MET 3502 Synoptic Meteorology Lecture 9
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Air Masses and Fronts
CHAPTER 4 AIR MASSES AND FRONTS Temperature, in the form of heating and cooling, contrasts and produces a homogeneous mass of air. The plays a key roll in our atmosphere’s circulation. energy supplied to Earth’s surface from the Sun is Heating and cooling is also the key in the formation of distributed to the air mass by convection, radiation, and various air masses. These air masses, because of conduction. temperature contrast, ultimately result in the formation Another condition necessary for air mass formation of frontal systems. The air masses and frontal systems, is equilibrium between ground and air. This is however, could not move significantly without the established by a combination of the following interplay of low-pressure systems (cyclones). processes: (1) turbulent-convective transport of heat Some regions of Earth have weak pressure upward into the higher levels of the air; (2) cooling of gradients at times that allow for little air movement. air by radiation loss of heat; and (3) transport of heat by Therefore, the air lying over these regions eventually evaporation and condensation processes. takes on the certain characteristics of temperature and The fastest and most effective process involved in moisture normal to that region. Ultimately, air masses establishing equilibrium is the turbulent-convective with these specific characteristics (warm, cold, moist, transport of heat upwards. The slowest and least or dry) develop. Because of the existence of cyclones effective process is radiation. and other factors aloft, these air masses are eventually subject to some movement that forces them together. During radiation and turbulent-convective When these air masses are forced together, fronts processes, evaporation and condensation contribute in develop between them. -
Chapter 9 : Air Mass Air Masses Source Regions
4/29/2011 Chapter 9 : Air Mass • Air masses Contain uniform temperature and humidity characteristics. • Fronts Boundaries between unlike air • Air Masses masses. • Fronts • Fronts on Weather Maps ESS124 ESS124 Prof. Jin-Jin-YiYi Yu Prof. Jin-Jin-YiYi Yu Air Masses • Air masses have fairly uniform temperature and moisture Source Regions content in horizontal direction (but not uniform in vertical). • Air masses are characterized by their temperature and humidity • The areas of the globe where air masses from are properties. called source regions. • The properties of air masses are determined by the underlying • A source region must have certain temperature surface properties where they originate. and humidity properties that can remain fixed for a • Once formed, air masses migrate within the general circulation. substantial length of time to affect air masses • UidilidliliUpon movement, air masses displace residual air over locations above it. thus changing temperature and humidity characteristics. • Air mass source regions occur only in the high or • Further, the air masses themselves moderate from surface low latitudes; middle latitudes are too variable. influences. ESS124 ESS124 Prof. Jin-Jin-YiYi Yu Prof. Jin-Jin-YiYi Yu 1 4/29/2011 Cold Air Masses Warm Air Masses January July January July • The cent ers of cold ai r masses are associ at ed with hi gh pressure on surf ace weath er • The cen ters o f very warm a ir masses appear as sem i-permanentit regions o flf low maps. pressure on surface weather maps. • In summer, when the oceans are cooler than the landmasses, large high-pressure • In summer, low-pressure areas appear over desert areas such as American centers appear over North Atlantic (Bermuda high) and Pacific (Pacific high). -
Weather Charts Natural History Museum of Utah – Nature Unleashed Stefan Brems
Weather Charts Natural History Museum of Utah – Nature Unleashed Stefan Brems Across the world, many different charts of different formats are used by different governments. These charts can be anything from a simple prognostic chart, used to convey weather forecasts in a simple to read visual manner to the much more complex Wind and Temperature charts used by meteorologists and pilots to determine current and forecast weather conditions at high altitudes. When used properly these charts can be the key to accurately determining the weather conditions in the near future. This Write-Up will provide a brief introduction to several common types of charts. Prognostic Charts To the untrained eye, this chart looks like a strange