Improving the Availability of Trade Finance During Financial Crises
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Improving the Availability of Trade Finance during Financial Crises Marc Auboin* Counsellor, Trade and Finance Division, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION and Moritz Meier-Ewert* PRINCETON UNIVERSITY * We are grateful to representatives of the ADB and EBRD, in particular Martin Endelman. Gratitude is also expressed to Richard Eglin and Patrick Low, Directors at the WTO, and Jesse Kreier, Counsellor, for their very useful comments. This paper is only available in English – Price CHF 20.- To order, please contact: WTO Publications Centre William Rappard 154 rue de Lausanne CH-1211 Geneva Switzerland Tel: (41 22) 739 5208/5308 Fax (41 22) 739 57 92 Website: www.wto.org E-mail: [email protected] ISSN 1726-9466 ISBN 92-870- 1238-5 Printed by the WTO Secretariat XI- 2003, 1 ,000 © World Trade Organization, 2003. Reproduction of material contained in this document may be made only with written permission of the WTO Publications Manager. With written permission of the WTO Publications Manager, reproduction and use of the material contained in this document for non-commercial educational and training purposes is encouraged. WTO Discussion Papers are presented by the authors in a personal capacity and should not in any way be interpreted as reflecting the views of the World Trade Organization or its Members. ABSTRACT An analysis of the implications of recent financial crises affecting emerging economies in the 1990's points to the failure by private markets and other relevant institutions to meet the demand for cross-border and domestic short-term trade-finance in such periods, thereby affecting, in some countries and for certain periods, imports and exports to a point of stoppage. These experiences seem to suggest that there is scope for carefully targeted public intervention, as currently proposed by regional development banks and other actors, which have put in place ad-hoc schemes to maintain a minimum flow of trade finance during periods of scarcity, through systems of direct credit or credit guarantees. This paper explores the reasons behind the drying up of trade finance, both short and long-term, in particular as banks tend to concentrate on the more profitable and less risky segments of credit markets. It also describes ad-hoc schemes put in place by regional and multilateral institutions to keep minimal amounts of trade finance available at any time. It then goes on to examine a number of questions regarding the regulatory framework surrounding trade finance products, and looks at WTO rules in this regard. It also examines other areas where the WTO can play a role in facilitating and contributing to a global solution. In this context, a discussion of various proposals on the table is suggested. TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................................... 1 II. THE TRADE-FINANCE MARKET AND DIFFICULTIES ENCOUNTERED DURING PERIODS OF FINANCIAL CRISIS.......................................................................................................................... 1 A. RISK, LIQUIDITY AND SOLVENCY PROBLEMS AND TRADE ................................................................. 1 B. FINANCIAL CRISES AND TRADE FINANCE IN PERIODS OF INSTABILITY .............................................. 4 C. MARKET FAILURE OR COST OF RULES?............................................................................................. 6 1. Supply-side failure......................................................................................................................... 6 (a) Short-term causes .................................................................................................................. 6 (b) Long-term causes................................................................................................................... 7 2. Demand-side constraints?............................................................................................................. 7 3. Are there any alternatives to bank financing?............................................................................ 8 5. Initiatives developed by public authorities during the crisis ................................................... 10 III. THE WTO AND TRADE FINANCING................................................................................................ 11 A. AREAS OF POTENTIAL ACTION OF THE WTO................................................................................... 11 B. SPECIFIC PROBLEMS POSED BY PUBLIC INTERVENTIONS (FINANCIAL AND LEGAL SIDE).................. 13 1. Moral Hazard .............................................................................................................................. 13 2. Possible long-term solutions on the financial side not involving moral hazard ..................... 14 (a) Improving financial stability in individual markets............................................................. 14 (b) Developing modern market techniques and institutions in developing countries markets (hedging, securitization of lending, creation of export credit agencies), subject to proper supervision........................................................................................................................... 14 (c) Eliminating market imperfections (transparency, symmetry of information)...................... 14 (d) Regulatory aspects............................................................................................................... 14 IV. ISSUES FOR DISCUSSION .................................................................................................................. 15 V. REFERENCES ....................................................................................................................................... 17 ANNEX TABLE I: DATA ON STOCKS OF TOTAL TRADE FINANCE IN SELECTED EAST ASIAN AND LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES (IN US$ MILLION) .......................................................................... 18 LIST OF BOXES, CHARTS AND TABLES BOX 1: TRADE FINANCE INSTRUMENTS – A TYPOLOGY ........................................................................................... 2 BOX 2: EXPORT AND CREDIT INSURANCE ................................................................................................................ 3 BOX 3: SELECTED AD-HOC PROGRAMS BY PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS TO MAKE TRADE FINANCING AND GUARANTEES AVAILABLE TO EMERGING ECONOMIES................................................................................................................... 10 CHART 1: STOCKS OF TOTAL TRADE FINANCE IN SELECTED EAST ASIAN AND LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES.......... 5 ANNEX TABLE I: DATA ON STOCKS OF TOTAL TRADE FINANCE IN SELECTED EAST ASIAN AND LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES (IN US$ MILLION................................................................................................................................. 18 identify areas where WTO rules and frameworks I. INTRODUCTION influence the resolution of the problem, while Section IV raises issues for future discussion. During periods of extreme financial crisis, such as those experienced by emerging economies in the 1990s, situations of credit crunch may reduce access to II. THE TRADE-FINANCE MARKET AND trade finance (in particular in the short-term segment of DIFFICULTIES ENCOUNTERED the market), and hence trade, which usually should be DURING PERIODS OF FINANCIAL the primary vector of recovery of balance-of-payments CRISIS (WTO (1999)). The credit crunch can affect both exports and imports to the point of stoppage, as was A. RISK, LIQUIDITY AND SOLVENCY PROBLEMS AND seen in Indonesia for several weeks. The availability of short-term trade finance in such periods has therefore TRADE become a major concern of the international financial The expansion of trade depends on reliable, and trading communities. adequate, and cost-effective sources of financing, both long-term (for capital investment needed to This has translated into several initiatives taken by produce tradeable goods and services) and short-term, 1 national or international public organizations in particular trade finance. The latter is the basis on concerned, including the International Monetary Fund which the large majority of world trade operates, as (IMF), the World Bank, regional development banks, there is generally a time-lag between when goods are some export credit agencies (ECAs), and certain produced, then shipped and finally when payment is private sector banks, each playing a different role in the received. Trade-finance can provide credit, generally process of finding a solution. For its part, the WTO has up to 180-days, to enterprises to fill this gap. Cash received a mandate from Ministers at the Fifth transactions also take place, but to a smaller extent in Ministerial Meeting in Cancun, in the context of the many developing and least-developed countries. Working Group on Trade, Debt and Finance, to further work towards a solution in this domain. The report Short-term credit/trade finance has been associated provided by the General Council of the WTO to with the expansion of international trade in the past Ministers states that: century, and has in general been considered as a routine operation, providing fluidity and security to "Based mainly on experience gained in Asia the movement of goods and services. Short-term and elsewhere, there is a need to improve the finance is the true life-line of international trade. stability and security