CV H˚avard Hegre

Department of Peace and Conflict Research Peace Research Institute Oslo Uppsala University Hausmanns gate 7, 0186 Oslo, P.O. Box 514, SE-751 20 Uppsala, Sweden Phone: +47 48 09 53 21 [email protected] http://havardhegre.net ORCID: 0000-0002-5076-0994 CV updated September 29, 2016 ResearcherID : A-8204-2008

Positions:

Dag Hammarskj¨oldProfessor Research Professor, of Peace and Conflict Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) Uppsala University Adjunct Professor, Dept. of Political Science,

Born: Porsgrunn, Norway, June 5, 1964

Education:

Dr. philos in Political Science, University of Oslo Cand.mag., University of Oslo inicology, History (November 2004) of Ideas, Computer Science, Statistics, and Polit- ical Science (1995) Cand.polit. in Political Science, University of Oslo (August 1999)

Past Experience:

Research Professor, CSCW/PRIO (April 2008– Senior Researcher, Centre for the Study of Civil October 2015) War, PRIO (2004–2005)

Professor, Department of Political Science, University Fellow, Department of Political Sci- University of Oslo (September 2008–November ence, University of Oslo (2000–2001, 2003–2004) 2012) Researcher, CSCW/PRIO (1999–2001; 2003– Associate Professor, Department of Political Sci- 2004) ence, University of Oslo (April 2008–September 2008) Economist, The World Bank, Coordinator for the World Bank Project on ‘The Economics of Civil Adjunct Associate Professor, Department of Po- War, Crime, and Violence’ (2001–2003) litical Science, University of Oslo (August 2005– March 2008) Research Associate, PRIO (1989, 1991–1999)

Research Professor, CSCW/PRIO (2005–2008) Managing Editor, Journal of Peace Research (1990–1991)

Professional Associations:

On editorial board of Journal of Peace Research On editorial board of Journal of Politics (2015– (1999– ) ) On editorial board of Political Science Research Coordinator of Governance Research Group and Methods http://journals.cambridge. (http://www.prio.no/Research/Governance) org/action/displayJournal?jid (2012– ) (2012–2013)

On editorial board of International Stud- Editor, Norsk statsvitenskapelig tidsskrift [Nor- ies Review http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/ wegian Journal of Political Science] (2007–2010) journal/10.1111/(ISSN)1468-2486 (2013– ) Councilor, Peace Science Society, International Associate Editor, Research and Politics (R&P) (July 2007–2010) (2013– ) Member of ‘Conflicts’ working group, the Copen- Member of Dean’ strategic council, Faculty of So- hagen Consensus process 2008, directed by Paul cial Sciences, Uppsala University (2013– ) Collier.

Section Chair, International Studies Asso- Member of Advisory Board, Correlates of War ciation section Scientific Study of Interna- Project (2005–2009) tional Processes http://www.isanet.org/ISA/ Sections/SSIP.aspx (2013–2015). Ex officio Deputy Head, PRIO node of EU Researcher member of SSIP advisory council (2015–2017). network ‘Polarization and Conflict’ (2003–2008) http://www.polarizationandconflict.org/ Member of ISA Executive Committee, Interna- tional Studies Association (2014–2015). Member of American Political Science Associa- tion, European Political Science Association, In- Associate Editor, Journal of Peace Research ternational Studies Association, Peace Science http://jpr.sagepub.com/ (2003–2006, 2010– Society, Norsk faglitterær forfatterforening. 2014) Representative to board, Dept. of Political Sci- Section Chair, European Political Science As- ence, University of Oslo (2003) sociation section International and Domes- tic Conflict, 2012, http://www.epsanet.org/ Deputy for employees’ representative to PRIO’s conferences/general-conference-2012.html board (1995–97)

Leader of Working Group 7, The Dynamics of In- Head of local branch of trade union (NTL 117/38 stitutional Change and Conflict, Centre for the at PRIO) (1993–95, 1998–2000); board member Study of Civil War (CSCW) (2008–2012) (Forskerforbundet at PRIO) (2005–2008)

Students:

PhD; completed: Tore Wig (UiO 2015), Kongsli Lundervold, Espen Geelmuyden Rød*, Christin Ormhaug (UMB 2015)†, H˚avard Nyg˚ard Ximena Azzari Støen†; 2011: Annicken Gaski, (UiO 2014), Helge Holtermann (UiO 2013), Torbjørn Graff Hugo, Solveig Topstad†, Tore Marit Brochmann (UiO 2012), Carl Henrik Knut- Wig*†; 2009: Sigrid Archer, Irene Bakkerud, sen (UiO 2011)†, Hanne Fjelde (Uppsala Uni- Aina Bredesen, Silje Sønsterudbr˚aten; 2008: versity 2010)†, Nils Weidmann (ETH Z¨urich Helge Holtermann*, Jo-Eystein Lindberg, Fabien 2009)#, H˚avard Strand (UiO 2007), Clionadh Miard, Leena Puheloinen; 2007: Stine Nicol- Raleigh (University of Colorado 2007)#. In ine Horn; 2006: Kathrine Holden; 2005: Mar- progress: Sophia Hatz (Uppsala University), tin Austvoll*, Hans-Petter Hetland; 2002: Karl Stefan D¨oring(Uppsala University), Jonas Nord- Georg Øhrn. kvelle (UiO), Sirianne Dahlum (UiO)†. MA; completed: 2015: 4 students (Uppsala Uni- *: MA students that later were accepted to a versity), 2014: 5 students (Uppsala University). PhD program. 2013: Kristin Djerv Alveng†, Jonas Kjærvik, In- †: Co-supervisor. grid Selle Rasmussen. 2012: Ranveig Drolsum #: Member of dissertation committee. Flaten, Johan Martin Skaugrud Hindrum, Linn Publications in:

American Journal of Political Science, American Studies Quarterly, Journal of Conflict Resolu- Political Science Review, Climatic Change, Con- tion, Journal of Peace Research, Political Geog- flict Management and Peace Science, Defence raphy, Research and Politics, Studies in Com- and Peace Economics, Environmental Research parative International Development, World De- Letters, European Journal of International Re- velopment. lations, International Interactions, International

Reviewing for:

American Journal of Political Science, American Peace Research, Journal of Politics, National Sci- Political Science Review, British Journal of Po- ence Foundation, Political Analysis, Political Ge- litical Science, Geopolitics, Global Environmen- ography, Review of International Studies, Small tal Change, International Interactions, Interna- Arms Survey, Studies in Comparative Interna- tional Organization, International Studies Quar- tional Development, World Politics. terly, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Journal of

Project Management:

2012– : Project director, “Political Institutions with funding from RCN. and Armed Conflict” with funding from Research Council of Norway (RCN) as RCN support for fi- 2005–2006: Project director, ‘Samdata’ nalists for ERC Starting Independent Researcher project ‘Armed conflict: An extension of the Grants. V10/217995. PRIO/Uppsala Database’

2011–2014: Project director, “Conceptualization 2005-2007: Director of PRIO node of research and Measurement of Democracy” with fund- collaboration between PRIO, the World Bank, ing from Research Council of Norway (RCN). and CSAE, Oxford. V10/204454. 2001−2003: Coordinator, project on the ‘Eco- 2004–2009: Project director, “Political Institu- nomics of civil war, crime, and violence’ at the tions, Development, and a Domestic Civil Peace” World Bank, directed by Paul Collier.

Scholarships and Awards:

2016: Awarded European Research Council Ad- Web of Knowledge; http://www.esi-topics.com/ vanced Grant (budget EUR2.5M) armed-conflict/authors/b1c.html

2012: Finalist in Research Council of Norway 2004–2009: Granted the Research Council of competition for ‘Centre of Excellence’ (budget Norway’s “Outstanding Young Investigators” EUR18M) award for a five year research project on “Polit- ical Institutions, Development, and a Domestic 2011: Finalist in European Research Council Civil Peace” competition for ‘Starting Grant’ 2000–2001, 2003–2004: University PhD fellow- 2007: Scholarship from Norsk faglitterær forfat- ship, Department of Political Science, University terforening [Norwegian Academic Author’s As- of Oslo sociation] in support of work with textbook on interpretation of statistical models. 2001: Fulbright Scholar Fellowship (declined due to World Bank engagement) 2006: Ranked among 10 most cited scholars world-wide in research on armed conflict by ISI 1999–2000: PhD Scholarship, Research Council of Norway 1998, 1999: Scholarship, Ryochi Sasakawa Young Leaders Fellowship Fund

Other Activities

2004: Part-time teaching at Department of Po- 1988–1989: Courses in French language at Uni- litical Science, University of Oslo. versit´ede Sorbonne, Paris

2004: Section Chair (with Sabine Carey), section 1987– : Singing in i.a. Oslo Cathedral Choir; on ‘Cooperation and Conflict’, Standing Group Norwegian Soloists’ Choir; Choeur de l’universit´e on International Relations conference, the Hague, de Sorbonne; Ensemble 96; Helikon. September 13–18.