piece of modern art that an angry mathematician scribbled numbers on. However, this chart is an extremely important resource when evaluating the movement of weather fronts and pressure areas. Fronts Depicted on the chart are weather front combined into four categories; Warm Fronts, Cold Fronts, Stationary Fronts and Occluded Fronts. Warm fronts are depicted by red line with red semi-circles covering one edge. The front movement is indicated by the direction the semi- circles are pointing. The front follows the Semi-Circles. Since the example above has the semi-circles on the top, the front would be indicated as moving up. Cold fronts are depicted as a blue line with blue triangles along one side. Like warm fronts, the direction in which the blue triangles are pointing dictates the direction of the cold front. Stationary fronts are frontal systems which have stalled and are no longer moving. -
CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, NORTHRIDGE FORECASTING CALIFORNIA THUNDERSTORMS a Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Re
CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, NORTHRIDGE FORECASTING CALIFORNIA THUNDERSTORMS A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements For the degree of Master of Arts in Geography By Ilya Neyman May 2013 The thesis of Ilya Neyman is approved: _______________________ _________________ Dr. Steve LaDochy Date _______________________ _________________ Dr. Ron Davidson Date _______________________ _________________ Dr. James Hayes, Chair Date California State University, Northridge ii TABLE OF CONTENTS SIGNATURE PAGE ii ABSTRACT iv INTRODUCTION 1 THESIS STATEMENT 12 IMPORTANT TERMS AND DEFINITIONS 13 LITERATURE REVIEW 17 APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY 24 TRADITIONALLY RECOGNIZED TORNADIC PARAMETERS 28 CASE STUDY 1: SEPTEMBER 10, 2011 33 CASE STUDY 2: JULY 29, 2003 48 CASE STUDY 3: JANUARY 19, 2010 62 CASE STUDY 4: MAY 22, 2008 91 CONCLUSIONS 111 REFERENCES 116 iii ABSTRACT FORECASTING CALIFORNIA THUNDERSTORMS By Ilya Neyman Master of Arts in Geography Thunderstorms are a significant forecasting concern for southern California. Even though convection across this region is less frequent than in many other parts of the country significant thunderstorm events and occasional severe weather does occur. It has been found that a further challenge in convective forecasting across southern California is due to the variety of sub-regions that exist including coastal plains, inland valleys, mountains and deserts, each of which is associated with different weather conditions and sometimes drastically different convective parameters. In this paper four recent thunderstorm case studies were conducted, with each one representative of a different category of seasonal and synoptic patterns that are known to affect southern California. In addition to supporting points made in prior literature there were numerous new and unique findings that were discovered during the scope of this research and these are discussed as they are investigated in their respective case study as applicable. -
Weather Numbers Multiple Choices I
Weather Numbers Answer Bank A. 1 B. 2 C. 3 D. 4 E. 5 F. 25 G. 35 H. 36 I. 40 J. 46 K. 54 L. 58 M. 72 N. 74 O. 75 P. 80 Q. 100 R. 910 S. 1000 T. 1010 U. 1013 V. ½ W. ¾ 1. Minimum wind speed for a hurricane in mph N 74 mph 2. Flash-to-bang ratio. For every 10 second between lightning flash and thunder, the storm is this many miles away B 2 miles as flash to bang ratio is 5 seconds per mile 3. Minimum diameter of a hailstone in a severe storm (in inches) A 1 inch (formerly ¾ inches) 4. Standard sea level pressure in millibars U 1013.25 millibars 5. Minimum wind speed for a severe storm in mph L 58 mph 6. Minimum wind speed for a blizzard in mph G 35 mph 7. 22 degrees Celsius converted to Fahrenheit M 72 22 x 9/5 + 32 8. Increments between isobars in millibars D 4mb 9. Minimum water temperature in Fahrenheit for hurricane development P 80 F 10. Station model reports pressure as 100, what is the actual pressure in millibars T 1010 (remember to move decimal to left and then add either 10 or 9 100 become 10.0 910.0mb would be extreme low so logic would tell you it would be 1010.0mb) Multiple Choices I 1. A dry line front is also known as a: a. dew point front b. squall line front c. trough front d. Lemon front e. Kelvin front 2. -
Extratropical Cyclones and Anticyclones
