Midwest Political Science Association 65Th Annual National Conference April 12-15, 2007
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MPSA Midwest Political Science Association 65th Annual National Conference April 12-15, 2007 Thursday, April 12 – 8:00 am – 9:35 am 2-11 PERSPECTIVES ON FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN DEVELOPED DEMOCRACIES 1-106 ROUNDTABLE: TRANSITIONS TO DEMOCRACY rd (Co-sponsored with Comparative Politics: Transitions Room Salon 2, 3 Floor, Thur at 8:00 am Chair Robert J. Franzese, Jr., University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Toward Democracy, see 4-101) th Paper Policy: To Lock-, or Not To Lock-In? Room Red Lacquer, 4 Floor, Thur at 8:00 am Jorge Bravo, Duke University Chair David J. Samuels, University of Minnesota Iain McLean, Oxford University Panelist Barbara Geddes, University of California, Los Angeles Overview: Policy: to lock, or not to lock, in? A game theoretic Mitchell Seligson, Vanderbilt University model of policy commitment and electoral competition (Or why Zachary Elkins, University of Illinois the British Conservative Party did not introduce an independent Overview: This roundtable brings together scholars in an effort to Central Bank but Labour did). broadly assess the steps forward scholars have taken in recent Paper Institutions, Attention Shifts, and Changes within National years in assessing the causes of transitions to democracy, as well Budgets as assess persistent conceptual, theoretical and empirical hurdles. Christian Breunig, University of Washington Overview: Why do national governments legislate massive change 2-1 SOCIETIES AND WELFARE STATES: in some budget areas while leaving other parts untouched? DEVELOPMENT, MEASUREMENT, AND Decision-makers’ attention to a few issues at a time enables them IMPACTS OF SOCIAL POLICY to overcome the legislative road-blocks that usually prevent Room Salon 1, 3rd Floor, Thur at 8:00 am change. Chair Susan Giaimo, Marquette University Paper The Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on Different Types of Paper Women’s Resources and Welfare State Development Public Spending Catherine Bolzendahl, University of California, Irvine Marius R. Busemeyer, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Overview: Explores the impact of changing gender relations on Societies welfare state development in twelve industrialized democracies. Overview: The literature on fiscal decentralization reaches no firm Results provide evidence for the importance of marriage rates, conclusion on the size and direction of its impact on spending. women’s labor force participation, and women’s legislative This paper provides a new perspective by looking at different presence. types of spending (education, social... spending). Paper De-commodification and Trust: A Cross-Country Study for Paper Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions with an Independent Welfare Spending Central Bank Changkuk Jung, Michigan State University Thomas Sattler, ETH Zurich Overview: In the cross-country data, de-commodification Overview: I reassess the influence of central bank independence measured by ILO’s social spending separates out the effect of de- on the economy when policy preferences between the fiscal and commodification from the confounding effect of the universal- monetary authorities diverge. Using multivariate time series type institutions in the universal-welfare-trust literature. methods, I test the model’s implications for Germany from 1950 Paper The End of Work or Working Endlessly? Voters' Attitudes to to 1998. Retrenching Early Retirement Schemes in Europe Disc. Robert J. Franzese, Jr., University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Achim Kemmerling, Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin Overview: This paper investigates the role of causal beliefs for 4-5 PARTIES AND ELECTIONS IN DEMOCRATIC explaining voters' opinions on retrenchment in early retirement TRANSITIONS policies. Room PDR 4, 3rd Floor, Thur at 8:00 am Paper Beyond Fractions of GDP: How Politics Affects Actual Chair Matthew Golder, Florida State University Welfare Policies Paper Party System Institutionalization and the Level of Democracy Christine S. Lipsmeyer, Texas A&M University Frank C. Thames, Texas Tech University Overview: In this paper, I present and use a new measure of Joe Robbins, Texas Tech University welfare policy, one based on changes in the structures or Overview: The party system development literature is founded on characteristics of five policies—unemployment, pension, sickness, the assump tion that weak party systems undermine democracy. maternity, and family benefits—to show how governments shape Our paper tests this assumption by examining the effect of party social policy. system developement on democracy in Latin American and Disc. Susan Giaimo, Marquette University Eastern Europe. Paper The Number of Parties in Electoral Authoritarian Regimes: An Empirical Test Ora John E. Reuter, Emory University Andrew Kirkpatrick, Emory University Overview: This paper examines the determinants of party aggregation and fragmentation in electoral authoritarian regimes. Page | 67 Paper The Survival of Political Parties in Newly Established Paper Impacts of the EU’s Political Conditionality on Poland, Democracies Romania and Turkey Jason M. Smith, Texas A&M University Beken Saatcioglu, University of Virginia Shawn H. Williams, Central Texas College Overview: This paper analyzes the variation in compliance with Overview: Using organizational theory as a foundation, it is the EU’s political membership criteria in Poland, Romania and argued that the survival of new parties is a function of the Turkey and uses content analysis to discover the levels of clarity resources available, the background of leaders, the environment in and credibility of the EU’s post-1993 political conditionality. which these parties exist, and the embeddedness of these new Disc. Marko Papic, University of Texas, Austin parties. Zeki Sarigil, University of Pittsburgh Paper The Fallacy of The Fallacy of Electoralism Michael Cutrone, Princeton University 8-1 DECENTRALIZATION AND SUBNATIONAL Nedim Ogelman, GOVERNMENTS IN LATIN AMERICA Overview: This paper reconsiders the 'fallacy of electoralism' and Room Sandburg 6, 7th Floor, Thur at 8:00 am argues that a proper understanding of electoral competition can Chair Allyson Benton, CIDE, Mexico encapsulate the requisites for democracy. Paper The International Political Economy of Decentralization in Disc. Emily A. Beaulieu, University of Kentucky Latin America J. Tyler Dickovick, Washington and Lee University 5-1 BARGAINING POWER IN POLICY MAKING Kent Eaton, University of California, Santa Cruz Room Salon 4, 3rd Floor, Thur at 8:00 am Overview: This paper analyzes the numerous conflicts that have Chair Claudia Dahlerus, Albion College emerged involving subnational governments and foreign Paper Voucher Reforms in Americas and Swedens Schools investment across Latin America in the wake of decentralization Michael B. Klitgaard, University of Southern Denmark and liberalization. Overview: This paper explains the American rejection and Paper Clientelism and Social Policy in Argentine Municipalities Swedish adoption of public vouchers in primary school policy as a Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro, Columbia University consequence of varying institutional rules for political decision Overview: Why do some local governments perform well, while making between these two countries. others perform poorly, distributing goods in a personalistic Paper Strategic Policy-Seekers and Electoral Systems: The Politics of manner? This paper uses an original dataset of social welfare Education policy implementation in Argentine cities to explain such Tim Hicks, Nuffield College, University of Oxford variation. Overview: With the electoral system providing in-built advantage Paper Collective Action through Association: The Mexican National to Left or Right, we should expect each party to exploit this Conference of Governors knowledge in policy formulation. This mechanism is used Laura Flamand, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte, Mexico formally to explain the diverse politics of school vouchers across Overview: By exploring the creation and upholding of the countries. Mexican National Conference of Governors (Conago), this paper Paper Policy Balancing in Presidential Elections: The Effect of analyzes a solution to the collective action problem faced by Presidential Powers governors in their interactions with the central government. Orit Kedar, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Paper Revitalized Federalism and the Role of Governors in Overview: Using constitutional and electoral data from most Argentina: Some Insights from the Experience of the Frente presidential democracies since the war, I demonstrate that the Federal de Gobernadores more constitutionally powerful is the president, the greater the loss Juan Cruz Olmeda, Northwestern University of support for her party in nonconcurrent legislative elections. Overview: Considering the case of the, still not extensively Paper The Impact of Incumbency on Budget Deficits studied, "Frente Federal de Gobernadores” in Argentina this paper Jeffrey R. Kucik, Emory University aims to better understand the conditions under which governors Stephen Chaudion, Emory University form coalitions to negotiate with the federal authorities. Overview: We formalize the impact of electoral outcomes on a Paper The Municipalismo Movement in Brazil: An Examination of government's ability to sustain inflated budget deficits in periods National and State Level following an exogenous economic shock. We find that the size of Mariano Magalhaes, Augustana College electoral mandate is a key determinant of future deficit spending. Raquel Barros, Augustana College Disc. Claudia Dahlerus,