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Article: Banza, Paula, MacGregor, Callum James orcid.org/0000-0001-8281-8284, Belo, Anabela DF et al. (3 more authors) (2019) Wildfire alters the structure and seasonal dynamics of nocturnal pollen‐transport networks. Functional . ISSN 0269-8463 https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.13388

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[email protected] https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/ 1 Wildfire alters the structure and seasonal dynamics of nocturnal pollen-transport 2 networks 3 4 Running head: Wildfire affects nocturnal pollination 5 6 7 Paula Banzaa,b, Callum J. Macgregorc,d,e,f,1, Anabela D.F. Belog, Richard Foxe, Michael J.O. 8 Pocockd & Darren M. Evansc

9 a: Instituto de Ciências Agrárias e Ambientais Mediterrânicas, Instituto de Investigação e 10 Formação Avançada, Universidade de Évora, Núcleo da Mitra, Ap. 94, 7006-554, Évora, 11 Portugal.

12 b: A Rocha Portugal, Mexilhoeira Grande, Portugal

13 c: School of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon 14 Tyne, NE1 7RU, UK.

15 d: Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Maclean Building, Benson Lane, Crowmarsh Gifford, 16 Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, UK.

17 e: Butterfly Conservation, Manor Yard, East Lulworth, Wareham, Dorset, BH20 5QP, UK.

18 f: Department of Biology, University of York, Wentworth Way, York, YO10 5DD, UK.

19 g: Instituto de Ciências Agrárias e Ambientais Mediterrânicas, Departamento de Biologia, 20 Escola de Ciências e Tecnologia, Universidade de Évora, Núcleo da Mitra, Ap. 94, 7006-554, 21 Évora, Portugal.

22

23 1: corresponding author. Current address: Department of Biology, University of York, 24 Wentworth Way, York, YO10 5DD, UK. Email: [email protected]. Tel: (+44) 25 01904 328623. No fax available.

26 27

1

28 Abstract

29 1. Wildfires drive global patterns and affect plant-pollinator interactions,

30 and are expected to become more frequent and severe under climate change. Post-fire

31 plant communities often have increased floral and diversity, but the effects

32 of wildfires on the ecological process of pollination are poorly understood. Nocturnal

33 are globally important pollinators, but no previous study has examined the

34 effects of wildfire on nocturnal pollination interactions.

35 2. We investigated the effects of wildfire on nocturnal pollen transport networks. We

36 analysed the abundance and of moths and flowers, and the structure

37 of these networks, at three burned and three unburned sites in Portugal for two years,

38 starting eight months after a large fire.

39 3. Nocturnal pollen-transport networks had lower complexity and robustness following

40 the fire than at nearby unburned sites. Overall, 70% of individual moths carried

41 pollen, and moths were found to be transporting pollen from 83% of the flower

42 species present. Burned sites had significantly more abundant flowers, but less

43 abundant and species-rich moths. Individual moths transported more pollen in

44 summer at burned sites, but less in winter; however, total pollen-transport by the

45 assemblage at burned sites was just 20% of that at unburned sites. Interaction turnover

46 between burned and unburned networks was high.

47 4. Negative effects of fire upon moths will likely permeate to other taxa through loss of

48 mutualisms. Therefore, if wildfires become more frequent under climate change,

49 resilience may be eroded. Understanding the responses of ecological

50 networks to wildfire can inform management that promotes resilience and facilitates

51 whole- conservation.

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52 Resumo Português (Second language abstract: Portuguese)

53 1. Os fogos florestais induzem padrões mundiais de biodiversidade, afectando as

54 interações planta-polinizador, e é expectável que se tornem mais frequentes e severos

55 num cenário de alterações climáticas. As comunidades vegetais do pós-fogo

56 apresentam frequentemente maior abundância e diversidade florística. No entanto, os

57 efeitos dos fogos florestais sobre o processo ecológico da polinização são pouco

58 conhecidos. Os lepidópteros nocturnos são polinizadores importantes a nível mundial,

59 mas apesar disso nenhum estudo escrutinou, até à data, os efeitos dos fogos florestais

60 sobre as interações produzidas entre as plantas e os polinizadores nocturnos.

61 2. Investigámos os efeitos dos fogos florestais nas redes de transporte de pólen por

62 polinizadores nocturnos. Analisámos a abundância e riqueza específica de traças e

63 plantas em flor, e a estrutura destas redes, em três áreas ardidas e três não ardidas em

64 Portugal, durante dois anos, com início oito meses após um grande fogo.

65 3. As redes nocturnas de transporte de pólen apresentaram menor complexidade e

66 robustez após o fogo quando comparadas com áreas próximas não ardidas.

