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P1.24 a Typhoon Loss Estimation Model for China
P1.24 A TYPHOON LOSS ESTIMATION MODEL FOR CHINA Peter J. Sousounis*, H. He, M. L. Healy, V. K. Jain, G. Ljung, Y. Qu, and B. Shen-Tu AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA 1. INTRODUCTION the two. Because of its wind intensity (135 mph maximum sustained winds), it has been Nowhere 1 else in the world do tropical compared to Hurricane Katrina 2005. But Saomai cyclones (TCs) develop more frequently than in was short lived, and although it made landfall as the Northwest Pacific Basin. Nearly thirty TCs are a strong Category 4 storm and generated heavy spawned each year, 20 of which reach hurricane precipitation, it weakened quickly. Still, economic or typhoon status (cf. Fig. 1). Five of these reach losses were ~12 B RMB (~1.5 B USD). In super typhoon status, with windspeeds over 130 contrast, Bilis, which made landfall a month kts. In contrast, the North Atlantic typically earlier just south of where Saomai hit, was generates only ten TCs, seven of which reach actually only tropical storm strength at landfall hurricane status. with max sustained winds of 70 mph. Bilis weakened further still upon landfall but turned Additionally, there is no other country in the southwest and traveled slowly over a period of world where TCs strike with more frequency than five days across Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi in China. Nearly ten landfalling TCs occur in a and Yunnan Provinces. It generated copious typical year, with one to two additional by-passing amounts of precipitation, with large areas storms coming close enough to the coast to receiving more than 300 mm. -
Bhola Cyclone 1970
Md. Miraj ID: DREJD001/19 Reg: 05077 Course Title: Case Studies of International Projects on Disaster Resilience Course Code: DRE 5207 Bhola Cyclone 1970 1. Introduction The 1970 Bhola cyclone was a devastating tropical cyclone that struck East Pakistan and India's West Bengal on November 3, 1970. It remains the deadliest tropical cyclone ever recorded and one of the deadliest natural disasters. At least 500,000 people lost their lives in the storm, primarily as a result of the storm surge that flooded much of the low-lying islands of the Ganges Delta. Formed November 3, 1970 Dissipated November 13, 1970 Highest winds 3-minute sustained: 185 km/h (115 mph) 1-minute sustained: 240 km/h (150 mph) Lowest pressure 960 hPa (mbar); 28.35 inHg Fatalities ≥ 500,000 total (Deadliest tropical cyclone on record) Damage $86.4 million (1970 USD) Areas affected India, East Pakistan 2. Impact ✓ The exact death toll will never be known, but it is estimated to be 300,000 to 500,000 people in total. ✓ Over 3.6 million people were directly affected by the cyclone, and the total damage from the storm was estimated at $86.4 million. ✓ The survivors claimed that approximately 85% of homes in the area were destroyed. ✓ Ninety percent of marine fishermen in the region suffered heavy losses, including the destruction of 9,000 offshore fishing boats. ✓ Of the 77,000 onshore fishermen, 46,000 were killed by the cyclone, and 40% of the survivors were affected severely. ✓ Agricultural damage was similarly severe with the loss of $63 million worth of crops and 280,000 cattle. -
Help Families Affected by Typhoon Nina (Nock-Ten) Despite Typhoon
Help Families Affected by Typhoon Nina (Nock-ten) Despite typhoon Nina (Nock-ten) being downgraded to a severe tropical storm as it leaves the country, families in central Philippines will still need assistance following the damage to their homes and sources of income. “Clearing operations have started in the different parts of Camarines. While traveling to Naga City, we saw families leaving evacuation centres to head back home to gauge the damage caused to their property,” says Maricel Francia, World Vision‟s Programme Officer based in Camarines Norte. World Vision emergency response teams in the Bicol region have been constantly coordinating with local government units since yesterday, December 26 to determine the immediate need of the affected population and the extent of damages to infrastructure and property. World Vision‟s rapid assessment team of staff skilled in emergency response management, child protection, health and nutrition and documentation is now heading to Bicol region from Manila, to reinforce WV staff on the ground. According to the national disaster risk reduction and management council (NDRRMC), about 25,000 families, with around 81% coming from the Bicol region, were affected by typhoon Nina (international name: Nock-ten). Officials have declared a „state of calamity‟ in the provinces of Catanduanes, Camarines Sur and Albay. Six casualties have been reported. As of December 27, 13 road sections and three bridges in regions II, MIMAROPA, V and VII are still not passable while 114 areas are experiencing power cuts since December 25. “Our main focus is on assessing the immediate needs of families and communities, especially the children displaced by the typhoon. -
Review of Surge Practices
TYPHOON NOCK TEN - THE PHILIPPINES REVIEW OF SURGE PRACTICES TRANSFORMING SURGE CAPACITY PROJECT START NETWORK SURGE RESEARCH TEAM: LOIS AUSTIN, SARAH GROSSO AND GLENN O’NEIL DECEMBER 2017 TRANSFORMING SURGE CAPACITY 2 PROJECT Acknowledgements The research team would like to express its appreciation to the international, regional and national platforms of the Surge Capacity Project and the Core Humanitarian Standard on Quality and Accountability (CHS) Alliance for their support. Particular thanks to the Philippines platform and the Nock Ten learning report authors, Ana Marie Dizon and Mary Joy Gonzales. The team found the feedback and information provided by all project member agencies and their local partners very useful. Thanks also to the UK Department for International Development for funding the project that covers this research. About the authors This research is the work of Lois Austin, Sarah Grosso and Glenn O’Neil, who have extensive experience in the humanitarian and development sectors. The team has significant experience in research, managing surge responses and serving as part of surge teams. Lois Austin: Lois has worked for 20 years in the humanitarian field, serving in a broad range of field-based and headquarters positions. Lois has managed and provided technical inputs into wide-ranging assistance, protection and recovery programmes for vulnerable populations in a number of complex and often fluctuating environments in: the Balkans; the North and South Caucasus; the Middle East; Afghanistan; Asia and throughout Africa. Lois’ field and headquarters experience has formed the basis for a solid understanding of humanitarian issues, including approaches to surge response, from both policy and operational perspectives. -
Preparing for a Changing Climate
CHAPTER ONE— INTRODUCTION History of the Assessment the box below). Such research includes long-term monitor- ing of greenhouse gases at sites like Mauna Loa in Hawai‘i; studies of the regional and global influence of Pacific “The impacts of the 1997–1998 El Niño are ocean-atmosphere processes such as ENSO; and studies of fresh in our minds, and the latest reports from the ocean’s role in the carbon cycle, as well as the region’s the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on significance in terms of biodiversity and endangered Climate Change (IPCC) confirm what all of you species. already know— changes in climate matter to individuals, communities, businesses and Finally, the Pacific Assessment was an effort to build on the governments who call islands home. Your valuable natural resources, traditional ways of leadership of the Pacific Region in establishing and sustaining a critical dialogue on climate variability and life, critical economic sectors, community support change among scientists, businesses, governments and infrastructure, and, to a great extent, your future, depend on developing an effective community leaders. Elements of this dialogue include the role of Pacific Island governments and regional organiza- response to the challenges presented by climate tions in raising international awareness of the potential variability and change.” (Morrison, 2000) consequences of climate change, as well as the success of innovative programs like the Pacific ENSO Applications With these words, Dr. Charles Morrison, President of the Center (PEAC), which is designed to facilitate use of East-West Center, welcomed participants to the “Workshop emerging climate forecasting capabilities to support on Climate and Island Coastal Communities” convened in decision-making. -
Incident Command System (Ics) Performance Evaluation Philippines
INCIDENT COMMAND SYSTEM (ICS) PERFORMANCE EVALUATION PHILIPPINES COUNTRY REPORT This publication was produced at the request of the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared independently by DevTech Systems, Inc. INCIDENT COMMAND SYSTEM (ICS) PERFORMANCE EVALUATION PHILIPPINES COUNTRY REPORT A Performance Evaluation of the ICS System in Philippines Covering the Assistance Provided by USAID/OFDA from 2011 August 14, 2017 USAID Contract No AID-OAA-I-15-0008 DISCLAIMER The author’s views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government. Cover photo: Microtel Incident Command Post managing ASEAN50 Meeting near Mall of Asia, Manila, Philippines i Contents Acronyms ....................................................................................................................................................................... ii I. Evaluation Purpose ............................................................................................................................................... 1 II. Evaluation Questions ............................................................................................................................................ 1 III. Project Background ............................................................................................................................................... 2 IV. Evaluation Methods & Limitations....................................................................................................................... -
7 the Analysis of Storm Surge in Manila Bay, the Philippines
