SOUTH AFRICA’S NEW PASSENGER VEHICLE CO2 EMISSIONS BASELINE ANALYSIS Final Report June 2017 Prepared by: Francisco Posada Prepared for: FIA Foundation BEIJING | BERLIN | SAN FRANCISCO | WASHINGTON Acknowledgements Funding for this work was generously provided by the FIA Foundation. The author would like to thank Sheila Watson for her constant support on developing the technical work needed to place South Africa in the path towards decarbonizing the transport sector. Mehul Garg deserves a special acknowledgement as the main driver for data analysis and early draft generation. Mariah Harvey-Brown also contributed to be better understanding of the South African policy framework and fuel quality. Anup Bandivadekar and Oscar Delgado, big thanks for their comments and suggestions to improve this document. The International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) is an independent nonprofit organization founded to provide first-rate, unbiased research and technical and scientific analysis to environmental regulators. The ICCT participants’ council comprises high- level civil servants, academic researchers, and independent transportation and environmental policy experts, who come together at regular intervals to collaborate as individuals on setting a global agenda for clean transportation. It is funded principally by private foundations, such as the ClimateWorks Foundation in the U.S. and Stiftung Mercator in Europe. The International Council on Clean Transportation 1225 I Street NW Suite 900 Washington DC 20005 For additional information:
[email protected] | www.theicct.org © 2017 International Council on Clean Transportation Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 INTRODUCTION 3 1. VEHICLE MARKET OVERVIEW 5 SOUTH AFRICAN VEHICLE EXPORTS 7 NEW VEHICLE IMPORTS 8 2. VEHICLE CHARACTERISTICS 9 VEHICLE CHARACTERISTICS BY SEGMENT 9 VEHICLE CHARACTERISTICS BY MANUFACTURER 10 VEHICLE CHARACTERISTICS BY FUEL TYPE: DIESEL VS.