© Jones & Bartlett Learning, LLC. NOT FOR SALE OR DISTRIBUTION Courtesy of Jeff Schmaltz, the MODIS Rapid Response Team at NASA GSFC/NASA Extratropical Cyclones 10 and Anticyclones CHAPTER OUTLINE INTRODUCTION A TIME AND PLACE OF TRAGEDY A LiFE CYCLE OF GROWTH AND DEATH DAY 1: BIRTH OF AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE ■■ Typical Extratropical Cyclone Paths DaY 2: WiTH THE FI TZ ■■ Portrait of the Cyclone as a Young Adult ■■ Cyclones and Fronts: On the Ground ■■ Cyclones and Fronts: In the Sky ■■ Back with the Fitz: A Fateful Course Correction ■■ Cyclones and Jet Streams 298 9781284027372_CH10_0298.indd 298 8/10/13 5:00 PM © Jones & Bartlett Learning, LLC. NOT FOR SALE OR DISTRIBUTION Introduction 299 DaY 3: THE MaTURE CYCLONE ■■ Bittersweet Badge of Adulthood: The Occlusion Process ■■ Hurricane West Wind ■■ One of the Worst . ■■ “Nosedive” DaY 4 (AND BEYOND): DEATH ■■ The Cyclone ■■ The Fitzgerald ■■ The Sailors THE EXTRATROPICAL ANTICYCLONE HIGH PRESSURE, HiGH HEAT: THE DEADLY EUROPEAN HEAT WaVE OF 2003 PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER ■■ Summary ■■ Key Terms ■■ Review Questions ■■ Observation Activities AFTER COMPLETING THIS CHAPTER, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO: • Describe the different life-cycle stages in the Norwegian model of the extratropical cyclone, identifying the stages when the cyclone possesses cold, warm, and occluded fronts and life-threatening conditions • Explain the relationship between a surface cyclone and winds at the jet-stream level and how the two interact to intensify the cyclone • Differentiate between extratropical cyclones and anticyclones in terms of their birthplaces, life cycles, relationships to air masses and jet-stream winds, threats to life and property, and their appearance on satellite images INTRODUCTION What do you see in the diagram to the right: a vase or two faces? This classic psychology experiment exploits our amazing ability to recognize visual patterns. -
NWS Unified Surface Analysis Manual
Unified Surface Analysis Manual Weather Prediction Center Ocean Prediction Center National Hurricane Center Honolulu Forecast Office November 21, 2013 Table of Contents Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers…………….3 Chapter 2: Datasets available for creation of the Unified Analysis………...…..5 Chapter 3: The Unified Surface Analysis and related features.……….……….19 Chapter 4: Creation/Merging of the Unified Surface Analysis………….……..24 Chapter 5: Bibliography………………………………………………….…….30 Appendix A: Unified Graphics Legend showing Ocean Center symbols.….…33 2 Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers 1. INTRODUCTION Since 1942, surface analyses produced by several different offices within the U.S. Weather Bureau (USWB) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA’s) National Weather Service (NWS) were generally based on the Norwegian Cyclone Model (Bjerknes 1919) over land, and in recent decades, the Shapiro-Keyser Model over the mid-latitudes of the ocean. The graphic below shows a typical evolution according to both models of cyclone development. Conceptual models of cyclone evolution showing lower-tropospheric (e.g., 850-hPa) geopotential height and fronts (top), and lower-tropospheric potential temperature (bottom). (a) Norwegian cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) and (III) narrowing warm sector, (IV) occlusion; (b) Shapiro–Keyser cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) frontal fracture, (III) frontal T-bone and bent-back front, (IV) frontal T-bone and warm seclusion. Panel (b) is adapted from Shapiro and Keyser (1990) , their FIG. 10.27 ) to enhance the zonal elongation of the cyclone and fronts and to reflect the continued existence of the frontal T-bone in stage IV. -
December 2013
Oklahoma Monthly Climate Summary DECEMBER 2013 A frigid and sometimes icy December seemed a fitting way to 1.53 inches, about a half-inch below normal, to rank as the close out the boisterous weather of 2013. Preliminary data from 59th wettest December on record. That total is possibly an the Oklahoma Mesonet ranked the month as the 17th coolest underestimate due to the frozen precipitation, although the December on record at nearly 4 degrees below normal. Records moisture pattern across various parts of the state was quite of this type for Oklahoma date back to 1895. The statewide clear. Far southeastern Oklahoma received from 3-5 inches average temperature as recorded by the Mesonet was 35.2 during the month while western areas of the state received degrees. As chilly as it seemed, however, that mark provided less than a half-inch, in general. little threat to 1983’s record cold of 25.8 degrees, but also far cooler than 2012’s 42.1 degrees. There were two significant The cold December propelled 2013’s statewide average winter storms during December, each creating headaches for annual temperature to a mark of 58.9 degrees, 0.8 degrees travelers and power utility companies. The first storm struck on below normal and the 27th coolest calendar year on record for December 5-6 in two separate waves and brought freezing rain, the state. That mark stands in stark contrast to 2012’s record sleet and snow across the state. Significant snow totals of 5-6 warm year of 63.1 degrees. -