67 Globalmente, 70% das traças transportavam pólen do qual 83% pertencia a plantas em

68 flor presentes no local. Nas áreas ardidas a floração foi significativamente mais

69 abundante, mas a abundância e a riqueza específica das traças foram menores. Nas

70 áreas ardidas, cada traça individualmente transportou mais pólen no Verão, mas

71 menos no Inverno; no entanto, o total de pólen transportado pelo conjunto das traças

72 foi de apenas 20% do das áreas não ardidas. O turnover das interações entre áreas

73 ardidas e não ardidas foi elevado.

74 4. Os efeitos negativos dos fogos sobre as traças irão provavelmente fazer-se sentir

75 noutros taxa em consequência da perda de mutualismos. Portanto, se os fogos

76 florestais se tornarem mais frequentes por causa das alterações climáticas, a

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77 resiliência das comunidades pode ser afectada. Compreender as respostas das redes

78 ecológicas aos fogos florestais pode contribuir para uma gestão que promova a

79 resiliência e facilite a conservação do ecossistema como um todo.

80 81

82 Keywords

83 , ecological networks, fire, flowering plants, , Mediterranean, moths, 84 pollination

85 86

87

88

4

89 Introduction

90 Wildfire drives biodiversity patterns globally through heterogeneous disturbance regimes

91 (Kelly & Brotons, 2017). It is especially important within Mediterranean (Faivre,

92 Roche, Boer, McCaw, & Grierson, 2011), where wildfires have become more frequent and

93 severe since the 1970s because agricultural abandonment has caused fuel accumulation

94 (Moreira, Rego, & Ferreira, 2001; Pausas & Fernández-Muñoz, 2011). Climate change is

95 expected to drive further increases in frequency and severity of fires (Flannigan et al., 2013).

96 Fires can shape plant-pollinator communities (Brown, York, Christie, & McCarthy, 2017;

97 Ponisio et al., 2016), leading to reduced abundance of pollinators and flowers (Potts, Dafni,

98 & Ne’eman, 2001) and reductions in plant reproductive success (Ne’eman, Dafni, & Potts,

99 2000), or increased floral resources through a flush of secondary succession (Capitanio &

100 Carcaillet, 2008; Potts et al., 2003). By altering community composition, fire may have

101 secondary effects on plant-pollinator networks (Welti & Joern, 2017), but no study has

102 investigated the direct effects of fire on plant-pollinator network properties (Brown, York,

103 Christie, & McCarthy, 2017). metrics are increasingly used as tools for

104 biodiversity monitoring and assessment of environmental change (Derocles et al., 2018),

105 because they can describe important changes in the structure and function of whole

106 ecosystems that might not be detected by measuring species abundance and diversity.

107 Moths are potentially pollinators of global importance (Macgregor et al., 2019; Macgregor,

108 Pocock, Fox, & Evans, 2015), and may be especially important in the Mediterranean (Banza,

109 Belo, & Evans, 2015). They are in decline (Conrad, Warren, Fox, Parsons, & Woiwod,

110 2006), with probable drivers of those declines including fragmentation, climate

111 change (Fox et al., 2014), and artificial light at night (Macgregor, Evans, Fox, & Pocock,

112 2017; van Langevelde et al., 2018). Wildfire may also affect moths; of the few studies of the

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113 effects of wildfire upon Lepidoptera, most find negative impacts (Kral, Limb, Harmon, &

114 Hovick, 2017). Fire can lead to mortality of larvae through host plant destruction (Fowles,

115 Bailey, & Hale, 2004), subterranean pupae (Schmid, Thomas, & Rogers, 1981), and even

116 adults (Gerson & Kelsey, 1997). However, the effects of fire on moths and their pollen-

117 transport interactions at community-level have not been studied.

118 Here, we examined the response of nocturnal moth-plant interaction networks to a large fire

119 in southern Portugal. By assessing the abundance and diversity of moths, flowers, and their

120 networks of pollen-transport interactions year-round at three burned and three unburned large

121 sites for two years following the fire, we tested four hypotheses about the effects of wildfire

122 on nocturnal pollen-transport systems: (i) that burned sites would have more flowers than

123 unburned sites, because some species would respond to fire by flowering; (ii) that burned

124 sites would have fewer moths than unburned sites, because of damage to larval host plants;

125 (iii) that pollen-transport networks at burned sites would be less interaction-rich (because

126 under hypothesis ii, the abundance and species richness of moths would be lower) and have

127 lower complexity than at unburned sites; and (iv) that pollen-transport networks at burned

128 sites would have lower robustness (a measure of the tolerance of networks to species

129 extinctions (Memmott, Waser, & Price, 2004)) than at unburned sites, because generalist

130 species play important roles in maintaining network stability (Tylianakis, Laliberté, Nielsen,

131 & Bascompte, 2010), but the loss of larval host plants might drive random local extinctions

132 of generalist flower-visiting moths.

133 Materials and methods

134 Study system

135 The study followed a large fire in July 2012, affecting approximately 225 km2 in the Serra do

136 Caldeirão region near Faro, Portugal (see Fig. S1 in Supporting Information). This is a

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137 mountainous shrubland ecosystem (maximum altitude 575 m) containing semi-natural cork

138 oak woodland with high conservation value.

