Liberal Arguments in Defence and Security

How can live up to high Expectations

Authors: Václav Bacovský, Sebastian Vagt, Peter Kréko, Csaba Molnár 2 Liberal Arguments in Defence and Security Introduction

Introduction

Europeans had to realize in recent years that their security is being shaken up by a series of troubling developments. The threat of conventional war has reemerged with an aggressive Russia challenging the integrity of Ukraine. The fear of terror has grown in the face of an increasing frequency of attacks.

tability around the continent has severely decreased with political groups. But what makes liberal security politics special? civil war and state failure on the rise in the Middle East and How do liberal values correspond with the notion of security? And SNorthern Africa. At the same time traditional alliances and what can we learn from liberal voter’s expectations? security guarantees are being put into question. The newly elected The European together with the Friedrich-Naumann- American president only reluctantly confirmed his commitment Foundation for Freedom undertook the endeavor to explore these to the transatlantic alliance while the largest European military guiding questions. As a starting point we took the assumption that power, the , is exiting from the EU without a clear liberal parties can learn most from each other and their potential agreement on future security cooperation. electorate. Accordingly we started by inviting 15 representatives of liberal parties who convened for two workshops in Against this backdrop, it does not surprise that Europeans, and exchanged their views. They helped define some interesting according to a recent Eurobarometer poll, expect the European questions to potential voters: Would you be willing to pay higher Union to engage stronger in security politics. Surprisingly, taxes for your country’s military? Would you support conscription if potential liberal voters expressed an equally high desire for it meant that your child had to serve in the military? How important security than others. But in contrast to other respondents, they is NATO for your country? are more concerned about the restriction of fundamental rights and freedoms in . This suggests that liberal parties can live We used these and other questions to conduct independent up to the expectations of their electorate by pronouncing security online surveys in Lithuania, and . The results political positions that are genuinely distinct from competing and main findings are being presented in this paper. They do only 3 Liberal Arguments in Defence and Security Introduction

reflect a limited selection of countries and topics and thus don’t the most supportive towards active defense politics. But they serve as a valid basis for practical recommendations. But they did also explain that Lithuanians, Belgians and Hungarians perceive provide a starting point for vivid discussion among our workshop different threats to their security and accordingly wish for different participants and will hopefully be equally interesting to the reader security political approaches on the EU level. of this paper. By providing a theoretical framework for liberal security politics as In part one, Vaclav Bacovsky summarizes the main arguments that well as an overview of security political attitudes across Europe, were exchanged during our workshop discussions. He explores how this paper strives to motivate liberal stakeholders to engage more liberal values correspond with security politics and stresses that actively in security and defence politics. the notion of security has shifted from a narrow, national definition to a broader individual one, commonly referred to as ‘human security’. In this way of thinking, the individual must be understood as both, the most important unit to protect but also a potential source of threat. That means modern security politics put the individual at the center of its considerations, just as liberalism does in principle. This being said, it becomes clear why liberal arguments are so important in security politics.

In part two, Peter Kreko and Csaba Molnár analyze the results of our survey and present their main findings. They summarize that there is strong support for more intense European military cooperation across all three countries. Potential liberal voters are among 4 Liberal Arguments in Defence and Security Overview: the European public opinion on defence issues

Overview: the European public opinion on defence issues

We started out investigation with the overview of existing research on attitudes of Europeans, and European liberals on security issues. We summarized our findings in five statements:

1. FIGURE SUPPORT FOR A COMMON DEFENCE SECURITY POLICY AMONG THE EU MEMBER STATES (PERCENTAGE OF ANSWERS ‘FOR’ IN 1. NOVEMBER 2016) Contrary to the general assumption that Euroscepticism prevails 100% in all policy area, we found stable and high support for a common 90% defence security policy among citizens of the EU – in almost all 80% member states. 70% 60% 50% 40% 2. 30% 20% For most people, it is important to live in secure surroundings. 10% Liberal voters are no different in his respect: for them, security 0% is similarly important than for voters of other parties, need for Malta Cyprus Ireland Belgium Slovakia security is rather a uniting, and not a divisive thing. Hungary Lithuania Luxembourg Czech European United Kingdom United 5 Liberal Arguments in Defence and Security Overview: the European public opinion on defence issues

3. 5. We also found that immigration and terrorism are still important Liberal voters seem to be a less concerned about immigration- but concerns EU-wide as a result of the refugee crisis and terrorist they are also concerned. A relatively large proportion, 41 per cent attacks – even if their importance is decreasing in most EU member of voters of liberal parties tend to agree1 with the statement: crime states. In these issues, voters are expecting political solutions from problems in their country made worse by immigrants. Supporters their leaders. of non-Liberal parties tend to agree slightly more (45%). People rather associate the worsening of crime problems with migration. Respondents who either voted for or feel close to a tend 4. to agree less, this attitude is quite dominant among them, too. The EU has an ambivalent perception when it comes to maintaining security. In general, it is still widely seen as a guarantor of peace. Also, there is a strong perception of security 2. FIGURE ARE THE COUNTRY’S CRIME PROBLEMS MADE WORSE OR at both national and EU levels, security fears are far from being BETTER BY PEOPLE COMING TO LIVE HERE FROM OTHER COUNTRIES? (PERCENTAGE OF ANSWERS ON A 0: ‘CRIME PROBLEMS MADE WORSE’ dominant within the EU. But angel lies in the details: EU is seen as – 10: ’CRIME PROBLEMS MADE BETTER’ SCALE. SOURCE OF DATA: highly incompetent in defending its borders, handling the refugee EUROPEAN SOCIAL SURVEY ROUND 7, AUTUMN 2014 – SPRING 2015) crisis, handling immigration-related threats.

Supporters of non-Liberal parties

Supporters of Liberal parties

1 Sum of answers 0-3 on the scale of 0:Crime problems made worse - 10:Crime problems made better. The following question was asked: Are [country]’s crime problems made Rather worse (answers 0-3) Neither worse nor better (answers 4-6) worse or better by people coming to live here from other countries? Rather better (answers 7-10) DK/NA