Catastrophic Weather Perils in the United States Climate Drivers Catastrophic Weather Perils in the United States Climate Drivers
Catastrophic Weather Perils in the United States Climate Drivers Catastrophic Weather Perils in the United States Climate Drivers Table of Contents 2 Introduction 2 Atlantic Hurricanes –2 Formation –3 Climate Impacts •3 Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures •4 El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) •6 North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) •7 Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) –Summary8 8 Severe Thunderstorms –8 Formation –9 Climate Impacts •9 El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) 10• Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) 10– Other Climate Impacts 10–Summary 11 Wild Fire 11– Formation 11– Climate Impacts 11• El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) & Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) 12– Other Climate / Weather Variables 12–Summary May 2012 The information contained in this document is strictly proprietary and confidential. 1 Catastrophic Weather Perils in the United States Climate Drivers INTRODUCTION The last 10 years have seen a variety of weather perils cause significant insured losses in the United States. From the wild fires of 2003, hurricanes of 2004 and 2005, to the severe thunderstorm events in 2011, extreme weather has the appearance of being the norm. The industry has experienced over $200B in combined losses from catastrophic weather events in the US since 2002. While the weather is often seen as a random, chaotic thing, there are relatively predictable patterns (so called “climate states”) in the weather which can be used to inform our expectations of extreme weather events. An oft quoted adage is that “climate is what you expect; weather is what you actually observe.” A more useful way to think about the relationship between weather and climate is that the climate is the mean state of the atmosphere (either locally or globally) which changes over time, and weather is the variation around that mean. -
ESSENTIALS of METEOROLOGY (7Th Ed.) GLOSSARY
ESSENTIALS OF METEOROLOGY (7th ed.) GLOSSARY Chapter 1 Aerosols Tiny suspended solid particles (dust, smoke, etc.) or liquid droplets that enter the atmosphere from either natural or human (anthropogenic) sources, such as the burning of fossil fuels. Sulfur-containing fossil fuels, such as coal, produce sulfate aerosols. Air density The ratio of the mass of a substance to the volume occupied by it. Air density is usually expressed as g/cm3 or kg/m3. Also See Density. Air pressure The pressure exerted by the mass of air above a given point, usually expressed in millibars (mb), inches of (atmospheric mercury (Hg) or in hectopascals (hPa). pressure) Atmosphere The envelope of gases that surround a planet and are held to it by the planet's gravitational attraction. The earth's atmosphere is mainly nitrogen and oxygen. Carbon dioxide (CO2) A colorless, odorless gas whose concentration is about 0.039 percent (390 ppm) in a volume of air near sea level. It is a selective absorber of infrared radiation and, consequently, it is important in the earth's atmospheric greenhouse effect. Solid CO2 is called dry ice. Climate The accumulation of daily and seasonal weather events over a long period of time. Front The transition zone between two distinct air masses. Hurricane A tropical cyclone having winds in excess of 64 knots (74 mi/hr). Ionosphere An electrified region of the upper atmosphere where fairly large concentrations of ions and free electrons exist. Lapse rate The rate at which an atmospheric variable (usually temperature) decreases with height. (See Environmental lapse rate.) Mesosphere The atmospheric layer between the stratosphere and the thermosphere. -
Surface Station Model (U.S.)
