale and form of new development, where it should be located and the associated new infrastructure required. 1.1.3 WSP has been commissioned to assist in the investigation of the transport related impacts of delivering the Local Plan housing target for Hart District Council, in particular the impact on public transport services. 1.2 HOUSING ALLOCATION FOR HART DISTRICT 1.2.1 This study considers development in Hart District between 2006 and 2028. This is the period covered in Hart’s Draft LDF Core Strategy (July 2011). The Draft LDF Core Strategy includes the following policy on housing distribution and delivery: Policy SS2: Housing Distribution and Delivery The Council will make provision for the delivery of at least 4,840 net additional dwellings between 2006 and 2028 through: a) 660 completions between 2006 and 2010 b) 1,740 dwellings from ‘deliverable’ and ‘developable’ sites c) At least 2,440 dwellings to be delivered through four strategic locations (North East Hook, West Fleet, Guillemont Park and Fleet Town Centre), with the remainder through ‘windfall’ sites where they accord with policies of the development plan and on sites allocated in a subsequent development plan document. 1.3 SCENARIOS TO BE TESTED 1.3.1 Within this study two scenarios have been tested: Scenario 1: Hart District LDF Core Strategy with a broad distribution of future residential developments (as identified in LDF Core Strategy Preferred Approach for Consultation July 2011). Scenario 2: Revised distribution for housing provided by Hart District Council on 5 June (included in Appendix A). 1.3.2 The reason for the two scenarios is that the list of future development locations provided by HDC on 5 June are distributed differently and have a different housing allocation compared to the Draft LDF Core Strategy (July 2011) document. The assessment of the impact of each scenario has been undertaken with the same level of detail (i.e. a spreadsheet based assessment). 1.3.3 For each of the two housing scenarios the impact on bus and rail services has been forecast. The methodology for this assessment is described in the next section. 50400036 Hart District Local Plan Public Transport Assessment 1 2 Transport Assessment Methodology 2.1 INTRODUCTION 2.1.1 This chapter is based on the Technical Note produced on 12th March 2012 which outlined the assumptions and agreed methodology on which the assessment would be based. 2.1.2 It sets out the levels and locations of development, trip rate, mode share and distribution to be used. 2.1.3 Within the remaining subsections of this note, technical areas of the methodology calculations have been set out and assumptions stated under the following topics: Scale of developments considered in study; Trip rate assumptions; Mode share assumptions; and Trip distribution assumptions. 2.2 SCALE OF DEVELOPMENT 2.2.1 Following discussions with HDC, the level of future planned development (2006-2028) in relation to residential growth has been identified relative to each key major development area. This assessment considers the impact to public transport of all these developments based on the size and location of the residential developments, as stated below. Within the study a number of scenarios have been tested for impact to account for the variation in housing development distribution identified by the Council scenarios. HOUSING 2.2.2 Policy SS2 of HDC’s Draft LDF Core Strategy (July 2011) (Scenario 1) sets a minimum housing provision of 4,840 homes between 2006 and 2028 of which 660 have already been built between 2006 and 2010. A further 1,740 are in the anticipated supply. The residual housing required in the period 2010 to 2028 is 2,440 homes. 2.2.3 HDC provided a Development Proforma (dated 21 December 2011) which lists completed sites up to 2011 (901 homes) and ‘deliverable and developable’ sites between 2011 and 2016 (1,693 homes). These have been taken as the completed and deliverable and developable sites referred to in HDC’s Draft Core Strategy. 2.2.4 Within the assessment we have examined the cumulative impact of the total future development on the key public transport networks, but within this total we have not included completed developments because it is assumed that these developments are already utilising the public transport network. 2.2.5 To simplify this assessment, developments have been grouped according to location into the following areas; Hook, Fleet, Yateley, and Hartley Wintney. The developments within Fleet include two major developments which are: Queen Elizabeth Barracks (872 properties), and Hitches Lane (300 properties). As a result Fleet will be assessed as three separate groups (Queen Elizabeth Barracks, West Fleet and Town Centre). 2.2.6 Scenario 2 housing totals are based on revised distribution for housing provided by Hart District Council. 50400036 Hart District Local Plan Public Transport Assessment 2 2.2.7 Based on the above, the total housing for each settlement is shown for each scenario within Table 2.1 below: Table 2.1 – Summary of housing size and locations to be assessed in study scenarios Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Development Developable Developable Planned Planned Locations and and Development Development Deliverable Deliverable Hook 20 550 83 600 Fleet – Queen 872 0 872* 0 Elizabeth Barracks Fleet – Hitches 300 700 300* 170 Lane/West Fleet Fleet – Fleet Town 100 250 Centre 268 272* Fleet – Other 240 233 developments Guillemont Park, 0 150 0 0 Hawley Yateley/ Frogmore/ 12 100 150 162 Darby Green Hartley Wintney 209 100 161 220 Odiham & North 12 150 56 180 Warnborough 0 350 55 500 Rural areas Total 1693 2440 1949 2315 *Estimated distribution based on Scenario 1 2.3 TRIP RATES 2.3.1 In order to identify trip rates for each land use, the number of generated trips has been determined from the TRICS database with reference to comparative sources. TRICS is generally regarded as the most appropriate source in that it uses observed data from development sites. 2.3.2 For this study person trip rates have been determined from TRICS, as shown in Table 2.2 below, these are based on developments in the South East, so as to not to skew the data with London developments (which are likely to produce preferentially low trip rates). The mixed private/non-private housing category has been used as the exact proportion of housing and flats and private and rented housing have not been determined at this stage. 50400036 Hart District Local Plan Public Transport Assessment 3 Table 2.2 – Summary AM Peak Person Trip rates to be used within this study Land use Unit Time Departures Arrivals Total - 2 way 7-8am 0.390 0.098 0.488 (C3) Housing Per 8-9am 0.657 0.126 0.783 (mixed) HH AM Peak 1.047 0.224 1.271 (7-9am) 2.3.3 Table 2.2 shows trip rates for periods 7-8am, 8-9am and 7-9am. It is anticipated that most trips by local bus would occur between 8-9am, whilst trips by rail would be made over the longer period of 7-9am especially for journeys to London (which is around an hour by train from Hart). 2.3.4 The assessment has been based on the departure trip rate over a 2 hour period (7-9am). 2.4 MODE SHARE 2.4.1 Mode Share for each residential development has been estimated using the Travel to Work Census data from 2001. The mode share has been extracted for both Hart District and Hampshire to provide a comparison as shown in Table 2.3 below. The table shows a higher proportion of residents in Hart District travelling to work by car compared to the rest of Hampshire. In terms of public transport use, a higher percentage of residents use the train in Hart District to travel to work compared to the rest of Hampshire, although fewer tend to use the bus.
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