139 Fieldwork took place from April 2013 to May 2015. We established three 40 x 40 m study

140 sites each in the burned area and a nearby unburned area (Fig. S1). All sites had intermediate

141 densities of oak trees and shrubs at a similar successional stage. The sets of burned sites and

142 of unburned sites each contained a similar range of aspects and altitudes, and all were situated

143 on slopes of > 10% gradient (Table S1). Sites within the same treatment were separated by >

144 300 m, and sites in different treatments by > 500 m. Throughout the study, sites were

145 sampled approximately every two months by moth sampling and floral transects. Each site

146 was sampled on 13-15 occasions in total.

147 Moth sampling

148 Moths were sampled using Heath-style light traps (Heath, 1965) baited with 6 W actinic

149 tubes (Philips TL6W/05, Philips, Amsterdam, Netherlands) powered by 12 V batteries. Traps

150 were situated at the centre of the site and operated between sunset and sunrise; exact set-up

151 and collection times varied throughout the year (Fig. S2). Captured moths were retained in

152 individual tubes for subsequent pollen analysis. Moths were identified to the lowest possible

153 taxonomic level, using a local reference collection and several UK field guides (Manley,

154 2008; Sterling & Parsons, 2012; Waring & Townsend, 2009).

155 Floral transects

156 Two parallel 10 m transects were established, 10 m apart, at the centre of each plot. A 1 x 1

157 m quadrat was placed every two metres along each transect line (n = 10). For each quadrat,

158 percentage cover of all plant species currently in flower (henceforth referred to as flowers)

159 was recorded. Specimens of all flowers were collected and identified using the Iberian Flora

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160 (Castroviejo, 1986-2014), Flora-On: Flora de Portugal Interactiva (http://flora-on.pt), and

161 collections in the University of Évora herbarium (HUEV); nomenclature and family-level

162 were subsequently corrected to follow the Plant List (http://www.theplantlist.org).

163 A pollen reference collection was prepared to assist with pollen analysis, by sampling pollen

164 from each species of flower present at the sites and fixing it on microscope slides. The

165 reference collection contained pollen of 86 plant species from 34 families, including all

166 species recorded on transects.

167 Pollen identification

168 All sampled moths were examined for pollen. After relaxation for 12 hours, the head,

169 proboscis and legs of each moth was swabbed with a small cube of fuchsin jelly (Beattie,

170 1972), and a microscope slide prepared with the swab and examined at 400x magnification.

171 Pollen was identified to the lowest possible taxonomic level using the pollen reference

172 collection described above. Whilst pollen-transport by moths does not prove the existence of

173 successful pollination of any plant (King, Ballantyne, & Willmer, 2013), it is a commonly-

174 used proxy in pollination networks (Banza, Belo, & Evans, 2015), being less time-consuming

175 to collect data on than alternative measures such as single-visit deposition.

176 Analytical methods

177 Analyses were conducted in R version 3.4.4 (R Core Team, 2018), using a range of packages

178 (Table S2).

179 Seasons were defined as follows: October-December (“autumn”), January-March (“winter”),

180 April-June (“spring”), and July-September (“summer”). These represented clearly-separated

181 phases in annual cycles of floral and moth abundance, with flushes in spring and autumn.

182 Over the study period, we sampled for 9 seasons. Therefore, “season” henceforth refers to a

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183 four-level categorical variable (spring, summer, etc.), and “sampling period” refers to a nine-

184 level continuous variable (spring of year 1, etc.) describing the number of seasons since the

185 study commenced. For network analysis, we pooled interactions across sites and samples into

186 distinct networks for each treatment (burned or unburned) and sampling period, to construct a

187 total of 9 pairs of networks.

188 Sampling completeness

189 Detecting 90% of species and/or interactions comprising a network has previously been

190 proposed as a balance between obtaining a representative sample of the network, and the

191 diminishing returns of increasing sampling effort (Chao, Colwell, Lin, & Gotelli, 2009). For

192 each of our networks we estimated sampling completeness of species and interactions.

193 Sampling completeness of moth and flower species was calculated for each network as (100

194 × observed richness) ÷ (estimated richness), where the estimated species richness was

195 calculated using the Chao2 estimator (Chao, 1987). Sampling completeness of interactions

196 was calculated following Macgregor, Evans, & Pocock (2017), using SCW2 and the Chao2

197 estimator. Interaction sampling completeness was estimated for each observed moth species

198 as (100 × observed interactions) ÷ (estimated interactions), where the estimated interaction

199 richness was calculated using Chao2, and the mean of all species’ interaction sampling

200 completeness was taken, weighted by each species’ estimated interaction richness.

