Affordable Housing in the Rockies Housing a Region in Transition By Wiley Rogers
THE 2008 COLORADO COLLEGE STATE OF THE ROCKIES REPORT CARD
Key Findings
In Santa Fe, New Mexico, just 20 percent of all homes are affordable to a median income household.
A minimum wage worker must work at least 3 jobs in Colorado to afford an average apartment.
Approximately 158,000 individuals in the Rockies work at or below minimum wage.
Rockies states receive less federal funding for housing programs than any other region.
(QHUJ\HI¿FLHQWDIIRUGDEOHKRXVLQJFDQKHOSVWDELOL]HFRPPXQLWLHVDQGGHFUHDVHSUHVVXUHRQRWKHU public services.
About the author: Wiley Rogers (Colorado College class of 2008) is a student researcher for the 2007/08 State of the 66 Rockies Project. THE 2008 COLORADO COLLEGE STATE OF THE ROCKIES REPORT CARD 67
Introduction problem, barriers and innovative solutions to improve affordability, and several case studies to illuminate local The eight-state Rockies region offers breathtaking scen- efforts to assure livability and affordability. To better ery, intact ecosystems, and a growing amenities-based WHOOWKH5RFNLHV¶VWRU\WKLVUHSRUWSUR¿OHVWKUHHFRPPX- economy. From 2000 to 2005, the Rockies region expe- nity types that are struggling to house their inhabitants rienced a population growth rate 4.5 times the national affordably: resorts, rural communities, and urban areas. average.1 Although growth and the region’s appeal have stimulated the regional economy, they have also taken Resorts a serious toll on housing availability and affordability, creating an affordability crisis in many Rockies com- In most Rockies resort communities there simply are not munities. enough affordable housing units, forcing locals to com- mute hours to work while second-homes sit vacant; in Communities in the Rockies suffer as policemen, teach- these areas affordable housing is a crisis. Second, third, ers, bank clerks, street cleaners, cappuccino makers — RUHYHQIRXUWKKRPHRZQHUVÀRRGLQJ5RFN\0RXQWDLQ members of the working class — are pushed out, unable resort towns transform small, inexpensive communities to afford housing in their own communities. Currently surrounding resort destinations into towns resembling the average minimum-wage earner must work at least Gucci-fringed Aspen and faux-cowboy Jackson Hole. two full-time jobs to afford a two-bedroom apartment in Finding affordable housing for locals and service work- the Rockies. Protecting the vibrancy and social health HUVLQWKHVHFRPPXQLWLHVLVGLI¿FXOWZKHQWKHPHGLDQ of Rockies region communities means providing ade- house price is far from affordable, given their annual quate housing for the residents that support these com- income. munities. Expected population growth in the near future highlights the importance for communities not only to Rural Communities address the current problem, but to plan ahead. A town’s capacity to provide affordable housing in rural Housing is the single largest expenditure for Americans. DUHDVLVJUHDWO\LQÀXHQFHGE\WKHORFDOVRFLRHFRQRPLF Nationwide, 55.5 million low-income households must climate. In rural areas, housing stock is generally much pay more than 30 percent of their disposable income on older, necessitating larger repair costs for families that KRXVLQJFRVWVH[FHHGLQJWKH³DIIRUGDEOHOHYHO´GH¿QHG often have lower incomes than city dwellers. Fortunate- by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Devel- opment (HUD).2 A disproportionate number of these households are minorities concentrated in impoverished urban centers where poorly funded services leave little opportunity for upward mobility and homeownership. People in unaffordable housing situations often are un- able to afford nutritious food or health care, putting a greater strain on public health systems.3 The Rockies region does not have the affordable housing needs of mega-cities such as New York, Chicago, and Los An- geles, but with diminishing funding sources for low- income households many, Rockies communities now consider housing affordability a serious and growing problem.
The Rockies region boasts large metropolitan areas, ru- ral agricultural lands, American Indian Reservations, ERRPLQJRLOIURQWLHUVDQGULW]\UHVRUWV:LWKVXFKVR- cio-economic diversity, each regional housing market is unique and requires an individual set of policy measures WRVDWLVI\DIIRUGDEOHKRXVLQJQHHGV:LWKWKDWVDLGWKLV UHSRUWSUHVHQWVJHQHUDO¿QGLQJVIURPWKH5RFNLHVZLWK the understanding that regional situations may differ greatly; some areas are currently handling their afford- ability needs and others are approaching complete cri- sis. This report addresses several region-wide topics: the severity of the Rockies housing affordability prob- lem, national and regional trends responsible for this New Housing in Park City, Utah ly, land prices in rural areas are much cheaper than in Figure 1 KRWDPHQLWLHVEDVHGPDUNHWVDQGWKLVPDNHV¿QDQFLQJ :DJH5HTXLUHGWR$IIRUG7ZR%HGURRP5HQWDO for housing construction more affordable. Nevertheless, Fair Market Rent, 2006 PDQ\KRPHVLQUXUDODUHDVFDUU\VLJQL¿FDQWKHDOWKULVNV Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition LQ$UL]RQDQHDUO\SHUFHQWRIDOOKRXVHKROGV²UXUDO and urban — are living at risk of lead-based paint.4
Urban Areas
Urban areas in the Rockies struggle to provide affordable housing near job centers and along transit lines. Living downtown can be expensive, especially as parts of cities gentrify and push low-income households to other less “trendy” neighborhoods. Denver is currently a more affordable city than many of the region’s other urban areas; in Denver approximately 65 percent of homes are affordable to households, that make the area median in- come (AMI). In Santa Fe only 20 percent of homes are affordable to the same demographic.5 Smaller urban DUHDVVXFKDV%RLVH%R]HPDQDQG6DQWD)HDUHUDSLGO\ JHQWULI\LQJ,QPDQ\RIWKHVHVPDOOHUFLWLHV¿QGLQJDI- IRUGDEOHKRXVLQJLVEHFRPLQJLQFUHDVLQJO\GLI¿FXOW
A Closer Look at the Rockies Affordability Problem: Legend Wage Required The Rental Market $9.08 to $10.00/hour $10.01 to $11.50/hour Can low-income households afford rent in the Rockies? $11.51 to $13.00/hour Finding affordable rental housing is the last step in line $13.01 to $15.00/hour for many households on the brink of homelessness. Fig- $15.01 to $20.00/hour $20.01 to $26.10/hour ure 1 highlights the wage needed to afford a median two- EHGURRPUHQWDOLQWKH5RFN\0RXQWDLQ:HVW6 In many Rockies communities, individuals must work multiple Extremely low-income households renting residential MREVWRDIIRUGORFDOUHQWV:RUNLQJDKRXUZHHNVHUL- units are shut out of homeownership because they lack ously detracts from parents’ ability to [MINIMUM WAGE LABORERS] MUST WKH ¿QDQFLDO FDSLWDO DQG NQRZOHGJH needed to purchase a home. Nation- spend quality time with their children, WORK AT LEAST 120 HOURS EACH attend higher institutions of learning, ally, 23 percent of these renters experi- WEEK IN COLORADO AND NEVADA TO or save money to eventually purchase ence severe cost burdens, paying more their own house. AFFORD LOCAL FAIR MARKET RATES. than 30 percent of their annual income on monthly rent and utilities.8 These Renting a typical apartment in the Rockies with a min- households with less disposable income struggle with imum wage salary is nearly impossible. Yet the U.S. ÀXFWXDWLQJUHQWDOSULFHVZKLOHSXWWLQJDJUHDWHUVWUDLQRQ Department of Labor’s Current Population Index esti- other public services. Affordable housing problems in- mates that 158,000 individuals in the Rockies work at or FUHDVHLQHOGHUO\KRXVHKROGVRIWHQFRQVWUDLQHGE\¿[HG below minimum wage.7:LWKRXWVRPHIRUPRIVXEVL- LQFRPHV.DWKL:LOOLDPV'LUHFWRURI&RORUDGR¶V'LYL- GL]HGUHQWDOKRXVLQJPLQLPXPZDJHODERUHUVSULPDULO\ sion of Housing, contends that the aging population of employed by the food and service industries must work baby boomers migrating to Colorado will greatly burden 80 hours per week to afford an average-priced rental. already-stressed health care and transportation systems. As shown in Figure 2 individuals must work at least 120 She sees the lack of affordable assisted-living rental hours each week in Colorado and Nevada to afford local XQLWVIRUWKHPDQ\UHWLUHHVWKDWDUHQRW¿QDQFLDOO\VHFXUH fair market rates. Considering that a week only contains as a major concern, not only for the Division of Hous- KRXUVZLWKRXWDVVLVWDQFHIURPQRQSUR¿WRUJDQL]D- ing, but for all public services that will be burdened in tions and affordable housing subsidies, these workers the near future. Her concerns are based, in part, on face the prospect of having less than seven hours per changing demographics: the Rockies region is the fast- day to eat, sleep, commute, shop for groceries, or spend est growing destination for people age 65 and higher. with their families. Even with federal minimum wage increases, renting in the Rockies will still be grossly un- Critics claim that housing assistance is too costly for the affordable to minimum-wage workers. taxpayer and encourages public-service dependence, yet
68 HOUSING AFFORDABILITY THE 2008 COLORADO COLLEGE STATE OF THE ROCKIES REPORT CARD THE 2008 COLORADO COLLEGE STATE OF THE ROCKIES REPORT CARD HOUSING AFFORDABILITY
Figure 2 7KHEHQH¿WVRIKRPHRZQHUVKLSDUHQXPHURXV,Q 1XPEHURI0LQLPXP:DJH-REV1HHGHGWR$IIRUG the median personal wealth of a U.S. homeowner was $184,560, whereas the median wealth of a renter was Median Rent, Fair Market Rent, 2006 14 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition $4,050, with minority renters lower still at $2,600. $FFHVVLEOH ¿UVWEX\HU KRPHV DOORZ IDPLOLHV DV\OXP IURPÀXFWXDWLQJUHQWDOPDUNHWVLQDGGLWLRQWRLQFUHDV- ing general wealth and borrowing ability. Home equity LQYHVWPHQWVSURYLGHWKHEHQH¿WRIVKHOWHUDVZHOODVLQ-
FRPH JHQHUDWLRQ WKURXJK UH¿QDQFLQJ LQFRPH HIIHFWV generated by home equity are felt faster and stronger than stock market investments in the consumer goods market.15 More fundamentally, home ownership pro- vides the roots for successful permanent communities.
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.UMBER JOBS AT MINIMUM WAGE and the U.S. economy.
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Suburban sprawl now carpets portions of the Rocky KRXVLQJRI¿FLDOVSRLQWRXWWKDWZLWKDIIRUGDEOHKRXVLQJ one either pays up front to provide adequate housing, or 0RXQWDLQ :HVW 5RZV RI VLQJOHIDPLO\ KRPHV VWDQ miles from job centers, luring families willing to sacri- pays even more money down the road in other public services.10 A unique plan in Denver confronts homeless- QHVVE\SURYLGLQJVXEVLGL]HGUHQWDOXQLWVIRUKRPHOHVV Table 1 men and women, costing the state government $14,512 Share of Homes Affordable for Median Income annually per individual. The city calculates that this ap- by Select Rockies MSA, Quarter 1, 2007 proach has saved Denver $25,488 of taxpayer money 6RXUFH1DWLRQDO$VVRFLDWLRQRI+RPH%XLOGHUV:HOOV)DUJR2SSRUWXQLW\,QGH[ per assisted person that would have been spent in hos- MSA Share of Homes pital bills, soup kitchens, homeless shelters, and police enforcement.11 The price of housing Denver’s home- 3XHEOR&2 76.3% less will likely decrease over time as these adequately- &RORUDGR6SULQJV&2 68.5% KRXVHGFLWL]HQV¿QGHPSOR\PHQWRSSRUWXQLWLHV 'HQYHU$XURUD&2 64.5% *UHHOH\&2 63.2% Buying a House in the Rockies )RUW&ROOLQV/RYHODQG&2 61.5% Although the U.S. has one of the highest home owner- Pocatello, ID ship rates in the world, roughly a third of U.S. house- Great Falls, MT 57.0% holds still rent residential units instead of owning their 2JGHQ&OHDU¿HOG87 12 own home. (QFRXUDJLQJUHQWHUVWRPDNHWKHLU¿UVW %RXOGHU&2 53.7% home purchase has been integral to U.S. housing policy, Albuquerque, NM MSA 45.4% but it takes more than encouragement for many living in Rockies job centers. Housing markets in the region Yuma, AZ 42.8% vary widely from highly affordable rural communities Tucson, AZ 33.4% to counties with the highest median incomes in the na- Salt Lake City, UT 31.6% tion. %RLVH&LW\1DPSD,' 30.6% Table 1 shows the percentage of homes that households Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ 30.0% making the median income can afford in select Rockies 3URYR2UHP87 PHWURSROLWDQDUHDV1DWLRQDOO\FLWLHVRQWKH:HVW&RDVW Prescott, AZ 28.1% are the least affordable, closely followed by the Rock- Flagstaff, AZ 23.2% LHV:LWKLQWKHUHJLRQDIIRUGDELOLW\YDULHVPHWURSROLWDQ Reno-Sparks, NV 21.2% areas in Nevada and Utah are far less affordable than in Colorado and Montana. In Pueblo, Colorado, more than Carson City, NV 20.0% three-fourths of houses land in affordable- to medium- Santa Fe, NM LQFRPHOHYHOVZKHUHDVLQ/DV9HJDVOHVVWKDQRQH¿IWK St. George, UT 13 of houses are affordable. Las Vegas-Paradise, NV Figure 3 to live a quarter mile from a bus line and own one less 3HUFHQWRI:RUNHUV&RPPXWLQJ automobile. WRPLQXWHVWR:RUN 6RXUFH*HRO\WLFV,QF%XVLQHVV'HPRJUDSKLFV In the inner city, the situation is quite different. Poverty is concentrated in neighborhoods far from service-indus- try opportunities in the growing suburbs. Low-income households rely heavily on public transportation, but as cities such as Denver plan new public transportation routes, affordable housing advocates struggle to secure nearby residential lots. Land values near transit lines tend to escalate so homeowners located on future light- rail blueprints often become land speculators waiting for their property values to skyrocket.18 Greater coopera- tion between city transportation planners and affordable housing advocates can and should assure low-income housing along transportation routes. For example, the state of Nevada awards points to projects applying for Low-Income Housing Tax Credits if project sites are lo- cated in transit-oriented areas.
As mentioned earlier, the search for a lawn, garage, and single-family detached house rests near the core of the “American Dream.” Unfortunately this dream has been a nightmare for the Rockies region, taking the form of Legend poorly planned, sprawling developments that spread Percent of Commuters 0 to 10% across Colorado’s Front Range, Phoenix’s suburbs, and 10 to 20% 8WDK¶V :DVDWFK IURQW 'HYRLG RI YLEUDQW FRPPXQLW\ 20 to 30% and isolated from employment opportunities, shopping, 30 to 46% and school, inhabitants of these new “Dream Homes” are utterly dependent on gasoline. The Rockies can ¿FHDOHQJWK\FRPPXWHIRUPRUHDIIRUGDEOHOLYLQJ$V grow more intelligently by modifying the “American shown in Figure 3, a high percentage of workers are 'UHDP´WRSURYLGHDGHTXDWHKRXVLQJZLWKRXWVDFUL¿FLQJ FRPPXWLQJWRPLQXWHVWRZRUNDURXQGODUJHPHW- the landscapes responsible for this region’s great suc- 16 ropolitan areas in the Rockies. Rarely are commuting FHVV%XWOLNHPRUHDIÀXHQWKRPHEX\HUVORZLQFRPH costs included in affordable housing equations, but driv- families want the traditional “American Dream” House. ing two hours back and forth from work is very costly The challenge will be to change development patterns for families and has created major congestion problems and make denser urban communities more attractive to that strain state transportation systems, Rockies residents. especially along the I-70 and I-25 cor- ridors in Colorado and I-15 in Utah. The U.S. Housing Market
The personal and societal costs of To understand the current housing situ- auto-dependent, low-density neighbor- ation in the Rockies, it is necessary to hoods located miles from job centers examine recent patterns in the national are immense. Low-income families housing market. From 2004 to 2005 the already spend a disproportionate part U.S. housing market boomed. Record- of their income on housing costs — a breaking single-family home sales and daily commute lowers productivity housing starts propelled the U.S. econ- and quality of life, and has detrimental omy. The housing boom was mainly HQYLURQPHQWDO DQG ¿QDQFLDO LPSDFWV fueled by low interest rates set by the on the individual and the community. U.S. Federal Reserve that stimulated After housing and utilities, transporta- monetary lending, enabling banks and tion costs are the third largest expense RWKHU¿QDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVWRRIIHULQ- for U.S. households.17 These costs expensive long-term loans. The devel- have prompted Fannie Mae to offer RSPHQWRIQHZ¿QDQFLDOYHKLFOHVVXFK /RFDWLRQ (I¿FLHQW 0RUWJDJHV WKDW UH- as collateral debt obligations and sub- ward low-income families who choose prime mortgage products further accel-
70 HOUSING AFFORDABILITY THE 2008 COLORADO COLLEGE STATE OF THE ROCKIES REPORT CARD THE 2008 COLORADO COLLEGE STATE OF THE ROCKIES REPORT CARD HOUSING AFFORDABILITY 71
erated the housing market. As demand for single-family homes soared, the value of existing homes appreciated Figure 4 across the country. Investors speculated on future hous- Projected Population Growth by Census Division LQJ YDOXH 0DQ\ ¿UVWWLPH EX\HUV ERXJKW KRPHV DQG and the U.S., 2007-2012 even individuals with poor credit lines that originally Source: Geolytics, Inc. Estimates and Projections, 2007 and 2012 - ZRXOGQRWKDYHTXDOL¿HGIRUORQJWHUPOHQGLQJZHUHRI fered sub-prime mortgages and other unusual mortgage packages. In 2006, the housing market began to waver as home
sales plummeted by 10 percent, housing starts dropped E\SHUFHQWDQGDSSUHFLDWLRQUDWHVÀDWWHQHGDFURVVWKH country.20 To make matters worse, sub-prime mortgage lenders targeting low-income home-buyers with poor 0ERCENT 'ROWTH credit lines experienced huge losses as households were forced to default on their mortgages. In 2006, Denver UDQNHG¿IWKDPRQJWKHODUJHVW86FLWLHVIRUKRXV- ing foreclosures.21 The housing industry accounts for RQH¿IWKRIWKH86¶VWRWDO*URVV'RPHVWLF3URGXFWDQG 0ACIFIC the collapse of lending institutions such as American -OUNTAIN 5NITED 3TATES .EW %NGLAND 3OUTH !TLANTIC -IDDLE !TLANTIC Home Mortgage, the tenth largest lender in the United 7EST 3OUTH #ENTRAL %AST 3OUTH #ENTRAL 7EST .ORTH #ENTRAL%AST .ORTH #ENTRAL States, has prompted stock losses and concerns about a more sustained economic slump.22 Troubling Rockies Housing Trends: The Next California? Today’s slowing housing market has both positive and negative effects on affordable housing supply and af- The Rockies will likely continue to be the fastest grow- IRUGDELOLW\ $V KRXVLQJ SULFH LQÀDWLRQ OHYHOV RII ORZ ing region in the nation. As shown in Figure 4, popula- WR PRGHUDWH KRPHEX\HUV EHQH¿W IURP SULFH FXWV DQG tion forecasts to 2012 indicate that the Rocky Mountain JUHDWHUKRXVLQJRSWLRQV%XWIRUWKHSRRUHVWKRXVHKROGV :HVWZLOOJURZDWDUDWHPRUHWKDQGRXEOHWKHQDWLRQDO 24 housing prices are still appreciating at an unaffordable average. Growth is mainly concentrated in metro- SDFH$FFRUGLQJWRWKH$UL]RQD6WDWH+RXVLQJ'LYLVLRQ politan areas with compelling job opportunities. As of $UL]RQDKDVVHHQDGHFUHDVHLQUHVLGHQWLDOKRXVLQJVWDUWV 2000, 83 percent of the population in the Rockies al- 25 but single-family home prices are not dropping substan- ready lived in urban areas. Although rural areas suffer tially enough to solve the affordable housing crunch. affordable housing shortages, the majority of extremely Phoenix, notorious for suburban sprawl and housing low-income housing needs are concentrated in dense ur- JURZWKH[SHULHQFHGDSHUFHQWGURSLQQHZKRXVLQJ ban areas. permits in 2006.23 As lenders lose billions from housing foreclosures, the credit market tightens and households People are migrating to the Rockies. Many of these ZLWK SRRU FUHGLW OLQHV RU ORZ LQFRPHV KDYH GLI¿FXOW\ newcomers move from expensive housing markets on ¿QGLQJZLOOLQJOHQGHUV7RPDNHPDWWHUVZRUVHPXOWL WKH :HVW &RDVW 6LPSO\ DVN D &RORUDGDQ DERXW WKHLU family rental prices have increased as families forced to Californian neighbors and you will likely elicit com- foreclose search for affordable apartments. plaints of housing prices, crime rates, and the general “Californication” of the community. In some respect, Some of the fastest growing housing markets in the locals’ complaints about the growing California Dias- country were in the Rockies region. As the U.S. hous- pora are legitimate; more than 5 million native-born LQJPDUNHWVORZVDQGWKH5RFNLHVUHJLRQUHÀHFWVRQ¿YH Californians have migrated away from the state looking 26 years of growth, it is an important time to assess current for more affordable living in job growth centers. Popu- DQGIXWXUHDIIRUGDEOHKRXVLQJQHHGV2QFHERRPLQJFLW- lation growth in the Rockies is making it increasingly LHVLQ1HYDGDDQG$UL]RQDQRZVLWRQYDFDQWLQYHQWR- GLI¿FXOWWRSURYLGHDIIRUGDEOHKRXVLQJ ries; developers attempting to liquidate stock are offer- ing ever more creative incentive packages to prospective Housing future generations is only a fraction of the buyers. Although housing prices seem more affordable, problem. Foreign-born immigrants play a major role price-sensitive low-income households still cannot af- in recent housing growth and are projected to account ford these empty homes. This snapshot of the national for two-thirds of projected housing growth in 2005 to 27 housing market serves as a key backdrop for housing 