INTERNATIONAL HYDROGRAPHIC REVIEW MAY 2019 THE ANALYSIS OF STORM SURGE IN MANILA BAY, THE PHILIPPINES By Commander C. S. Luma-ang Hydrography Branch, National Mapping and Resource Information Authority, (Philippines) Abstract In 2013, Typhoon Haiyan produced a storm surge over seven metres in San Pedro Bay in the Philippines that killed approximately 6,300 people. The event created significant public awareness on storm surges and exposed the lack of records and historical research in the Philippines. This study investigated the tidal height records during intense cyclone activities in 2016 and 2017 to provide accurate information about storm surge development in the largest and most populated coastal area in the country – Manila Bay. The results of this investigation indicated that there are consistencies in the characteristics of tropical cyclones that produce larger storm surges. The results also show that actual storm surge heights are generally smaller than predicted height values. Résumé En 2013, le typhon Haiyan a provoqué une onde de tempête de plus de sept mètres dans la Baie de San Pedro aux Philippines, faisant près de 6 300 victimes. Cet événement a provoqué une importante sensibilisation du public envers les ondes de tempête et a mis en évidence le manque d’archives et de recherches historiques aux Philippines. La présente étude a examiné les enregistrements des hauteurs des marées au cours d’activités cycloniques intenses en 2016 et 2017 afin de fournir des informations précises sur le développement d’ondes de tempête dans la zone côtière la plus étendue et la plus peuplée du pays, la Baie de Manille. -
Manual on Cyclone
Scope of the Manual This manual is developed with wider consultations and inputs from various relevant departments/ministries, UN Agencies, INGOs, Local NGOs, Professional organizations including some independent experts in specific hazards. This is intended to give basic information on WHY, HOW, WHAT of a disaster. It also has information on necessary measures to be taken in case of a particular disaster in pre, during and post disaster scenario, along with suggested mitigation measures. It is expected that this will be used for the school teachers, students, parents, NGOs, Civil Society Organizations, and practitioners in the field of Disaster Risk Reduction. Excerpts from the speech of Ban Ki-moon, Secretary-General of the United Nations Don’t Wait for Disaster No country can afford to ignore the lessons of the earthquakes in Chile and Haiti. We cannot stop such disasters from happening. But we can dramatically reduce their impact, if the right disaster risk reduction measures are taken in advance. A week ago I visited Chile’s earthquake zone and saw how countless lives were saved because Chile’s leaders had learned the lessons of the past and heeded the warnings of crises to come. Because stringent earthquake building codes were enforced, much worse casualties were prevented. Training and equipping first responders ahead of time meant help was there within minutes of the tremor. Embracing the spirit that governments have a responsibility for future challenges as well as current ones did more to prevent human casualties than any relief effort could. Deaths were in the hundreds in Chile, despite the magnitude of the earthquake, at 8.8 on the Richter Scale, the fifth largest since records began. -
Is Nuclear Power History? the Awesome Power of Water
GENERATION Is nuclear power history? The awesome power of water... by Chris Meyer, technical journalist This is the 13th in a series of articles being published in Energize tracing the history of nuclear power throughout the world, and some key renewable alternatives. “It was the worst maritime disaster in U.S. repaired. Instead of “removing and replacing as part of the Los Angeles Aqueduct. Three history, more costly than even the April 14, the bulge in the boiler”, the ship’s captain minutes before midnight on March 12, 1928, 1912 sinking of the Titanic, when 1 517 people merely ordered “a patch of metal put over the dam catastrophically failed, and the were lost… It is scarcely remembered today.” the bulge”. This repair could be done “in one resulting flood killed more than 600 people.” National Geographic News (Ref. 3;1) day”, while proper repairs, which would have (Ref. 4; 1) taken “three to four days”, would have meant “It” was the sinking of the steamboat Sultana Until 1995, the failure of the St. Francis dam that other steamboats would have taken the almost 121 years to the day before the was thought to have been “the worst civil POWs home: and made a huge amount of Chernobyl disaster. Like Chernobyl, a massive engineering failure of the 20th century”. money (Ref. 3;2). steam explosion was the culprit. But, unlike However, we now know otherwise. The largest Chernobyl, the steam explosion that killed The result of all this was that, at 02h00 on the civil engineering disaster was unimaginably more than 1700 people shortly after 02h00 on morning of 27 April, more than 1700 ( some greater, and occurred not in the USA, or 27 April 1865 has long been forgotten. -
Storm Surge and Its Effect- a Review on Disaster Management in Coastal Areas
