1 SNATCHING DEFEAT FROM THE JAWS OF VICTORY: THE ALL-TOO-BRIEF PREMIERSHIP OF ED STELMACH IN ALBERTA by Bohdan Harasymiw Professor Emeritus of Political Science University of Calgary Calgary, Alberta T2N 1N4
[email protected] ABSTRACT: Why would a new provincial premier, having in his first general election increased his governing party’s seats in the legislature from 62 to 72 out of 83, resign just three years later? Normally, in Canada a provincial first minister remains in office so long as s/he wins elections, and either retires of his/her own accord or is forced to resign after an electoral defeat. Ed Stelmach’s brief tenure as premier of Alberta is a singular anomaly in that regard. Answers to this puzzle are to be sought in the leadership selection process, the supposed shortcomings in his style of leadership and policy decisions, the threat to the Progressive Conservatives’ forty-year hegemony from the wildly popular Wildrose Alliance, and lack of confidence from the party’s financial backers. Relying on interviews with the principal players, monographic and newspaper accounts, and party as well as Elections Alberta archives, the paper makes systematic comparisons between the major features of Stelmach’s term in office and those of his predecessor, the inimitable Ralph Klein. It also compares prospectively, to test the validity of hypotheses resting on Stelmach’s presence as the explanatory variable. All of this retrospective and prospective scrutiny is in the search for a credible explanation or interpretation. This leads to the conclusion that Stelmach’s ethnicity, widely credited as responsible for his selection as party leader, may also have brought about his demise.