2015. (See Immigration chapter in this volume). Indi- trends unique to the Rockies. viduals migrating to the Rockies greatly increase hous- ing demand. Although housing supply in large metro- ning Systems Inc. found that land prices, rather than Figure 5 expensive second homes, were the cause of the afford- Percent House Price Appreciation ability crunch. According to the Arizona Daily Sun, by Census Division, 2006 Flagstaff’s lot prices are some of the most expensive in 6RXUFH2I¿FHRI)HGHUDO+RXVLQJ(QWHUSULVH2YHUVLJKW the state. Commonly amounting to 35 percent of a new
home’s price, residential lots are rarely sold for less than $100,000.31 There is a common misconception that the 5RFNLHV SRVVHVV DQ LQ¿QLWH VXSSO\ RI FKHDS ODQG$O- though land remains inexpensive in some rural areas, population growth mainly surrounds economic centers where jobs can be found. As smaller housing markets in the Rockies appreciate and second home growth ex-
plodes, land that originally was worth very little turns Appreciation Rate % Change to gold.
0ACIFIC A Lagging Median Income Growth -OUNTAIN 5NITED 3TATES .EW %NGLAND 3OUTH !TLANTIC -IDDLE !TLANTIC %AST 3OUTH #ENTRAL 7EST 3OUTH #ENTRAL 7EST .ORTH #ENTRAL %AST .ORTH #ENTRAL Regardless of appreciation patterns, family income Census Divisions and United States Average growth has not kept up with housing prices in the Rock- politan areas can generally keep up, these single family ies. Although family median incomes increased steadily WUDFWKRPHVDUHVWLOOWRRH[SHQVLYHIRUPDQ\ORFDO¿UVW from 2004 to 2007 by an average of 1 percent per year, time home-buyers and low-income families. the median house jumped 7 percent in price from 2006 to 2007.32 In Nevada, median income increased 3.5 per- Housing Prices in the Rockies Region cent from 2000 to 2004, whereas the median house price increased by 20 percent in the same period.33 Figure The availability and affordability of residential units is 6 depicts the overwhelming disparity between income inextricably tied to the health of the housing market. growth and housing prices in select Rocky Mountain Fluctuations in regional housing markets have a direct metropolitan areas from 2004 to 2007. Housing price HIIHFW RQ WKH VXSSO\ DQG GHPDQG RI ERWK VXEVLGL]HG and income imbalance leads to situations where families rental and owner-owned units. Although the national are cost burdened — paying too much for housing each KRXVLQJ PDUNHW KDV VORZHG VLJQL¿FDQWO\ WKH 5RFNLHV month. market continues to grow. As Figure 5 shows, home- value appreciation rates in the Rockies region are higher Given the impact of population growth, housing sup- compared to other census divisions, even after a major ply, real estate appreciation, and the mismatch between GHFUHDVH IURP WKH ¿UVW TXDUWHU RI WR WKH VHFRQG income and housing prices, is the Rockies region ade- quarter of 2007.286XFKVWDWHVDV,GDKR0RQWDQD:\R- quately prepared for future affordable housing demand? ming, and Utah maintain the highest appreciation rates in the nation, while most metropolitan housing markets Figure 6 in the Rockies are experiencing slowdowns in housing Change in Median Income vs. Change in Median growth. House Price, Select Rockies MSAs 2004-2007 6RXUFH1DWLRQDO$VVRFLDWLRQRI+RPH%XLOGHUV Many smaller mountain communities in the Rockies :HOOV)DUJR2SSRUWXQLW\,QGH[
region seem unaffected by the national housing slump. !LBUQUERQUE .- -3! "OISE #ITY .AMPA )$ 3URYR2UHP8WDKWKHVHFRQGIDVWHVWDSSUHFLDWLQJPDU- "OULDER #/ #OLORADO 3PRINGS #/ ket in the country at 20 percent, seems to have dodged $ENVER !URORA #/ slumping prices.7KHVLWXDWLRQLQ-DFNVRQ+ROH:\R- &LAGSTAFF !: &ORT