The Influence of Rapid Transit Systems on Condominium Prices in Bangkok
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Department of Real Estate and Construction Management Thesis no. 105 Division of Building and Real Estate Economics Master of Science, 30 credits The Influence of Rapid Transit Systems on Condominium Prices in Bangkok A Hedonic price model approach Author: Supervisor: Chuti Thamrongsrisook Hans Lind Stockholm 2011 Master of Science Thesis Title : The Influence of Rapid Transit Systems on Condominium Prices in Bangkok: A Hedonic price model approach Author: Chuti Thamrongsrisook Department: Department of Real Estate and Construction Management Master Thesis number: 105 Supervisor: Prof. Hans Lind Keywords: Hedonic price model, Condominium, Bangkok, Rapid transit systems ABSTRACT Rapid transit systems often create city developments and raise the property values. Basically, residential property price is characterised by number of characteristics including the transportations attributes. Empirical studies have drawn impacts of transportation in different ways. This thesis studies the hedonic price model to better understand the influence of mass rapid transit systems on the prices of condominium in Bangkok. The research question is “How the accessibility of rapid transit system affects the price of condominium in Bangkok?” The thesis explains the relationship between condominium prices and accessibility to mass rapid transit systems, as well as other influences, using hedonic price model. The research conducts cross-sectional study approach that uses the data with high level of flexibility at a particular point in time. Five models have been used in this thesis including the entire area model, models of proximity to rapid transit station, and sub-area models. Consequently evidences from the entire area model indicate that proximity to the rapid transit systems has a significant negative effect on condominium prices. Besides, the research also points out number of important characteristics that influence the prices of condominium including distance to main street and public facilities in the area. However, the clustered models show that there is no significant effect of proximity to mass rapid transits on condominium prices. The thesis has raised the knowledge and gained better understanding of the hedonic price model especially its application to the property market. The findings of this thesis can lead to an analysis of property values as well as other price model in other field of study. i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I wish to thank all those who supported me throughout my thesis, including my friends and family. I would like to express my sincere gratitude to Prof. Hans Lind, my supervisor, for his supervision, guidance and support and to KTH, my university, for providing superb facilities and services all through the duration of my study. ii LIST OF CONTENTS CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................. 1 Background and motivation ............................................................................................... 1 Research question ............................................................................................................. 2 Aims and objective ............................................................................................................ 2 Limitation .......................................................................................................................... 3 Thesis overview ................................................................................................................. 3 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW .......................................................................................... 4 Hedonic price model .......................................................................................................... 4 Box-Cox transformation ..................................................................................................... 9 Previous studies............................................................................................................... 10 CHAPTER 3 METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................... 16 Research approach and stages ......................................................................................... 16 Theoretical foundation and conceptual framework ......................................................... 17 Research design ............................................................................................................... 17 Data collection................................................................................................................. 18 Data processing and analysis ........................................................................................... 19 CHAPTER 4 DESCRIPTION OF THE AREA .............................................................................. 20 Bangkok facts and information ........................................................................................ 20 Transportation ................................................................................................................. 21 Residential property market ............................................................................................ 23 The area of study ............................................................................................................. 25 CHAPTER 5 MODEL AND REGRESSION ................................................................................ 28 Data analysis ................................................................................................................... 28 Model summary .............................................................................................................. 33 Regression analysis .......................................................................................................... 34 CHAPTER 6 RESULTS SUMMARY ......................................................................................... 41 Results from hedonic price models .................................................................................. 41 CHAPTER 7 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS ..................................................................... 43 Contributions................................................................................................................... 43 Further work ................................................................................................................... 43 Conclusions ..................................................................................................................... 44 iii REFERENCES ....................................................................................................................... 46 Appendix A: Bangkok comprehensive land use plan 2006 ................................................. 50 Appendix B: Condominium dataset .................................................................................... 51 Appendix B: Regression results .......................................................................................... 54 The entire area ................................................................................................................ 54 Clustered by proximity to the nearest station .................................................................. 56 Clustered by sub-areas .................................................................................................... 59 iv LIST OF FIGURES Figure 3-1 Conceptual framework ....................................................................................... 17 Figure 4-1 Bangkok’s mass rapid transit system .................................................................. 22 Figure 4-2 BTS and MRT passenger journey per annum ....................................................... 23 Figure 4-3 Registered residential property by type .............................................................. 24 Figure 4-4 The area of study ................................................................................................ 26 LIST OF TABLES Table 2-1 Summary of previous studies ............................................................................... 14 Table 5-1 Variable definition and classification .................................................................... 29 Table 5-2 Data group ........................................................................................................... 32 Table 5-3 Descriptive statistics ............................................................................................ 33 Table 5-4 Regression results of the entire area data ............................................................ 36 Table 5-5 Results from enter method regresion analysis ..................................................... 38 Table 5-6 Results from backward method regresion analysis by proximity to RTS ............... 38 Table 5-7 Results from enter method regresion analysis by sub-areas................................. 39 Table 5-8 Results from backward method regresion analysis by sub-areas .......................... 40 Table 6-1 Results summary for hedonic models .................................................................. 42 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS BMA Bangkok Metropolitan Administrative BMR Bangkok Metropolitan Region BTS Bangkok Mass Transit System CBD Central Business District MRT Mass Rapid Transit RTS Rapid Transit System SARL Suvarnabhumi Airport Rail Link v CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION