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PROCENA Stanovništvo Kosova, 2014 12/06/2015

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PROCENA Stanovništvo Kosova, 2014 12/06/2015 Republika e Kosovës RepublikaKosova-Republic of Kosovo Qeveria - Vlada - Government Zyra e Kryeministrit - UredPremijera - Office of the Prime Minister Agjencia e StatistikavetëKosovës - Agencija za StatistikeKosova - Kosovo Agency of Statistics PROCENA Stanovništvo Kosova 2014 P r i š t i n a jun, 2015 PROCENA: Stanovništvo Kosova 2014 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Ovaj izveštaj je pripremilo osoblje Agencije za statistiku Kosova. Publikaciju pripremili su: Avni Kastrati , Šef Divizije statistike stanovništva Saradnici: Bashkim Bellaqa, Direktor Odeljenja socijalnih statistika Sanije Uka , Šef sektora za statistiku stanovništva Arijeta Sojeva , Viši službenik za vitalnu statistiku Elvira Tahiri , Službenik za statistiku stanovništva Vlora Berisha, Službenik za vitalnu statistiku Skra ćenice i znaci ASK - Agencija za statistiku Kosova OSS - Odeljenje socijalnih statistika RAE - Romi, aškalije i egip ćani 0 - Podatak je manji od 0,5 date jedinice merenja : - Nema podatka - - Bez pojave Izdava č: Agencija za statistiku Kosova (ASK) Datum izdavanja: jun, 2015. © : Agencija za statistiku Kosova Reprodukcija je odobrena ako se navede izvor. Za više informacija posetite: http://ask.rks-gov.net Estimation: The population of Kosovo, 2014 P r e d g o v o r Ovom publikacijom ASK ima za cilj da obezbedi tačnu statističku procenu stanovništva, koja je neophodna, praktična i standardna i koja treba da se vrši svake godine od strane zvaničnih institucija jedne zemlje. To se mora uraditi. zato što u periodu između dva popisa ( desetogodišnji ) dešavaju se stalne promene u populaciji jedne zemlje, opštine ili naselja . Agencija za statistiku Kosova (ASK) će nastaviti da vrši procenu, svake godine, o broju stanovništva na nivou zemlje i opštinskom nivou, koja istovremeno obezbeđuje vremenske serije demografskih pokazatelja o promenama u teritorijalnom nivou . Godišnji statistički podaci o stanovništvu ( demografiji ) su od fundamentalnog značaja za proučavanje i definisanje širokog spektra analiza . Posebno, važna je njihova posebna povezanost i značaj sa socijalnim i ekonomskim pitanjima u određenim opštinskim, nacionalnim i regionalnim nivoima. Statistike stanovništva su značajan imenitelj i pokazatelj za donosioce odluka, analitičare, istraživače i razne korisnike podataka . Izvršni direktor Kosovo Agency of Statistics Podaci stanovništva čine ključnu komponentu za procene Mr. Isa Krasniqi nacionalnih računa, zapošljavanja i drugih socio-ekonomskih pitanja. Dakle, za sve korisnike podataka , ovo su najnoviji zvanični podaci, procenjeni za stanovništvo Kosova na nivou opština za 2014. 4 PROCENA: Stanovništvo Kosova 2014 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Sadržaj Uvod.................................................................................................................................................9 Za korisnike podataka......................................................................................................................9 Metodološki pregled........................................................................................................................9 Izvori podataka................................................................................................................................9 Stanovništvo..................................................................................................................................10 Prirodno stanovništvo....................................................................................................................10 Tabela. 1 Ukupno stanovništvo Kosova i prirodni priraštaj za 2014.godinu na nivou opština .....11 Tabela. 2 Ukupno stanovništvo Kosova i migracija za 2014.godinu na nivou opština ...... ..........12 Tabela. 3 Ukupno stanovništvo Kosova procenjeno za 2014.godinu na nivou opština..... .........13 PROCENA: Stanovništvo Kosova 2014 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ U V O D Za korisnike podataka Izveštaj obuhvata promene u broju stanovništva (prirodni priraštaj i migracija), koe su se desile tokom perioda od 01 januara do 31 decembra 2014.godine na teritoriji Kosova. Baza procene stanovništva Na priremi ove procene, ASK je primenila metode koje se praktikuju za procenu stanovništva, koje koriste statistike institucije, koristeći razie izvore. Baza podataka za procenu stanovništva za 2014.godinu je uzeta od procenjenog broja stalnog stanovništva na Kosovo na kraju 2013. godine Metodološko promatranje Prilikom procene broja rezidentnog stanovništa na nacionalnom/opštinskom nivou, stanovništvo