Complete List of Publications: See my webpage http://havardhegre.net for information about research projects and download- able papers (publication and/or pre-publication versions). Also see Thomson ResearcherID re- searcher profile: http://www.researcherid.com/rid/A-8204-2008

Articles in Refereed Journals or Conference Proceedings

Hegre, H˚avard; Halvard Buhaug, Katherine V. Fjelde, Hanne and H˚avard Hegre, 2014. ‘Politi- Calvin, Jonas Nordkvelle, Stephanie T. Wald- cal Corruption and Institutional Stability’. Stud- hoff, and Elisabeth Gilmore, 2016. ‘Forecast- ies in Comparative International Development ing civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic 49(3):267–299. Preprint version at folk.uio. pathways’. Environmental Research Letters no/hahegre/Papers/DemDep_10032011.pdf. 11(5)054002. http://iopscience.iop.org/ article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054002/ Hegre, H˚avard, 2014. ‘Democracy and Armed meta Conflict’. Journal of Peace Research 51(2):159– 172. Online publication: http://jpr.sagepub. Hegre, H˚avard & H˚avard Mokleiv Nyg˚ard,2015. com/content/51/2/159.full.pdf+html ‘Governance and Conflict Relapse’. Journal of Conflict Resolution 59(6):984–1016. Hegre, H˚avard; Joakim Karlsen, H˚avard Mokleiv Nyg˚ard,H˚avard Strand, & Henrik Urdal, 2013. Wig, Tore; H˚avard Hegre, and Pat Regan, ‘Predicting Armed Conflict, 2011–2050’. Inter- 2015. Updated Data on Institutions and Elec- national Studies Quarterly 57(2):250–270. tions 1960–2012: Presenting the IAEP dataset DOI: 10.1111/isqu.12007. http:// version 2.0’. Research and Politics 2(2) DOI: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ 10.1177/2053168015580838. isqu.12007/abstract.

Buhaug, Halvard; Jonas Nordkvelle, Thomas Gates, Scott; H˚avard Hegre, H˚avard Mok- Bernauer, Tobias B¨ohmelt, Michael Brzoska, leiv Nyg˚ard, & H˚avard Strand, 2012. ‘De- Joshua W. Busby, Antonio Ciccone, Hanne velopment Consequences of Armed Conflict’. Fjelde, Erik Gartzke, Nils Petter Gleditsch, Jack World Development 40(9):1713–1722. http:// A. Goldstone, H˚avard Hegre, Helge Holtermann, dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.04.031. Vally Koubi, Jasmin S. A. Link, P. Michael Link, P¨aiviLujala, John O’Loughlin, Clionadh Hegre, H˚avard; Lisa Hultman & H˚avard Nyg˚ard, Raleigh, J¨urgen Scheffran, Janpeter Schilling, 2011. ‘Simulating the Effect of Peace-Keeping Todd G. Smith, Ole Magnus Theisen, Richard Operations 2010–2035’. pp. 325–332 in John S. J. Tol, Henrik Urdal, and Nina von Uexkull, Salerno, Shanchieh Jay Yang, Dana Nau & Sun- 2014. ‘One effect to rule them all? A comment Ki Chai, eds, Social Computing, Behavioral- on climate and conflict’. Climatic Change 127(3): Cultural Modeling and Prediction. Lecture Notes 391397. in Computer Science 6589. Proceedings from 2011 International Conference, SBP 201, College Park, MD. sitivity Analysis of the Empirical Literature on Civil War Onset’. Journal of Conflict Resolution Hegre, H˚avard; John Oneal & Bruce M. Russett, 50(4): 508–535. 2010. ‘Trade Does Promote Peace: New Simul- taneous Estimates of the Reciprocal Effects of Gleditsch, Nils Petter; Taylor Owen, Kathryn Trade and Conflict’, Journal of Peace Research Furlong, Bethany Ann Lacina & H˚avard Hegre, 47(6):763–774. 2006. ‘Conflicts over Shared Rivers: Resource Wars or Fuzzy Boundaries?’ Political Geography Raleigh, Clionadh; H˚avard Hegre, Joakim 25(4):361–382. Karlsen & Andrew Linke, 2010. ‘Introducing ACLED: An Armed Conflict Location and Event Furlong, Kathryn; Nils Petter Gleditsch & Dataset’. Journal of Peace Research 47(5):651– H˚avard Hegre, 2006. ‘Geographic Opportu- 660. nity and Neomalthusian Willingness: Bound- aries, Shared Rivers, and Conflict’. International Raleigh, Clionadh & H˚avard Hegre, 2009. ‘Pop- Interactions 32(1): 1–30. ulation Size, Concentration, and Civil War. A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis’. Politi- Hegre, H˚avard, 2005a. ‘Development and the cal Geography 28(4):224–238. Liberal Peace’. Nordic Journal of Political Econ- omy 31(1): 17–46. Hegre, H˚avard; Gudrun Østby & Clionadh Raleigh, 2009. ‘Poverty and Civil War Events: Hegre, H˚avard, 2005b. ‘Identifying How Trade A Disaggregated Study of Liberia’. Journal of Matters in Empirical Studies of Interstate Con- Conflict Resolution 53(4): 598–623. flict’. Conflict Management and Peace Science 22(3): 217–224. Hegre, H˚avard, 2009. ‘Trade Dependence or Size Dependence? The Gravity Model of Trade and *Hegre, H˚avard, 2005c. ‘Identifying How Trade the Liberal Peace’, Conflict Management and Matters. A Rejoinder’. Conflict Management Peace Science 26(1):27–46. and Peace Science 22(3): 235–237.

*Elbadawi, Ibrahim; H˚avard Hegre & Gary Mi- Hegre, H˚avard, 2004a. ‘Size Asymmetry, Trade, lante, 2008. ‘Introduction: The Aftermath of and Militarized Conflict’. Journal of Conflict Civil War’, Journal of Peace Research 45(4): Resolution 48(3): 403–429. 451–459. *Hegre, H˚avard, 2004b. ‘The Duration and Ter- Hegre, H˚avard, 2008a. ‘Polarization and Inter- mination of Civil War. [Introduction to special state Conflict’, Journal of Peace Research 45(2): issue]’. Journal of Peace Research 41(3): 243– 261–282. 252.

Hegre, H˚avard, 2008c. ‘Gravitating Toward War. Mousseau, Michael; H˚avard Hegre & John Oneal, Preponderance May Pacify but Power Kills’, 2003. ‘How the Wealth of Nations Conditions Journal of Conflict Resolution 52(4): 566–589. the Liberal Peace.’ European Journal of Inter- national Relations 9(2): 277-314, June. Elbadawi, Ibrahim & H˚avard Hegre, 2008. ‘Glob- alization, Economic Shocks, and Armed Con- *Hegre, H˚avard & Todd Sandler, 2002. ‘Eco- flict.’ Defence and Peace Economics 19(1): 37– nomic Analysis of Civil Wars [Introduction to 60. special issue].’ Defence and Peace Economics 13(6): 429–433, December. Gates, Scott; H˚avard Hegre, Mark P. Jones, & H˚avard Strand, 2006. ‘Institutional Inconsis- Hegre, H˚avard, 2002a. ‘Trade Decreases Con- tency and Political Instability: The Duration of flict More in Multi-Actor Systems. A Comment Polities.’ American Journal of Political Science to Dorussen.’ Journal of Peace Research 39(1): 50(4): 893–908. 109–114, January.

Hegre, H˚avard & Nicholas Sambanis, 2006. ‘Sen- Hegre, H˚avard; Tanja Ellingsen, Scott Gates & Nils Petter Gleditsch, 2001. ‘Toward A Demo- McLaughlin, Sara; Scott Gates, H˚avard Hegre, cratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change, Ranveig Gissinger & Nils Petter Gleditsch, 1998. and Civil War 1816–1992.’ American Political ‘Timing the Changes in Political Structures: A Science Review 95(1): 16–33, March. New Polity Database.’ Journal of Conflict Reso- lution 42 (2): 231–242, April. Toset, Hans Petter Wollebæk; Nils Petter Gled- itsch & H˚avard Hegre, 2000. ‘Shared Rivers and Raknerud, Arvid & H˚avard Hegre, 1997. ‘The Interstate Conflict.’ Political Geography 19(8): Hazard of War. Reassessing the Evidence of the 971–996. Democratic Peace.’ Journal of Peace Research 34 (4): 385–404, November. Hegre, H˚avard, 2000a. ‘Development and the Liberal Peace: What Does It Take to Be a Trad- Gleditsch, Nils Petter & H˚avard Hegre, 1997. ing State?’ Journal of Peace Research 37(1): 5– ‘Peace and Democracy: Three Levels of Analy- 30. sis.’ Journal of Conflict Resolution 41 (2): 283– 310, April. Mitchell, Sara McLaughlin; Scott Gates & H˚avard Hegre, 1999. ‘Evolution in Democracy- *: These articles were not peer-reviewed al- War Dynamics.’ Journal of Conflict Resolution though published in peer-reviewed journals 43 (6): 771–792, December.

Articles in Non-Refereed Academic Journals

Ari, Bari¸s; Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, H˚avard Buhaug, Halvard; Scott Gates, H˚avard Hegre, Hegre and Tore Wig, 2016. ‘Democratization H˚avard Strand and Henrik Urdal, 2009. ‘Nils and Civil Conflict’. Comparative Democrati- Petter Gleditsch: A Lifetime Achiever’, European zation 14(2):4–7. http://www.compdem.org/ Political Science, 8:79–89. newsletter/archive/ Hegre, H˚avard, 2008e. ‘Svar til Elster’ [Response Hegre, H˚avard, 2013. ‘Peace on Earth? The to Elster]. Nytt Norsk Tidsskrift 25(4):396–397. future of internal armed conflict’, Significance Magazine 10(1):4–8. http://onlinelibrary. Hegre, H˚avard, 2008d. ‘Elster p˚atomgang’ [El- wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2013. ster on autopilot]. Nytt Norsk Tidsskrift 25(1): 00628.x/pdf. 90–93.

Book-Length Publications:

Hegre, H˚avard, 2004c. The Limits of the Liberal Sambanis, 2003. Breaking the Conflict Trap: Peace. Doctoral Dissertation, Department of Po- Civil War and Development Policy. World Bank litical Science, University of Oslo. March 1. Policy Research Report. Oxford: Oxford Uni- versity Press and Washington, DC: The World Collier, Paul; Lani Elliott, H˚avard Hegre, Anke Bank. Hoeffler, Marta Reynal-Querol and Nicholas

Edited Volumes:

Elbadawi, Ibrahim; H˚avard Hegre & Gary Mi- ‘Civil War Duration and Termination’, Journal lante, 2008, guest ed., Special issue on ‘The Af- of Peace Research 41(3). termath of Civil War’, Journal of Peace Research 45(4). H˚avard Hegre & Todd Sandler, 2002, guest eds, Special issue on ‘Economic Analysis of Civil H˚avard Hegre, 2004d, guest ed., Special issue on War’, Defence and Peace Economics 13(6). Book Chapters:

Hegre, H˚avard & Idunn Kristiansen, 2016. Gleditsch, Nils Petter; H˚avard Hegre & H˚avard ‘Global, state, and individual security in quan- Strand, 2009. ‘Democracy and Civil War’, p. titative conflict research’, pp. 190–215 in Gabi 155–192 in Manus Midlarsky, ed., Handbook of Schlag, Julian Junk, & Christopher Daase, eds, War Studies III. The Intrastate Dimension. Ann Transformations of Security Studies. Dialogues, Arbor, MI: Press. diversity and discipline. Oxon & New York: Routledge. Gleditsch, Nils Petter & H˚avard Hegre, 2004a. ‘En globalisert verden – økt kaos eller varig fred?’ Hegre, H˚avard, 2016. ‘Civil Conflict and [A Globalized World – More Chaos or Sustained Development’, in Nicholas van de Walle Peace?]. pp. 251-263 in Snoen, Jan Arild, ed., & Carol Lancaster, eds, Oxford University Apen˚ verden. Et forsvar for globaliseringen [An Press Handbook on the Politics of Develop- Open World. A Defense of Globalization]. Oslo: ment. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Civitas. http://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/view/10. 1093/oxfordhb/9780199845156.001.0001/ Gleditsch, Nils Petter & H˚avard Hegre, 2004b. oxfordhb-9780199845156 ‘Fred og demokrati’ [Peace and Democracy]. Ch. 16 in Bjørn Erik Rasch & Knut Midgaard, eds, Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede & Hegre, H˚avard, Demokrati – Vilk˚arog virkninger [Democracy – 2014. ‘Regime type and political transition in Conditions and Consequences]. Bergen: Fagbok- civil war’, pp. 145–156 in Edward Newman & forlaget. Karl DeRouen, eds, The Routledge Handbook of Civil Wars. London: Routledge. Dorussen, Han & H˚avard Hegre, 2003. ‘Extend- ing the Multicountry Model of Trade and Con- Hegre, H˚avard & Helge Holtermann, 2012. flict’. pp. 77–102 in Gerald Schneider, Kather- ‘Poverty and Conflict’, pp. 39–58 in Graham ine Barbieri & Nils Petter Gleditsch, ed., Glob- Brown & Arnim Langer, Elgar Companion to alization and Conflict. Boulder, CO: Rowman & Civil War and Fragile States. Cheltenham: El- Littlefield. gar. Hegre, H˚avard, Nils Petter Gleditsch & Ran- Hegre, H˚avard & Hanne Fjelde, 2009. ‘Post- veig Gissinger, 2003. ‘Globalization and Inter- Conflict Democracy and Conflict Recurrence’, p. nal Conflict’. pp. 251–275 in Gerald Schneider, 79–90 in J. Joseph Hewitt, Jonathan Wilken- Katherine Barbieri & Nils Petter Gleditsch, eds, feld & Ted Robert Gurr, eds, Peace and Conflict Globalization and Conflict. Boulder, CO: Row- 2010. Paradigm Publishers. man & Littlefield.