Surface Station Model (U.S.) Notes: Pressure Leading 10 or 9 is not plotted for surface pressure Greater than 500 = 950 to 999 mb Less than 500 = 1000 to 1050 mb 988 Æ 998.8 mb 200 Æ 1020.0 mb Sky Cover, Weather Symbols on a Surface Station Model Wind Speed How to read: Half barb = 5 knots Full barb = 10 knots Flag = 50 knots 1 knot = 1 nautical mile per hour = 1.15 mph = 65 knots The direction of the Wind direction barb reflects which way the wind is coming from NORTHERLY From the north 360° 270° 90° 180° WESTERLY EASTERLY From the west From the east SOUTHERLY From the south Four types of fronts COLD FRONT: Cold air overtakes warm air. B to C WARM FRONT: Warm air overtakes cold air. C to D OCCLUDED FRONT: Cold air catches up to the warm front. C to Low pressure center STATIONARY FRONT: No movement of air masses. A to B Fronts and Extratropical Cyclones Feb. 24, 2007 Case In mid-latitudes, fronts are part of the structure of extratropical cyclones. Extratropical cyclones form because of the horizontal temperature gradient and are part of the general circulation—helping to transport energy from equator to pole. Type of weather and air masses in relation to fronts: Feb. 24, 2007 case mPmP cPcP mTmT Characteristics of a front 1. Sharp temperature changes over a short distance 2. Changes in moisture content 3. Wind shifts 4. A lowering of surface pressure, or pressure trough 5. Clouds and precipitation We’ll see how these characteristics manifest themselves for fronts in North America using the example from Feb. -
You Are a Meterologist!
YOU ARE A METEROLOGIST! ★A meteorologist is a scientist who studies the atmosphere to forecast weather in a given area. ASSIGNMENT: You have been hired by the Weather Channel as a meteorologist to forecast weather in the United States. Since the Weather Channel provides forecasts for all over the country, your first assignment with them is to forecast four different areas of the United States using your knowledge about air masses and fronts. TASK: 1.) Examine the map of the United States and locate the four cities named on your data table. (Use an atlas to help you find these places.) 2.) After locating the cities, identify and describe the fronts heading towards each city and the air mass that follows it. (Use your reference sheet to help recall types of air mass: continental polar, continental tropical, maritime polar, or maritime tropical.) Record this information in the data table. 3.) For each city, predict how the incoming front will change the weather (temperature, air pressure, storms in that area.) Record your thinking in the data table. 4.) Select one city and write a paragraph about the anticipated weather for that area. Be sure to include data from the table to explain your thinking and forecast. DATA TABLE-FORECASTING WEATHER IN THE UNITED STATES INCOMING INCOMING CITY, STATE FRONT AIR MASS EXPLAIN HOW THIS FRONT MIGHT CHANGE THE IN THE UNITED (Warm Front How do you know? WEATHER AT THIS AREA? STATES or Cold Front) (What’s your evidence from the map?) TEMPERATURE POSSIBLE WEATHER St. Louis, Missouri El Paso, Texas Atlanta, Georgia Minneapolis Minnesota ★MAKE AN INFERENCE: Locate Boston, Massachusetts.