201 Pollen-transport networks

202 We constructed 9 pairs of bipartite pollen-transport networks using the pooled data from each

203 sampling period and treatment, and calculated weighted descriptive metrics for analysis. We

204 created quantitative, interaction frequency-weighted pollen-transport networks, weighting

205 each interaction by the number of individual moths of a species carrying pollen of a plant

206 species, because interaction frequency predicts the relative strength of pollination interactions

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207 well (Vázquez, Morris, & Jordano, 2005). Specifically, to test the effects of burning on

208 network complexity and - asymmetry, we analysed: linkage density (a

209 measure of network complexity), generality of plants and of moths (measures of consumer-

210 resource asymmetry; sometimes termed ‘vulnerability’ and ‘generality’ respectively), and

211 niche overlap (a measure of the degree to which species share interaction partners).

212 Additionally, we compared the ‘robustness’ (tolerance to species extinctions (Burgos et al.,

213 2007)) of burned and unburned networks by simulating the random loss of moth species

214 (taking the mean robustness across 1000 bootstrapped simulations). For comparison, we

215 repeated these analyses with quantitative, pollen load-weighted pollen-transport networks,

216 weighting interactions by the total number of pollen grains of a plant species carried by all

217 individual moths of a species.

218 Statistical testing

219 We used generalised linear models (GLMs) and generalised linear mixed-effects models

220 (GLMMs) to test the effects of burning, season, sampling period and their two-way

221 interactions. We tested for effects on abundance and estimated species richness (using

222 Chao2) of moths and flowers between samples, separately retesting the effects of fire on

223 floral abundance and richness of annual and biennial plants only (henceforth ‘annuals’) and

224 all other plant species (perennials, bulbs, shrubs and trees; henceforth ‘perennials’).

225 Additionally, we tested for differences in community composition of moths and flowers at

226 family-level, and moths, flowers and interactions at species-level, between burned and

227 unburned sites, using Bray-Curtis dissimilarities tested by permutational multivariate analysis

228 of variance.

229 To investigate effects on pollen-transport, we first tested for effects on the proportion of

230 moths carrying pollen. Using individual, pollen-carrying moths as replicates, we tested for

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231 effects on pollen count and species richness. We then pooled the pollen loads of all moths

232 within each sample, and tested for effects at sample-level on the total quantity and species

233 richness of pollen being transported by the entire moth assemblage. We examined the relative

234 abundance of species recorded on floral transects and in winter, when a single plant species

235 (Ulex argenteus Webb) dominated the assemblage, we separately retested the effects of

236 burning on floral abundance, proportion of moths carrying pollen, and pollen count at

237 individual- and sample-levels, both for U. argenteus alone and for all other plant species

238 combined.

239 Finally, we tested for effects on the five network metrics described above. We used treatment

240 and season in all models as fixed effects; an interaction term between the two was initially

241 included, but if found to be non-significant, was removed and the model retested with the two

242 variables included separately. For analyses with multiple replicates per sampling period (i.e.

243 when replicates were individual moths (n = 3406), pollen-carrying moths (n = 2934), samples

244 of moths (n = 73), or quadrats on floral transects (n = 1260), but not when replicates were

245 networks (n = 18)), we also included sampling period as a fixed effect, and tested its two-way

246 interactions with both treatment and season as above. To account for spatio-temporal

247 autocorrelation, we included site as a random effect in all analyses with multiple replicated

248 per sampling period, but no random effects were included when networks were replicates.

249 For dependent variables, we selected between Poisson and log-transformed Gaussian error

250 distributions on a case-by-case basis (selecting the best-fitting model by visual inspection of

251 model residual plots). The exceptions to these were the proportion of moths carrying pollen,

252 for which we used a binomial error distribution, and the five network metrics, for which we

253 used untransformed Gaussian error distributions. Significance of fixed effects was tested in

254 GLMs using F-tests and GLMMs using Likelihood Ratio Tests; consequently, where

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255 interaction terms were significant and retained, we present χ2 and P-values for the interaction

256 term only (not independently for its constituent variables).

257 Moths might have cross-contaminated each other with pollen whilst in moth-traps, so we

258 repeated all relevant main analyses using only the individual-level pollen-transport

259 interactions where ≥ 5 pollen grains of a plant species were sampled from a single moth. This

260 approach has been used previously in similar studies (Banza, Belo, & Evans, 2015; Devoto,

261 Bailey, & Memmott, 2011) to provide a conservative estimate of true flower-visitor

262 interactions, and is likely to be sufficient to exclude all such contamination (Del Socorro &

263 Gregg, 2001), but might also lead to exclusion of some functional pollination interactions.

264 To test the effect of burning on species’ degree (number of links formed per species), we also

265 aggregated data from all sampling periods to form a single network for each treatment (n = 1

266 pair) and for each combination of treatment and season (n = 4 pairs). We tested the effect of

267 burning on the frequency distribution of degree of each network for both moths and plants

268 overall and in each season, using one-tailed Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests, with the null

269 hypothesis that degree distribution was not higher for unburned sites than burned sites.