je pod uticajem nataliteta, mortaliteta i migracije. (NMM). Procena stanovništva: ukupno stanovništvo + natalitet – mortalitet ± spoljna/unutrašnja migracija. Konačni procenjeni podaci o stanovništvu na nivou opština su izračunati prema dole navedenim procedurama: Pn + (N-M)+(I–E) Pn - Procenjeni broj stanovnika u određenoj godini (2013) N - Broj živih rođenja (Nataliteti), od 1 januara do 31 decembra 2014.godine. M - Broj smrtnih slučajeva (Mortalitet), od 1 januara do 31 decembra 2014.godine. I - Imigracije, od 1 januara do 31 decembra 2014.godine. E- Emigracije, od 1 januara do 31 decembra 2014.godine. PROCENA: Stanovništvo Kosova 2014 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Izvori podataka Korišćeni su različiti statistički izvori, kao što su: Procena za 2013.godinu, baza podataka iz Popisa stanovništva 2011., baza podataka iz Statistike rođenja i umrlih (ASK), administrativni podaci (baza ASK-a), podaci iz opština na Kosovu, Ministarstva za unutrašnje poslove , baza podataka iz EUROSTATA, statističkih kancelarija i kancelarija za migraciju iz 33 zemalja, u kojima je više izražena kosovska emigracija. Takođe, korišćeni su drugi administrativni podaci iz domaćih institucijara, anketa, izveštaja i drugih istraživanja. Ovi podaci su analizirani statističkim metodama, koji služe kao glavni instrumenti i statistički podaci za procenu broja stanovništva na nivou zemlje i na nivou opština. PROCENA: Stanovništvo Kosova 2014 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Ukupno stanovništvo Na osnovu “Procene 2013.” broj ukupnog rezidentnog stanovništva na Kosovu je procenjen na 1 820 631 stanovnika. Prirodni priraštaj Rođenja : prema podacima iz baze podataka ASK-a broj rođenja (registrovano) za 2014.godinu bio je ukupno 32 369 živih rođenja, od toga sa stalnim mestom stanovanja majke na Kosovo (rezident) bila su ukupno 32 087 rođenja. Slučajevi smrti: prema podacima iz baze podataka ASK-a, broj slučajeva smrti (të registrovano) za 2014.godinu bio je ukupno 8 165 umrlih (sa stalnim mestom stanovanja na Kosovo). Prirodni priraštaj: stanovništvo Kosova tokom 2014.godine je poraslo za 23 922 stanovnika. Migracija Međunarodna imigracija: prema podacima iz Ministarstva za unutrašnje poslove (MUP), UNHCR, IOM i podacima iz nekoliko opština, broj pšovratnika (imigranata) na Kosovu tokom 2014.godine bio je ukupno 5 720 stanovnika. Međunarodna emigracija: broj emigranata tokom 2014. godine na Kosovu je bilo ukupno 45 333 stanovnika . U ovom broju su uključeni svi legalni i ilegalni emigranti . Nacionalna migracija: tokom 2014. godine procenjuje se da je značajan broj stalnog stanovništva na Kosovu je promenio mesto boravka (opštinu) , iz različitih razloga . Prema proceni broj ljudi koji su promenili svoju prethodnu opštinu ( iz jedne opštine u drugu opštinu ) je ukupno 9 466 stanovnika. Ukupan rast Na osnovu ovih podataka , uprkos prirodnog priraštaja stanovništva ( 32 087 rođenja) zbog međunarodnih emigracija stalno stanovništvo na Kosovu za period od 1. januara do 31. decembra 2014. godine smanjeno je za 15 687 stanovnika. Stanovništvo Kosova za 2014.godinu se procenjuje da je 1 804 944 stanovnika. PROCENA: Stanovništvo Kosova 2014 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Tabela 1. Stanovništvo Kopsova i prirodni priraštaj za 2014. na nivou opština Prema mestu stalnog stanovanja u opštini Ukupno Ukupno Opština Natalit procenjeno Mortalitet stanovništvo et stanovništvo (31 (2014) Prirodni priraštaj i prirodni priraštaj (2014) Br. decembar 2013) (01.01-31.12/2014) (01.01-31.12 2014) 1 De čani 40,549 639 153 486 41,035 2 Đakovica 96,162 1,598 518 1,080 97,242 3 Glogovac 59,990 1,093 245 848 60,838 4 Gnjilane 91,489 1,557 476 1,081 92,570 5 Dragaš 34,364 562 267 295 34,659 6 Istok 40,126 664 192 472 40,598 7 Ka čanik 33,875 575 163 412 34,287 8 Klina 39,555 930 178 752 40,307 9 Kosovo Polje 37,843 701 164 537 38,380 10 Kamenica 35,261 423 213 210 35,471 11 Mitrovica 73,363 1,565 434 1,131 74,494 12 Mitrovica s. 12,139 20 8 12 12,151 13 Leposavi ć 13,485 11 6 5 13,490 14 Lipljan 59,196 1,140 237 903 60,099 15 Novo Brdo 6,923 46 27 19 6,942 16 Obili ć 22,105 393 80 313 22,418 17 Orahovac 57,645 1,038 204 834 58,479 18 Pe ć 97,706 1,625 493 1,132 98,838 19 Podujevo 89,051 1,443 340 1,103 90,154 20 Priština 207,477 3,709 810 2,899 210,376 21 Prizren 182,449 3,359 840 2,519 184,968 22 Srbica 51,361 1,081 221 860 52,221 23 Štimlje 28,096 522 127 395 28,491 24 Štrpce 6,873 94 19 75 6,948 25 Suva Reka 61,352 1,360 291 1,069 62,421 26 Uroševac 111,842 1,982 537 1,445 113,287 27 Vitina 47,774 831 213 618 48,392 28 Vu čitrn 71,212 1,303 354 949 72,161 29 Zubin Potok 6,508 22 2 20 6,528 30 Zve čan 7,319 13 4 9 7,328 31 Mališevo 56,482 1,267 208 1,059 57,541
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