DNM Monthly Network Operations Report (Analysis
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Directorate Network Management Monthly Network Operations Report Analysis – October 2012 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. TOTAL TRAFFIC....................................................................................................................... 1 2. ATFM DELAY AND ATTRIBUTIONS........................................................................................ 4 3. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAYS ...................................................................................................... 5 4. AIRPORT/TMA ATFM DELAYS................................................................................................ 9 5. DAILY EVOLUTION.................................................................................................................10 6. ALL AIR TRANSPORT DELAYS (SOURCE: CODA) ............................................................. 11 7. ATFM SLOT ADHERENCE ..................................................................................................... 12 8. SIGNIFICANT EVENTS AND ISSUES .................................................................................... 12 9. NM ADDED VALUE................................................................................................................. 13 NOTICE: All figures presented in this report are for the geographical area that is within Network Manager’s responsibility (NM area). See ACC coverage on page 3. 1. TOTAL TRAFFIC Last 13 months average daily traffic Average daily traffic for last 5 Years 32000 32000 30000 30000 28000 28000 26000 26000 24000 24000 22000 22000 20000 20000 18000 16000 28004 24756 22759 22695 23260 24991 26210 27884 29893 30024 29617 29673 27450 JUL JAN FEB SEP APR JUN OCT MAR MAY AUG NOV DEC 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 JUL JAN FEB SEP OCT APR JUN OCT NOV DEC MAR MAY AUG Traffic decreased by 2% compared to October 2011. Traffic in October 2012 was still above the 2009 level but it was below the 2010 level for the second time since February 2012. Average daily traffic in October for last 5 Years 12 months rolling traffic trend forecast date : 2012-09 4% 29000 3.2% 3.1% 2.9% 2.5% 3% 28500 1. 9 % 1. 6 % 27835 2% 28000 27500 1% 0.2% 27000 0% -0.5%-0.6% -0.9% -1.2% 26500 -1% -1.7% 28465 26895 27911 28004 27450 -1.9% 26000 -2% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 JUL SEP JAN FEB OCT OCT APR JUN AUG NOV DEC MAR MAY October 2012 traffic was significantly below the forecast. This graph shows the variation in total traffic for the last 12-month period relative to that for the 12-month period before. The total traffic from November 2011 to October 2012 decreased by 1.9% relative to that from November 2010 to October 2011. DNM Network Operations Report – Analysis - October 2012 1 Eight of the top 10 airports had less traffic compared to October 2011 (Paris CDG, London Heathrow, Amsterdam, Munich, Madrid Barajas, Rome Fiumicino, Barcelona and Vienna). Frankfurt and Istanbul Ataturk airports had increased traffic. The largest decrease was at Budapest Ferihegy (-20.1 %) airport as a result of Malév Hungarian Airlines ceasing operations in February 2012. The next largest decrease was at Las Palmas airport (-17.1%) as a result of Islas Airways ceasing operations on 16 October 2012, followed by Prague (-14.6%) airport. The 12% traffic decrease at Madrid Barajas airport is the result of overall traffic reduction in Spain in conjunction with Spanair cessation of operations in January 2012. The largest traffic increases were at Istanbul Sabiha (+15.2%), Istanbul Ataturk (+11.5%), Dublin (+11%) and Toulouse Blagnac (+10.9%) airports. The growth in Istanbul airports is in line with the ongoing traffic growth of Turkish Airlines and Pegasus Airlines. With the exception of Alitalia, the traffic for the top 10 air operators (Lufthansa, Ryanair, Easyjet, Air France, Turkish Airlines, SAS, Air Berlin, British Airways and KLM) increased in October 2012 compared to October 2011. Airline consolidation and restructuring explains most of the significant traffic decreases and increases: Air Nostrum (-33%), Czech Airlines (-32.9 %) and Finnair (-14.6%), United Airlines (+116.4%), BAW shuttle (+34.4% due to the cessation of BMIbaby operations in September) and Monarch airlines (+19%). Aeroflot Russian (+28.9%) and Loganair (+20%) recorded a real traffic growth. “Unidentified operators” (mainly General Aviation) decreased by 2% in October 2012. DNM Network Operations Report – Analysis - October 2012 2 Traffic increased significantly at Makedonia, Dnipropetrovsk, Dublin and Stavanger ACCs. Malta recorded an increase of 33.5% compared to October 2011 as a recovery from last year’s Libyan airspace closure. Traffic decreased significantly at Santa Maria, Canarias, Yerevan, Brindisi, Tampere and Budapest ACCs. DNM Network Operations Report – Analysis - October 2012 3 2. ATFM DELAY