270 Interaction turnover

271 We examined the causes of spatial interaction turnover between burned and unburned

272 networks within pairs. Interaction turnover can be driven by change in species presence (of

273 plants, moths, or both), or change in interactions despite universal presence of both partners

274 (interaction rewiring). All scenarios are plausible outcomes of burning, so we calculated the

275 β-diversity of the pair of networks for each of the 9 sampling periods attributable to,

276 respectively, change in moth and/or plant species presence, and network rewiring, following

277 Kemp, Evans, Augustyn, & Ellis (2017). This was the number of interactions present in one

278 network but absent from the other for each reason, as a fraction of the total number of unique

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279 interactions across both networks. We also calculated the total Jaccard β-diversity of each

280 pair of networks, which is the total number of interactions present in only one network

281 divided by the total number of unique interactions, and was therefore equal to the sum of the

282 β-diversity attributable to each cause of turnover. We inspected these results for seasonal

283 trends in the causes of interaction turnover between burned and unburned networks.

284 Results

285 Overview

286 A total of 3406 moths of 327 morphotypes, representing at least 311 species in 31 families

287 (Table S3), were caught in light-traps. Of these, 2394 individuals (70.3%), of 297

288 morphotypes (90.8%) representing at least 282 species of 31 families, carried pollen of 66

289 morphotypes. Of 70 plant species (representing 28 families; Table S4) identified on floral

290 transects, at least 58 (82.9%) were also identified as pollen carried by moths. Applying a

291 conservative threshold to remove potential cross-contamination of pollen within light-traps,

292 the number of moths carrying at least 5 pollen grains of a given plant species was only 950

293 (27.9%) of 186 morphotypes (56.9%). 52 pollen morphotypes were found in quantities of at

294 least 5 pollen grains on an individual moth.

295 Abundance, richness and composition

296 We found that burning and season had significant, interacting effects on the abundance of

297 both moths (Table S5; χ2 = 36.24, P < 0.001) and of flowers (χ2 = 34.81, P < 0.001). There

298 was no interaction between the effects of burning and season on estimated species richness of

299 either moths or flowers, but estimated species richness of moths was significantly affected by

300 both burning (χ2 = 9.39, P = 0.002) and season (χ2 = 41.71, P < 0.001), whilst estimated

301 species richness of flowers was significantly affected by season (χ2 = 17.96, P < 0.001) but

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302 not by burning (χ2 = 1.88, P = 0.170). Specifically, moths were more abundant and species-

303 rich in unburned sites, and peaked in abundance in summer (Fig. 1). Flowers peaked in

304 abundance and richness in spring, but were less abundant in unburned sites in winter (Fig. 1):

305 a pattern driven primarily by annual flowers, whereas perennial flowers had reduced

306 abundance at burned sites (Fig. S3). Both burning and season significantly altered community

307 composition at family level of both moths and flowers (Table S6), whilst at species level,

308 community composition of moths, flowers and interactions was significantly altered by

309 burning but not by season (Fig. S4).

310 Pollen-transport

311 Burning and season had significant, interacting effects on four pollen-transport metrics (Table

312 S7): the proportion of moths carrying pollen (χ2 = 33.21, P < 0.001), the total pollen load (χ2

313 = 8.84, P = 0.032) and number of pollen types (χ2 = 11.17, P = 0.011) per individual pollen-

314 carrying moth, and the number of pollen types per sample of moths (χ2 = 9.65, P = 0.022).

315 The total pollen count per sample of moths was also affected by both burning (χ2 = 11.82, P <

316 0.001) and season (χ2 = 44.28, P < 0.001), but without interaction. Specifically, moths were

317 most likely to carry pollen in spring, when over 95% of moths carried pollen at burned and

318 unburned sites alike (Fig. 2). However, individual moths were more likely to carry pollen,

319 and had larger and more species-rich pollen loads, in burned sites than unburned sites during

320 summer, and vice versa during winter (Fig. 2). In winter, moths were less likely to carry

321 pollen of the dominant flower species, Ulex argenteus, at burned sites, but equally likely to

322 carry pollen from other species; the abundance of U. argenteus was significantly reduced at

323 burned sites whereas other flowers were more abundant (Fig. S5). The total quantity and

324 species richness of pollen transported by the moth assemblage was lower at burned sites than

325 unburned sites in all seasons, except that species richness did not differ between treatments in

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326 autumn (Fig. 2). Repeating these analyses with only interactions consisting of ≥ 5 pollen

327 grains did not qualitatively change our findings (Table S7), except that there was no

328 significant effect of burning on the species richness of individual moths’ pollen loads.