Collier, Paul; Lisa Chauvet and H˚avard Hegre, Gates, Scott; Nils Petter Gleditsch & H˚avard 2009. ‘The Security Challenge in Conflict-prone Hegre, 2001. ‘Democracy and Civil Conflict after Countries’. p. 58–103 in Bjørn Lomborg, ed., the Cold War’, pp. 185–94 in Dirk Berg-Schlosser Global Crises, Global Solutions, 2nd. ed. Cam- & Raivo Vetik, eds., Democratization in Eastern bridge: Cambridge University Press. and Central Europe. Boulder, CO: East Euro- pean Monographs.

Reprints and translations:

Gates, Scott; H˚avard Hegre, H˚avard Mokleiv Gleditsch, Nils Petter & H˚avard Hegre, 2008. Nyg˚ard,& H˚avard Strand, 2016. ‘Development ‘Paqja dhe demokracia’. pp. 279–301 in Bjørn Consequences of Armed Conflict’. ch. 2, p. 25– Erik Rasch & Knut Midgaard, eds, Demokracia 45 in Marc-Antoine P´erousede Montclos, Eliz- – Kushtet dhe Pasojat. Bergen: Fagbokforlaget. abeth Minor, & Samrat Sinha, eds, Violence, Translation of Gleditsch & Hegre (2004b). Statistics, and the Politics of Accounting for the Dead. New York: Springer. Gleditsch, Nils Petter, H˚avard Hegre & Hans Pet- ter Wollebæk Toset, 2007. ‘Conflicts in Shared cratic Civil Peace?’, in Paul F. Diehl, ed., War River Basins’, pp. 39–66 in Velma Grover, ed., Water: A Source of Conflict or Cooperation? Hegre, H˚avard, 2003. ‘Development and the Lib- Enfield, NH: Science Publishers. [Revised reprint eral Peace: What Does It Take to Be a Trad- of Toset, Gleditsch & Hegre, 2000] ing State?’. pp. 205–231 in Gerald Schneider, Katherine Barbieri & Nils Petter Gleditsch, ed., Hegre, H˚avard; Tanja Ellingsen; Scott Gates & Globalization and Conflict. Boulder, CO: Row- Nils Petter Gleditsch, 2005. ‘Toward a Demo- man & Littlefield. [Reprint of Hegre (2000a)].

Articles in Working Papers Series:

Gates, Scott; H˚avard Hegre, H˚avard Nyg˚ard& Jihad? Military Intervention and Democracy’. H˚avard Strand, 2010. Consequences of Civil World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Conflict. WB Report 62027. Background pa- 4242, June. http://www-wds.worldbank.org/ per for World Development Report 2011 http: external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/ //wdr2011.worldbank.org/PRIO IB/2007/06/04/000016406_20070604154934/ Rendered/PDF/wps4242.pdf Buhaug, Halvard; H˚avard Hegre & H˚avard Strand, 2010. ‘Sensitivity Analysis of Cli- Hegre, H˚avard & Clionadh Raleigh, 2007. ‘Pop- mate Variability and Civil War’, PRIO Paper. ulation, Size, and Civil War. A Geographically Oslo: PRIO. http://www.prio.no/sptrans/ Disaggregated Analysis’. World Bank Policy Re- -352250284/Sensitivity%20Analysis%20of% search Working Paper 4243, June. 20Climate%20Variability%20and%20Civil% 20War%20%28PRIO%20Paper%202010%20v1%29. Hegre, H˚avard, 2003. ‘Disentangling Democ- pdf racy and Development as Determinants of Armed Conflict’. Working Paper, the World Bank. Gleditsch, Nils Petter, Lene Siljeholm Chris- http://go.worldbank.org/4EDBH32FC0 tiansen & H˚avard Hegre, 2007. ‘Democratic

