THE XINJIANG PROBLEM Graham E. Fuller S. Frederick Starr © Central Asia-Caucasus Institute Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies The Johns Hopkins University Tel.: 1 202 663 7723
[email protected] The Xinjiang Problem 3 Table of Contents Introduction: The Xinjiang Project............................................. 1 I. What is the Problem in Xinjiang? ...........................................4 II. The Geopolitical Realities: a Primer......................................10 III. What Do The Key Players Want? .......................................16 Uyghur Grievances.................................................................................. 16 Uyghur Goals and Actions ........................................................................22 China’s Grievances..................................................................................26 China’s Goals and Actions ........................................................................30 IV. What Is At Stake? Why The Xinjiang Problem Matters ........33 Implications for Ethnic Minorities.............................................................. 33 Uyghurs and the Muslim World.................................................................34 Terrorism .............................................................................................. 40 China and Regional Geopolitics..................................................................43 Human Rights Issues................................................................................47 Economic