329 Network analysis

330 We found that linkage density of pollen-transport networks was significantly affected by both

331 burning (χ2 = 4.77, P = 0.049) and season (χ2 = 6.83, P = 0.006), without interaction. Linkage

332 density was lower in burned networks across all seasons, and lower in autumn and winter

333 than spring and summer (Fig. 3). Likewise, network robustness was significantly affected by

334 both burning (χ2 = 5.04, P = 0.044) and season (χ2 = 4.69, P = 0.022), being lower in burned

335 networks and in winter (Fig. 3). Generality (mean links per species) both of moths and of

336 plants was significantly affected by season (plants: χ2 = 7.10, P = 0.005; moths: χ2 = 13.13, P

337 < 0.001) but not by burning (plants: χ2 = 4.10, P = 0.066; moths: χ2 = 0.97, P = 0.344).

338 Generality of plants was highest in summer, and of moths in spring (Fig. 3). Niche overlap

339 was not affected by either variable (burning: χ2 = 0.87, P = 0.370; season: χ2 = 2.44, P =

340 0.813). Results were qualitatively similar when we weighted pollen-transport networks by

341 pollen load, except linkage density was not significantly affected by burning (Table S8).

342 Likewise, repeating analyses with only interactions consisting of ≥ 5 pollen grains, we found

343 the same directional trends as described above (Table S9), but reductions in linkage density

344 and robustness at burned sites were no longer significant. This is most likely because these

345 networks contained many fewer interactions, increasing the error margins around metrics.

346 The frequency distribution of degree (no. links per species) was significantly lower at burned

347 sites than unburned sites for both moths and plants (Fig. S6), indicating that species formed

348 fewer interactions at burned sites. Testing seasons separately, degree distribution was

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349 significantly lower in burned networks for moths in winter only, and for plants in winter and

350 spring.

351 Longevity of effects of fire

352 Overall, across almost all community and network metrics, we found no significant

353 interaction between burning and sampling period, once season was taken into account (Tables

354 S5-S10). This indicates that temporal trends over the duration of our study did not differ

355 between burned and unburned sites.

356 Interaction turnover

357 In all sampling periods there was high spatial turnover of interactions between burned and

358 unburned networks, indicating that few interactions were present in both (Fig. 4). From

359 spring to autumn, the principal cause of this turnover was change in the moth species present

360 in the network; however, in winter, there was comparatively high turnover attributable to

361 change in both moths and flowers, indicating that winter-time interactions at burned and

362 unburned sites involved very different assemblages of both flowers and moths.

363 Sampling completeness

364 On average, the sampling of our 18 networks was substantially less complete than the ideal

365 threshold of 90% (Fig. S7), especially for moths (mean sampling completeness 48.3%), with

366 plants (75.0%) and interactions (73.5%) being slightly better-sampled. Nevertheless,

367 sampling completeness did not differ significantly between burned and unburned networks

368 for moths (t = 1.93, d.f. = 13.17, P = 0.076), plants (t = 1.48, d.f. = 15.29, P = 0.158) or

369 interactions (t = 0.52, d.f. = 14.20, P = 0.613), suggesting that any conclusions drawn from

370 our comparisons between burned and unburned sites are robust.

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371 Discussion

372 We show the disruptive effects of wildfire on moth communities and nocturnal pollen-

373 transport networks, contrasting with positive effects of fire reported in some diurnal plant-

374 pollinator systems (Capitanio & Carcaillet, 2008; Potts et al., 2003). It may therefore be

375 important to merge diurnal and nocturnal networks to gain an unbiased understanding of the

376 effects of environmental change on pollination systems. After burning, nocturnal pollen-

377 transport networks were less robust to perturbation and comprised a substantially-changed set

378 of interactions. Moths provided abundant pollen-transport, with 70% of individuals carrying

379 pollen, but the total effect of burning on pollen-transport was negative in all seasons, in spite

380 of increased floral abundance after burning, because moths were less abundant and speciose

381 at burned sites. These negative impacts could permeate to other taxa, but building resilience

382 into ecosystems, especially those under managed burning, might be facilitated by

383 understanding relationships between fire history and plant-pollinator network properties

384 (Brown, York, Christie, & McCarthy, 2017).

385 Fire as a driver of environmental change

386 Previous studies of the effects of fire on Mediterranean plant communities (Capitanio &

387 Carcaillet, 2008) and diurnal pollinators (Potts et al., 2003; Van Nuland et al., 2013) reported

388 a flush of secondary succession, consistent with the increase in winter floral abundance at our

389 burned sites. In fire-prone systems, some native plants may be stimulated to germinate by fire

390 (Herranz, Ferrandis, & Martínez-Sánchez, 1998) or assisted by increased light levels

391 associated with reduced shrub cover at burned sites.

392 The negative effects of wildfire on moth populations over a period of 1-3 years after burning,

393 with no detectable return to pre-fire states, can be interpreted in the light of demonstrated

394 negative impacts of wildfire on moths (Fowles, Bailey, & Hale, 2004; Gerson & Kelsey,

17

395 1997; Schmid, Thomas, & Rogers, 1981). Whilst most abundant bee species are generalist

396 flower-visitors and could capitalise on increased general availability of pollen and nectar

397 resources in burned areas (Potts et al., 2003), many Lepidoptera are specialists as larvae

398 (Bernays & Chapman, 1994), and may be unable to breed in burned areas if host plants are

399 destroyed by fire. We found that the moth community changed significantly at burned sites,

400 indicating that the severity of the effects of fire may vary between different moths. Further

401 research might reveal whether this variation is linked to life-history or functional traits in

402 moths, or more directly to changes in the availability of each species’ larval host plants.

