Waitomo District Demographic Profile 1986-2031 Natalie Jackson Shefali Pawar New Zealand Regional Demographic Profiles 1986-2031. No. 12 February 2014 Waitomo District: Demographic Profile 1986-2031 Referencing information: Jackson, N.O & Pawar, S. (2014). Waitomo District: Demographic Profile 1986-2031. New Zealand Regional Demographic Profiles 1986-2031. No. 12. University of Waikato. National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis. ISSN 2324-5484 (Print) ISSN 2324-5492 (Online) Te Rūnanga Tātari Tatauranga | National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis Te Whare Wānanga o Waikato | The University of Waikato Private Bag 3105 | Hamilton 3240 | Waikato, New Zealand Email:
[email protected] | visit us at: www.waikato.ac.nz/nidea/ Disclaimer While all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that information contained in this document is true and accurate at the time of publication/release, changed circumstances after publication may impact on the accuracy of that information. II Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 A. What you need to know about these data 5 B. Feature article – Population ageing in a nutshell 7 1. Population Trends 11 1.1 Population Size and Growth 11 1.2 Census 2013 – First Insights 12 2. Components of Change 17 2.1 Natural Increase and Net Migration 17 2.2 Births, Deaths and Natural Increase 19 3. Components of Change by Age 20 3.1 Expected versus Actual Population 20 3.2 Migration Flows – Demographic Accounting Model 22 4. Age Structure and Population Ageing 28 4.1 Numerical and Structural Ageing 28 4.2 Labour Market Implications 32 5. Ethnic Composition and Growth 35 5.1 Ethnic Composition and Growth 35 5.2 Ethnic Age Composition and Growth 38 6.