Review Article Civil Eng Res J Volume 4 Issue 5 - May 2018 Copyright © All rights are reserved by Chippy M Rajan DOI: 10.19080/CERJ.2018.04.555649 Storm Surge and its Effect- A Review on Disaster Management in Coastal Areas Chippy M Rajan1* and Jawahar Saud S2 1Department of Civil Engineering, Kerala Technological University, India 2Department of Civil Engineering, Federal Institute of Technology, India Submission: February 28, 2017; Published: May 08, 2018 *Corresponding author: Chippy M Rajan, Department of Civil Engineering, FISAT, Kerala TechnologicalUniversity, Ernakulam, India, Email: Abstract Globally, about 1.2 billion people reside in coastal areas presently, and this population scale is predicted to increase with time. With increase in coastal population the chances of exposure to storm surge is also increasing. Storm surge expose coastal areas and its residents to risk of loss of life, fatal injuries, property damage etc. Even though we cannot completely avoid the effect of this hazard, we can reduce the effect of hazard by proper study on the area under exposure and implementing a disaster management plan with adequate preparedness and mitigation strategies. Thus coastal hazard management has become an important aspect of coastal planning so as to develop the resilience of society towards coastal hazards. Hard engineering structures, soft protection measures, and managed retreat from the coastline are some of the possible management options. In this paper the study focus on the storm surge phenomenon, its effects and risk on people, environment, engineering structures and other infrastructure. It also covers the pre-disaster phases of disaster management cycle that is the common preparedness and mitigation strategies described along with incidents during past storm surge disaster. -
Reconstruct the 1970 Bhola Cyclone and Analysis the Effects of Cyclone Track and Tide to the Flooding Area AOS21-P14
AOS21-P14 JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020 Reconstruct the 1970 Bhola Cyclone and Analysis the Effects of Cyclone Track and Tide to the Flooding Area *Po-Sen Tseng1, Tso-Ren Wu1, CHIA-CHUN HSU1, Chun-Wei Lin1, Shun-Chun Chunag1, Mei-Hui Chunag1 1. Graduate Institute of Hydrological and Oceanic Sciences, Nation Central University Bhola Cyclone caused nearly half a million casualties in the Bay of Bengal in 1970 This research aims to reconstruct the storm surge event and understand the effects of tides and cyclone track on the flooding area. In this study, the numerical simulations were performed with COMCOT storm surge model. The nonlinear shallow-water wave equation was solved on spherical coordinates, and physical terms such as pressure gradient force, wind shear force, bed friction force and Coriolis force were added to the momentum equation. To reconstruct the storm surge event, the tide component was considered by importing tidal boundary forcing from TPXO Global Tidal Solutions. The scenarios take a variety of cyclone track, cyclone moving speed, and cyclone intensity. Sensitivity tests are further introduced to see the storm coincides with high tide. The results can help to understand the influence of tides and other cyclone parameters on flooding, also provide a practical contribution to the quick alert and disaster control of the storm surge in the Bay of Bengal in the future. Keywords: Cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, COMCOT Model, Storm Surge, Tide and Path, Overflow ©2020. Japan Geoscience Union. All Right Reserved. - AOS21-P14 - AOS21-P14 JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020 ©2020. Japan Geoscience Union. -
Pag-IBIG Calamity Loan Is Available to Eligible Members Living in Areas That Have Been Declared Under the State of Calamity
PRESS RELEASE Pag-IBIG Fund assists members in calamity areas affected by Typhoon Nina Pag-IBIG Fund readied its programs to assist members severely affected by Typhoon Nina (international name: “Nock-ten”) which recently hit the Bicol and Southern Luzon regions. “With the declaration of the state of calamity in the provinces of Albay, Catanduanes, and Camarines Sur, and in Calapan City, we are making available our Calamity Loan Program to those who have been affected by the typhoon. We have earmarked PhP 4.6 Billion for calamity loan assistance to our members who are hardest hit by Nina. Our branches in the Bicol Region and South Luzon Area are ready for the members’ applications. We will ensure that our branches have enough personnel to assist our members availing of the loan,” said Pag-IBIG Fund President and Chief Executive Officer Atty. Darlene Marie B. Berberabe. There are 261,300 Pag-IBIG members in Bicol. The members will be assisted by the branches in Legazpi, Naga, and Virac. There are 768,000 members in Southern Luzon. The Pag-IBIG branches in the cities of Batangas and Lipa in Batangas; Calamba, San Pablo, and Sta. Rosa in Laguna; Calapan, Oriental Mindoro; Puerto Princesa, Palawan; and Lucena, Quezon will be ready to provide the service. The Pag-IBIG Calamity Loan is available to eligible members living in areas that have been declared under the state of calamity. To qualify, members must have at least 24 monthly contributions, and must not be in default in their payments of their Pag-IBIG Housing Loan or Multi-Purpose Loan, if they have these.