403 Whether would, over a longer timescale, cause the burned sites to

404 converge on the state of the unburned sites, or whether they would instead reach an

405 , remains to be seen.

406 However, the long-term role of wildfires in driving moth population declines remains

407 unclear. Wildfires are mostly of low importance in countries where moth declines have been

408 most convincingly shown, e.g. in the UK (Conrad, Warren, Fox, Parsons, & Woiwod, 2006),

409 but play a substantial role in shaping ecosystems in other regions (Flannigan et al., 2013;

410 Kelly & Brotons, 2017). Evaluating trends in moth populations in such regions at a large

411 spatio-temporal scale would therefore be valuable. Potential interactions between wildfire

412 and other drivers of environmental change also warrant further attention. Climate change and

413 agricultural abandonment may be especially important since both drivers are of known

414 importance to Lepidoptera (Parmesan, Ryrholm, Stefanescu, & Hill, 1999; Uchida &

415 Ushimaru, 2014) and play a role in increasing fire frequency (Flannigan et al., 2013; Price &

416 Rind, 1994; Pausas & Fernández-Muñoz, 2011), which might reduce the long-term ability of

417 communities to recover (Oliver et al., 2015).

18

418 Finally, it should be noted that our results pertain to the effects of a single wildfire, due to the

419 logistical challenges that would be posed by sampling after multiple fires. All burned sites

420 were burned at the same time, by the same fire, and burned and unburned sites were spatially

421 more clustered within treatments than between treatments. Therefore, further study of the

422 effects of other wildfires, covering a wider range of conditions than was feasible in this study

423 (e.g. fires on different continents, in different ecosystems and habitat types, of different sizes

424 and intensities, with burning occurring at different times of year, in association with different

425 weather conditions, and so forth), might unveil even greater complexity in the responses of

426 moth and plant communities.

427 Moths as pollinators

428 Our findings add to the evidence that moths are previously undervalued providers of pollen-

429 transport (Macgregor et al., 2019; Macgregor, Pocock, Fox, & Evans, 2015); perhaps

430 especially in Mediterranean systems (Banza, Belo, & Evans, 2015), where we detected the

431 highest proportion of moths carrying pollen in any study to date. The pollen of some 83% of

432 locally-flowering plants was carried by moths. An important future research question is the

433 functional importance of moths as pollinators of the plant species whose pollen they

434 transport.

435 Pollen-transport by individual moths was increased at burned sites in summer, but reduced in

436 winter, despite the increase in floral abundance and richness. In winter, moths mainly

437 transported pollen of Ulex argenteus at unburned sites, but rarely did so at burned sites (Fig.

438 S5). Potentially, more moths may have visited U. argenteus at unburned sites in search of

439 nectar (Stokes, Bullock, & Watkinson, 2003) because there were fewer alternative floral

440 resources (Fig. 1). Moths were less abundant at burned sites in summer but floral abundance

441 was unchanged, potentially increasing the likelihood of pollen removal by making each moth

19

442 more likely to be among the first visitors to any given flower (Young & Stanton, 1990).

443 Variation in diurnal visitation rates between burned and unburned sites could also have

444 influenced pollen availability in all seasons. Finally, changes in community composition at

445 burned sites could have made certain species with important roles in pollen-transport

446 relatively more or less abundant.

447 When the pollen loads of all moths in a sample were aggregated, the overall effect of burning

448 was a consistent reduction in nocturnal pollen-transport across all seasons. This reflected

449 previous studies of other pollinator taxa, where flower-visitation was reduced after fire

450 (Ne’eman, Dafni, & Potts, 2000), even for plant species that respond to fire by flowering

451 (Geerts, Malherbe, & Pauw, 2011).

452 Networks

453 Ecological network approaches have considerable potential to help understand the effects of

454 fire on the risk of cascading extinctions due to loss of mutualisms (Brown, York, Christie, &

455 McCarthy, 2017). We find significant structural differences between networks at burned and

456 unburned sites. Reduced robustness at burned sites indicates that wildfire leads to nocturnal

457 pollen-transport systems that are less tolerant of further perturbation, and at greater risk of

458 cascading extinctions. There was high interaction turnover between networks at burned and

459 unburned sites, driven by change in moth species presence (in all seasons) and plant species

460 presence (in winter). The interactions comprising networks can vary spatio-temporally with

461 little associated change in network structure (Kemp, Evans, Augustyn, & Ellis, 2017; Olesen,

462 Bascompte, Elberling, & Jordano, 2008); turnover is often demonstrated within seasons or

463 over consecutive years. By gathering year-round data , we showed that the direction and

464 significance of the effects of wildfire changed seasonally. Future ecological network studies

465 could therefore run across seasons to avoid over-simplified conclusions.

