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Chris Lanksbury, Chapman Taylor Students Showing Off Their Designs Or a Mini-Museum” Neil Saunders, Conlumino

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Chris Lanksbury, Chapman Taylor Students Showing Off Their Designs Or a Mini-Museum” Neil Saunders, Conlumino I S S ( THE ART AND SCIENCE OF) U E 01 THE POSSIBLE AUTUMNISSUE 201601 ( THE ART AND SCIENCE OF ) THE POSSIBLE 4 (THE ART AND SCIENCE OF) THE POSSIBLE The future of life on Earth is the future of cities, and the future of cities is inextricably linked to the future of engineering and design. New ideas, innovations and technologies will be crucial to how well we are able to manage the challenges of population growth, urbanization, ageing demographics and climate change as the century progresses. Anyone with a professional interest in the built environment — or who is simply interested in these incredibly exciting places called cities — needs to understand what’s coming up. But more than this, they need to understand how to actually apply these ideas to make a difference on their own projects and in their own localities. THE ART AND SCIENCE OF That’s what we’re trying to do with this magazine. “The art and science of the possible” is one way to describe what we do as engineers — so that’s what we’ve called it. Tom Smith, WSP Parsons Brinckerhoff “Ingenuity, resourcefulness and creativity are the best resources for achieving change” Susan Krumdieck / page 8 Editor-in-chief Julie Guppy Editorial consultants Steve Burrows, Cover illustration by Noma Bar Published by Wordmule © WSP Parsons Brinckerhoff Editor Katie Puckett Philippe Honnorat, Bridget Kennerley, wordmule.co.uk 1600 René-Lévesque Blvd. W Production editor Nick Jones Paul Tremble Design by Supermassive 16th floor Creative director Sam Jenkins Printed by Greenshires Montreal, Quebec H3H 1P9 Canada wsp-pb.com 6 (THE ART AND SCIENCE OF) THE POSSIBLE CONTENTS 11.2016 CONNECTED THINKING THE HUMAN FACTOR 6 40 Our panel of columnists take on the future … INTERVIEW: Steve Burrows welcomes a disruptive element 7 PROFESSOR HEINZ WOLFF Susan Krumdieck dodges an iceberg 8 Nathanael Johnson embraces the urban wild 10 The inventor of bioengineering has turned away Lauren Isaac punctures driverless myths 12 from technology as he seeks to solve the crisis in Christian Wictorin rethinks broadband 13 care for older people Lord Richard Best redefines old age 14 Joel Kotkin foresees the death of the megacity 16 SPACES 44 THE CREATIVITY ENIGMA 14 18 Companies will seemingly go to any lengths 18 to encourage innovation in the workplace. But the source of this 21st-century business LIFE SUPPORT elixir is proving elusive … Can technology defuse the demographic timebomb? We examine the potential for better-connected buildings and cities to care for ageing populations 40 TOOLS 26 THE SMARTEST PLACE I KNOW 50 STACKED UP Disruptive innovation expert Mike Steep picks 26 50 the US’s most digitized city As populations soar, the need to build quickly, safely and cost-effectively is greater than ever. The answer lies with modular construction — but not as we know it 62 28 THE FUTURE OF SHOPPING DISTRICTS 28 44 62 BLANK CANVAS The internet has transformed the world of retail. So if we don’t need to leave home to get the A contractor’s plea: can you make construction things we want, where does that leave our weather-proof? One problem, three engineers, shopping streets and malls? no constraints 7 (THE ART AND SCIENCE OF) THE POSSIBLE #DISRUPTIVETECHNOLOGY #REVOLUTIONIZINGCONSTRUCTION HERE COME THE DISRUPTORS In Silicon Valley, building twice as fast, for half the cost, to last twice as long is not an impossible dream, writes Steve Burrows ne of the great things about between 50% and 90% of labour hours increasing speed and assuring quality at the start-up world. They believe that if O living in San Francisco is that I on site add no value at all, while fatality significantly lower costs. you share what you’re doing, you will gain get to spend my evenings with Silicon rates are second only to mining. No The idea of building twice as fast, for from other people helping you and giving Valley start-ups — the closest thing to wonder Silicon Valley thinks it’s ripe for half the cost, to last twice as long is not a you free advice. It’s Wikipedia versus glimpsing the future. So far, I’ve worked a revolution. dream. That’s just the level of change that Encyclopedia Britannica. with something like 150, all seeking How are they going to do it? First, produces the kind of returns that these For many of these firms, their concepts funding for ideas that aim to revolutionize there are algorithms: anything we do start-ups are aiming for. I absolutely are proven and their greatest concern some aspect of construction. today that is rules-based will be done believe that it’s possible if we set our is adoption: how to get the industry to Silicon Valley is only just waking up tomorrow by a machine. This will change minds to it. accept