Miscellaneous publications:

Gilmore, Elisabeth, Halvard Buhaug & H˚avard Beirut: UN ESCWA. [The team of authors writ- Hegre, 2016. ‘Maintaining Security. What ing the report was Youssef Chaitani, H˚avard can be done to prevent the pressures of cli- Hegre, Vito Intini, H˚avard Mokleiv Nyg˚ard& mate change leading to conflict?’ Climate 2020, Maria Ortiz Perez.] 2016 Edition. http://www.climate2020.org. uk/maintaining-security/. Hegre, H˚avard & H˚avard Nyg˚ard,2011. ‘The Governance-Conflict Trap in the ESCWA Re- Hegre, H˚avard, 2012. ‘Hvor finner vi det nye gion’. Background paper for UN study The Gov- presteskapet?’ Morgenbladet 7 September. ernance Deficit and Conflict Relapse in the ES- CWA Region. Beirut: UN ESCWA. Hegre, H˚avard & H˚avard Strand, 2012. ‘Krig koster’. Dagens Næringsliv 7 July. Gates, Scott; H˚avard Hegre, H˚avard Nyg˚ard& H˚avard Strand, 2010. Consequences of Armed Hegre, H˚avard, 2011. ‘Logistisk regresjon: Conflict in the MENA Region. Background pa- binomisk, multinomisik og rangert’. Kom- per for Flagship Report, the World Bank MENA pendium/partial book manuscript, University of region division, to be published in 2011. Oslo. http://folk.uio.no/hahegre/Papers/ Kompendium/v2011.pdf Hegre, H˚avard & Bjørn Høyland, 2010. Intro- duksjon: Den norske valgordningen [Special is- UN, 2011. The Governance Deficit and Conflict sue on the Norwegian electoral system]. Norsk Relapse in the ESCWA Region: An Overview. Statsvitenskapelig Tidsskrift 26(2): 71–73. Hegre, H˚avard, 2008e. ‘The Nature and Causes Gates, Scott; Nils Petter Gleditsch & H˚avard of Violent Conflicts in Africa’. Background Hegre, 2004. ‘Towards a Civil Peace’, Back- paper for African Development Report 2008; ground paper for the Secretary General’s High http://www.afdb.org/en/knowledge/economics- Level Panel on Global Security (UN Foundation). research/documents-publications/african- development-report-20082009/. Hegre, H˚avard, 1999d. The Limits of the Lib- eral Peace. Thesis for the cand.polit. degree in Buhaug, Halvard; Scott Gates & H˚avard Hegre, Political Science, University of Oslo, August. 2007. ‘Global Trends in Armed Conflict’. Report for the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Gleditsch, Nils Petter; Terje Vilno Larsen & Oslo: PRIO. H˚avard Hegre, 1994. Citations to Articles in URL: http://www.regjeringen.no/nb/dep/ud/ JPR and by Johan Galtung. Report, 1994. Oslo: kampanjer/refleks/innspill/engasjement/ Journal of Peace Research, PRIO. prio.html?id=492941. Hegre, H˚avard, 1994. ‘Journal. En presen- Strand, H˚avard; Joachim Carlsen, Nils Petter tasjon av et styringsverktøy’ [Journal: A Pre- Gleditsch, H˚avard Hegre, Christin Ormhaug, sentation of a Tool for Journal Editing], in Nils Lars Wilhelmsen, Peter Wallensteen, Mar- Petter Gleditsch, Pehr Enckell & Jørgen Bur- gareta Sollenberg, Mikael Eriksson, Lotta Har- chardt, eds. Det vitenskapelige tidsskrift. Rap- bom, Halvard Buhaug & Jan Ketil Rød, port fra en nordisk konferanse for vitenskapelige 2005. Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook, tidsskrifter. TemaNord 1994: 574. Copenhagen: Version 3–2005. URL: http://www.prio.no/ Nordic Council of Ministers (147–150) cwp/armedconflict/current/Codebook v3- 2005.pdf Gleditsch, Nils Petter Gleditsch, Kristen Nord- haug & H˚avard Hegre, 1990. Nasjonsdata: En Hegre, H˚avard, 2004e. Kronikk [Feature arti- lærepakke [Nation Data: A Teaching Package]. cle]: ‘Kampen mot borgerkriger’ [Fighting Civil Oslo: PRIO, 1990. Revised edition, 1992, 1993, Wars], Dagbladet 9 July. 1994