AND ATTRIBUTIONS Average daily ATFM delays EN-ROUTE Average daily ATFM delays EN-ROUTE AIRPORT/TMA AIRPORT/ TMA 70000 45000 38487 58861 40000 60000 51905 35000 50000 40892 30000 40000 38121 34114 34110 33623 30592 29434 25000 20374 30000 22810 20000 19761 16 3 8 2 16875 14 2 0 9 20000 15103 15000 10 0 0 0 10000 0 5000 65.4% 34.6% 53.6% 46.4% 0 JUL JAN FEB SEP OCT APR JUN OCT NOV DEC MAR MAY AUG 2 0 1110 2 0 12 10 The average daily ATFM delays decreased from 58861 minutes Compared to October 2011, ATFM delays decreased by 48 % in in October 2011 to 30592 minutes in October 2012. October 2012. The main reduction was in the en-route area particularly in Athens, Makedonia, Nicosia and Madrid ACCs. Frankfurt airport also experienced a significant reduction in delays compared to October last year. Monthly ATFM delays trend Proportion of ATFM delay in October 2012 20% 10.5% AIRPORT AIRPORT ATC 10% WEATHER, 32.2% CAPACITY, 5.4% 0% -10% AIRPORT -20.3% -22.2% -25.5% INFRASTRUCTU -20% EN-ROUTE ATC -38.4% RE, 8.9% -30% -43.8% CAPACITY, -40%-27.0% -30.8% 22.9% -50% -40.0% -46.0% EN-ROUTE -47.1% -60% -50.9% -48.0% EVENTS, 1.2% -70% -57.6% EN-ROUTE ATC -80% EN-ROUTE STAFFING, 18.8% -74.3% WEATHER & EXTERNAL EN-ROUTE ATC JUL JAN FEB SEP OCT APR JUN OCT NOV DEC MAR MAY AUG DISRUPTIONS, DISRUPTIONS, Comparison to same month last year Rolling 12 month trend 2.0% 8.7% ATFM delays continue to decline slightly. The 12 month trend has In October, 53.6% of all ATFM delay was en-route while the been -48% to -58% since May 2012. remaining 46.4% occurred at the Airports/TMA. En-route ATC capacity, staffing and disruptions accounted for 50.4% of all ATFM delays. French industrial action on 22-24 October accounted for 7.4 % of all ATFM delays in October. s Top 20 delay locations for ATFM delays in October 2012 AIRPORT ATC CAPACITY 14 % AIRPORT WEATHER 3491 12 % AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE EN-ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS 2846 10 % EN-ROUTE EVENTS EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS 8% 2176 1834 EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING 6% EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY 1086 10 18 9 9 1 933 4% 842 789 759 740 696 636 626 624 610 571 546 545 2% 0% Proportion of total ATFM delay ATFM total of Proportion ZURICH LANGEN ACC NICOSIA ACC MUENCHEN 2 MUENCHEN PARIS ACC ALL MARSEILLE ACC WARSZAWA ACC WARSZAWA LISBOA ACC/UAC MADRID ACC ALL BARCELONA ACC MADRID BARAJAS MADRID FRANKFURT MAIN WIEN SCHWECHAT CANARIAS ACC/FIC CANARIAS BORDEAUX ACC ALL ISTANBUL-ATATURK OSLO/GARDERMOEN LONDON/HEATHROW PARIS CH PARIS DE GAULLE SCHIPHOL_AMSTERDAM These are the top 20 delay generating locations for the reporting month. Figures are the average daily delays in minutes. • Langen ACC recorded the highest delays in October due to significant staffing issues and ATC capacity. • London Heathrow, Oslo, Amsterdam, Frankfurt, Munich, Vienna, Paris CDG and Madrid airports recorded delays due to weather mainly fog, low visibility, rain, wind and snow. • Lisbon ACC was strongly affected by staffing issues plus some reduction in capacity due to new software implementation. • French ACCs recorded significant delays due to the French Industrial action on 22-24 October. • Marseille, Barcelona, Canarias, Nicosia, Warsaw and Madrid ACCs registered significant ATC capacity delays. • The limited use of the optimum runway configurations at Zurich airport (due to environmental constraints) and at Istanbul Ataturk airport (due southerly winds) continued to cause significant delays. DNM Network Operations Report – Analysis - October 2012 4 3. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAYS 3.1. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER LOCATION s Top 20 delay locations for en-route delays in October 2012 12 % 3491 EN-ROUTE WEA THER & EXTERNAL DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE EV ENTS 10 % EN-ROUTE ATC DISRUPTIONS EN-ROUTE ATC STAFFING 8% 2176 EN-ROUTE ATC CAPACITY 1834 6% 10 18 9 9 1 4% 789 759 626 624 610 543 509 480 2% 309 246 243 18 8 14 2 12 6 12 5 0% Proportion of total ATFM delay total of Proportion WIEN ACC SEVILLA ACCSEVILLA ZURICH ACC ZURICH LANGEN ACC NICOSIA ACC ANKARA ACC REIMS U/ACC BREST U/ACC BREMEN ACC PARIS ACC ALL MUNCHEN ACC MUNCHEN MARSEILLE ACC WARSZAWA ACC WARSZAWA LISBOA ACC/UAC MADRID ALL ACC ALL MADRID BARCELONA ACC UAC KARLSRUHE CANARIAS ACC/FIC BORDEAUX ACC ALL AMSTERDAM ACC(245-) The top 20 en-route delay locations generated 52% of the monthly total (network) ATFM delay. The top 5 en-route delay locations generated 31% of the monthly total (network) ATFM delay. DNM Network Operations Report – Analysis - October 2012 5 3.2. EN-ROUTE ATFM DELAY PER DELAY GROUP Reasons for en-route delays in October 2012 En-route delays accounted for 53.6% of all ATFM delays. 22.9% EN-ROUTE EVENTS 1. 2 % were attributed to en-route ATC capacity, 18.8% to en-route ATC EN-ROUTE WEATHER & EXTERNAL staffing, 8.7% to en-route ATC disruptions, 2% to en-route 2.0%