change. The most striking thing to the size of the global construction the design process, and with it the role of Data will be vital in this new world. about start-ups is that they have no fear industry. They’re looking for the next professional advisers. We will be able to Learning from one project to another of the status quo. Instead of starting billion-dollar-a-year business. Companies run thousands of optimized designs, live, will be expected and knowledge will with the legal or technical reasons why like Apple and Google have been in front of clients, and the trick will be to travel freely around the world via open- something won’t work, they believe every predominantly focused on the consumer make decisions when faced with data- source networks. There will inevitably problem can be solved by technology. market, but now they’ve got to find the rich options. Prefabrication and robotics be questions about intellectual property. There’s a solution to everything, and next big thing. So they’re branching out will see construction taking place in a But the start-ups I work with give their if somebody says no, it’s just one step into the motor industry with autonomous controlled environment with building elevator pitch in front of everyone — closer to a “yes”. vehicles, and into healthcare with information models connecting directly industry experts, investors, their peers, wearables — and If you look at the top- to the tools, in the factory and on site. the competition. They also provide data Steve Burrows is executive vice president spending industries in the world, there’s The process will be optimized too, about how successful their product has at WSP Parsons Brinckerhoff and a visiting no question that construction is bigger through principles such as LEAN or been in operation. Open source is god in lecturer at Stanford University than either retail or motor. Advantage Strategy. The boundaries The other reason construction is a between architect, engineer, constructor target is that it’s barely changed in the and client will blur. There will be far last 100 years. It is the only industry in more collaboration between designer “Open source is god in the start-up world. They believe that if the world in which productivity is lower and constructor, as contracts converge Paddy Mills Paddy you share what you’re doing, you will gain from other people today than it was at the end of the and modular solutions can be Portraits Second World War. Research shows that chosen earlier, reducing site labour, helping you. It’s Wikipedia versus Encyclopedia Britannica” P50 9 (THE ART AND SCIENCE OF) THE POSSIBLE CONNECTED THINKING #TRANSITIONENGINEERING #CLIMATECHANGE #WICKEDPROBLEMS utility, energy return on energy invested, in changing course. In all instances, and net surplus to the economy from the technology used in the 100-year “You know that at 11:39pm on 14 April the lookout will spot an HOW TO STOP THE TITANIC coal, oil and gas are colossal. Engineering discovery is known today, but projects and technology provided access to these to bring about the necessary change iceberg, and by 2:20am the ship and 1,517 people will be gone. benefits at bargain prices. We now refer are few. The problem is the economics Knowing the future is the easy part. The real challenge is to this unsustainable activity as business- of short-term perceived risk. For Can you change the future?” changing course — whether you’re heading for an iceberg or as-usual (BAU), and it is difficult to example, the design tools and materials climate change catastrophe, writes Susan Krumdieck imagine changing course or slowing for near-zero passive buildings are down. Society and its leaders expect already known, but the business of low- that technology will provide new sources energy redevelopment is not growing of green energy, and keep the economy fast enough. P49 growing with minimal inconvenience. The next phase is to develop shift et’s explore a thought puzzle: Can operator will receive numerous warnings was a problem, the captain or the owners However, innovative thinking is stifled The transition approach includes honest projects and new business opportunities transit-oriented development along a rents and lower energy costs. The L you change the future? from other ships about large icebergs in would do something. if we focus on catastrophic failure. assessment of green technologies and that improve energy performance tram corridor into the central business shift project includes an insurance You are transported onto the deck of the direct path. You could seek out the You are running out of time. How can For example, modern buildings, cities, whether they actually can change or slow through holistic measures. These district. The enterprise has developed product that de-risks investment in the RMS Titanic, the largest ship ever operator and help him communicate the you slow down the ship, enabling the and the entire economy would fail if the BAU course.
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