Hegre, H˚avard, 2004f. Kronikk [Feature article]: Gleditsch, Nils Petter & H˚avard Hegre, 1990. ‘Varighet av borgerkriger’ [The Duration of Civil ‘Hva du alltid ønsket ˚avite om alle land i verden, Wars], Dagbladet September men ikke visste hvor du skulle sl˚aopp’ [What You Always Wanted to Know About All Countries in Hegre, H˚avard, 2000c. Kronikk [Feature article]: the World but Didn’t Know Where to Look Up], ‘Handel og konflikt’ [Trade and Conflict], Ny Tid Data i skolen (4): 28–29, December 1990 28. januar.

Recent professional paper presentations and reports:

Colaresi, Michael, H˚avard Hegre, & Jonas Nord- kvelle, 2016. ‘Early ViEWS: A disaggregated, kvelle, 2016. ‘Early ViEWS: A disaggregated, open-source violence early-warning system’. Pa- open-source violence early-warning system’. Pa- per presented to the American Political Sci- per presented to the Running Analysis workshop, ence Association annual meeting, Philadelphia, Oslo, September 16. September 2.

Hegre, H˚avard, Michael Bernhard, & Jan Teorell, Hegre, H˚avard, 2016. ‘The future of violent pol- 2016. ‘Reassessing the democratic civil peace: A itics’. Seminar, Department of Political Science, novel test based on the Varieties of Democracy University of Genova, as part of the workshop data’. Paper presented to the American Politi- on ‘Conflict and Institutions’, Genova, June 16 cal Science Association annual meeting, Philadel- 2016. phia, September 4. Hegre, H˚avard, Michael Bernhard, & Jan Teorell, Colaresi, Michael, H˚avard Hegre, & Jonas Nord- 2016. ‘Reassessing the democratic civil peace: A novel test based on the Varieties of Democracy International Studies Association annual meet- data’. Paper presented to the Swedish Peace Re- ing, New Orleans, February 18–21. search Conference, Malmø, April 14. Hegre, H˚avard, Lisa Hultman & H˚avard Mokleiv Hegre, H˚avard, Idunn Kristiansen, & H˚avard Nyg˚ard,2015. Evaluating the Conflict-Reducing Mokleiv Nyg˚ard,2016. ‘Conflict and Regime Effect of UN Peace-Keeping Operations. Paper Predictions’. Presented to the workshop on ‘Con- presented to the second Annual Bank Conference flict and Institutions’, Genova, June 17 2016. on Africa ‘Confronting Conflict and Fragility in Africa’, Berkeley, CA, June 8–9. Colaresi, Michael, H˚avard Hegre, & Jonas Nord- kvelle, 2016. ‘Early ViEWS: A prototype disag- Hegre, H˚avard, 2015. Comments to Gizelis & gregated, open-source violence early-warning sys- Olsson, eds: Gender, Peace and Security: Im- tem’. Paper presented to the International Stud- plementing UNSC Resolution 1325. Geneve, ies Association annual meeting, Atlanta, March September 18. 18. Hegre, H˚avard, 2015. Monitoring and forecasting Hegre, H˚avard, Michael Bernhard, & Jan Teorell, political violence. Presentation to JPR editorial 2016. ‘Reassessing the ddemocratic civil peace: committee meeting, Uppsala, May 22. A novel test based on the Varieties of Democracy data’. Paper presented to the International Stud- Hegre, H˚avard, 2015. The future of armed con- ies Association annual meeting, Atlanta, March flict. Presentation to Research Programme 2, 16. GIGA, Hamburg, 13 January.

H˚avard Hegre, Idunn Kristiansen, & H˚avard Baris, Ari; Kristian Skrede Gleditsch; H˚avard Mokleiv Nyg˚ard,2016. ‘Conflict and Regime Hegre and Tore Wig, 2015. Democratization and Predictions’. Paper presented to the Interna- Civil Conflict. Presented to CODE workshop 23- tional Studies Association annual meeting, At- 24 November , Aarhus. lanta, March 18. Participant to roundtable on Assessing Fore- Hegre, H˚avard, H˚avard Mokleiv Nyg˚ard,Sirianne casts of (Rare) International Events, Interna- Dahlum & Joakim Karlsen, 2015. Forecasting tional Studies Association annual meeting, New Regime Type 2014–2100. Paper presented to the Orleans, February 18–21.