20

466 Conclusions

467 Improving the understanding of the functional importance of nocturnal pollinators, especially

468 in Mediterranean systems where very large proportions of moths carry pollen, is important.

469 The effects of drivers of environmental change on nocturnal plant-pollinator networks have

470 generally not been investigated (but see Knop et al., 2017). Given that our results contrasted

471 with the positive effects of wildfire reported in some diurnal plant-pollinator systems, it is

472 unsafe to assume that the effects of drivers of change on nocturnal pollination networks will

473 be the same as their known effects on diurnal systems.

474 The negative impacts of wildfire on moth abundance and pollen-transport were likely driven

475 by direct mortality of immature life stages and reduction in availability of larval resources.

476 However, future mechanistic studies are required to understand the relative importance of

477 these mechanisms at population- and community-level, and the impacts on co-evolutionary

478 dynamics. Further study, over time as the burned ecosystem regenerates and across multiple

479 fires at the same sites, could establish the influence of repeated pulse perturbations on

480 ecosystem recovery, improving our understanding of the resilience of fire-prone systems and

481 the potential importance of increasingly frequent fires under climate change. A deeper

482 understanding of the responses of ecological networks to wildfire may facilitate whole-

483 ecosystem conservation (Tylianakis, Laliberté, Nielsen, & Bascompte, 2010) and restoration

484 (Raimundo, Guimarães, & Evans, 2018), allowing resilience to be built into fire-prone

485 ecosystems (Evans, Kitson, Lunt, Straw, & Pocock, 2016).

486 Acknowledgements

487 We thank our field assistant Todd Jenkins, and several volunteers at A Rocha Portugal who

488 provided additional assistance in the field, in the lab, and with identification. We are

489 grateful to Penny Wolf for providing funding for the field study. C.J.M. was funded by the

21

490 Research Council and Butterfly Conservation (Industrial CASE

491 studentship, grant ID: NE/K007394/2). We thank Jason Tylianakis and Roy Sanderson for

492 their helpful comments on an early draft of this manuscript.

493 Author contributions

494 This study was instigated by P.B., A.D.F.B. and D.M.E. Field and laboratory work was

495 conducted by P.B. The statistical analysis was conducted by C.J.M., in consultation with P.B.

496 and D.M.E.; and C.J.M. prepared the first draft of the manuscript. All authors contributed

497 substantially to revising the manuscript.

498 Data accessibility

499 Data will be made available from the Dryad Digital Repository upon acceptance.

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656 Figures

657 Figure 1: The effects of fire and season on the abundance and estimated species richness

658 of moths and flowers at burned sites (open circles) and unburned sites (closed circles).

659 For moths, circles represent the model-predicted abundance and species richness per trap; for

660 plants in flower, circles represent the model-predicted percentage cover and species richness

661 per transect. Error bars show 95% confidence intervals. Species richness was estimated using

662 the Chao2 incidence-based estimator. Analyses of moth abundance and species richness were

663 based on moth-trap samples (n = 73); analyses of floral abundance and species richness were

664 based on 1 x 1 m quadrats (n = 1260).

665

666

29

667 Figure 2: The effects of fire and season on the pollen loads of moths. Circles represent the

668 model-predicted pollen load (a) and species richness (c) of pollen of individual moths, the

669 cumulative pollen load (b) and richness (d) of all moths in a sample, and (e) the model-

670 predicted proportion of moths found to be carrying pollen (open = burned sites, closed =

671 unburned sites). Error bars show 95% confidence intervals. Analyses of the pollen loads of

672 individual moths were based on pollen-carrying moths (n = 2394), analyses of accumulated

673 samples of pollen were based on moth-trap samples (n = 73), and analysis of the proportion

674 of moths carrying pollen was based on all individual moths (n = 3406).

675

30

676 Figure 3: The effects of fire and season on a selection of network metrics (linkage

677 density, robustness, generality of plants and generality of moths) calculated for quantitative,

678 interaction frequency-weighted, pollen-transport networks. Points represent the model-

679 predicted network metrics and error bars show 95% confidence intervals. Analyses were

680 based on one burned network and one unburned network for each sampling period in the

681 study (n = 18).

682

683

31

684 Figure 4: The quantity and causes of spatial interaction turnover between burned and

685 unburned networks. In (a), bars show the total number of unique interactions observed in

686 each sampling period, and coloured sections show the proportion of those interactions

687 observed in the burned or unburned network only or in both networks. In (b), bars show the

688 total Jaccard β-diversity value for spatial turnover of interactions in each sampling period,

689 and coloured sections show the proportion of interaction turnover caused by change in

690 flowers, moths or both, or by interaction turnover (Table S10).

691

32

692

693

33