Emergency Flood Bulletins for Cyclones Idai And
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 50 (2020) 101811 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction journal homepage: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ijdrr Emergency flood bulletins for Cyclones Idai and Kenneth: A critical evaluation of the use of global flood forecasts for international humanitarian preparedness and response Rebecca Emerton a,b,*, Hannah Cloke c,d,e, Andrea Ficchi c,b, Laurence Hawker f, Sara de Wit g, Linda Speight c, Christel Prudhomme b,h,i, Philip Rundell j, Rosalind West j, Jeffrey Neal f,k, Joaquim Cuna l, Shaun Harrigan b, Helen Titley m,c, Linus Magnusson b, Florian Pappenberger b, Nicholas Klingaman a, Elisabeth Stephens c a National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, UK b European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK c University of Reading, UK d Uppsala University, Sweden e Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science, Sweden f University of Bristol, UK g University of Oxford, UK h University of Loughborough, UK i Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, UK j Department for International Development, UK k Fathom, Bristol, UK l Technical University of Mozambique, Maputo, Mozambique m Met Office, Exeter, UK ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT – Keywords: Humanitarian disasters such as Typhoon Haiyan (SE Asia, 2013) and the Horn of Africa drought (2011 2012) are Tropical cyclone examples of natural hazards that were predicted, but where forecasts were not sufficiently acted upon, leading to Flood considerable loss of life. These events, alongside international adoption of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Forecasts Risk Reduction, have motivated efforts to enable early action from early warnings.
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