Peacemakers or Iron Ladies? A Cross National Study of Gender and International Conflict Madison Schramm Alexandra Stark PhD Candidate, Georgetown University PhD Candidate, Georgetown University
[email protected] [email protected] Abstract Conventional wisdom suggests that when women attain high political office they are more likely to act as peacemakers than their male counterparts. In contrast, this article argues that women political leaders may be more likely to initiate conflict than their male colleagues. The theory draws on insights from feminist theory, particularly the notion that gender is performative, to argue that the effects of a leader’s gender on foreign policy decision-making vary with social and institutional context. In order to gain and maintain status in elite policy in-groups, female leaders are incentivized to perform gender by signaling their toughness and competence through initiating conflict. Statistical tests provide evidence that female heads of state in democracies are more likely to initiate conflict than their male counterparts, and that this effect is conditioned both by domestic political constraints and overall levels of women’s political empowerment, thus providing evidence for the theorized causal mechanism. This version prepared for the Harvard International Security Conference, October 14-15, 2017. Please do not cite without permission. Word Count: 9, 347 1 “Ginger Rogers did everything that Fred Astaire did. She just did it backwards and in high heels.”- Ann Richards INTRODUCTION Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher of the UK, the original ‘iron lady,’ is commonly understood as the militaristic exception to the rule of peaceful women leaders. Yet of the relatively small number women heads of government since 1945, many have earned the “iron lady” title.